PENN Entertainment (PENN)
Market Price (10/19/2025): $16.35 | Market Cap: $2.4 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Casinos & Gaming
PENN Entertainment (PENN)
Market Price (10/19/2025): $16.35Market Cap: $2.4 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Casinos & Gaming
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 50% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -73%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -131% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 430% |
Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11% | Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.0% | |
Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.7% |
Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 50% |
Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -73%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -131% |
Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11% |
Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 430% |
Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.0% |
Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.7% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
PENN Stock
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Returns | |||||||
PENN Return | 238% | -40% | -43% | -12% | -24% | -18% | -36% |
Peers Return | -4% | 29% | -21% | 23% | -2% | 7% | 26% |
S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 13% | 106% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
PENN Win Rate | 67% | 33% | 33% | 42% | 50% | 56% | |
Peers Win Rate | 52% | 55% | 42% | 53% | 48% | 67% | |
S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
PENN Max Drawdown | -82% | -48% | -50% | -38% | -44% | -31% | |
Peers Max Drawdown | -74% | -11% | -37% | -4% | -17% | -24% | |
S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: WYNN, MGM, BYD, HGV, PK. See PENN Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 10/17/2025 (YTD)
Downturns Compared
Event | PENN | S&P 500 |
---|---|---|
2022 Inflation Shock | ||
% Loss | -86.5% | -25.4% |
% Gain to Breakeven | 641.3% | 34.1% |
Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
% Loss | -88.2% | -33.9% |
% Gain to Breakeven | 746.9% | 51.3% |
Time to Breakeven | 140 days | 148 days |
2018 Correction | ||
% Loss | -54.1% | -19.8% |
% Gain to Breakeven | 118.1% | 24.7% |
Time to Breakeven | 180 days | 120 days |
2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
% Loss | -79.8% | -56.8% |
% Gain to Breakeven | 396.0% | 131.3% |
Time to Breakeven | 1844 days | 1480 days |
How Low Can It Go?
PENN Entertainment's stock fell -86.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/15/2021. A -86.5% loss requires a 641.3% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to PENN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
09302025 | ANF | Abercrombie & Fitch | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -20.0% | -20.0% | -20.0% |
09302025 | DECK | Deckers Outdoor | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.5% | -1.5% | -6.2% |
09302025 | CHH | Choice Hotels International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -6.8% | -6.8% | -7.9% |
09302025 | VAC | Marriott Vacations Worldwide | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.5% | 0.5% | -6.1% |
09302025 | FUN | Six Flags Entertainment | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -8.1% | -8.1% | -11.7% |
04302024 | PENN | PENN Entertainment | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 25.7% | -8.0% | -16.9% |
12312022 | PENN | PENN Entertainment | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -19.1% | -12.4% | -38.0% |
09302021 | PENN | PENN Entertainment | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -41.5% | -62.0% | -63.9% |
Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
09302025 | ANF | Abercrombie & Fitch | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -20.0% | -20.0% | -20.0% |
09302025 | DECK | Deckers Outdoor | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.5% | -1.5% | -6.2% |
09302025 | CHH | Choice Hotels International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -6.8% | -6.8% | -7.9% |
09302025 | VAC | Marriott Vacations Worldwide | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.5% | 0.5% | -6.1% |
09302025 | FUN | Six Flags Entertainment | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -8.1% | -8.1% | -11.7% |
04302024 | PENN | PENN Entertainment | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 25.7% | -8.0% | -16.9% |
12312022 | PENN | PENN Entertainment | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -19.1% | -12.4% | -38.0% |
09302021 | PENN | PENN Entertainment | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -41.5% | -62.0% | -63.9% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for PENN Entertainment
Financials
Median | |
---|---|
Name | |
Mkt Price | 37.55 |
Mkt Cap | 5.6 |
Rev LTM | 5,859 |
Op Inc LTM | 784 |
FCF LTM | 345 |
FCF 3Y Avg | 421 |
CFO LTM | 730 |
CFO 3Y Avg | 725 |
Growth & Margins
Median | |
---|---|
Name | |
Rev Chg LTM | 3.5% |
Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 11.3% |
Rev Chg Q | 1.0% |
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.3% |
Op Mgn LTM | 11.1% |
Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 13.1% |
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.4% |
CFO/Rev LTM | 15.4% |
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 15.6% |
FCF/Rev LTM | 7.4% |
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 7.8% |
Valuation
Median | |
---|---|
Name | |
Mkt Cap | 5.6 |
P/S | 0.8 |
P/EBIT | 7.5 |
P/E | 23.9 |
P/CFO | 6.2 |
Total Yield | 5.3% |
Dividend Yield | 0.2% |
FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 7.2% |
D/E | 2.0 |
Net D/E | 1.9 |
Returns
Median | |
---|---|
Name | |
1M Rtn | -8.7% |
3M Rtn | -3.2% |
6M Rtn | 21.5% |
12M Rtn | -0.6% |
3Y Rtn | 18.0% |
1M Excs Rtn | -9.2% |
3M Excs Rtn | -10.0% |
6M Excs Rtn | -4.6% |
12M Excs Rtn | -10.7% |
3Y Excs Rtn | -61.6% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for MoreForward Returns | |||
---|---|---|---|
Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
8/7/2025 | -0.6% | 4.6% | 20.3% |
5/8/2025 | -2.7% | 3.0% | -0.8% |
2/27/2025 | -0.1% | -1.6% | -16.1% |
11/7/2024 | 5.1% | 10.4% | 7.9% |
8/8/2024 | 8.5% | 7.3% | 4.7% |
5/2/2024 | -8.8% | -4.7% | 6.4% |
2/15/2024 | -13.8% | -26.2% | -21.6% |
11/2/2023 | 14.0% | 18.3% | 30.5% |
... | |||
SUMMARY STATS | |||
# Positive | 9 | 11 | 13 |
# Negative | 15 | 13 | 11 |
Median Positive | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.5% |
Median Negative | -4.0% | -4.9% | -15.0% |
Max Positive | 14.0% | 21.6% | 88.7% |
Max Negative | -21.1% | -26.2% | -41.5% |
SEC Filings
Expand for MoreReport Date | Filing Date | Filing |
---|---|---|
6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
3312025 | 5122025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
12312024 | 2272025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
9302024 | 11072024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
6302024 | 8082024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
3312024 | 5022024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
12312023 | 2222024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
9302023 | 11022023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
6302023 | 8092023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
3312023 | 5042023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
12312022 | 2232023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
9302022 | 11032022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
6302022 | 8042022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
3312022 | 5052022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
12312021 | 2282022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
9302021 | 11042021 | 10-Q 9/30/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for MoreOwner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0 | HANDLER DAVID A | 8122025 | Buy | 16.96 | 20,000 | 339,300 | 5,817,994 | Form | |
1 | HANDLER DAVID A | 5222025 | Buy | 14.83 | 10,000 | 148,264 | 4,788,052 | Form | |
2 | Snowden Jay A | CEO and President | 5222025 | Buy | 14.70 | 34,000 | 499,766 | 15,913,505 | Form |
3 | Rogers Christopher Byron | See Remarks | 5122025 | Buy | 16.00 | 3,737 | 59,792 | 1,459,472 | Form |
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