PACCAR (PCAR)
Market Price (10/15/2025): $95.13 | Market Cap: $50.0 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment
PACCAR (PCAR)
Market Price (10/15/2025): $95.13Market Cap: $50.0 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment
Investment Highlights
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, Dividend Yield is 4.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.0% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -33% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.6%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -15% |
Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%, CFO LTM is 4.1 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.4 Bil | ||
Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 30% |
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, Dividend Yield is 4.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.0% |
Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%, CFO LTM is 4.1 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.4 Bil |
Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 30% |
Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -33% |
Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.6%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -15% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
PCAR Stock
Price Returns Compared
2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Returns | |||||||
PCAR Return | 12% | 6% | 17% | 55% | 11% | -8% | 114% |
Peers Return | 1% | 98% | -54% | 7% | -9% | 9% | -2% |
S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 13% | 103% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
PCAR Win Rate | 58% | 50% | 42% | 67% | 58% | 56% | |
Peers Win Rate | 42% | 52% | 37% | 45% | 50% | 56% | |
S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
PCAR Max Drawdown | -37% | -8% | -10% | -1% | -6% | -17% | |
Peers Max Drawdown | -32% | -1% | -59% | -25% | -30% | -22% | |
S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GM, F, RIVN, OSK, LCID. See PCAR Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 10/14/2025 (YTD)
Downturns Compared
Event | PCAR | S&P 500 |
---|---|---|
2022 Inflation Shock | ||
% Loss | -20.9% | -25.4% |
% Gain to Breakeven | 26.4% | 34.1% |
Time to Breakeven | 400 days | 464 days |
2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
% Loss | -37.2% | -33.9% |
% Gain to Breakeven | 59.3% | 51.3% |
Time to Breakeven | 119 days | 148 days |
2018 Correction | ||
% Loss | -30.4% | -19.8% |
% Gain to Breakeven | 43.8% | 24.7% |
Time to Breakeven | 376 days | 120 days |
2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
% Loss | -67.9% | -56.8% |
% Gain to Breakeven | 211.4% | 131.3% |
Time to Breakeven | 1817 days | 1480 days |
How Low Can It Go?
PACCAR's stock fell -20.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/10/2021. A -20.9% loss requires a 26.4% gain to breakeven.
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About PACCAR (PCAR)
PACCAR Inc designs, manufactures, and distributes light, medium, and heavy-duty commercial trucks in the United States, Europe, Mexico, South America, Australia, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Truck, Parts, and Financial Services. The Truck segment designs, manufactures, and distributes trucks for the over-the-road and off-highway hauling of commercial and consumer goods. It sells its trucks through a network of independent dealers under the Kenworth, Peterbilt, and DAF nameplates. The Parts segment distributes aftermarket parts for trucks and related commercial vehicles. The Financial Services segment conducts full-service leasing operations under the PacLease trade name, as well as provides finance and leasing products and services to customers and dealers. This segment also offers equipment financing and administrative support services for its franchisees; retail loan and leasing services for small, medium, and large commercial trucking companies, as well as independent owners/operators and other businesses; and truck inventory financing services to independent dealers. In addition, this segment offers loans and leases directly to customers for the acquisition of trucks and related equipment. The company also manufactures and markets industrial winches under the Braden, Carco, and Gearmatic nameplates. PACCAR Inc was founded in 1905 and is headquartered in Bellevue, Washington.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Title | Topic | Date | |
---|---|---|---|
DASHBOARDS | |||
PACCAR Earnings Notes | |||
PACCAR vs AT&T: Which Is A Better Investment? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
PACCAR vs Owens-Corning: Which Is A Better Investment? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
PACCAR vs GATX: Which Is A Better Investment? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
How Does PCAR Stack Up Against Its Peers? | Peer Comparison | ||
Better Bet Than PCAR Stock: Pay Less Than PACCAR To Get More From CCL, VICIÂ | |||
Better Bet Than PCAR Stock: Pay Less Than PACCAR To Get More From BAH, UALÂ | |||
PCAR's 6.1% Single Day Rise Brings Valuations Into Focus - Is GATX a Better Deal? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
PCAR Dip Buy Analysis | |||
Day 8 of Gains Streak for PACCAR Stock with 8.2% Return (vs. -5% YTD) [7/1/2025] | |||
ARTICLES | |||
S&P 500 Movers | Winners: EA, PCAR, CDW | Losers: COST, ORCL, EBAY | September 27th, 2025 | ||
After PCAR’s 6.1% Climb in a Day, GATX Looks Like the Stronger Long-Term Play | July 23rd, 2025 | ||
Rising 8% In A Week, PACCAR Inc. Stock Out Of Steam? | October 11th, 2021 |
Trade Ideas
Select past trade ideas related to PCAR and Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment.
Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
09302025 | FCN | FTI Consulting | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.5% | -2.5% | -2.5% |
09122025 | ODFL | Old Dominion Freight Line | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -6.5% | -6.5% | -7.3% |
08312025 | EFX | Equifax | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -7.3% | -7.3% | -8.5% |
08312025 | UHAL | U-Haul | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -2.8% | -2.8% | -5.6% |
08312025 | BWXT | BWX Technologies | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 24.9% | 24.9% | -1.2% |
Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
09302025 | FCN | FTI Consulting | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.5% | -2.5% | -2.5% |
09122025 | ODFL | Old Dominion Freight Line | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -6.5% | -6.5% | -7.3% |
08312025 | EFX | Equifax | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -7.3% | -7.3% | -8.5% |
08312025 | UHAL | U-Haul | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -2.8% | -2.8% | -5.6% |
08312025 | BWXT | BWX Technologies | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 24.9% | 24.9% | -1.2% |
See Trefis Trade Ideas for more.
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for PACCAR
Financials
Median | |
---|---|
Name | |
Mkt Price | 39.53 |
Mkt Cap | 30.7 |
Rev LTM | 21,373 |
Op Inc LTM | 2,638 |
FCF LTM | -627 |
FCF 3Y Avg | -1,491 |
CFO LTM | 2,447 |
CFO 3Y Avg | 2,296 |
Growth & Margins
Median | |
---|---|
Name | |
Rev Chg LTM | 2.9% |
Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 12.1% |
Rev Chg Q | -2.9% |
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -0.8% |
Op Mgn LTM | 4.0% |
Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 4.7% |
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.3% |
CFO/Rev LTM | 8.7% |
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 6.5% |
FCF/Rev LTM | 2.1% |
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 0.2% |
Valuation
Median | |
---|---|
Name | |
Mkt Cap | 30.7 |
P/S | 1.2 |
P/EBIT | 6.6 |
P/E | 10.4 |
P/CFO | 2.5 |
Total Yield | 9.5% |
Dividend Yield | 1.3% |
FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -1.5% |
D/E | 0.4 |
Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
Median | |
---|---|
Name | |
1M Rtn | -2.4% |
3M Rtn | 3.0% |
6M Rtn | 18.5% |
12M Rtn | 16.8% |
3Y Rtn | 52.9% |
1M Excs Rtn | -3.7% |
3M Excs Rtn | -0.6% |
6M Excs Rtn | -6.7% |
12M Excs Rtn | 4.3% |
3Y Excs Rtn | -34.3% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
$ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Truck | 27,257 | 22,006 | 17,379 | 13,643 | 19,990 |
Parts | 6,486 | 5,829 | 5,005 | 3,963 | 4,025 |
Financial Services | 1,812 | 64 | 1,688 | 1,574 | 1,480 |
Other | 55 | 1,505 | 90 | 77 | 105 |
Intersegment | -483 | -584 | -640 | -528 | |
Total | 35,127 | 28,820 | 23,522 | 18,728 | 25,600 |
$ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Financial Services | 20,964 | 17,180 | 15,419 | 15,800 | 16,071 |
Cash and marketable securities | 8,659 | 6,159 | 4,813 | 4,834 | 5,169 |
Truck | 8,038 | 7,218 | 6,912 | 5,972 | 5,609 |
Parts | 1,912 | 1,742 | 1,505 | 1,256 | 1,172 |
Other | 1,250 | 977 | 860 | 589 | 339 |
Total | 40,823 | 33,276 | 29,509 | 28,450 | 28,361 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for MoreForward Returns | |||
---|---|---|---|
Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
7/22/2025 | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% |
4/29/2025 | -1.9% | -2.8% | 2.5% |
1/28/2025 | -2.4% | -0.7% | -3.2% |
10/22/2024 | -4.4% | -2.3% | 1.0% |
7/23/2024 | -11.0% | -9.8% | -12.0% |
4/30/2024 | -6.6% | -7.5% | -7.1% |
1/23/2024 | 4.0% | 4.4% | 12.2% |
10/24/2023 | 4.3% | 2.8% | 12.7% |
... | |||
SUMMARY STATS | |||
# Positive | 10 | 12 | 13 |
# Negative | 14 | 12 | 11 |
Median Positive | 4.2% | 4.8% | 7.4% |
Median Negative | -2.3% | -2.8% | -3.9% |
Max Positive | 8.6% | 8.3% | 15.6% |
Max Negative | -11.0% | -9.8% | -12.0% |
SEC Filings
Expand for MoreReport Date | Filing Date | Filing |
---|---|---|
6302025 | 7312025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
3312025 | 5012025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
12312024 | 2192025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
9302024 | 10302024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
6302024 | 7312024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
3312024 | 5022024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
12312023 | 2212024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
9302023 | 11022023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
6302023 | 8022023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
3312023 | 5022023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
12312022 | 2222023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
9302022 | 10282022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
6302022 | 8022022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
3312022 | 5032022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
12312021 | 2232022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
9302021 | 11012021 | 10-Q 9/30/2021 |
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