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PENN Entertainment (PENN)


Market Price (10/19/2025): $16.35 | Market Cap: $2.4 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Casinos & Gaming

PENN Entertainment (PENN)


Market Price (10/19/2025): $16.35
Market Cap: $2.4 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Casinos & Gaming

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 50%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -73%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -131%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 430%
1  Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11%
Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.0%
2   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.7%
0 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 50%
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -73%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -131%
2 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11%
3 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 430%
4 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.0%
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.7%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

PENN Stock


Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
PENN Return238%-40%-43%-12%-24%-18%-36%
Peers Return-4%29%-21%23%-2%7%26%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%13%106%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PENN Win Rate67%33%33%42%50%56% 
Peers Win Rate52%55%42%53%48%67% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%67% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PENN Max Drawdown-82%-48%-50%-38%-44%-31% 
Peers Max Drawdown-74%-11%-37%-4%-17%-24% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: WYNN, MGM, BYD, HGV, PK. See PENN Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 10/17/2025 (YTD)

Downturns Compared

Unique KeyEventPENNS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-86.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven641.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-88.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven746.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven140 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-54.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven118.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven180 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-79.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven396.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1844 days1480 days


How Low Can It Go?

PENN Entertainment's stock fell -86.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/15/2021. A -86.5% loss requires a 641.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

Better Bets than PENN Entertainment (PENN)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to PENN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ANF_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025ANFAbercrombie & FitchDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-20.0%-20.0%-20.0%
DECK_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025DECKDeckers OutdoorDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.5%-1.5%-6.2%
CHH_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025CHHChoice Hotels InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-6.8%-6.8%-7.9%
VAC_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025VACMarriott Vacations WorldwideDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%-6.1%
FUN_9302025_Short_Squeeze09302025FUNSix Flags EntertainmentSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-8.1%-8.1%-11.7%
PENN_4302024_Short_Squeeze04302024PENNPENN EntertainmentSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
25.7%-8.0%-16.9%
PENN_12312022_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy12312022PENNPENN EntertainmentDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-19.1%-12.4%-38.0%
PENN_9302021_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302021PENNPENN EntertainmentDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-41.5%-62.0%-63.9%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ANF_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025ANFAbercrombie & FitchDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-20.0%-20.0%-20.0%
DECK_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025DECKDeckers OutdoorDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.5%-1.5%-6.2%
CHH_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025CHHChoice Hotels InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-6.8%-6.8%-7.9%
VAC_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025VACMarriott Vacations WorldwideDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%-6.1%
FUN_9302025_Short_Squeeze09302025FUNSix Flags EntertainmentSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-8.1%-8.1%-11.7%
PENN_4302024_Short_Squeeze04302024PENNPENN EntertainmentSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
25.7%-8.0%-16.9%
PENN_12312022_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy12312022PENNPENN EntertainmentDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-19.1%-12.4%-38.0%
PENN_9302021_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302021PENNPENN EntertainmentDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-41.5%-62.0%-63.9%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for PENN Entertainment

Financials

PENNWYNNMGMBYDHGVPKMedian
NamePENN Ent.Wynn Res.MGM Reso.Boyd Gam.Hilton G.Park Hot. 
Mkt Price16.26117.8131.5882.3743.5210.8137.55
Mkt Cap2.412.28.67.04.22.25.6
Rev LTM6,7466,97017,2123,9614,9732,5765,859
Op Inc LTM2441,2711,485941628249784
FCF LTM-2017431,295482208188345
FCF 3Y Avg356601,321568273199421
CFO LTM4981,2972,532963347414730
CFO 3Y Avg4921,1002,357957379448725

Growth & Margins

PENNWYNNMGMBYDHGVPKMedian
NamePENN Ent.Wynn Res.MGM Reso.Boyd Gam.Hilton G.Park Hot. 
Rev Chg LTM7.3%-1.9%0.9%6.1%18.4%-3.2%3.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg2.6%22.9%13.6%4.5%20.8%9.0%11.3%
Rev Chg Q6.1%0.3%1.8%3.2%-0.7%-2.0%1.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.5%0.1%0.5%0.8%-0.2%-0.5%0.3%
Op Mgn LTM3.6%18.2%8.6%23.7%12.6%9.7%11.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg5.9%14.6%3.5%26.1%16.0%11.6%13.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.2%0.1%-0.6%-0.1%-1.8%-2.5%-0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM7.4%18.6%14.7%24.3%7.0%16.1%15.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg7.5%16.9%14.4%25.3%8.8%16.9%15.6%
FCF/Rev LTM-3.0%10.7%7.5%12.2%4.2%7.3%7.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg0.5%9.9%8.1%15.1%6.4%7.5%7.8%

Valuation

PENNWYNNMGMBYDHGVPKMedian
NamePENN Ent.Wynn Res.MGM Reso.Boyd Gam.Hilton G.Park Hot. 
Mkt Cap2.412.28.67.04.22.25.6
P/S0.41.70.51.80.80.80.8
P/EBIT6.010.96.57.78.87.27.5
P/E-32.031.816.012.7122.237.123.9
P/CFO4.99.43.47.312.05.26.2
Total Yield-3.1%4.4%6.3%8.3%0.8%16.0%5.3%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.3%0.0%0.4%0.0%13.3%0.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-0.1%6.6%10.7%8.9%6.0%7.8%7.2%
D/E4.61.03.60.61.72.22.0
Net D/E4.30.83.40.61.62.11.9

Returns

PENNWYNNMGMBYDHGVPKMedian
NamePENN Ent.Wynn Res.MGM Reso.Boyd Gam.Hilton G.Park Hot. 
1M Rtn-15.4%-8.4%-12.1%-1.1%-3.0%-8.9%-8.7%
3M Rtn-9.9%10.6%-15.1%0.5%-6.9%2.6%-3.2%
6M Rtn13.4%58.3%9.3%27.9%31.2%15.1%21.5%
12M Rtn-14.4%19.7%-23.3%28.0%12.3%-13.4%-0.6%
3Y Rtn-42.2%122.0%-2.7%63.3%15.4%20.5%18.0%
1M Excs Rtn-15.8%-8.9%-12.6%-1.6%-3.5%-9.4%-9.2%
3M Excs Rtn-17.0%5.3%-20.7%-5.7%-14.3%-2.4%-10.0%
6M Excs Rtn-12.8%32.2%-16.9%1.8%5.0%-11.0%-4.6%
12M Excs Rtn-26.8%5.4%-34.4%15.0%5.5%-30.2%-10.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-130.8%19.7%-84.1%-19.3%-64.9%-58.4%-61.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Gaming4,9065,2024,9453,0514,269
Other799541405156210
Food and beverage411397323224512
Hotel247262231147311
Total6,3636,4025,9053,5795,301


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date9302025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity15,985,008
Short Interest: % Change Since 9152025-8.2%
Average Daily Volume3,183,353
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.02
Basic Shares Quantity149,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares10.7%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/7/2025-0.6%4.6%20.3%
5/8/2025-2.7%3.0%-0.8%
2/27/2025-0.1%-1.6%-16.1%
11/7/20245.1%10.4%7.9%
8/8/20248.5%7.3%4.7%
5/2/2024-8.8%-4.7%6.4%
2/15/2024-13.8%-26.2%-21.6%
11/2/202314.0%18.3%30.5%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive91113
# Negative151311
Median Positive8.5%9.7%9.5%
Median Negative-4.0%-4.9%-15.0%
Max Positive14.0%21.6%88.7%
Max Negative-21.1%-26.2%-41.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025512202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023222202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022223202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021228202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211104202110-Q 9/30/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0HANDLER DAVID A 8122025Buy16.9620,000339,3005,817,994Form
1HANDLER DAVID A 5222025Buy14.8310,000148,2644,788,052Form
2Snowden Jay ACEO and President5222025Buy14.7034,000499,76615,913,505Form
3Rogers Christopher ByronSee Remarks5122025Buy16.003,73759,7921,459,472Form