Oshkosh (OSK)


Market Price (11/1/2026): $139.95 | Market Cap: $8.5 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment

Oshkosh (OSK)


Market Price (11/1/2026): $139.95
Market Cap: $8.5 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.4%, FCF Yield is 11%

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 39%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Sustainable Infrastructure. Themes include EV Manufacturing, Autonomous Driving Technology, Show more.

Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -16%

Key risks
OSK key risks include [1] the cyclicality of its Access Equipment segment and [2] a significant reliance on U.S. Show more.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.4%, FCF Yield is 11%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 39%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Sustainable Infrastructure. Themes include EV Manufacturing, Autonomous Driving Technology, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -16%
5 Key risks
OSK key risks include [1] the cyclicality of its Access Equipment segment and [2] a significant reliance on U.S. Show more.

OSK in ETFs

Weight = OSK's share of each fund

VTI0.01%
ITOT0.01%
IWB0.01%
IJH0.24%
VIG0.04%
VYM0.03%
VB0.10%
MDYV0.26%
+23 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

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Updated on 10/31/2026

Oshkosh (OSK) stock has remained largely at the same level since 7/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Fiscal Q3 2026 Earnings Miss and Lowered Full-Year Guidance.

Oshkosh reported fiscal Q3 2026 (ended September 30, 2026) adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $2.41, missing analyst estimates which ranged from $3.01 to $3.07. Quarterly revenue of $2.84 billion also fell short of the consensus estimate of $2.94 billion. In response, the company lowered its full-year fiscal 2026 adjusted EPS guidance to a range of $8.50 to $9.50, significantly below the prior analyst consensus of $10.73, and reduced its full-year revenue outlook to approximately $11 billion from $11.2 billion. This negative earnings surprise and reduced outlook contributed to downward pressure on the stock.

2. Operational Challenges in Fire Truck Production.

A primary factor for the earnings miss and reduced guidance stemmed from "near-term challenges" in the transformation of fire truck production at Oshkosh's Pierce segment. Management indicated that improvements in throughput were taking longer than expected, resulting in lower fire truck production and deliveries during fiscal Q3 2026. This directly led to a 7.0% decrease in vocational segment sales and a 38.2% fall in operating income for the quarter, causing investor caution.

Show more
Updated on 10/31/2026

Oshkosh (OSK) stock has remained largely at the same level since 7/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Fiscal Q3 2026 Earnings Miss and Lowered Full-Year Guidance.

Oshkosh reported fiscal Q3 2026 (ended September 30, 2026) adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $2.41, missing analyst estimates which ranged from $3.01 to $3.07. Quarterly revenue of $2.84 billion also fell short of the consensus estimate of $2.94 billion. In response, the company lowered its full-year fiscal 2026 adjusted EPS guidance to a range of $8.50 to $9.50, significantly below the prior analyst consensus of $10.73, and reduced its full-year revenue outlook to approximately $11 billion from $11.2 billion. This negative earnings surprise and reduced outlook contributed to downward pressure on the stock.

2. Operational Challenges in Fire Truck Production.

A primary factor for the earnings miss and reduced guidance stemmed from "near-term challenges" in the transformation of fire truck production at Oshkosh's Pierce segment. Management indicated that improvements in throughput were taking longer than expected, resulting in lower fire truck production and deliveries during fiscal Q3 2026. This directly led to a 7.0% decrease in vocational segment sales and a 38.2% fall in operating income for the quarter, causing investor caution.

3. Offsetting Strength in Access Segment and Robust Free Cash Flow.

Despite vocational segment challenges, the Access segment delivered strong performance in fiscal Q3 2026, with sales increasing 21% year-over-year to $1.3 billion and operating income rising 23.5% to $145.7 million. Additionally, Oshkosh demonstrated strong cash generation, reporting $275 million in free cash flow for fiscal Q3 2026, bringing its year-to-date free cash flow to $433 million. The company also raised its full-year free cash flow guidance to between $600 million and $700 million. These positive developments in a key segment and strong liquidity helped to provide underlying support for the stock, preventing a more significant decline.

4. Macroeconomic Headwinds of High Interest Rates and Persistent Inflation.

The broader economic environment impacted investor sentiment for industrial stocks during the period. Financial markets entered fiscal Q4 2026 (beginning October 1, 2026) characterized by higher interest rates, with the 10-year Treasury yield increasing significantly in fiscal Q3 2026, potentially raising borrowing costs for businesses. Persistent inflation, particularly in energy and raw materials, continued to present challenges for manufacturers, leading to elevated input costs and potential margin pressures for companies like Oshkosh, even as the manufacturing sector showed some momentum.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -1.4% change in OSK stock from 7/31/2026 to 10/31/2026 was primarily driven by a -11.7% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)731202610312026Change
Stock Price ($)141.89139.94-1.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)10,61010,7631.4%
Net Income Margin (%)5.2%4.6%-11.7%
P/E Multiple15.917.49.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)62620.9%
Cumulative Contribution-1.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2026 to 10/31/2026
ReturnCorrelation
OSK-1.4% 
Market (SPY)1.2%35.9%
Sector (XLI)-6.9%47.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The -9.7% change in OSK stock from 4/30/2026 to 10/31/2026 was primarily driven by a -25.4% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)430202610312026Change
Stock Price ($)155.04139.94-9.7%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)10,42210,7633.3%
Net Income Margin (%)6.2%4.6%-25.4%
P/E Multiple15.217.414.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)63622.3%
Cumulative Contribution-9.7%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2026 to 10/31/2026
ReturnCorrelation
OSK-9.7% 
Market (SPY)5.4%36.8%
Sector (XLI)-3.9%61.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The 15.3% change in OSK stock from 10/31/2025 to 10/31/2026 was primarily driven by a 48.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)1031202510312026Change
Stock Price ($)121.39139.9415.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)10,33210,7634.2%
Net Income Margin (%)6.4%4.6%-28.2%
P/E Multiple11.717.448.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)64623.7%
Cumulative Contribution15.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2025 to 10/31/2026
ReturnCorrelation
OSK15.3% 
Market (SPY)11.7%43.8%
Sector (XLI)8.9%68.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The 67.0% change in OSK stock from 10/31/2023 to 10/31/2026 was primarily driven by a 70.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)1031202310312026Change
Stock Price ($)83.81139.9467.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)9,39510,76314.6%
Net Income Margin (%)5.7%4.6%-19.0%
P/E Multiple10.217.470.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)65625.6%
Cumulative Contribution67.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2023 to 10/31/2026
ReturnCorrelation
OSK67.0% 
Market (SPY)86.9%52.1%
Sector (XLI)77.0%68.0%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
OSK Return33%-20%25%-11%34%13%78%
Peers Return19%19%24%6%24%11%157%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%13%106%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
OSK Win Rate67%42%50%58%50%60% 
Peers Win Rate58%50%55%58%57%56% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
OSK Max Drawdown-28%-43%-31%-25%-32%-33% 
Peers Max Drawdown-19%-24%-20%-23%-24%-29% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: GD, TEX, PCAR, CAT, LMT. See OSK Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 10/30/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventOSKS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-27.8%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven38.6%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven58 days79 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-20.0%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven25.0%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven63 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-37.6%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven60.3%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven482 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-42.1%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven72.7%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven77 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-27.0%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven37.1%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven84 days105 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-22.3%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven28.6%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven35 days62 days

Compare to GD, TEX, PCAR, CAT, LMT

In The Past

Oshkosh's stock fell -27.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 38.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventOSKS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-27.8%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven38.6%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven58 days79 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-37.6%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven60.3%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven482 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-42.1%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven72.7%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven77 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-27.0%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven37.1%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven84 days105 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-22.3%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven28.6%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven35 days62 days
2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse
  % Loss-37.4%-6.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven59.7%7.3%
  Time to Breakeven78 days15 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-51.8%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven107.4%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven379 days123 days
2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash
  % Loss-31.3%-15.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven45.6%18.2%
  Time to Breakeven1124 days125 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-91.6%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven1087.2%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven1715 days1085 days

Compare to GD, TEX, PCAR, CAT, LMT

In The Past

Oshkosh's stock fell -27.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 38.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Oshkosh (OSK)

Oshkosh Corporation (OSK) is a global manufacturer and marketer of a diverse range of specialty vehicles and vehicle bodies designed for demanding applications across various industries. One of its significant business areas, the Access Equipment segment, focuses on producing aerial work platforms and telehandlers primarily used in construction, industrial, institutional, and general maintenance. This segment also provides towing and recovery equipment and offers financing arrangements for rental fleets.

The company plays a critical role in defense and emergency services through two distinct segments. Its Defense segment is a key supplier to the Department of Defense, delivering heavy, medium, and light tactical wheeled vehicles along with related services. The Fire & Emergency segment manufactures a comprehensive suite of custom and commercial firefighting vehicles, such as pumpers, aerial platforms, and rescue vehicles, serving municipalities and emergency response units. It also produces specialized vehicles for aircraft rescue and firefighting, snow removal, and other public safety applications.

Finally, Oshkosh's Commercial segment addresses essential infrastructure and service needs by producing front- and rear-discharge concrete mixers for the ready-mix industry, and refuse collection vehicles for commercial and municipal waste haulers. This segment also supplies field service vehicles and truck-mounted cranes that support industries like construction, utility, mining, and railroad. Oshkosh distributes its products worldwide through a network of direct sales representatives, dealers, and distributors.

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  • The 3M (MMM) of heavy-duty, specialized vehicles.
  • Like Caterpillar (CAT), but for specialized military, emergency, and industrial vehicles.

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  • Aerial Work Platforms & Telehandlers: Equipment used for lifting personnel and materials in construction, industrial, and maintenance applications.
  • Towing & Recovery Equipment: Vehicles and systems designed for towing and recovering other vehicles.
  • Tactical Wheeled Vehicles: Heavy, medium, and light military vehicles provided to the department of defense.
  • Fire & Emergency Vehicles: A wide range of custom and commercial vehicles including pumpers, aerial platforms, rescue vehicles, aircraft rescue and firefighting vehicles, and other emergency response vehicles.
  • Commercial Concrete Mixers: Front- and rear-discharge vehicles for the concrete ready-mix industry.
  • Refuse Collection Vehicles: Trucks and related components used for waste collection by commercial and municipal haulers.
  • Field Service Vehicles & Truck-Mounted Cranes: Specialized vehicles and equipment for on-site service and material handling across various industries.
  • Financing Services: Offers rental fleet loans and leases, along with floor plan and retail financing for its equipment.
  • Equipment Installation & Parts: Services for equipment installation and sales of chassis and service parts.

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Oshkosh Corporation (OSK) primarily sells its specialty vehicles and equipment to other companies and governmental entities rather than directly to individuals. Its major customers include:

  • United States Department of Defense: A significant customer for Oshkosh's Defense segment, purchasing heavy, medium, and light tactical wheeled vehicles and related services.
  • Rental Companies: Major purchasers of aerial work platforms and telehandlers from the Access Equipment segment for their rental fleets. Examples of large public rental companies include United Rentals (URI).
  • Waste Management Companies and Municipalities: Key customers for refuse collection vehicles and related components from the Commercial segment. Examples of large public waste management companies include Waste Management (WM) and Republic Services (RSG).
  • Municipalities (Fire & Emergency Services): Major buyers of custom and commercial firefighting vehicles, emergency vehicles, and snow removal equipment from the Fire & Emergency segment.

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John C. Pfeifer, President and Chief Executive Officer

Mr. Pfeifer has served as President and Chief Executive Officer of Oshkosh Corporation since April 2021, having joined the company in 2019 and previously holding the role of President and Chief Operating Officer from May 2020 to April 2021. Prior to his time at Oshkosh, he spent 13 years with Brunswick Corporation, where he was most recently the Senior Vice President and President of Mercury Marine. His tenure at Brunswick also included leadership roles as President of Brunswick Marine in Europe, the Middle East and Africa, and President of the Brunswick Asia Pacific Group. Earlier in his career, Mr. Pfeifer held executive and general management positions with ITT Corporation and Milacron, Inc. He currently serves on the boards of James Hardie Industries plc, Froedtert ThedaCare Health, Inc., the National Exchange Bank and Trust, and the National Association of Manufacturers.

Matthew Field, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Mr. Field was appointed Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of Oshkosh Corporation, effective December 16, 2024. Before joining Oshkosh, he served as CFO and Treasurer of Joby Aviation, where he led financial and accounting support for the company's public listing through a $1.1 billion merger with a special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) in 2021. Prior to Joby Aviation, Mr. Field spent more than two decades at Ford Motor Company, holding senior finance roles including CFO for North America and Corporate General Auditor.

Jay Iyengar, Executive Vice President and Chief Technology and Strategic Sourcing Officer

Ms. Iyengar joined Oshkosh Corporation in January 2022 as Executive Vice President and Chief Technology and Strategic Sourcing Officer, responsible for the company's vision and strategy for leading-edge technologies and global strategic sourcing activities. She brings over 30 years of diverse industry experience across automotive, aerospace, diversified industrial, agricultural, and heavy-duty vehicle markets. Prior to Oshkosh, Ms. Iyengar served as Chief Technology and Quality Officer at CNH Industrial, and held roles as Senior Vice President, Chief Innovation and Technology Officer for Xylem, Inc., and Group Vice President, Engineering and Technology for Eaton Corporation's Aerospace Group.

Ignacio Cortina, Executive Vice President, Chief Legal and Administrative Officer

Mr. Cortina has served as Executive Vice President, Chief Legal and Administrative Officer of Oshkosh Corporation since November 2024, and previously as Executive Vice President, Chief Legal Officer and Secretary from 2023 to 2024, and Executive Vice President, General Counsel and Secretary from 2015 to 2023. He joined Oshkosh Corporation in 2003 and has held various roles of increasing responsibility. Before joining Oshkosh, Mr. Cortina was in private practice in Washington, D.C. He currently serves on the board for Alliant Energy Corporation, the Fox Valley Technical College Foundation, and the Fox Cities Performing Arts Center.

Mahesh Narang, Executive Vice President and President, Access

Mr. Narang was appointed Executive Vice President and President, Access, at Oshkosh Corporation in November 2023. In this role, he is responsible for leading all aspects of the company's Access segment, which includes JLG and Jerr-Dan. Prior to joining Oshkosh, Mr. Narang served as Vice President and President of Components at Cummins Inc. from 2021 to October 2023, where he developed strategic direction and led operational aspects of the global Components business, including leading the acquisition and integration of several companies. He held various cross-functional positions of increasing responsibility during his long career at Cummins, starting in 2003.

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The key risks to Oshkosh Corporation (OSK) are:
  1. Dependence on Cyclical Markets and Government Contracts: Oshkosh Corporation's business, particularly its Access Equipment, Fire & Emergency, and Defense segments, is highly susceptible to cyclical economic conditions, construction spending, and fluctuations in government budgets and contracts. Downturns in these markets or shifts in government priorities and spending can significantly reduce sales and profitability across multiple segments. For instance, a substantial portion of the company's revenue is derived from U.S. government contracts, exposing it to political risks and potential reductions or reallocations of defense spending. The performance under specific large contracts, such as the USPS contract, also carries uncertainties, including potential order reductions, production delays, and higher-than-expected costs.

  2. Supply Chain Disruptions and Tariffs: The company faces ongoing operational risks related to its supply chain, including challenges in expanding manufacturing capacity, which may incur higher costs or take longer than anticipated. Specifically, tariffs on key components like steel and, more recently, Chinese battery imports, pose a significant financial headwind. Oshkosh anticipates these tariffs to total approximately $200 million in 2026, a substantial increase from 2025, and aims to offset this impact by year-end 2026, partly through localizing battery production. These issues can lead to increased production costs and potential delays in product delivery.

  3. Declining Backlog and Increased Competition: Oshkosh has experienced declines in its backlog, indicating a slowdown in new orders over recent periods. This trend suggests a potential for increasing competition or market saturation in some of its operating segments, particularly Access. A sustained decline in backlog can directly impact future revenue streams and signal challenges in securing new business, potentially affecting long-term growth prospects and profitability.

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Oshkosh Corporation (OSK) operates in several specialty vehicle markets. The addressable market sizes for its main products and services are outlined below:

Access Equipment Segment

  • Aerial Work Platforms: The global aerial work platform market size was valued at USD 20.7 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 44.59 billion by 2033. North America held the largest market share, at 38.13% in 2025.
  • Telehandlers: The global telehandler market size was valued at USD 7.1 billion in 2024 and is anticipated to increase to USD 10.8 billion by 2035. In 2022, North America dominated the market, exceeding 35.0% of the market share.

Defense Segment

  • Heavy, Medium, and Light Tactical Wheeled Vehicles: The global military land vehicles market, which includes tactical trucks, was valued at USD 17.3 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 34.6 billion by 2033. More specifically, the wheeled military armored vehicle market was estimated at USD 5.45 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 12.45 billion by 2032.

Fire & Emergency Segment

  • Custom and Commercial Firefighting Vehicles and Equipment: The global firefighting vehicles market size was valued at USD 11.42 billion in 2024 and is anticipated to reach USD 15.75 billion by 2032. Europe holds 29% of the global market, while North America holds 34% of the global market.
  • Aircraft Rescue and Firefighting (ARFF) Vehicles: The global Aircraft Rescue and Firefighting Vehicles Market was valued at USD 51.2 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach USD 79.9 billion by 2033. North America currently dominates this market.
  • Other Emergency Response Vehicles (e.g., rescue vehicles, mobile command centers): The global emergency ambulance vehicle market, representing a broader category of emergency response vehicles, was valued at USD 43.8 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 103.9 billion by 2033. North America was the largest market for emergency ambulance vehicles, holding a 37.60% share in 2021.

Commercial Segment

  • Front-and Rear-Discharge Concrete Mixers: The global concrete mixer market size was valued at USD 5.96 billion in 2025 and is estimated to grow to USD 8.91 billion by 2031. Asia-Pacific accounted for 44.16% of global revenue in 2025.
  • Refuse Collection Vehicles: The global garbage collection vehicle market size was 15.1 billion USD in 2024 and is anticipated to increase to 27.7 billion USD by 2035. The Asia Pacific region was the global leader in 2024, holding a 40% market share.
  • Field Service Vehicles and Truck-Mounted Cranes: The global truck-mounted cranes market was valued at USD 2.7 billion in 2025 and is estimated to grow to USD 28.7 billion by 2036. Asia Pacific held the largest share in 2024.

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Oshkosh Corporation (OSK) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next two to three years through a combination of strong backlogs, the ramp-up of key programs, and strategic technological advancements.

Here are 4 expected drivers of future revenue growth:

  1. Robust Backlog and Execution in Vocational and Transport Segments: Oshkosh benefits from a significant backlog, particularly in its Vocational segment, which includes municipal fire apparatus and airport products, and its Transport segment. This strong order book provides multi-year revenue visibility, with existing contracts and backlogs supporting approximately 50% of targeted revenue growth by 2028.
  2. Ramp-up of Next Generation Delivery Vehicles (NGDV): The ongoing production and delivery of Next Generation Delivery Vehicles (NGDV) for the United States Postal Service (USPS) within the Transport segment is a critical growth driver. This program has already shown significant delivery vehicle revenue growth and is a key focus for future sales.
  3. Strategic Investments in Advanced Technologies: Oshkosh is actively investing in and integrating advanced technologies such as electrification, autonomy, and artificial intelligence (AI) across its product portfolio. These innovations, including electric Aircraft Rescue and Fire Fighting (ARFF) vehicles and robotic access concepts, are designed to enhance differentiation, meet evolving market demands, and drive long-term revenue streams by providing safer, smarter, and more sustainable solutions.
  4. Growth in International Defense Sales: While the domestic Joint Light Tactical Vehicle (JLTV) program is winding down, international sales within the Defense segment are expected to contribute to revenue growth. These international contracts help offset the decline from domestic programs and represent an expanding business scope.

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Share Repurchases

  • Oshkosh Corporation repurchased $278 million in shares in 2025.
  • In the fourth quarter of 2025, the company repurchased 911,873 shares of common stock for $118.7 million.
  • A long-running share repurchase program, totaling approximately $1.57 billion since 2015, was confirmed complete alongside the Q4 2025 results.

Inbound Investments

  • Capital Research Global Investors acquired 489,134 shares of Oshkosh stock, valued at approximately $63.44 million, in the third quarter (most recent disclosure).
  • Norges Bank purchased a new position in the second quarter valued at approximately $98.57 million.
  • American Century Companies Inc. raised its stake in Oshkosh by 22.8% in the second quarter, owning 2,858,787 shares worth $324.587 million.

Outbound Investments

  • Oshkosh Corporation has invested in Eatron® Technologies.

Capital Expenditures

  • Capital expenditures for the last 12 months (ending December 31, 2025) were -$211.80 million.
  • Expected capital expenditures for 2026 are approximately $200 million.
  • The primary focus of capital expenditures includes ramping up Next Generation Delivery Vehicle (NGDV) production and investing in additional U.S. fire truck production to meet customer demand, alongside capacity investments and operational improvements in the Vocational segment.

Better Bets vs. Oshkosh (OSK)

Peer Outperformance in Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment

OSK has trailed 58% of its 12 Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment peers over 5Y. Among the peers that beat it are CAT and CMI. Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment ranks 3rd of 23 industries in Industrials by median 5Y return. That makes it one of the strongest corners of the sector.
Share of Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment constituents that OSK has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
58%
of 12 industry peers · 15.3% return
3Y
50%
of 12 industry peers · 64.6% return
5Y
42%
of 12 industry peers · 42.1% return
Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment peers with revenue growth within 4pp of OSK's that beat it on at least 2 of 3 windows, and by at least 20pp over 5Y. Growth is matched by construction, so the gap is largely a re-rating gap. The multiple column is the context for it.
Ticker Name Rev Growth 3Y Avg P/E 1Y3Y5Y 5Y Gap
OSK Oshkosh 4.8% 17.4x 15.3%64.6%42.1% —
CAT Caterpillar 5.3% 26.4x 8.5%178.7%230.8% +189pp
CMI Cummins 2.6% 25.4x 15.9%143.7%133.8% +92pp
Price returns, excluding dividends. P/E shown for context only and not used for matching.
Median price return by industry across the Industrials sector, ranked by 5Y. Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment is OSK's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
Industry Names 1Y med3Y med5Y med Top 3 by 5Y
Marine Transportation 5 55.0%55.3%159.8% MATX 186% · KEX 175%
Construction & Engineering 29 -7.3%104.5%152.2% STRL 1339% · FIX 1275% · AGX 809%
Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment ← 13 12.1%64.6%104.9% ALSN 249% · CAT 231% · WAB 217%
Aerospace & Defense 52 -12.4%64.5%67.6% ATI 929% · FTAI 906% · HWM 581%
Trading Companies & Distributors 19 20.7%36.0%61.7% DXPE 429% · URI 221% · AIT 215%
Diversified Support Services 34 18.8%42.8%35.8% CXW 259% · OPLN 166% · CACI 135%
Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components 72 4.2%51.0%35.8% CRS 865% · MLI 344% · SYM 280%
Rail Transportation 7 30.8%59.2%29.9% CSX 54% · UNP 41% · NSC 30%
Building Products 32 -8.3%11.6%22.5% GFF 363% · TT 141% · JCI 124%
Electrical Components & Equipment 37 -8.0%75.7%17.1% POWL 1863% · VRT 810% · BE 550%
Cargo Ground Transportation 16 32.0%6.7%11.9% R 275% · XPO 263% · ARCB 43%
Industrial Conglomerates 17 15.6%3.5%2.4% CSW 111% · DD 85% · CSL 78%
Office Services & Supplies 9 24.8%20.6%-9.3% PBI 186% · TILE 161% · HNI 55%
Data Processing & Outsourced Services 6 -19.2%-0.1%-15.9% EXLS 69% · BR 10% · G -13%
Security & Alarm Services 9 -52.4%22.1%-17.6% BCO 58%
Agricultural & Farm Machinery 16 9.2%-6.1%-19.6% DE 111% · TTC 23% · AGCO 5%
Environmental & Facilities Services 29 -28.8%34.2%-25.0% GEO 249% · CLH 168% · RSG 93%
Research & Consulting Services 13 4.5%-12.9%-25.4% HURN 288% · FCN 27% · BAH 12%
Passenger Airlines 11 -3.5%55.0%-32.4% LTM 2856% · UAL 126% · DAL 113%
Passenger Ground Transportation 3 -21.0%48.9%-34.4% UBER 49% · CAR -34% · LYFT -65%
Air Freight & Logistics 12 -18.8%-8.1%-39.3% FDX 84% · EXPD 71% · CHRW 45%
Human Resource & Employment Services 22 19.9%-5.2%-42.8% ADP 46% · FA 28% · PAYX 6%
Airport Services 4 -53.3%-60.0%-85.9% JOBY -44%
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are limited to companies above $2B market cap.

Latest Trefis Analyses

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

OSKGDTEXPCARCATLMTMedian
NameOshkosh General .Terex PACCAR Caterpil.Lockheed. 
Mkt Price139.95372.6055.80102.24624.40636.15256.27
Mkt Cap8.7100.76.353.9287.5146.677.3
Rev LTM10,76356,5207,48729,08074,72979,11642,800
Op Inc LTM7345,8594253,12613,0929,3164,493
FCF LTM9425,7794192,1658,9948,3813,972
FCF 3Y Avg5424,2912982,7128,9276,4943,501
CFO LTM1,1337,3065433,66513,56910,1125,485
CFO 3Y Avg7825,3914314,25512,6938,2624,823

Growth & Margins

OSKGDTEXPCARCATLMTMedian
NameOshkosh General .Terex PACCAR Caterpil.Lockheed. 
Rev Chg LTM4.2%9.7%40.1%-1.5%18.4%7.9%8.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg4.8%10.9%14.7%-4.9%5.3%5.4%5.3%
Rev Chg Q5.7%12.9%58.4%19.0%24.0%11.3%15.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.4%3.0%12.1%4.5%5.6%2.7%3.8%
Op Inc Chg LTM-23.3%10.0%8.7%-7.1%13.7%52.8%9.3%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg0.1%11.9%-11.0%-15.8%5.8%8.3%3.0%
Op Mgn LTM6.8%10.4%5.7%10.8%17.5%11.8%10.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg8.7%10.3%8.2%12.6%18.7%10.7%10.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.7%0.0%-0.0%0.7%1.0%-0.1%-0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM10.5%12.9%7.3%12.6%18.2%12.8%12.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg7.4%10.3%7.2%13.7%18.7%11.0%10.7%
FCF/Rev LTM8.8%10.2%5.6%7.4%12.0%10.6%9.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg5.1%8.2%4.9%8.7%13.1%8.7%8.4%

Valuation

OSKGDTEXPCARCATLMTMedian
NameOshkosh General .Terex PACCAR Caterpil.Lockheed. 
Mkt Cap8.7100.76.353.9287.5146.677.3
P/S0.81.80.81.93.81.91.8
P/Op Inc11.817.214.917.222.015.716.5
P/EBIT11.516.915.017.219.916.816.8
P/E17.421.631.919.526.522.522.1
P/CFO7.613.811.614.721.214.514.1
Total Yield7.4%6.3%4.2%7.8%4.8%6.6%6.5%
Dividend Yield1.6%1.7%1.1%2.7%1.0%2.2%1.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg6.6%4.8%7.0%5.1%3.7%5.3%5.2%
D/E0.10.10.40.30.20.10.1
Net D/E0.10.00.30.10.10.10.1

Returns

OSKGDTEXPCARCATLMTMedian
NameOshkosh General .Terex PACCAR Caterpil.Lockheed. 
1M Rtn7.0%12.5%1.6%-7.0%-24.4%25.8%4.3%
3M Rtn-1.4%-2.4%-11.0%-22.7%-23.4%9.8%-6.7%
6M Rtn-9.1%8.7%-9.3%-11.4%-29.7%25.6%-9.2%
12M Rtn15.3%10.0%22.7%6.5%8.8%32.7%12.6%
3Y Rtn64.6%62.7%23.8%37.2%179.5%52.3%57.5%
1M Excs Rtn6.0%11.5%0.6%-8.0%-25.5%24.8%3.3%
3M Excs Rtn-7.2%-4.0%-15.0%-24.3%-26.7%7.3%-11.1%
6M Excs Rtn-16.3%1.6%-16.4%-18.5%-36.8%18.5%-16.3%
12M Excs Rtn1.5%-1.9%-11.5%-5.8%-5.1%22.1%-3.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-16.3%-22.0%-59.6%-50.2%79.3%-30.9%-26.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Access4,4945,1654,9903,9723,067
Vocational3,7273,3102,5782,176 
Transport2,0972,1552,0012,0592,524
Corporate and other1041008875 
Commercial    934
Eliminations    1
Fire & Emergency    1,212
Total10,42210,7309,6588,2827,737


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Vocational547397186154 
Access502805739313249
Transport78518853198
Corporate and other-187-243-174-148 
Commercial    71
Corporate and intersegment eliminations    -147
Fire & Emergency    174
Total9391,011838372545


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20222021202020192018
Access3,4843,0342,8942,9732,829
Transport2,0671,1581,086890829
Corporate and intersegment eliminations1,0501,731854683661
Fire & Emergency612536564588565
Commercial516433418432410
Total7,7296,8925,8165,5665,294


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$139.94 
Market Cap ($ Bil)8.7 
First Trading Date03/26/1990 
Distance from 52W High-20.7% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$139.85$145.67
DMA Trenddownindeterminate
Distance from DMA0.1%-3.9%
 3M1YR
Volatility32.4%39.2%
Downside Capture223.20148.47
Upside Capture167.01141.88
Correlation (S&P 500)40.5%45.6%
OSK Betas & Captures as of 10/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.500.681.111.171.341.25
Up Beta-3.31-2.760.500.791.561.31
Down Beta-1.05-1.21-0.870.580.781.19
Up Capture225%152%181%135%179%175%
Bmk +ve Days12182862130427
Stock +ve Days12193266125381
Down Capture68%192%177%153%127%106%
Bmk -ve Days10253664121325
Stock -ve Days10243260125369

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with OSK
OSK13.9%39.2%0.41-
Sector ETF (XLI)8.9%17.3%0.3268.7%
Equity (SPY)10.9%12.8%0.5243.9%
Gold (GLD)-2.0%28.6%-0.0830.4%
Commodities (DBC)48.2%20.6%1.79-16.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)10.2%13.7%0.4528.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-30.0%43.5%-0.7015.9%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with OSK
OSK7.6%34.7%0.27-
Sector ETF (XLI)11.4%17.6%0.4869.0%
Equity (SPY)12.2%17.1%0.5355.6%
Gold (GLD)16.2%19.0%0.6813.3%
Commodities (DBC)9.2%19.5%0.359.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)0.9%18.9%-0.0644.3%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)4.9%51.6%0.2823.4%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with OSK
OSK11.9%35.3%0.41-
Sector ETF (XLI)13.2%20.1%0.5872.3%
Equity (SPY)15.2%17.9%0.7259.6%
Gold (GLD)11.4%16.5%0.566.5%
Commodities (DBC)8.2%18.1%0.3721.3%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.3%20.7%0.2145.6%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)61.8%66.2%1.0213.6%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2.5 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 930202621.9%
Average Daily Volume0.6 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.9 days
Basic Shares Quantity61.9 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares4.1%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 11/1/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/29/2026-1.9%  
7/28/2026-1.6%-4.3%0.5%
5/8/2026-9.9%-17.6%-13.8%
1/29/2026-0.6%14.2%16.7%
10/29/2025-9.2%-12.4%-7.2%
8/1/20253.2%6.9%10.5%
4/30/2025-5.1%0.0%14.3%
1/30/202518.4%15.7%7.5%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive101312
# Negative141011
Median Positive3.3%3.3%10.4%
Median Negative-2.0%-6.2%-5.2%
Max Positive18.4%15.7%17.7%
Max Negative-9.9%-17.6%-13.8%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/29/2026-1.9%  
7/28/2026-1.6%-4.3%0.5%
5/8/2026-9.9%-17.6%-13.8%
1/29/2026-0.6%14.2%16.7%
10/29/2025-9.2%-12.4%-7.2%
8/1/20253.2%6.9%10.5%
4/30/2025-5.1%0.0%14.3%
1/30/202518.4%15.7%7.5%
10/30/2024-1.3%-2.5%5.0%
7/31/2024-5.0%-13.6%-6.8%
4/25/2024-2.1%-7.0%-4.2%
1/30/20241.0%-0.6%-2.5%
10/26/20233.5%2.5%12.1%
8/1/202310.1%15.3%11.2%
4/27/20230.2%2.4%-2.4%
1/31/20230.3%3.7%-9.6%
10/27/20220.3%1.0%10.3%
7/28/2022-6.2%-6.7%-5.2%
4/27/2022-0.1%0.2%-2.9%
1/26/2022-0.7%-0.7%-9.6%
10/28/20214.4%8.1%8.4%
7/29/2021-1.7%-5.7%-4.6%
4/28/20214.0%3.3%6.1%
1/27/2021-2.9%2.0%17.7%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive101312
# Negative141011
Median Positive3.3%3.3%10.4%
Median Negative-2.0%-6.2%-5.2%
Max Positive18.4%15.7%17.7%
Max Negative-9.9%-17.6%-13.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
09/30/202610/29/202610-Q
06/30/202607/28/202610-Q
03/31/202605/08/202610-Q
12/31/202502/17/202610-K
09/30/202510/29/202510-Q
06/30/202508/01/202510-Q
03/31/202504/30/202510-Q
12/31/202402/20/202510-K
09/30/202410/30/202410-Q
06/30/202407/31/202410-Q
03/31/202404/25/202410-Q
12/31/202302/29/202410-K
09/30/202310/26/202310-Q
06/30/202308/01/202310-Q
03/31/202304/27/202310-Q
12/31/202202/21/202310-K
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
09/30/202610/29/202610-Q
06/30/202607/28/202610-Q
03/31/202605/08/202610-Q
12/31/202502/17/202610-K
09/30/202510/29/202510-Q
06/30/202508/01/202510-Q
03/31/202504/30/202510-Q
12/31/202402/20/202510-K
09/30/202410/30/202410-Q
06/30/202407/31/202410-Q
03/31/202404/25/202410-Q
12/31/202302/29/202410-K
09/30/202310/26/202310-Q
06/30/202308/01/202310-Q
03/31/202304/27/202310-Q
12/31/202202/21/202310-K
09/30/202210/27/202210-Q
06/30/202207/28/202210-Q
03/31/202204/27/202210-Q
12/31/202101/26/202210-QT
09/30/202111/16/202110-K
06/30/202107/29/202110-Q
03/31/202104/28/202110-Q
12/31/202001/27/202110-Q
09/30/202011/18/202010-K
06/30/202007/31/202010-Q
03/31/202004/29/202010-Q
12/31/201901/29/202010-Q

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 10/30/2026

Latest: Q3 2026 Earnings Reported 10/29/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q4 2026 Quarterly Cash Dividend per ShareReported 0.57    
2026 Net SalesReported 11.00 Bil -1.8% LoweredGuidance: 11.20 Bil for 2026
2026 Amortization of purchased intangibles, net of tax per shareReported 0.7    
2026 Reserve on prior divestiture-related note receivable, net of tax per shareReported 0.07    
2026 Expiration of foreign anti-hybrid tax matter per shareReported -0.27    
2026 Diluted EPSReported88.59-19.0% LoweredGuidance: 10.5 for 2026
2026 Adjusted Diluted EPSReported8.599.5-18.2% LoweredGuidance: 11 for 2026


Prior: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 7/28/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 RevenueReported 11.20 Bil 1.8% RaisedGuidance: 11.00 Bil for 2026
2026 EPSReported 10.5 -3.7% LoweredGuidance: 10.9 for 2026
2026 Adjusted EPSReported 11 -4.3% LoweredGuidance: 11.5 for 2026

Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/8/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 RevenueReported 11.00 Bil 0 AffirmedGuidance: 11.00 Bil for 2026
2026 EPSReported 10.9 0 AffirmedGuidance: 10.9 for 2026
2026 Adjusted EPSReported 11.5 0 AffirmedGuidance: 11.5 for 2026

Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 1/29/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 RevenueReported 11.00 Bil 6.3% Higher NewGuidance: 10.35 Bil for 2025
2026 EPSReported 10.9 9.0% Higher NewGuidance: 10 for 2025
2026 Adjusted EPSReported 11.5 7.0% Higher NewGuidance: 10.75 for 2025

Insider Activity

Updated 9/15/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Pfeifer, John C DirectSell9152026150.00778116,70022,600,286Form
2Palmer, Duncan DirectSell5132026133.8650567,5995,312,110Form
3Khare, AnupamSVP/Chief Information OfficerDirectSell3022026169.074,000676,2622,295,465Form
4Verich, John SSVP Bus Devl and TreasurerDirectSell2232026176.991,050185,8341,231,629Form
5Cortina, Ignacio AEVP, CL&AO & SecretaryDirectSell11242025124.418,000995,2805,661,353Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Pfeifer, John C DirectSell9152026150.00778116,70022,600,286Form
2Palmer, Duncan DirectSell5132026133.8650567,5995,312,110Form
3Khare, AnupamSVP/Chief Information OfficerDirectSell3022026169.074,000676,2622,295,465Form
4Verich, John SSVP Bus Devl and TreasurerDirectSell2232026176.991,050185,8341,231,629Form
5Cortina, Ignacio AEVP, CL&AO & SecretaryDirectSell11242025124.418,000995,2805,661,353Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Nov 1, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Lodge Hill Capital, LLC$35.3 Mil6.8%22ADD +860.0%13F
Greenhaven Associates Inc$372.6 Mil6.1%27Hold13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Lodge Hill Capital, LLC$35.3 Mil6.8%22ADD +860.0%13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Southpoint Capital Advisors LP$175.9 Mil4.1%38Exited13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Greenhaven Associates Inc$372.6 Mil6.1%27Hold13F
Lodge Hill Capital, LLC$35.3 Mil6.8%22ADD +860.0%13F

Industry Resources

Industrials Resources
IndustryWeek
Manufacturing.net
Aviation Week
Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment Resources
Equipment World
Construction Equipment
OEM Off-Highway
Core Cache Last Updated: 10/31/2026