Tearsheet

Occidental Petroleum (OXY)


Market Price (10/24/2025): $42.9 | Market Cap: $42.3 Bil
Sector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Occidental Petroleum (OXY)


Market Price (10/24/2025): $42.9
Market Cap: $42.3 Bil
Sector: Energy
Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.7%, FCF Yield is 11%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -91%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -115%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 52%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 45%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%, CFO LTM is 12 Bil, FCF LTM is 4.8 Bil
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -6.8%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -5.9%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 36%
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.7%, FCF Yield is 11%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 45%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%, CFO LTM is 12 Bil, FCF LTM is 4.8 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 36%
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -91%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -115%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 52%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -6.8%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -5.9%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

OXY Stock


Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
OXY Return-57%68%119%-4%-16%-12%8%
Peers Return-25%48%62%-11%4%19%100%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%15%106%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
OXY Win Rate33%58%58%50%42%67% 
Peers Win Rate40%58%60%47%48%69% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%67% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
OXY Max Drawdown-78%0%0%-11%-23%-27% 
Peers Max Drawdown-68%-14%-1%-21%-9%-13% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: XOM, CVX, IMO, CVE, INDO. See OXY Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 10/23/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventOXYS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-33.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven49.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven49 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-81.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven432.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven490 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-56.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven128.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-58.4%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven140.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven769 days1480 days

Compare to XOM, CVX, IMO, CVE, INDO


In The Past

Occidental Petroleum's stock fell -33.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/25/2021. A -33.3% loss requires a 49.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Occidental Petroleum (OXY)

Better Bets than Occidental Petroleum (OXY)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to OXY. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
TDW_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025TDWTidewaterDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.8%-9.8%-11.3%
OKE_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025OKEONEOKDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.6%-4.6%-7.9%
LEU_8312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%08312025LEUCentrus EnergyQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
56.1%56.1%-1.3%
KNTK_5312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy05312025KNTKKinetikDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-10.9%-10.9%-18.1%
WHD_4302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield04302025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-11.4%
OXY_1312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield01312025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.9%-9.1%-22.2%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
TDW_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025TDWTidewaterDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.8%-9.8%-11.3%
OKE_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025OKEONEOKDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.6%-4.6%-7.9%
LEU_8312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%08312025LEUCentrus EnergyQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
56.1%56.1%-1.3%
KNTK_5312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy05312025KNTKKinetikDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-10.9%-10.9%-18.1%
WHD_4302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield04302025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-11.4%
OXY_1312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield01312025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.9%-9.1%-22.2%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Occidental Petroleum

Financials

OXYXOMCVXIMOCVEINDOMedian
NameOccident.Exxon Mo.Chevron Imperial.Cenovus .Indonesi. 
Mkt Price42.88115.98156.5689.9317.312.9766.41
Mkt Cap42.2502.3269.245.831.5-45.8
Rev LTM27,150329,385187,73647,18459,393-59,393
Op Inc LTM5,45737,57215,7295,9464,659-5,946
FCF LTM4,77629,12316,1024,4903,417-4,776
FCF 3Y Avg5,74535,95820,6284,3944,791-5,745
CFO LTM12,14654,30132,1346,2688,625-12,146
CFO 3Y Avg12,36658,98036,2106,1989,325-12,366

Growth & Margins

OXYXOMCVXIMOCVEINDOMedian
NameOccident.Exxon Mo.Chevron Imperial.Cenovus .Indonesi. 
Rev Chg LTM0.1%-3.3%-4.7%-5.5%3.0%--3.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-6.8%-2.1%-2.9%-2.1%2.6%--2.1%
Rev Chg Q-5.9%-11.7%-10.5%-14.6%2.9%--10.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-1.5%-3.1%-2.7%-3.8%0.7%--2.7%
Op Mgn LTM20.1%11.4%8.4%12.6%7.8%-11.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg23.4%13.4%12.1%13.3%10.3%-13.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-2.0%-0.2%-0.6%-0.0%-0.7%--0.6%
CFO/Rev LTM44.7%16.5%17.1%13.3%14.5%-16.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg43.1%17.1%18.1%12.6%15.2%-17.1%
FCF/Rev LTM17.6%8.8%8.6%9.5%5.8%-8.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg19.7%10.4%10.2%8.9%7.8%-10.2%

Valuation

OXYXOMCVXIMOCVEINDOMedian
NameOccident.Exxon Mo.Chevron Imperial.Cenovus .Indonesi. 
Mkt Cap42.2502.3269.245.831.5-45.8
P/S1.61.51.41.00.5-1.4
P/EBIT8.910.911.67.57.3-8.9
P/E17.616.219.69.711.2-16.2
P/CFO3.59.38.47.33.7-7.3
Total Yield5.7%9.6%9.5%13.1%13.9%-9.6%
Dividend Yield0.0%3.4%4.4%2.9%5.0%-3.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg11.6%7.8%7.4%12.5%15.2%-11.6%
D/E0.60.10.10.10.3-0.1
Net D/E0.50.00.10.00.3-0.1

Returns

OXYXOMCVXIMOCVEINDOMedian
NameOccident.Exxon Mo.Chevron Imperial.Cenovus .Indonesi. 
1M Rtn-7.6%1.8%-0.5%-4.0%-0.2%2.4%-0.4%
3M Rtn-3.4%5.7%1.6%7.6%21.4%6.5%6.1%
6M Rtn7.4%8.8%15.2%33.7%45.7%31.4%23.3%
12M Rtn-14.7%-0.1%8.8%23.0%7.5%-27.9%3.7%
3Y Rtn-36.6%20.5%2.2%100.1%-0.5%-54.9%0.9%
1M Excs Rtn-10.1%-0.3%-3.2%-5.8%-4.3%-1.8%-3.7%
3M Excs Rtn-9.1%0.6%-3.2%2.6%15.3%1.7%1.2%
6M Excs Rtn-15.5%-14.1%-7.6%10.9%22.8%8.6%0.5%
12M Excs Rtn-30.6%-15.0%-6.6%4.6%-8.9%-46.8%-12.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-114.9%-53.7%-72.4%26.6%-69.9%-134.3%-71.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Oil and gas21,28427,16518,94113,06613,941
Chemical5,3216,7575,2463,7334,102
Midstream and marketing2,5514,1362,8631,7684,132
Corporate and eliminations-899-1,424-1,094-758-1,264
Total28,25736,63425,95617,80920,911


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Oil and gas53,786 56,13262,93180,093
Midstream and marketing13,327 11,1329,85614,915
Chemical4,682 4,6714,3264,361
Corporate and eliminations2,213 3,1012,9517,821
Total74,008 75,03680,064107,190


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date9302025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity34,457,644
Short Interest: % Change Since 9152025-6.6%
Average Daily Volume11,312,890
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.05
Basic Shares Quantity985,100,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.5%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/6/20252.5%5.2%8.5%
5/7/20256.2%12.3%9.0%
2/18/20254.4%0.1%-1.3%
11/12/20241.7%0.4%-3.7%
8/7/20244.3%1.5%-7.3%
5/7/2024-2.1%-3.1%-7.7%
2/14/20244.9%5.6%9.7%
11/7/20231.6%2.5%-6.0%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111211
# Negative111011
Median Positive2.5%4.1%9.0%
Median Negative-3.6%-2.2%-7.7%
Max Positive6.2%22.7%58.6%
Max Negative-9.2%-15.6%-62.4%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024218202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023214202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231107202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023802202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022227202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221108202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022802202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021224202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211104202110-Q 9/30/2021

Insider Activity

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