Tearsheet

PulteGroup (PHM)


Market Price (10/23/2025): $120.4 | Market Cap: $23.7 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Homebuilding

PulteGroup (PHM)


Market Price (10/23/2025): $120.4
Market Cap: $23.7 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Homebuilding

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.7%, FCF Yield is 6.6%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.6%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 36%
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.7%, FCF Yield is 6.6%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 36%
2 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.6%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

PHM Stock


Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
PHM Return13%34%-19%129%6%11%240%
Peers Return22%51%-20%62%10%6%178%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%106%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PHM Win Rate67%67%42%58%58%56% 
Peers Win Rate72%73%42%62%65%51% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%67% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PHM Max Drawdown-54%-5%-36%0%-3%-15% 
Peers Max Drawdown-46%-4%-38%-2%-6%-21% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: DHI, LEN, NVR, J, TOL. See PHM Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 10/22/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventPHMS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-41.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven72.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven305 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-62.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven164.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven151 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-40.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven68.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven326 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-79.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven393.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven3349 days1480 days

Compare to DHI, LEN, NVR, J, TOL


In The Past

PulteGroup's stock fell -41.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/10/2021. A -41.9% loss requires a 72.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About PulteGroup (PHM)

Better Bets than PulteGroup (PHM)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to PHM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ANF_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025ANFAbercrombie & FitchDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-19.3%-19.3%-22.1%
DECK_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025DECKDeckers OutdoorDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.6%1.6%-6.2%
CHH_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025CHHChoice Hotels InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.6%-4.6%-7.9%
VAC_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025VACMarriott Vacations WorldwideDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
3.9%3.9%-6.1%
FUN_9302025_Short_Squeeze09302025FUNSix Flags EntertainmentSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
12.8%12.8%-11.7%
PHM_9302022_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302022PHMPulteGroupDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
56.4%99.6%-2.4%
PHM_3312022_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield03312022PHMPulteGroupDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-8.3%41.0%-13.2%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ANF_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025ANFAbercrombie & FitchDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-19.3%-19.3%-22.1%
DECK_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025DECKDeckers OutdoorDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.6%1.6%-6.2%
CHH_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025CHHChoice Hotels InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.6%-4.6%-7.9%
VAC_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025VACMarriott Vacations WorldwideDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
3.9%3.9%-6.1%
FUN_9302025_Short_Squeeze09302025FUNSix Flags EntertainmentSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
12.8%12.8%-11.7%
PHM_9302022_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302022PHMPulteGroupDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
56.4%99.6%-2.4%
PHM_3312022_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield03312022PHMPulteGroupDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-8.3%41.0%-13.2%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for PulteGroup

Financials

PHMDHILENNVRJTOLMedian
NamePulteGro.D.R. Hor.Lennar NVR Jacobs S.Toll Bro. 
Mkt Price120.21158.21127.147,697.16157.70136.19146.94
Mkt Cap23.648.132.522.418.913.423.0
Rev LTM17,62334,57534,76610,59911,83510,87714,729
Op Inc LTM3,3954,8923,4701,8658481,7682,630
FCF LTM1,5522,785-7131,2094129181,064
FCF 3Y Avg1,8752,7072,7831,4867521,2011,680
CFO LTM1,6682,911-5681,2385009951,117
CFO 3Y Avg1,9832,8562,9181,5138701,2741,748

Growth & Margins

PHMDHILENNVRJTOLMedian
NamePulteGro.D.R. Hor.Lennar NVR Jacobs S.Toll Bro. 
Rev Chg LTM1.8%-7.3%-4.7%6.4%61.5%3.3%2.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg5.4%2.9%3.0%3.1%1.1%4.4%3.1%
Rev Chg Q-1.6%-7.4%-6.4%-0.5%5.1%8.0%-1.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.4%-2.1%-1.7%-0.1%1.3%2.0%-0.3%
Op Mgn LTM19.3%14.2%10.0%17.6%7.2%16.3%15.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg20.6%16.3%13.6%18.7%6.3%17.5%16.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.7%-1.0%-1.5%-0.7%0.5%-0.4%-0.7%
CFO/Rev LTM9.5%8.4%-1.6%11.7%4.2%9.1%8.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg11.6%8.1%8.4%14.9%9.5%11.9%10.5%
FCF/Rev LTM8.8%8.1%-2.1%11.4%3.5%8.4%8.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg10.9%7.7%8.0%14.6%8.2%11.2%9.6%

Valuation

PHMDHILENNVRJTOLMedian
NamePulteGro.D.R. Hor.Lennar NVR Jacobs S.Toll Bro. 
Mkt Cap23.648.132.522.418.913.423.0
P/S1.31.40.92.11.61.21.4
P/EBIT6.99.89.411.321.27.69.6
P/E9.012.112.114.838.49.712.1
P/CFO14.216.5-57.218.137.913.515.3
Total Yield11.9%9.2%9.9%6.8%3.0%10.6%9.6%
Dividend Yield0.7%1.0%1.6%0.0%0.4%0.4%0.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg9.2%6.5%7.3%6.8%4.7%12.1%7.0%
D/E0.10.20.20.00.20.20.2
Net D/E0.00.10.1-0.00.10.20.1

Returns

PHMDHILENNVRJTOLMedian
NamePulteGro.D.R. Hor.Lennar NVR Jacobs S.Toll Bro. 
1M Rtn-7.0%-3.7%4.7%-2.9%4.7%0.2%-1.4%
3M Rtn0.9%7.1%8.9%-2.6%11.5%7.7%7.4%
6M Rtn19.4%27.5%19.2%8.7%34.3%39.3%23.5%
12M Rtn-9.5%-11.3%-25.5%-18.4%13.4%-7.2%-10.4%
3Y Rtn228.9%133.5%80.8%90.2%70.7%235.7%111.9%
1M Excs Rtn-8.2%-5.5%3.0%-4.2%6.0%-0.7%-2.5%
3M Excs Rtn-1.5%4.3%7.2%-6.5%5.9%6.0%5.1%
6M Excs Rtn-5.2%2.9%-5.4%-16.0%9.7%14.6%-1.2%
12M Excs Rtn-32.9%-32.0%-45.8%-36.7%-2.5%-28.2%-32.5%
3Y Excs Rtn139.5%50.6%-3.9%8.6%-8.8%151.3%29.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Homebuilding segment15,24713,92412,27011,51310,081
Financial Services8408721,082692634
Total16,08714,79713,35312,20510,716


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date9302025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity5,006,157
Short Interest: % Change Since 9152025-23.2%
Average Daily Volume2,157,705
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.32
Basic Shares Quantity196,536,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.5%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/21/20250.0%  
7/22/202511.5%7.5%20.0%
4/22/20258.4%10.0%8.8%
1/30/20254.9%-1.5%-8.6%
10/22/2024-7.2%-7.2%-10.9%
7/23/20240.0%5.8%-0.7%
4/23/20244.6%6.2%9.3%
1/30/2024-0.5%-1.6%0.3%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive171515
# Negative799
Median Positive4.5%7.5%8.0%
Median Negative-4.3%-2.1%-5.0%
Max Positive11.5%25.8%35.8%
Max Negative-7.2%-7.3%-10.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251021202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025722202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025422202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024206202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241022202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024723202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024423202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023205202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231024202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023725202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023425202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022206202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221025202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022726202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022428202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021207202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0OShaughnessy RobertExec. VP8152025Sell128.0321,9272,807,2488,227,527Form
1O'Meara Brien P.Vice President & Controller8152025Sell127.97814104,1701,351,139Form
2O'Meara Brien P.Vice President & Controller2132025Sell106.403,500372,3861,209,934Form
3Sheldon Todd NEVP, Gen Counsel, Corp Sec'y2132025Sell106.5015,1911,617,8427,961,727Form
4ANDERSON BRIAN P 2112025Sell106.452,500266,1226,026,823Form