Pfizer (PFE)
Market Price (12/5/2025): $25.65 | Market Cap: $145.8 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Pharmaceuticals
Pfizer (PFE)
Market Price (12/5/2025): $25.65Market Cap: $145.8 BilSector: Health CareIndustry: Pharmaceuticals
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, Dividend Yield is 6.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 9.3%, FCF Yield is 7.2% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -4.4% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -13%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -5.9% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 25% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -54%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -111% | |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%, CFO LTM is 13 Bil, FCF LTM is 10 Bil | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 27% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include mRNA Technology, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, Dividend Yield is 6.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 9.3%, FCF Yield is 7.2% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 25% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%, CFO LTM is 13 Bil, FCF LTM is 10 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 27% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include mRNA Technology, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -4.4% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -54%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -111% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -13%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -5.9% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
PFE Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are key points explaining the movement of Pfizer (PFE) stock:
1. Strong 2024 Financial Performance and Reaffirmed 2025 Guidance. Pfizer reported robust full-year 2024 financial results, with revenues reaching $63.6 billion, demonstrating 7% year-over-year operational growth. Excluding contributions from COVID-19 products, revenues grew 12% operationally. The company also reaffirmed its full-year 2025 financial guidance, projecting revenues between $61.0 billion and $64.0 billion and adjusted diluted earnings per share (EPS) in the range of $2.80 to $3.00, which was generally in line with analyst expectations. This stability and growth in non-COVID products likely contributed positively to investor sentiment.
2. Progress in Cost Realignment Program. Pfizer successfully achieved its goal of $4.0 billion in net cost savings through 2024 from its ongoing cost realignment program. The company further anticipates an additional $500 million in savings by the end of 2025. This focus on operational efficiency and improved cost management is expected to enhance operating margins and adjusted EPS, fostering investor confidence in the company's financial discipline.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| PFE Return | -2% | 67% | -10% | -41% | -2% | 4% | -13% |
| Peers Return | 9% | 21% | 27% | 7% | 10% | 19% | 133% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 17% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| PFE Win Rate | 33% | 75% | 42% | 17% | 33% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 50% | 50% | 69% | 44% | 50% | 57% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| PFE Max Drawdown | -27% | -8% | -28% | -47% | -11% | -17% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -21% | -7% | -7% | -17% | -9% | -17% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: LLY, JNJ, MRK, BMY, LHI. See PFE Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | PFE | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -57.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 134.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -30.0% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 42.9% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 254 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -25.9% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 35.0% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 727 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -57.9% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 137.4% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1429 days | 1480 days |
Compare to LLY, JNJ, MRK, BMY, LHI
In The Past
Pfizer's stock fell -57.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/16/2021. A -57.3% loss requires a 134.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| How Does Pfizer Stock Stack Up Against Its Peers? | |||
| Could This Fuel The Next Surge in Pfizer Stock | |||
| A Decade of Rewards: $68 Bil From Pfizer Stock | |||
| 3 Forces That Could Shake Pfizer Stock | |||
| Should You Buy Pfizer Stock? | Buy or Fear | ||
| What Could Send Pfizer Stock Soaring | |||
| How Low Can Pfizer Stock Really Go? | Return | ||
| Day 9 of Loss Streak for Pfizer Stock with -11% Return (vs. -3.8% YTD) [10/16/2025] | Notification | ||
| Day 8 of Loss Streak for Pfizer Stock with -11% Return (vs. -3.1% YTD) [10/15/2025] | Notification | ||
| Day 7 of Loss Streak for Pfizer Stock with -10% Return (vs. -2.6% YTD) [10/14/2025] | Notification | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| How Does Pfizer Stock Stack Up Against Its Peers? | December 5th, 2025 | ||
| What Could Send Pfizer Stock Soaring | December 4th, 2025 | ||
| A Decade of Rewards: $68 Bil From Pfizer Stock | December 3rd, 2025 | ||
| Pfizer Stock Capital Return Hits $68 Bil | December 3rd, 2025 | ||
| Pfizer Stock Shares $68 Bil Success With Investors | December 3rd, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to PFE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 10.0% | 10.0% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -7.7% | -7.7% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.9% | 6.9% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 11.5% | 11.5% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.9% | 8.9% | -5.1% |
| 05312025 | PFE | Pfizer | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 13.4% | 12.7% | -1.6% |
| 02282023 | PFE | Pfizer | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -8.9% | -29.9% | -33.3% |
| 08312022 | PFE | Pfizer | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -9.6% | -18.6% | -19.5% |
| 02282022 | PFE | Pfizer | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.1% | -10.6% | -10.6% |
| 03312020 | PFE | Pfizer | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 13.0% | 15.6% | -2.7% |
| 09302019 | PFE | Pfizer | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -7.3% | 4.7% | -19.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 10.0% | 10.0% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -7.7% | -7.7% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.9% | 6.9% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 11.5% | 11.5% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.9% | 8.9% | -5.1% |
| 05312025 | PFE | Pfizer | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 13.4% | 12.7% | -1.6% |
| 02282023 | PFE | Pfizer | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -8.9% | -29.9% | -33.3% |
| 08312022 | PFE | Pfizer | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -9.6% | -18.6% | -19.5% |
| 02282022 | PFE | Pfizer | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.1% | -10.6% | -10.6% |
| 03312020 | PFE | Pfizer | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 13.0% | 15.6% | -2.7% |
| 09302019 | PFE | Pfizer | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -7.3% | 4.7% | -19.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Pfizer
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 100.89 |
| Mkt Cap | 251.7 |
| Rev LTM | 62,786 |
| Op Inc LTM | 22,391 |
| FCF LTM | 13,049 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 13,598 |
| CFO LTM | 16,621 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 14,846 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 3.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 2.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 3.7% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 26.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 23.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.8% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 26.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 26.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 20.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 20.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 251.7 |
| P/S | 3.3 |
| P/EBIT | 12.2 |
| P/E | 15.2 |
| P/CFO | 12.3 |
| Total Yield | 12.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 3.9% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.5% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 12.0% |
| 3M Rtn | 14.0% |
| 6M Rtn | 32.6% |
| 12M Rtn | 9.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | 0.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 10.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 8.4% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 17.1% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -6.7% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -71.9% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biopharma | 58,237 | 98,988 | 79,557 | 40,724 | |
| Other business activities | 1,316 | 1,342 | 1,731 | 926 | |
| Consumer Healthcare Business | 2,082 | ||||
| Hospital | 7,772 | ||||
| Inflammation & Immunology (I&I) | 4,733 | ||||
| Internal Medicine | 8,790 | ||||
| Oncology | 9,014 | ||||
| Rare Disease | 2,278 | ||||
| Vaccines | 6,504 | ||||
| Total | 59,553 | 100,330 | 81,288 | 41,650 | 41,173 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11042025 | 10-Q 9/28/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8052025 | 10-Q 6/29/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5052025 | 10-Q 3/30/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2272025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11042024 | 10-Q 9/29/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8052024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5082024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2222024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11082023 | 10-Q 10/1/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8092023 | 10-Q 7/2/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5102023 | 10-Q 4/2/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2232023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11092022 | 10-Q 10/2/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8102022 | 10-Q 7/3/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5112022 | 10-Q 4/3/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2242022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
