Tearsheet

Nexstar Media (NXST)


Market Price (10/16/2025): $194.03 | Market Cap: $5.9 Bil
Sector: Communication Services | Industry: Movies & Entertainment

Nexstar Media (NXST)


Market Price (10/16/2025): $194.03
Market Cap: $5.9 Bil
Sector: Communication Services
Industry: Movies & Entertainment

Investment Highlights


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 15%, Dividend Yield is 3.8%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 10%, FCF Yield is 21%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -4.8%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -58%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 105%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 23%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -3.2%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 35%
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 15%, Dividend Yield is 3.8%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 10%, FCF Yield is 21%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 23%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 35%
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -4.8%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -58%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 105%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -3.2%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

NXST Stock


Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
NXST Return-4%39%20%-8%5%27%96%
Peers Return19%9%-22%-3%7%-12%-7%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%13%103%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NXST Win Rate67%58%25%50%50%67% 
Peers Win Rate53%50%40%52%43%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%67% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NXST Max Drawdown-60%-1%0%-22%-2%-7% 
Peers Max Drawdown-27%-12%-34%-21%-20%-27% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NYT, LBTYA, TGNA, CABO, AC. See NXST Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 10/15/2025 (YTD)

Downturns Compared

Unique KeyEventNXSTS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-37.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven59.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-64.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven183.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven337 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-25.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven33.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven70 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-96.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven2896.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1563 days1480 days


How Low Can It Go?

Nexstar Media's stock fell -37.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/2/2023. A -37.2% loss requires a 59.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

Better Bets than Nexstar Media (NXST)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to NXST. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
TTD_9302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE09302025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
4.3%4.3%0.0%
CMCSA_7312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper07312025CMCSAComcastMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-9.6%-9.6%-10.6%
PINS_5312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper05312025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
7.1%7.1%-2.3%
IRDM_4302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield04302025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-19.2%-19.2%-27.4%
IAS_4302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE04302025IASIntegral Ad ScienceDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
44.1%44.1%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
TTD_9302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE09302025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
4.3%4.3%0.0%
CMCSA_7312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper07312025CMCSAComcastMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-9.6%-9.6%-10.6%
PINS_5312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper05312025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
7.1%7.1%-2.3%
IRDM_4302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield04302025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-19.2%-19.2%-27.4%
IAS_4302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE04302025IASIntegral Ad ScienceDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
44.1%44.1%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Nexstar Media

Financials

NXSTNYTLBTYATGNACABOACMedian
NameNexstar .New York.Liberty .Tegna Cable OneMarquee  
Mkt Price194.0854.8611.0719.85161.35-54.86
Mkt Cap5.99.03.83.20.9-3.8
Rev LTM5,3162,6892,9633,0321,542-2,963
Op Inc LTM1,2094064737421-421
FCF LTM1,254455361576313-455
FCF 3Y Avg992343765568319-568
CFO LTM1,3824901,520619605-619
CFO 3Y Avg1,1423731,967617658-658

Growth & Margins

NXSTNYTLBTYATGNACABOACMedian
NameNexstar .New York.Liberty .Tegna Cable OneMarquee  
Rev Chg LTM6.6%7.8%16.3%5.9%-5.4%-6.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg3.2%7.0%-22.1%-0.4%-3.5%--0.4%
Rev Chg Q-3.2%9.7%20.0%-5.0%-3.4%--3.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.7%2.3%7.7%-1.2%-0.9%--0.7%
Op Mgn LTM22.7%15.1%0.1%24.3%27.3%-22.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg20.8%13.0%-3.5%23.8%30.0%-20.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.3%0.7%2.3%-0.4%-0.5%--0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM26.0%18.2%51.3%20.4%39.2%-26.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg21.9%14.7%62.3%20.3%40.5%-21.9%
FCF/Rev LTM23.6%16.9%12.2%19.0%20.3%-19.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg19.0%13.5%24.0%18.7%19.7%-19.0%

Valuation

NXSTNYTLBTYATGNACABOACMedian
NameNexstar .New York.Liberty .Tegna Cable OneMarquee  
Mkt Cap5.99.03.83.20.9-3.8
P/S1.13.31.31.10.6-1.1
P/EBIT4.721.5-1.34.3-3.7-4.3
P/E9.328.0-1.27.0-1.8-7.0
P/CFO4.218.32.55.21.5-4.2
Total Yield14.6%4.6%-86.9%16.7%-49.0%-4.6%
Dividend Yield3.8%1.1%0.0%2.5%5.6%-2.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg17.9%4.2%12.7%19.8%21.9%-17.9%
D/E1.10.02.81.03.8-1.1
Net D/E1.0-0.11.90.73.7-1.0

Returns

NXSTNYTLBTYATGNACABOACMedian
NameNexstar .New York.Liberty .Tegna Cable OneMarquee  
1M Rtn-5.1%-7.1%-6.9%-5.7%-3.5%--5.7%
3M Rtn8.9%2.2%12.3%19.0%35.0%-12.3%
6M Rtn34.4%13.1%5.6%27.7%-35.0%-13.1%
12M Rtn20.8%0.3%2.7%25.6%-53.9%-2.7%
3Y Rtn26.6%93.1%31.9%3.9%-78.1%-26.6%
1M Excs Rtn-5.3%-6.6%-7.0%-6.6%-6.5%--6.6%
3M Excs Rtn0.4%-3.7%4.8%11.4%24.3%-4.8%
6M Excs Rtn6.2%-10.4%-19.8%1.0%-61.3%--10.4%
12M Excs Rtn4.6%-14.5%-12.5%12.2%-66.4%--12.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-58.2%10.0%-52.3%-79.4%-163.2%--58.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Broadcast4,6115,0334,5344,4112,929
Other339173 91110
Corporate (unallocated)109   
Eliminations-27-4   
Corporate (unallocated) and Other  114  
The CW Network, LLC (CW)  0  
Total4,9335,2114,6484,5013,039


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Broadcast7081,3121,7421,824948
Corporate (unallocated) and Other  -153  
Depreciation and amortization expense  -589-427 
Goodwill and other long-lived asset impairments  -23  
Miscellaneous, net  110 
Payments for broadcast rights  16756 
Reimbursement from the Federal Communications Commission’s (“FCC”) related to station repack  2057 
Corporate (unallocated)   -142 
Gain on disposal of stations and business units, net   7 
Other    -293
Total7081,3121,1751,375655


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date9302025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,138,304
Short Interest: % Change Since 91520250.9%
Average Daily Volume362,575
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.90
Basic Shares Quantity30,221,000
Short % of Basic Shares7.1%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/7/2025-1.3%12.3%12.4%
5/8/20255.4%12.0%9.6%
2/27/202511.1%15.9%22.7%
11/7/20242.9%-9.4%-6.2%
8/8/2024-4.9%-6.6%-5.1%
5/9/20246.9%4.5%-6.0%
2/28/20241.5%-3.1%5.8%
11/8/2023-2.7%-0.7%-5.1%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive151517
# Negative997
Median Positive5.4%10.0%9.6%
Median Negative-3.3%-4.2%-6.2%
Max Positive32.1%34.6%45.2%
Max Negative-6.0%-11.3%-44.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025808202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023228202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022228202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022805202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021228202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211103202110-Q 9/30/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0McMillen Charles Thomas 3282025Sell151.731,000151,735839,852Form
1ALFORD ANDREWPresident, Broadcasting3272025Sell181.983,768685,716983,624Form
2Jenkins BrettSee Remarks3192025Sell176.753,785668,9873,845,131Form
3ZIMMER DANASee Remarks3112025Sell177.684,846861,021318,397Form
4WEITMAN GARYSee Remarks3072025Sell177.211,241219,918704,410Form