News (NWSA)
Market Price (11/14/2025): $26.265 | Market Cap: $14.8 BilSector: Communication Services | Industry: Publishing
News (NWSA)
Market Price (11/14/2025): $26.265Market Cap: $14.8 BilSector: Communication ServicesIndustry: Publishing
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.2%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.1% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -30%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -18% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -5.6% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12% | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 24% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Content & Streaming, E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Digital Advertising. Themes include Video Streaming, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.2%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.1% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 24% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Content & Streaming, E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Digital Advertising. Themes include Video Streaming, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -30%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -18% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -5.6% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
NWSA Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
News Corporation (NWSA) experienced a decline of approximately 10.1% in its stock price from July 31, 2025, to November 14, 2025, influenced by several key factors.
1. Macquarie Downgrade and Sector Concerns: On August 6, 2025, Macquarie downgraded News Corp from "Outperform" to "Neutral" and set a new price target of $32.70. This downgrade was accompanied by concerns regarding the stock's valuation, which relies heavily on its 61% stake in REA Group, whose share price had dropped around 17% since August. Macquarie also highlighted unclear impacts from Domain and artificial intelligence on the business.
2. Weak Performance in Book Publishing: News Corp's first-quarter fiscal 2026 earnings report, released on November 6, 2025, revealed an "uncharacteristically weak performance" in its Book Publishing segment. This was further impacted by a $13 million write-off of a receivable related to the expected closure of one of its distributors, contributing negatively to overall profitability.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| NWSA Return | 29% | 25% | -18% | 36% | 13% | -4% | 98% |
| Peers Return | 27% | 24% | -22% | 30% | 13% | -22% | 42% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 15% | 109% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| NWSA Win Rate | 50% | 58% | 33% | 83% | 67% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 45% | 43% | 27% | 45% | 52% | 42% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| NWSA Max Drawdown | -42% | 0% | -32% | -14% | -4% | -13% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -26% | -12% | -30% | -5% | -12% | -39% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: DIS, IPG, NYT, AXR, TNMG. See NWSA Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/13/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | NWSA | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -45.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 84.9% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 617 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -45.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 82.3% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 131 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -36.9% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 58.4% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 693 days | 120 days |
Compare to DIS, IPG, NYT, AXR, TNMG
In The Past
News's stock fell -45.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/11/2021. A -45.9% loss requires a 84.9% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to NWSA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -16.8% | -16.8% | -16.8% |
| 10032025 | CABO | Cable One | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -39.5% | -39.5% | -39.5% |
| 09122025 | DV | DoubleVerify | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -19.6% | -19.6% | -27.9% |
| 07312025 | CMCSA | Comcast | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -14.9% | -14.9% | -17.9% |
| 05312025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -14.0% | -14.0% | -17.2% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -16.8% | -16.8% | -16.8% |
| 10032025 | CABO | Cable One | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -39.5% | -39.5% | -39.5% |
| 09122025 | DV | DoubleVerify | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -19.6% | -19.6% | -27.9% |
| 07312025 | CMCSA | Comcast | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -14.9% | -14.9% | -17.9% |
| 05312025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -14.0% | -14.0% | -17.2% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for News
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 25.67 |
| Mkt Cap | 10.5 |
| Rev LTM | 8,500 |
| Op Inc LTM | 966 |
| FCF LTM | 580 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 508 |
| CFO LTM | 959 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 921 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 2.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -1.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 2.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 14.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 13.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.6% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 18.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 14.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 12.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 8.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 10.5 |
| P/S | 2.0 |
| P/EBIT | 14.4 |
| P/E | 16.8 |
| P/CFO | 12.6 |
| Total Yield | 9.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.5% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -2.3% |
| 3M Rtn | -5.4% |
| 6M Rtn | -5.0% |
| 12M Rtn | -8.3% |
| 3Y Rtn | 48.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -3.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -9.2% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -18.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -21.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -18.3% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Assets by Segment
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dow Jones | 4,139 | 4,305 | 4,368 | 2,798 | 2,480 |
| Digital Real Estate Services | 3,020 | 2,942 | 2,989 | 3,146 | 2,322 |
| Book Publishing | 2,647 | 2,629 | 2,651 | 2,713 | 2,212 |
| Subscription Video Services | 2,587 | 2,812 | 3,082 | 3,515 | 3,459 |
| News Media | 2,003 | 2,023 | 2,115 | 2,209 | 1,994 |
| Other | 1,858 | 1,783 | 1,528 | 2,039 | 1,497 |
| Investments | 430 | 427 | 488 | 351 | 297 |
| Total | 16,684 | 16,921 | 17,221 | 16,771 | 14,261 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/6/2025 | 6.5% | ||
| 8/5/2025 | 0.5% | -1.6% | 0.4% |
| 5/8/2025 | -1.5% | -1.2% | -2.5% |
| 2/5/2025 | -1.0% | 2.0% | -2.8% |
| 11/7/2024 | 1.2% | -0.2% | 0.8% |
| 8/8/2024 | 3.6% | 3.0% | -0.7% |
| 5/8/2024 | 2.7% | 7.7% | 12.6% |
| 2/7/2024 | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.5% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 16 | 15 | 12 |
| # Negative | 8 | 9 | 12 |
| Median Positive | 4.9% | 6.4% | 9.6% |
| Median Negative | -1.8% | -1.4% | -6.7% |
| Max Positive | 13.3% | 17.1% | 38.4% |
| Max Negative | -13.3% | -11.9% | -29.9% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11072025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8062025 | 10-K 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5092025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2062025 | 10-Q 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11082024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8132024 | 10-K 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5092024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2082024 | 10-Q 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11092023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8152023 | 10-K 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5122023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2102023 | 10-Q 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11092022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8122022 | 10-K 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5062022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2042022 | 10-Q 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |