Tearsheet

PACCAR (PCAR)


Market Price (10/15/2025): $95.13 | Market Cap: $50.0 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment

PACCAR (PCAR)


Market Price (10/15/2025): $95.13
Market Cap: $50.0 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment

Investment Highlights

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, Dividend Yield is 4.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.0%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -33%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.6%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -15%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%, CFO LTM is 4.1 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.4 Bil
  
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 30%
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, Dividend Yield is 4.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.0%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%, CFO LTM is 4.1 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.4 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 30%
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -33%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.6%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -15%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

PCAR Stock


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
PCAR Return12%6%17%55%11%-8%114%
Peers Return1%98%-54%7%-9%9%-2%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%13%103%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PCAR Win Rate58%50%42%67%58%56% 
Peers Win Rate42%52%37%45%50%56% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%67% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PCAR Max Drawdown-37%-8%-10%-1%-6%-17% 
Peers Max Drawdown-32%-1%-59%-25%-30%-22% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GM, F, RIVN, OSK, LCID. See PCAR Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 10/14/2025 (YTD)

Downturns Compared

Unique KeyEventPCARS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-20.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven26.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven400 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-37.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven59.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven119 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-30.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven43.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven376 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-67.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven211.4%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1817 days1480 days


How Low Can It Go?

PACCAR's stock fell -20.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/10/2021. A -20.9% loss requires a 26.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About PACCAR (PCAR)

PACCAR Inc designs, manufactures, and distributes light, medium, and heavy-duty commercial trucks in the United States, Europe, Mexico, South America, Australia, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Truck, Parts, and Financial Services. The Truck segment designs, manufactures, and distributes trucks for the over-the-road and off-highway hauling of commercial and consumer goods. It sells its trucks through a network of independent dealers under the Kenworth, Peterbilt, and DAF nameplates. The Parts segment distributes aftermarket parts for trucks and related commercial vehicles. The Financial Services segment conducts full-service leasing operations under the PacLease trade name, as well as provides finance and leasing products and services to customers and dealers. This segment also offers equipment financing and administrative support services for its franchisees; retail loan and leasing services for small, medium, and large commercial trucking companies, as well as independent owners/operators and other businesses; and truck inventory financing services to independent dealers. In addition, this segment offers loans and leases directly to customers for the acquisition of trucks and related equipment. The company also manufactures and markets industrial winches under the Braden, Carco, and Gearmatic nameplates. PACCAR Inc was founded in 1905 and is headquartered in Bellevue, Washington.

Better Bets than PACCAR (PCAR)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past trade ideas related to PCAR and Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
FCN_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025FCNFTI ConsultingDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.5%-2.5%-2.5%
ODFL_9122025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09122025ODFLOld Dominion Freight LineMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-6.5%-6.5%-7.3%
EFX_8312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper08312025EFXEquifaxMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-7.3%-7.3%-8.5%
UHAL_8312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper08312025UHALU-HaulMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-2.8%-2.8%-5.6%
BWXT_8312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%08312025BWXTBWX TechnologiesQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
24.9%24.9%-1.2%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
FCN_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025FCNFTI ConsultingDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.5%-2.5%-2.5%
ODFL_9122025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09122025ODFLOld Dominion Freight LineMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-6.5%-6.5%-7.3%
EFX_8312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper08312025EFXEquifaxMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-7.3%-7.3%-8.5%
UHAL_8312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper08312025UHALU-HaulMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-2.8%-2.8%-5.6%
BWXT_8312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%08312025BWXTBWX TechnologiesQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
24.9%24.9%-1.2%

See Trefis Trade Ideas for more.

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for PACCAR

Financials

PCARGMFRIVNOSKLCIDMedian
NamePACCAR General .Ford Mot.Rivian A.Oshkosh Lucid  
Mkt Price95.1157.1511.6513.12131.4621.9239.53
Mkt Cap50.055.046.215.28.56.730.7
Rev LTM32,361187,600182,8745,15110,38492921,373
Op Inc LTM4,35610,6534,313-3,599963-2,9982,638
FCF LTM2,363-1,8429,309-4,493589-3,050-627
FCF 3Y Avg2,651-3,1925,908-4,905209-3,235-1,491
CFO LTM4,08223,97017,717-3,615811-2,2552,447
CFO 3Y Avg4,10321,61413,986-3,806489-2,3292,296

Growth & Margins

PCARGMFRIVNOSKLCIDMedian
NamePACCAR General .Ford Mot.Rivian A.Oshkosh Lucid  
Rev Chg LTM-8.6%5.3%3.0%2.7%0.2%39.0%2.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg11.3%12.9%11.1%183.6%9.9%114.2%12.1%
Rev Chg Q-14.9%-1.8%-5.0%12.5%-4.0%29.3%-2.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-3.9%-0.4%-1.1%2.9%-1.1%6.8%-0.8%
Op Mgn LTM13.5%5.7%2.4%-69.9%9.3%-322.8%4.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg14.8%6.3%3.1%-132.7%8.9%-390.3%4.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.1%-0.9%-0.5%7.2%-0.0%17.7%-0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM12.6%12.8%9.7%-70.2%7.8%-242.7%8.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg12.4%12.1%7.9%-101.1%5.0%-301.6%6.5%
FCF/Rev LTM7.3%-1.0%5.1%-87.2%5.7%-328.3%2.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg8.0%-1.8%3.3%-128.0%2.2%-420.2%0.2%

Valuation

PCARGMFRIVNOSKLCIDMedian
NamePACCAR General .Ford Mot.Rivian A.Oshkosh Lucid  
Mkt Cap50.055.046.215.28.56.730.7
P/S1.50.30.32.90.87.21.2
P/EBIT11.57.06.3-4.88.6-3.06.6
P/E14.411.59.2-4.313.0-2.910.4
P/CFO12.32.32.6-4.210.5-3.02.5
Total Yield11.4%9.8%14.7%-23.1%9.1%-34.3%9.5%
Dividend Yield4.4%1.2%3.9%0.0%1.5%0.0%1.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg5.3%-6.2%12.4%-32.4%3.2%-41.3%-1.5%
D/E0.32.53.40.40.20.40.4
Net D/E0.11.92.7-0.10.2-0.00.2

Returns

PCARGMFRIVNOSKLCIDMedian
NamePACCAR General .Ford Mot.Rivian A.Oshkosh Lucid  
1M Rtn-7.2%-2.3%-0.3%-2.5%-4.1%13.7%-2.4%
3M Rtn0.3%8.7%2.0%3.9%8.0%-5.9%3.0%
6M Rtn7.8%29.1%26.8%10.2%55.7%-10.2%18.5%
12M Rtn-8.5%18.8%14.8%26.8%28.0%-34.2%16.8%
3Y Rtn83.5%79.3%26.5%-54.3%83.1%-81.6%52.9%
1M Excs Rtn-7.3%-3.5%-0.7%-4.0%-4.0%10.0%-3.7%
3M Excs Rtn-6.0%1.7%-1.0%-0.2%1.1%-10.4%-0.6%
6M Excs Rtn-16.0%4.4%0.5%-13.8%30.9%-36.3%-6.7%
12M Excs Rtn-19.4%6.2%2.4%12.9%19.3%-49.1%4.3%
3Y Excs Rtn2.2%-7.1%-61.5%-143.9%3.3%-165.9%-34.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Truck27,25722,00617,37913,64319,990
Parts6,4865,8295,0053,9634,025
Financial Services1,812641,6881,5741,480
Other551,5059077105
Intersegment-483-584-640-528 
Total35,12728,82023,52218,72825,600


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Financial Services20,96417,18015,41915,80016,071
Cash and marketable securities8,6596,1594,8134,8345,169
Truck8,0387,2186,9125,9725,609
Parts1,9121,7421,5051,2561,172
Other1,250977860589339
Total40,82333,27629,50928,45028,361


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date9302025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity11,162,744
Short Interest: % Change Since 9152025-8.7%
Average Daily Volume3,556,607
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.14
Basic Shares Quantity525,900,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.1%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
7/22/20256.1%8.3%7.4%
4/29/2025-1.9%-2.8%2.5%
1/28/2025-2.4%-0.7%-3.2%
10/22/2024-4.4%-2.3%1.0%
7/23/2024-11.0%-9.8%-12.0%
4/30/2024-6.6%-7.5%-7.1%
1/23/20244.0%4.4%12.2%
10/24/20234.3%2.8%12.7%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive101213
# Negative141211
Median Positive4.2%4.8%7.4%
Median Negative-2.3%-2.8%-3.9%
Max Positive8.6%8.3%15.6%
Max Negative-11.0%-9.8%-12.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025731202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025501202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024219202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241030202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024731202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023221202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023802202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023502202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022222202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221028202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022802202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022503202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021223202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211101202110-Q 9/30/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Breber Pierre R 5072025Buy89.785,000448,9001,168,487Form
1HUBBARD TODD RVICE PRESIDENT10282024Sell107.273,230346,486328,357Form