Tearsheet

Progressive (PGR)


Market Price (6/23/2026): $208.28 | Market Cap: $122.0 BilInvestor Relations Sector: Financials | Industry: Property & Casualty Insurance

Progressive (PGR)


Market Price (6/23/2026): $208.28
Market Cap: $122.0 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Property & Casualty Insurance

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 16%, Dividend Yield is 6.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 12%, FCF Yield is 14%

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%, CFO LTM is 17 Bil, FCF LTM is 16 Bil

Stock buyback support
Stock Buyback 3Y Total is 1.4 Bil

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 22%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Autonomous Technologies, E-commerce & Digital Retail, Fintech & Digital Payments, Show more.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -27%

Key risks
PGR key risks include [1] hindered policy growth from aggressive competitors, Show more.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 16%, Dividend Yield is 6.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 12%, FCF Yield is 14%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%, CFO LTM is 17 Bil, FCF LTM is 16 Bil
2 Stock buyback support
Stock Buyback 3Y Total is 1.4 Bil
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 22%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Autonomous Technologies, E-commerce & Digital Retail, Fintech & Digital Payments, Show more.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -27%
6 Key risks
PGR key risks include [1] hindered policy growth from aggressive competitors, Show more.

PGR in ETFs

Weight = PGR's share of each fund

SPY0.18%
VOO0.17%
IVV0.19%
VTI0.15%
ITOT0.16%
IWB0.17%
RSP0.19%
VTV0.43%
+29 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 6/5/2026

Progressive (PGR) stock has lost about 5% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Mixed Fiscal Q1 2026 Financial Results with Investment Portfolio Headwinds.

While Progressive reported stronger-than-expected earnings per share (EPS) of $4.80 for fiscal Q1 2026, exceeding consensus estimates, its revenue of $22.19 billion largely fell below analysts' expectations. A significant factor impacting the quarter was a $1.0 billion decline in net unrealized gains on fixed-maturity securities in March 2026, driven by lower interest-rate-sensitive investments, which resulted in a $313 million loss in total comprehensive income for the month despite strong underwriting performance. This indicated pressure on investment income, a crucial component of an insurer's overall profitability.

2. Rising Claims Severity and Deteriorating Underwriting Ratio.

Progressive experienced an increase in its combined ratio, deteriorating by 3.1 points year-over-year to 85.7 in February 2026. This indicates higher claims and expenses relative to premiums earned. The broader insurance industry, including Progressive, is contending with rising loss severity in the auto market due to factors such as inflation, parts shortages, and the increasing complexity of vehicle technology. Furthermore, "social inflation," characterized by escalating compensation claims, continues to pressure insurers' liability loss ratios.

Show more
Updated on 6/5/2026

Progressive (PGR) stock has lost about 5% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Mixed Fiscal Q1 2026 Financial Results with Investment Portfolio Headwinds.

While Progressive reported stronger-than-expected earnings per share (EPS) of $4.80 for fiscal Q1 2026, exceeding consensus estimates, its revenue of $22.19 billion largely fell below analysts' expectations. A significant factor impacting the quarter was a $1.0 billion decline in net unrealized gains on fixed-maturity securities in March 2026, driven by lower interest-rate-sensitive investments, which resulted in a $313 million loss in total comprehensive income for the month despite strong underwriting performance. This indicated pressure on investment income, a crucial component of an insurer's overall profitability.

2. Rising Claims Severity and Deteriorating Underwriting Ratio.

Progressive experienced an increase in its combined ratio, deteriorating by 3.1 points year-over-year to 85.7 in February 2026. This indicates higher claims and expenses relative to premiums earned. The broader insurance industry, including Progressive, is contending with rising loss severity in the auto market due to factors such as inflation, parts shortages, and the increasing complexity of vehicle technology. Furthermore, "social inflation," characterized by escalating compensation claims, continues to pressure insurers' liability loss ratios.

3. Cautious Analyst Outlook and Reduced Future Earnings Estimates.

Following the Q1 2026 results and other market dynamics, several analysts adjusted their outlook for Progressive. Bank of America, for instance, lowered its EPS estimates for 2026, 2027, and 2028 by 2.6%, 1.4%, and 1.3% respectively, primarily due to expectations of slightly lower premiums, reduced policy counts, and diminished net investment income. The overall analyst consensus for Progressive is "Hold," with an average price target of approximately $231.64 to $238.11, reflecting a measured or cautious sentiment on the stock's near-term potential.

4. Broader Macroeconomic and Industry Headwinds.

The property and casualty (P&C) insurance sector, of which Progressive is a part, experienced a decline of 6.3% in fiscal Q1 2026, underperforming the broader market. This sector-wide underperformance was influenced by macroeconomic factors such as ongoing economic uncertainty, continued volatility in growth sectors, and geopolitical tensions, particularly in the Middle East. These external pressures contribute to a challenging operating environment for insurers, impacting market sentiment and investment valuations.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -2.9% change in PGR stock from 2/28/2026 to 6/22/2026 was primarily driven by a -10.1% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)22820266222026Change
Stock Price ($)213.55207.38-2.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)85,16689,4155.0%
Net Income Margin (%)12.6%12.9%2.8%
P/E Multiple11.710.5-10.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)5865860.2%
Cumulative Contribution-2.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

2/28/2026 to 6/22/2026
ReturnCorrelation
PGR-2.9% 
Market (SPY)8.8%-30.2%
Sector (XLF)5.0%28.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The -3.6% change in PGR stock from 11/30/2025 to 6/22/2026 was primarily driven by a -10.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)113020256222026Change
Stock Price ($)215.02207.38-3.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)85,16689,4155.0%
Net Income Margin (%)12.6%12.9%2.8%
P/E Multiple11.810.5-10.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)5865860.2%
Cumulative Contribution-3.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

11/30/2025 to 6/22/2026
ReturnCorrelation
PGR-3.6% 
Market (SPY)9.5%-21.9%
Sector (XLF)1.6%20.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The -22.5% change in PGR stock from 5/31/2025 to 6/22/2026 was primarily driven by a -41.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)53120256222026Change
Stock Price ($)267.57207.38-22.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)78,50889,41513.9%
Net Income Margin (%)11.1%12.9%16.4%
P/E Multiple18.010.5-41.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)5865860.1%
Cumulative Contribution-22.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

5/31/2025 to 6/22/2026
ReturnCorrelation
PGR-22.5% 
Market (SPY)27.7%-12.0%
Sector (XLF)7.0%27.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The 77.4% change in PGR stock from 5/31/2023 to 6/22/2026 was primarily driven by a 686.0% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)53120236222026Change
Stock Price ($)116.89207.3877.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)52,04989,41571.8%
Net Income Margin (%)1.6%12.9%686.0%
P/E Multiple79.910.5-86.8%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)585586-0.1%
Cumulative Contribution77.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

5/31/2023 to 6/22/2026
ReturnCorrelation
PGR77.4% 
Market (SPY)85.1%8.5%
Sector (XLF)77.5%34.1%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
PGR Return11%27%23%51%-3%-4%143%
Peers Return25%14%8%32%17%2%143%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%10%100%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PGR Win Rate42%50%58%75%50%50% 
Peers Win Rate55%60%62%65%58%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PGR Max Drawdown-16%-11%-23%-11%-30%-12% 
Peers Max Drawdown-13%-21%-18%-11%-13%-9% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: ALL, TRV, BRK-B, CB, HIG. See PGR Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 6/22/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventPGRS&P 500
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-10.4%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven11.6%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven134 days31 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-18.3%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven22.3%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven25 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-19.7%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven24.5%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven49 days105 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-16.5%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven19.8%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven119 days123 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-47.4%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven90.2%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven382 days1085 days

Compare to ALL, TRV, BRK-B, CB, HIG

In The Past

Progressive's stock fell -5.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 5.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventPGRS&P 500
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-47.4%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven90.2%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven382 days1085 days

Compare to ALL, TRV, BRK-B, CB, HIG

In The Past

Progressive's stock fell -5.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 5.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Progressive (PGR)

Progressive Corporation (PGR) is a prominent U.S. insurance holding company that offers a diverse range of property-casualty insurance products and related services. Its core business revolves around providing coverage for personal, commercial, and residential needs, operating through three main segments.

The company's primary products include personal auto insurance, along with specialized coverage for recreational vehicles such as motorcycles, RVs, ATVs, and watercraft. For businesses, Progressive offers commercial auto insurance covering various vehicle types used by small businesses, from vans and trucks to tow trucks and taxis, alongside general liability and property insurance. Furthermore, its property segment provides residential property insurance for homeowners, renters, and other property owners, including personal umbrella and flood insurance.

Progressive also delivers related services like policy issuance and claims adjusting. The company reaches its customers through a dual distribution model, utilizing both independent insurance agencies and direct sales channels via the internet, mobile devices, and telephone.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • It's like an Amazon for insurance policies, offering a wide range of personal and commercial coverage conveniently.
  • Think of it as the Carvana for auto insurance, a major player known for direct online and phone sales for cars and other vehicles.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Personal Auto Insurance: Provides insurance coverage for personal automobiles.
  • Special Lines Insurance: Offers insurance for recreational vehicles, including motorcycles, ATVs, RVs, watercrafts, and snowmobiles.
  • Commercial Auto Insurance: Supplies primary liability and physical damage insurance for various commercial vehicles used by businesses.
  • Commercial Business Insurance: Delivers general liability and property insurance specifically tailored for businesses.
  • Residential Property Insurance: Provides insurance for homeowners, other property owners, and renters.
  • Personal Umbrella & Flood Insurance: Offers additional personal liability coverage and primary or excess flood insurance.
  • Insurance Agency Services: Acts as an agent for other insurance products like homeowner general liability and workers' compensation insurance.
  • Reinsurance Services: Provides insurance coverage to other insurance companies.
  • Policy Issuance & Claims Adjusting Services: Handles the administrative tasks of issuing insurance policies and processing claims.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The company primarily sells to individuals and small businesses. Its major customer categories include:

  1. Individual Policyholders: This category includes customers seeking insurance for personal automobiles, recreational vehicles (such as motorcycles, RVs, ATVs, watercrafts, and snowmobiles), and personal residential properties (homeowners and renters insurance), as well as personal umbrella insurance.
  2. Small Businesses: This category encompasses various small business operations that require commercial auto insurance (for vehicles like vans, pick-up trucks, dump trucks, tractors, trailers, and tow trucks), business-related general liability insurance, and commercial property insurance.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Tricia Griffith
President and Chief Executive Officer

Tricia Griffith was appointed President and Chief Executive Officer and elected to the Board of Directors of The Progressive Corporation in July 2016. She is the first woman to hold this position in the company's history. Ms. Griffith began her career at Progressive in 1988 as a Claims Representative. During her tenure, she has held numerous key leadership roles, including Chief Human Resources Officer (starting in 2002), President of Claims, President of Customer Operations, and Personal Lines Chief Operating Officer (since April 2015). She holds a bachelor's degree from Illinois State University and is a graduate of the Wharton School of Business' Advanced Management Program. Ms. Griffith also serves on the Board of Directors for FedEx.

John Sauerland
Chief Financial Officer

John Sauerland became Chief Financial Officer in April 2015. He joined Progressive in 1990 as a summer intern before starting full-time in 1991 as an Assistant Product Manager. Throughout his career at Progressive, he served as Product Manager for various states and as General Manager for regions including Mississippi, Minnesota, and Wisconsin. He was also the Claims General Manager responsible for claims service in eight Midwestern states. In 2006, he was named President of Progressive's Direct business, and subsequently served as President of Personal Lines for eight years. Mr. Sauerland holds a bachelor's degree in applied mathematics from UCLA and an MBA from the University of Chicago. He is expected to retire from Progressive on July 3, 2026.

Karen Bailo
Commercial Lines President

Karen Bailo was named Commercial Lines President in October 2020. She began her career at Progressive in 1990 as a management trainee in customer service. Her leadership roles at the company have included personal lines general manager and commercial lines controller. Ms. Bailo also led the Agency Distribution organization for nine years. Most recently, she served as the company's commercial lines acquisition and small business insurance general manager. She earned a bachelor's degree from the University of South Carolina and an MBA from the Weatherhead School of Management at Case Western Reserve University.

John Murphy
Claims President

John Murphy assumed the role of Claims President in December 2021, following nearly seven years as Progressive's Customer Relationship Management President. He joined Progressive as a claims representative in 1992. During his initial time in Claims, he held various strategy, process, and operations positions across the country, including regional claims manager, national implementation leader, claims business leader, and physical damage process business leader.

Andrew Quigg
Chief Strategy Officer

Andrew Quigg was named Chief Strategy Officer in July 2018. In this role, he is responsible for developing corporate strategies to achieve company objectives and identify opportunities for future profitable growth. He joined Progressive in 2007 as an agency auto product manager, managing several states in both the Direct and Agency channels. Mr. Quigg also served as a business leader for Direct Media, where he led the internal team responsible for media buying. Prior to joining Progressive, he worked at Merrill Lynch, General Mills, and McKinsey. He holds a bachelor's degree in applied mathematics and economics from Yale University and an MBA from Harvard Business School. Andrew Quigg is also expected to succeed John Sauerland as CFO upon Mr. Sauerland's retirement in July 2026.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The Progressive Corporation (PGR) faces several key risks to its business operations and financial performance. These risks are primarily inherent to the property and casualty insurance industry and include volatile claims costs, exposure to catastrophic weather events, and intense competition alongside regulatory pressures.
  1. Underwriting Volatility from Rising Claims Costs: Progressive's profitability is significantly exposed to fluctuations in claims costs, driven by both economic and "social" inflation. Increased expenses for auto repairs, replacement parts, used vehicles, and medical treatments directly elevate payouts in its Personal Lines and Commercial Lines segments. For instance, motor vehicle repair costs have surged, impacting the severity of auto claims. The property segment also experiences higher rebuilding costs. These rising loss costs necessitate accurate underwriting and pricing to maintain profitability, a challenge that can lead to significant underwriting losses if premiums do not keep pace.
  2. Exposure to Catastrophic Weather Events and Climate Change: As a provider of personal residential and commercial property insurance, Progressive is vulnerable to the increasing frequency and severity of natural disasters, such as hurricanes, wildfires, and severe convective storms. These events can result in substantial claims payouts, particularly impacting its Property segment. The long-term implications of climate change further exacerbate this risk, leading to higher insured losses and potentially influencing the availability and affordability of property insurance in high-risk areas.
  3. Intense Competition and Regulatory/Legal Challenges: The insurance markets in which Progressive operates are highly competitive, characterized by numerous large national and smaller regional insurers vying for market share based on price, brand recognition, coverage, and customer service. This intense competition can exert significant pressure on pricing and underwriting margins, making it challenging for Progressive to maintain or grow its policy count profitably. Additionally, the company operates in a highly regulated environment, with complex state-level laws that can limit its flexibility in adjusting rates and product offerings. Progressive also faces ongoing litigation risks, including class-action lawsuits related to claims handling practices, which can result in substantial judgments, settlements, and increased compliance costs.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The following are clear emerging threats for Progressive (PGR):

  • Autonomous Vehicles (AVs): The ongoing development and eventual widespread adoption of autonomous vehicles represent a fundamental threat to the core auto insurance market, which constitutes a significant portion of Progressive's Personal Lines and Commercial Lines segments. As AV technology matures and accident rates are projected to decline significantly, the demand for traditional collision and liability insurance could diminish, and the locus of liability may shift from human drivers to vehicle manufacturers or software providers. This could fundamentally alter the business model and market size for auto insurance.
  • Embedded Insurance Models: The emerging trend of product manufacturers (such as automotive companies) or other platform providers directly integrating and offering insurance solutions at the point of sale or within their service ecosystems poses a threat to traditional insurance distribution and customer acquisition. These models could bypass Progressive's independent agency and direct-to-consumer channels, allowing other entities to capture customers and insurance premiums directly, potentially eroding Progressive's market share and customer relationships across its various lines of business.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Progressive (PGR) operates within several significant addressable markets in the United States.

Personal Lines

  • Personal Auto Insurance: The personal auto insurance market in the U.S. recorded approximately $318 billion in premiums in 2023. This segment represented about 35.8% of the entire U.S. property and casualty insurance market in 2023. The broader United States motor insurance market, which includes personal auto, is projected to be $532.45 billion in 2026 and is forecast to reach $826.30 billion by 2031. Personal motor insurance alone held 76.35% of the U.S. motor insurance market in 2025.

Commercial Lines

  • Commercial Auto Insurance: The addressable market for commercial auto insurance in the U.S. was valued at $52.8 billion in 2023 and recorded approximately $61.6 billion in direct written premiums in 2024. This market is estimated to register a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of over 6% between 2024 and 2032, reaching $92.2 billion by 2032.

Property Segment

  • Residential Property Insurance (Homeowners): The U.S. homeowners insurance market size was $175.1 billion in 2025. Direct written premiums in this market rose to nearly $173.1 billion in 2024. The market is projected to reach $184.59 billion in 2026 and $236.90 billion by 2031, growing at a CAGR of 5.12% from 2026 to 2031.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Progressive (PGR) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key strategies:

  1. Continued Growth in Policyholders and Market Share: Progressive has consistently demonstrated robust growth in its customer base, adding millions of new policies, particularly within its Personal Lines segment. In 2025, the company added almost 3.7 million additional policies in force, with personal vehicles accounting for a 12% increase, or approximately 3.5 million more policies than at the end of 2024. This growth has also translated into an increased market share in the private passenger auto market, reaching around 18.5% in 2025. The company's focus on attracting and retaining a diverse customer base across its various product offerings is a significant driver.
  2. Expansion and Profitability in Commercial Lines: The Commercial Lines segment remains a strong area of growth and profitability for Progressive. The company has maintained excellent profitability in this segment, even when the broader commercial auto insurance industry has experienced underwriting losses. This growth is primarily driven by business auto and contractor risks, and management has indicated a "strong runway" for continued expansion in this sector.
  3. Strategic Use of Technology and Innovation: Progressive is leveraging technology and innovation to enhance its operations and attract customers. Initiatives such as usage-based insurance and AI-generated marketing campaigns have shown promising results. These strategic investments in AI and other technological advancements are part of management's proactive approach to improve customer acquisition, retention, and operational efficiency, thereby contributing to revenue growth.
  4. Broadening Product Offerings to Meet Comprehensive Customer Needs: A key strategic pillar for Progressive is to meet customers' broader insurance needs throughout their lifetimes. Beyond its core auto insurance, the company offers a range of products including personal residential, commercial property, general liability, and other specialty property-casualty insurance. This strategy allows for effective cross-selling and deepens customer relationships, leading to increased revenue per customer.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

  • In May 2025, The Progressive Corporation's Board of Directors renewed authorization to repurchase up to 25 million common shares, with no expiration date.
  • Between July and September 2025, Progressive repurchased 163,786 shares for US$40.78 million, completing a buyback tranche first announced in May 2025 totaling 193,948 shares for US$49.13 million.
  • In 2023, share repurchase activity was primarily limited to offsetting dilution from employee equity grants.

Share Issuance

  • In 2023, the company issued $500 million of corporate bonds to enhance its capital cushion during market volatility.

Outbound Investments

  • Progressive's investment portfolio reached nearly $100 billion by year-end 2025, generating a 7.33% return in 2025.
  • In 2024, the investment portfolio achieved a return of 4.6%.
  • During 2023, the company's investment portfolio saw a return of 6.3%, maintaining a conservative allocation with an increased emphasis on U.S. Treasuries and reduced exposure to commercial real estate securities.

Capital Expenditures

  • Capital expenditures for fiscal year 2025 were approximately $285 million, with the latest twelve months ending September 2025 reaching $337 million.
  • For fiscal year 2024, capital expenditures increased to $285 million, up 13.1% from the previous year.
  • In fiscal year 2023, capital expenditures were $252 million.

Latest Trefis Analyses

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

PGRALLTRVBRK-BCBHIGMedian
NameProgress.Allstate Traveler.Berkshir.Chubb Hartford. 
Mkt Price207.38222.56310.61488.69325.20129.50266.59
Mkt Cap121.457.766.81,054.2127.035.894.1
Rev LTM89,41567,55748,942419,30261,19928,45164,378
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM16,42011,53111,44423,87215,1975,82013,364
FCF 3Y Avg14,7748,5219,52622,30614,4425,22911,984
CFO LTM16,77211,70811,44445,50415,1975,98213,452
CFO 3Y Avg15,0768,7439,52642,50114,4425,40811,984

Growth & Margins

PGRALLTRVBRK-BCBHIGMedian
NameProgress.Allstate Traveler.Berkshir.Chubb Hartford. 
Rev Chg LTM13.9%4.4%4.1%0.8%8.4%6.3%5.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg19.9%9.1%9.1%15.3%11.3%8.2%10.2%
Rev Chg Q8.7%3.0%1.0%10.5%10.7%5.6%7.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.0%0.7%0.2%2.1%2.4%1.4%1.7%
Op Inc Chg LTM-------
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg-------
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM18.8%17.3%23.4%10.9%24.8%21.0%19.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg19.4%13.6%20.5%10.2%25.6%20.2%19.8%
FCF/Rev LTM18.4%17.1%23.4%5.7%24.8%20.5%19.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg19.0%13.2%20.5%5.4%25.6%19.5%19.3%

Valuation

PGRALLTRVBRK-BCBHIGMedian
NameProgress.Allstate Traveler.Berkshir.Chubb Hartford. 
Mkt Cap121.457.766.81,054.2127.035.894.1
P/S1.40.91.42.52.11.31.4
P/Op Inc-------
P/EBIT8.23.66.811.18.46.87.5
P/E10.54.88.814.511.28.89.7
P/CFO7.24.95.823.28.46.06.6
Total Yield16.2%22.9%12.1%6.9%10.1%13.1%12.6%
Dividend Yield6.7%1.8%0.7%0.0%1.2%1.7%1.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg11.2%16.3%16.2%2.3%12.3%15.1%13.7%
D/E0.10.10.10.10.10.10.1
Net D/E-0.00.0-1.3-0.3-0.2-0.5-0.2

Returns

PGRALLTRVBRK-BCBHIGMedian
NameProgress.Allstate Traveler.Berkshir.Chubb Hartford. 
1M Rtn3.9%3.3%1.8%0.5%-0.5%-4.3%1.1%
3M Rtn1.2%7.7%5.5%1.8%-0.0%-3.9%1.5%
6M Rtn-2.9%8.0%7.3%-2.3%5.2%-6.4%1.5%
12M Rtn-15.7%16.2%19.1%0.8%16.0%4.5%10.3%
3Y Rtn70.9%121.0%88.7%45.8%75.2%94.3%81.9%
1M Excs Rtn1.8%0.3%1.1%1.1%-1.2%-5.3%0.7%
3M Excs Rtn-14.1%-6.0%-9.7%-13.2%-13.7%-16.8%-13.5%
6M Excs Rtn-14.1%-3.6%-3.7%-14.3%-6.6%-16.7%-10.4%
12M Excs Rtn-40.1%-8.9%-5.8%-24.2%-8.2%-19.4%-14.2%
3Y Excs Rtn7.9%42.4%18.0%-25.4%9.2%22.9%13.6%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Personal Lines71,83860,98449,50537,88035,373
Commercial Lines11,01710,87810,0489,0886,945
Investment income3,5832,8321,892-6522,370
Net realized gains (losses) on securities727264353  
Service revenues504413310299271
Other21138
Fees and other revenues   722692
Property   2,2702,042
Total87,67175,37262,10949,61147,702


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20152014201320102009
Personal Lines-Agency713683543601579
Investment income544614722604523
Personal Lines-Direct403423474291358
Commercial Lines318316114  
Property61    
Service revenues9514-3
Gains (losses) on extinguishment of debt-1-5-4  
Other Indemnity-1-12-1169
Interest expense-136-117-118  
Commercial Auto   185230
Eliminations   -127-139
Total1,9121,9071,7201,5651,557


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$207.38 
Market Cap ($ Bil)121.4 
First Trading Date07/09/1986 
Distance from 52W High-17.2% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$200.02$208.54
DMA Trenddowndown
Distance from DMA3.7%-0.6%
 3M1YR
Volatility22.9%22.4%
Downside Capture-52.531.57
Upside Capture-25.11-18.64
Correlation (SPY)-29.5%-12.5%
PGR Betas & Captures as of 5/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta-0.57-0.35-0.30-0.28-0.130.16
Up Beta0.43-0.03-0.23-0.45-0.320.23
Down Beta-0.52-1.75-0.28-0.06-0.200.35
Up Capture-91%-28%-41%-29%-15%3%
Bmk +ve Days13283667141432
Stock +ve Days6202857116397
Down Capture-82%-53%-14%-18%26%-20%
Bmk -ve Days7132757109318
Stock -ve Days14213567134352

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with PGR
PGR-15.2%22.4%-0.81-
Sector ETF (XLF)8.6%14.6%0.3527.9%
Equity (SPY)26.1%12.4%1.59-12.5%
Gold (GLD)24.1%27.5%0.77-16.7%
Commodities (DBC)18.5%18.8%0.77-4.0%
Real Estate (VNQ)11.8%13.8%0.5717.1%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-40.2%42.5%-1.09-11.7%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with PGR
PGR20.0%24.5%0.72-
Sector ETF (XLF)9.5%18.6%0.3943.1%
Equity (SPY)13.4%17.1%0.6125.1%
Gold (GLD)17.1%18.3%0.76-4.2%
Commodities (DBC)7.5%19.4%0.286.7%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.1%18.9%0.0126.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)9.4%54.1%0.371.6%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with PGR
PGR23.7%24.5%0.88-
Sector ETF (XLF)13.2%22.2%0.5449.7%
Equity (SPY)15.4%18.0%0.7343.1%
Gold (GLD)12.2%16.1%0.62-1.4%
Commodities (DBC)6.0%18.0%0.2612.9%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.4%20.7%0.2336.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)59.9%66.8%1.005.1%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date5292026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity7.1 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 51520262.0%
Average Daily Volume3.6 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.0 days
Basic Shares Quantity585.6 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares1.2%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 6/2/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
4/15/20262.4%5.5%-0.3%
1/28/2026-2.1%-3.4%0.4%
10/15/2025-5.8%-7.8%-7.7%
7/16/20251.8%2.1%2.9%
4/16/2025-0.4%-4.0%1.8%
1/29/20251.1%1.1%14.4%
10/15/2024-0.1%-0.5%4.2%
7/16/2024-3.3%-0.4%2.4%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive11915
# Negative13159
Median Positive1.8%4.1%5.5%
Median Negative-2.1%-3.4%-5.3%
Max Positive4.9%5.5%14.4%
Max Negative-13.1%-10.5%-9.6%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
4/15/20262.4%5.5%-0.3%
1/28/2026-2.1%-3.4%0.4%
10/15/2025-5.8%-7.8%-7.7%
7/16/20251.8%2.1%2.9%
4/16/2025-0.4%-4.0%1.8%
1/29/20251.1%1.1%14.4%
10/15/2024-0.1%-0.5%4.2%
7/16/2024-3.3%-0.4%2.4%
4/12/20240.8%3.7%6.7%
1/24/20244.7%5.5%12.5%
10/13/20231.4%-0.1%4.5%
7/13/2023-13.1%-10.5%-4.5%
4/13/2023-6.7%-6.2%-9.6%
1/25/20234.9%5.5%10.2%
10/13/20220.8%-0.2%6.9%
7/15/20223.3%-0.9%8.4%
4/14/2022-1.6%-0.8%-5.3%
1/26/2022-1.5%-1.1%-5.9%
10/14/2021-0.9%4.1%5.5%
7/15/2021-2.6%-3.5%-0.5%
4/15/20213.3%4.1%9.1%
1/27/2021-5.1%-5.4%-5.0%
10/14/2020-0.6%-5.7%-7.5%
7/15/20201.6%5.1%5.3%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive11915
# Negative13159
Median Positive1.8%4.1%5.5%
Median Negative-2.1%-3.4%-5.3%
Max Positive4.9%5.5%14.4%
Max Negative-13.1%-10.5%-9.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202605/04/202610-Q
12/31/202503/02/202610-K
09/30/202511/03/202510-Q
06/30/202508/04/202510-Q
03/31/202505/05/202510-Q
12/31/202403/03/202510-K
09/30/202411/04/202410-Q
06/30/202408/05/202410-Q
03/31/202405/06/202410-Q
12/31/202302/26/202410-K
09/30/202310/31/202310-Q
06/30/202308/01/202310-Q
03/31/202305/02/202310-Q
12/31/202202/27/202310-K
09/30/202211/01/202210-Q
06/30/202208/02/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202605/04/202610-Q
12/31/202503/02/202610-K
09/30/202511/03/202510-Q
06/30/202508/04/202510-Q
03/31/202505/05/202510-Q
12/31/202403/03/202510-K
09/30/202411/04/202410-Q
06/30/202408/05/202410-Q
03/31/202405/06/202410-Q
12/31/202302/26/202410-K
09/30/202310/31/202310-Q
06/30/202308/01/202310-Q
03/31/202305/02/202310-Q
12/31/202202/27/202310-K
09/30/202211/01/202210-Q
06/30/202208/02/202210-Q
03/31/202205/02/202210-Q
12/31/202102/28/202210-K
09/30/202111/02/202110-Q
06/30/202108/03/202110-Q
03/31/202105/04/202110-Q
12/31/202003/01/202110-K
09/30/202011/03/202010-Q
06/30/202008/04/202010-Q
03/31/202005/05/202010-Q
12/31/201903/02/202010-K
09/30/201911/06/201910-Q
06/30/201908/07/201910-Q

Insider Activity

Updated 6/8/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Murphy, John JOClaims PresidentDirectSell6082026200.005,9161,183,2008,257,985Form
2Broz, StevenChief Information OfficerDirectSell6082026200.001,157231,4005,733,525Form
3Johnson, Devin C DirectSell4172026203.10980199,0381,750,925Form
4Joyce, Carl GChief Accounting OfficerDirectSell3232026206.5027055,754115,278Form
5Joyce, Carl GChief Accounting OfficerDirectSell3092026212.0014129,892175,591Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Murphy, John JOClaims PresidentDirectSell6082026200.005,9161,183,2008,257,985Form
2Broz, StevenChief Information OfficerDirectSell6082026200.001,157231,4005,733,525Form
3Johnson, Devin C DirectSell4172026203.10980199,0381,750,925Form
4Joyce, Carl GChief Accounting OfficerDirectSell3232026206.5027055,754115,278Form
5Joyce, Carl GChief Accounting OfficerDirectSell3092026212.0014129,892175,591Form
6Bailo, KarenCommercial Lines PresidentDirectSell3092026212.003,517745,6046,857,712Form
7Pumarejo, MaribelChief Marketing OficerDirectSell2252026203.25739  Form
8Bauer, Jonathan SChief Investment OfficerDirectSell2242026203.052,266460,1115,330,001Form
9Quigg, Andrew JChief Strategy OfficerDirectSell1222026204.351,649336,9738,097,611Form
10Bauer, Jonathan SChief Investment OfficerDirectSell1222026204.353,105634,5075,363,942Form
11Broz, StevenChief Information OfficerDirectSell12222025224.801,344302,1315,924,333Form
12Sauerland, John PVP and Chief Financial OfficerDirectSell12012025228.485,0001,142,40050,956,621Form
13Broz, StevenChief Information OfficerDirectSell11242025228.291,345307,0506,323,129Form
14Broz, StevenChief Information OfficerDirectSell11122025220.001,345295,9006,389,414Form
15Murphy, John JOClaims PresidentDirectSell9222025242.102,218536,97810,532,757Form
16Callahan, Patrick KPersonal Lines PresidentDirectSell9222025242.226,4201,555,0413,679,663Form
17Broz, StevenChief Information OfficerDirectSell9222025242.101,345325,6247,356,885Form
18Griffith, Susan PatriciaPresident and CEODirectSell9032025246.0630,6597,543,892117,193,991Form
19Murphy, John JOClaims PresidentDirectSell8252025250.782,218556,23011,466,617Form
20Callahan, Patrick KPersonal Lines PresidentDirectSell8252025249.966,2321,557,7495,402,009Form
21Broz, StevenChief Information OfficerDirectSell8252025250.781,345337,2997,957,950Form
22Niederst, Lori ACRM PresidentDirectSell8152025250.188,0632,017,2019,767,152Form
23Sauerland, John PVP and Chief Financial OfficerDirectSell7302025249.2416,6644,153,33556,832,808Form
24Quigg, Andrew JChief Strategy OfficerDirectSell7302025249.243,191795,3259,465,480Form
25Murphy, John JOClaims PresidentDirectSell7302025249.242,218552,81411,949,017Form
26Griffith, Susan PatriciaPresident and CEODirectSell7302025242.1230,6607,423,298122,739,861Form
27Callahan, Patrick KPersonal Lines PresidentDirectSell7302025242.166,2321,509,1396,742,579Form
28Bauer, Jonathan SChief Investment OfficerDirectSell7302025249.242,391595,9336,654,089Form
29Bailo, KarenCommercial Lines PresidentDirectSell7302025249.248,9222,223,7198,061,862Form
30Broz, StevenChief Information OfficerDirectSell7212025247.541,267313,6336,523,594Form
31Sauerland, John PVP and Chief Financial OfficerDirectSell7022025263.7910,0002,637,90060,150,469Form
32Murphy, John JOClaims PresidentDirectSell6232025260.384,0001,041,52010,750,920Form
33Broz, StevenChief Information OfficerDirectSell6232025260.381,267329,9017,191,877Form
34Burgdoerfer, Stuart B DirectSell6232025260.433,681958,6433,181,673Form
Core Cache Last Updated: 6/22/2026