Tearsheet

Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL)


Market Price (11/7/2025): $139.98 | Market Cap: $29.4 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Cargo Ground Transportation

Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL)


Market Price (11/7/2025): $139.98
Market Cap: $29.4 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Cargo Ground Transportation

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 25%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -84%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -72%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.9%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.3%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -4.3%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%
  
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 40%
  
0 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 25%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 40%
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -84%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -72%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.9%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.3%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -4.3%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

ODFL Stock


Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ODFL Return55%84%-20%43%-13%-22%123%
Peers Return55%70%-22%74%6%-19%205%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ODFL Win Rate67%75%33%67%50%40% 
Peers Win Rate65%68%40%65%52%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ODFL Max Drawdown-15%-2%-35%-1%-17%-23% 
Peers Max Drawdown-36%-3%-38%-3%-13%-35% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ODFL, JBHT, XPO, SAIA, TFII. See ODFL Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/6/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventODFLS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-36.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven56.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven229 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-28.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven40.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven50 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-31.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven45.4%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven227 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-50.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven103.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven615 days1480 days

Compare to ODFL, JBHT, XPO, SAIA, TFII


In The Past

Old Dominion Freight Line's stock fell -36.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/7/2021. A -36.2% loss requires a 56.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL)

Better Bets than Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ODFL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
GEO_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025GEOGEODip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.2%-9.2%-9.2%
RUN_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025RUNSunrunSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-1.6%-1.6%-8.2%
PLPC_10312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10312025PLPCPreformed Line ProductsQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-1.9%-1.9%-1.9%
VRSK_10172025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10172025VRSKVerisk AnalyticsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-8.4%-8.4%-10.5%
CARR_10102025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10102025CARRCarrier GlobalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
0.2%0.2%-0.8%
ODFL_9122025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09122025ODFLOld Dominion Freight LineMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-5.0%-5.0%-7.3%
ODFL_2282025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper02282025ODFLOld Dominion Freight LineMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-14.0%-21.6%-23.5%
ODFL_11302022_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302022ODFLOld Dominion Freight LineMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.8%29.1%-6.9%
ODFL_5312022_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper05312022ODFLOld Dominion Freight LineMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
13.2%20.6%-10.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
GEO_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025GEOGEODip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.2%-9.2%-9.2%
RUN_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025RUNSunrunSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-1.6%-1.6%-8.2%
PLPC_10312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10312025PLPCPreformed Line ProductsQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-1.9%-1.9%-1.9%
VRSK_10172025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10172025VRSKVerisk AnalyticsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-8.4%-8.4%-10.5%
CARR_10102025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10102025CARRCarrier GlobalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
0.2%0.2%-0.8%
ODFL_9122025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09122025ODFLOld Dominion Freight LineMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-5.0%-5.0%-7.3%
ODFL_2282025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper02282025ODFLOld Dominion Freight LineMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-14.0%-21.6%-23.5%
ODFL_11302022_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302022ODFLOld Dominion Freight LineMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.8%29.1%-6.9%
ODFL_5312022_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper05312022ODFLOld Dominion Freight LineMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
13.2%20.6%-10.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Old Dominion Freight Line

Financials

ODFLJBHTXPOSAIATFIIMedian
NameOld Domi.JB Hunt .XPO Saia TFI Inte. 
Mkt Price137.69168.59136.24273.8185.58137.69
Mkt Cap28.916.216.17.37.116.1
Rev LTM5,57512,0498,0673,2338,0488,048
Op Inc LTM1,391826706390610706
FCF LTM921790232-14685685
FCF 3Y Avg827388-206-97648388
CFO LTM1,4611,610949622958958
CFO 3Y Avg1,5501,6478085831,0071,007

Growth & Margins

ODFLJBHTXPOSAIATFIIMedian
NameOld Domi.JB Hunt .XPO Saia TFI Inte. 
Rev Chg LTM-5.9%-1.6%-0.3%2.0%-2.9%-1.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-3.3%-6.3%38.4%5.7%-3.0%-3.0%
Rev Chg Q-4.3%-0.5%2.8%-0.3%-9.9%-0.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-1.1%-0.1%0.7%-0.1%-2.6%-0.1%
Op Mgn LTM24.9%6.9%8.8%12.1%7.6%8.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg26.9%7.2%8.0%14.5%8.9%8.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.4%0.2%0.1%-0.2%-0.4%-0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM26.2%13.4%11.8%19.2%11.9%13.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg26.8%13.1%10.1%19.0%12.7%13.1%
FCF/Rev LTM16.5%6.6%2.9%-0.4%8.5%6.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg14.3%3.2%-2.6%-2.9%8.1%3.2%

Valuation

ODFLJBHTXPOSAIATFIIMedian
NameOld Domi.JB Hunt .XPO Saia TFI Inte. 
Mkt Cap28.916.216.17.37.116.1
P/S5.21.32.02.30.92.0
P/EBIT20.819.524.118.712.119.5
P/E27.328.348.425.821.627.3
P/CFO19.810.116.911.87.411.8
Total Yield4.5%4.6%2.1%3.9%6.7%4.5%
Dividend Yield0.8%1.1%0.0%0.0%2.1%0.8%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg2.2%2.8%-1.8%-0.8%6.8%2.2%
D/E0.00.10.30.00.40.1
Net D/E0.00.10.20.00.40.1

Returns

ODFLJBHTXPOSAIATFIIMedian
NameOld Domi.JB Hunt .XPO Saia TFI Inte. 
1M Rtn-2.6%20.4%2.9%-10.4%-5.7%-2.6%
3M Rtn-5.1%20.1%13.2%-3.7%-0.6%-0.6%
6M Rtn-13.7%23.4%21.6%3.0%4.9%4.9%
12M Rtn-39.8%-11.6%-10.2%-51.8%-41.6%-39.8%
3Y Rtn-0.8%-2.2%278.1%25.1%-6.7%-0.8%
1M Excs Rtn-4.4%15.5%-0.5%-14.6%-7.7%-4.4%
3M Excs Rtn-9.7%15.7%8.1%-8.7%-5.4%-5.4%
6M Excs Rtn-32.4%4.8%2.9%-15.6%-13.8%-13.8%
12M Excs Rtn-49.7%-24.0%-15.6%-61.3%-52.7%-49.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-71.8%-73.7%244.9%-42.2%-77.7%-71.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Less-than-truckload (LTL) services5,8056,1775,1773,9614,055
Other services6183795454
Total5,8666,2605,2564,0154,109


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity11,233,099
Short Interest: % Change Since 93020252.9%
Average Daily Volume1,870,802
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6
Basic Shares Quantity209,850,000
Short % of Basic Shares5.4%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/29/20250.0%3.9% 
7/30/2025-9.7%-9.2%-4.9%
4/23/20250.8%-1.6%8.0%
2/5/20255.4%12.0%-3.2%
10/23/2024-5.5%0.9%7.4%
7/24/20240.4%5.8%4.7%
4/24/2024-11.0%-17.1%-21.3%
1/31/2024-1.2%7.5%11.8%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive141717
# Negative1077
Median Positive2.5%5.7%7.4%
Median Negative-4.2%-2.4%-6.3%
Max Positive10.3%15.9%21.6%
Max Negative-11.0%-17.1%-21.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025506202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024225202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241106202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024805202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023226202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231106202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023804202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023508202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022222202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022803202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021223202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Satterfield Adam NEVP and CFO3042025Buy175.932,457432,2604,150,892Form
1Gantt Greg C 2142025Sell205.876,4141,320,45021,465,241Form
2SUGGS LEO H 11122024Sell225.443,000676,3201,664,424Form
3CONGDON DAVID SExecutive Chairman11082024Sell226.3060,00013,578,000299,077,175Form