Tearsheet

Okta (OKTA)


Market Price (10/16/2025): $88.36 | Market Cap: $15.5 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Application Software

Okta (OKTA)


Market Price (10/16/2025): $88.36
Market Cap: $15.5 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Application Software

Investment Highlights


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -12%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -52%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -15%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 79x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 92x
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30%
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.4%
2 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 5.4%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 47%
  
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -12%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30%
2 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 5.4%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 47%
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -52%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -15%
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 79x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 92x
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.4%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

OKTA Stock


Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
OKTA Return120%-12%-70%32%-13%12%-23%
Peers Return41%13%-2%30%21%7%164%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%13%103%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
OKTA Win Rate67%67%25%50%42%33% 
Peers Win Rate53%45%32%42%40%49% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%67% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
OKTA Max Drawdown-17%-22%-80%-5%-22%0% 
Peers Max Drawdown-25%-12%-22%-6%-2%-20% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MSFT, IBM, CYBR, SAIL, BIYA. See OKTA Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 10/15/2025 (YTD)

Downturns Compared

Unique KeyEventOKTAS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-84.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven548.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-31.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven45.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven29 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-35.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven55.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven58 days120 days


How Low Can It Go?

Okta's stock fell -84.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/12/2021. A -84.6% loss requires a 548.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

Better Bets than Okta (OKTA)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to OKTA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ADBE_9302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09302025ADBEAdobeMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-6.3%-6.3%-6.3%
CRM_9302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09302025CRMSalesforceMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.2%-0.2%-0.6%
MPWR_9302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09302025MPWRMonolithic Power SystemsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%-1.8%
POWI_9262025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE09262025POWIPower IntegrationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
22.0%22.0%-13.4%
ROP_9262025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09262025ROPRoper TechnologiesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.3%0.3%-0.3%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ADBE_9302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09302025ADBEAdobeMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-6.3%-6.3%-6.3%
CRM_9302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09302025CRMSalesforceMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.2%-0.2%-0.6%
MPWR_9302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09302025MPWRMonolithic Power SystemsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%-1.8%
POWI_9262025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE09262025POWIPower IntegrationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
22.0%22.0%-13.4%
ROP_9262025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09262025ROPRoper TechnologiesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.3%0.3%-0.3%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Okta

Financials

OKTAMSFTIBMCYBRSAILBIYAMedian
NameOkta MicrosoftInternat.CyberArk.SailPointBaiya In. 
Mkt Price88.35513.43280.75488.9122.850.53184.55
Mkt Cap15.53,814.8261.324.512.7-24.5
Rev LTM2,763281,72464,0381,200970-2,763
Op Inc LTM83128,52810,929-99-280-83
FCF LTM83871,61111,646207-60-838
FCF 3Y Avg56568,38611,346133--5,956
CFO LTM853136,16213,282222-45-853
CFO 3Y Avg585114,09713,104143--6,845

Growth & Margins

OKTAMSFTIBMCYBRSAILBIYAMedian
NameOkta MicrosoftInternat.CyberArk.SailPointBaiya In. 
Rev Chg LTM12.7%14.9%2.7%39.5%--13.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg20.1%12.5%2.4%30.5%--16.3%
Rev Chg Q12.7%18.1%7.7%46.0%33.1%-18.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.1%4.3%1.9%9.4%7.3%-4.3%
Op Mgn LTM3.0%45.6%17.1%-8.2%-28.9%-3.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-12.3%44.0%15.9%-13.0%--1.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM2.1%0.4%0.7%-0.3%4.9%-0.7%
CFO/Rev LTM30.9%48.3%20.7%18.5%-4.6%-20.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg23.2%46.0%21.0%14.6%--22.1%
FCF/Rev LTM30.3%25.4%18.2%17.3%-6.2%-18.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg22.4%27.9%18.2%13.4%--20.3%

Valuation

OKTAMSFTIBMCYBRSAILBIYAMedian
NameOkta MicrosoftInternat.CyberArk.SailPointBaiya In. 
Mkt Cap15.53,814.8261.324.512.7-24.5
P/S5.613.54.120.413.1-13.1
P/EBIT79.530.332.4-620.4-45.6-30.3
P/E92.337.544.8-148.2-37.6-37.5
P/CFO18.228.019.7110.3-281.8-19.7
Total Yield1.1%3.3%4.6%-0.7%-2.7%-1.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.6%2.4%0.0%0.0%-0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg3.6%2.2%6.8%0.9%--2.9%
D/E0.10.00.30.00.0-0.0
Net D/E-0.1-0.00.2-0.0-0.0--0.0

Returns

OKTAMSFTIBMCYBRSAILBIYAMedian
NameOkta MicrosoftInternat.CyberArk.SailPointBaiya In. 
1M Rtn-2.8%-0.4%9.6%2.7%5.3%-14.9%1.2%
3M Rtn-3.0%1.7%0.3%29.4%10.9%-31.8%1.0%
6M Rtn-11.6%38.6%19.3%47.6%35.3%-77.6%27.3%
12M Rtn12.3%23.5%23.9%66.8%-65.0%-23.5%
3Y Rtn79.9%130.2%162.6%263.5%-65.0%-130.2%
1M Excs Rtn-2.7%-0.1%8.0%1.8%4.8%-9.3%0.8%
3M Excs Rtn-10.0%-5.4%-5.7%21.6%5.9%-38.1%-5.6%
6M Excs Rtn-35.5%10.0%-5.4%22.6%7.6%-101.6%1.1%
12M Excs Rtn-0.5%9.5%9.0%50.8%-79.7%-9.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-14.8%44.9%83.0%169.7%-149.6%-44.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Single segment2,2631,858   
Professional services and other  513933
Subscription  1,249797553
Total2,2631,8581,300835586


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date9302025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity5,540,710
Short Interest: % Change Since 9152025-21.8%
Average Daily Volume2,892,141
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.92
Basic Shares Quantity175,460,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.2%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/26/20251.6%-1.9%-0.4%
5/27/2025-16.2%-17.5%-21.8%
3/3/202524.3%20.7%20.1%
12/3/20245.4%1.3%-1.2%
8/28/2024-17.6%-22.6%-23.4%
5/29/2024-7.8%-8.1%-2.9%
2/28/202422.9%24.7%19.8%
11/29/2023-2.5%0.1%25.8%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121211
# Negative121213
Median Positive9.0%8.5%13.2%
Median Negative-7.9%-11.3%-7.8%
Max Positive26.5%24.7%28.2%
Max Negative-33.7%-31.4%-37.8%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
7312025827202510-Q 7/31/2025
4302025528202510-Q 4/30/2025
1312025305202510-K 1/31/2025
103120241204202410-Q 10/31/2024
7312024829202410-Q 7/31/2024
4302024530202410-Q 4/30/2024
1312024301202410-K 1/31/2024
103120231201202310-Q 10/31/2023
7312023831202310-Q 7/31/2023
4302023601202310-Q 4/30/2023
1312023303202310-K 1/31/2023
103120221201202210-Q 10/31/2022
7312022901202210-Q 7/31/2022
4302022603202210-Q 4/30/2022
1312022307202210-K 1/31/2022
103120211202202110-Q 10/31/2021

Insider Activity

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