NovoCure (NVCR)
Market Price (12/2/2025): $12.0 | Market Cap: $1.3 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Life Sciences Tools & Services
NovoCure (NVCR)
Market Price (12/2/2025): $12.0Market Cap: $1.3 BilSector: Health CareIndustry: Life Sciences Tools & Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -16% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -56%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -155% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -177 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -28% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -29% | Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.4%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -10% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Oncology Treatments, Show more. | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -16% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -16% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -29% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Oncology Treatments, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -56%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -155% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -177 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -28% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.4%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -10% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -16% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
NVCR Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points for why NovoCure's stock (NVCR) moved by -5.3% from August 31, 2025, to December 2, 2025:
1. The launch of the Optune Lua product for non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) continued to underperform expectations, with prescription growth stalling in the third quarter of 2025. Management cited challenges such as competition, patient health status, and slower uptake in this market.
2. NovoCure experienced a decline in its gross margin for the third quarter of 2025, which fell to 73% from 77% in the prior year. This reduction was primarily attributed to costs associated with new product rollouts, treating lung cancer patients before broad reimbursement was established, and increased tariffs. The company also recognized a $2.9 million expense related to an inventory obsolescence provision for Optune Lua arrays.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| NVCR Return | 105% | -57% | -2% | -80% | 100% | -61% | -86% |
| Peers Return | -25% | -18% | -10% | -5% | -47% | ||
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 111% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| NVCR Win Rate | 58% | 17% | 42% | 33% | 50% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 3% | 8% | 8% | 14% | 40% | ||
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| NVCR Max Drawdown | -32% | -57% | -25% | -85% | -21% | -63% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -26% | -21% | -13% | -32% | |||
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: SNSE, AVRT, BLLN, BNBX, BSME. See NVCR Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/1/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | NVCR | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -95.1% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 1926.8% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -40.4% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 67.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 175 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -45.4% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 83.3% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 87 days | 120 days |
Compare to SNSE, AVRT, BLLN, BNBX, BSME
In The Past
NovoCure's stock fell -95.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/23/2021. A -95.1% loss requires a 1926.8% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| NovoCure Stock Drop Looks Sharp, But How Deep Can It Go? | Return | ||
| Day 5 of Loss Streak for NovoCure Stock with -34% Return (vs. -63% YTD) [7/30/2025] | Notification | ||
| NVCR Dip Buy Analysis | |||
| NovoCure (NVCR) Stock: 38% of days in last 3 months had 1% or greater fluctuation | |||
| NovoCure (NVCR) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| NovoCure (NVCR) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| NovoCure (NVCR) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| NovoCure (NVCR) Revenue Comparison | Financials | ||
| NovoCure vs. S&P500 Correlation | Correlation | ||
| NovoCure Price Volatility | Volatility | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| NVCR Stock Down -34% after 5-Day Loss Streak | July 31st, 2025 | ||
| Stocks Trading At 52-Week Low | July 29th, 2025 | ||
| Market Movers | Winners: BE, WST, ICLR | Losers: CYH, NVCR, IRDM | July 25th, 2025 | ||
| Will Novocure Stock Rebound After A Large 22% Fall In A Month? | November 24th, 2021 | ||
| What’s Next For Novocure Stock? | April 14th, 2021 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to NVCR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.6% | 6.6% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -4.7% | -4.7% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 7.1% | 7.1% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 11.6% | 11.6% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.4% | 5.4% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.6% | 6.6% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -4.7% | -4.7% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 7.1% | 7.1% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 11.6% | 11.6% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.4% | 5.4% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for NovoCure
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 10.04 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.7 |
| Rev LTM | 4 |
| Op Inc LTM | -28 |
| FCF LTM | -24 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -29 |
| CFO LTM | -24 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -29 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -19.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -3.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 21.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 4.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -166.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -101.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 21.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -153.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -75.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -161.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -80.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.7 |
| P/S | 2.3 |
| P/EBIT | -5.9 |
| P/E | -4.3 |
| P/CFO | -21.2 |
| Total Yield | -130.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -926.1% |
| D/E | 0.4 |
| Net D/E | -1.3 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -8.8% |
| 3M Rtn | -2.3% |
| 6M Rtn | 1.0% |
| 12M Rtn | -32.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | -79.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -12.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -7.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -14.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -47.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -146.6% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10302025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7242025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4242025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2272025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10302024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7252024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5022024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2222024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10262023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7272023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5042023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2232023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10272022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7282022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4282022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2242022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |