NovoCure (NVCR)
Market Price (11/15/2025): $11.37 | Market Cap: $1.3 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Life Sciences Tools & Services
NovoCure (NVCR)
Market Price (11/15/2025): $11.37Market Cap: $1.3 BilSector: Health CareIndustry: Life Sciences Tools & Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -19% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -51%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -163% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -177 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -28% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -29% | Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.4%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -10% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Oncology Treatments, Show more. | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -18% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -19% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -29% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Oncology Treatments, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -51%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -163% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -177 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -28% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.4%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -10% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -18% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
NVCR Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. NovoCure reported a net loss of $37.3 million in its Q3 2025 earnings, despite beating revenue expectations. While the company's revenue increased by 8% year-over-year to $167.2 million, surpassing analyst estimates of $158.81 million, it remained unprofitable.
2. The launch of the non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) product proved more challenging than anticipated. The company acknowledged that the NSCLC launch was behind expectations in Q3 2025, attributing difficulties to the poor overall health status of these patients, high competition from new targeted drug therapies, and a limited median duration of therapy.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| NVCR Return | 105% | -57% | -2% | -80% | 100% | -62% | -86% |
| Peers Return | 9% | 9% | -18% | -11% | -6% | -53% | -62% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 15% | 109% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| NVCR Win Rate | 58% | 17% | 42% | 33% | 50% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 13% | 17% | 13% | 17% | 45% | 38% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| NVCR Max Drawdown | -32% | -57% | -25% | -85% | -21% | -63% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -4% | -1% | -21% | -17% | -9% | -79% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: SNSE, BDMD, PTHL, WOK, TMO. See NVCR Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/14/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | NVCR | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -95.1% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 1926.8% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -40.4% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 67.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 175 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -45.4% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 83.3% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 87 days | 120 days |
Compare to SNSE, BDMD, PTHL, WOK, TMO
In The Past
NovoCure's stock fell -95.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/23/2021. A -95.1% loss requires a 1926.8% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Would You Still Hold NovoCure Stock If It Fell Another 30%? | Return | ||
| Day 5 of Loss Streak for NovoCure Stock with -34% Return (vs. -63% YTD) [7/30/2025] | Notification | ||
| NVCR Dip Buy Analysis | |||
| NovoCure (NVCR) Stock: 38% of days in last 3 months had 1% or greater fluctuation | |||
| NovoCure (NVCR) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| NovoCure (NVCR) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| NovoCure (NVCR) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| NovoCure (NVCR) Revenue Comparison | Financials | ||
| NovoCure vs. S&P500 Correlation | Correlation | ||
| NovoCure Price Volatility | Volatility | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| NVCR Stock Down -34% after 5-Day Loss Streak | July 31st, 2025 | ||
| Stocks Trading At 52-Week Low | July 29th, 2025 | ||
| Market Movers | Winners: BE, WST, ICLR | Losers: CYH, NVCR, IRDM | July 25th, 2025 | ||
| Will Novocure Stock Rebound After A Large 22% Fall In A Month? | November 24th, 2021 | ||
| What’s Next For Novocure Stock? | April 14th, 2021 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to NVCR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -11.9% | -11.9% | -11.9% |
| 10312025 | DXCM | DexCom | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.3% | -0.3% | -5.8% |
| 10242025 | ACHC | Acadia Healthcare | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -31.5% | -31.5% | -31.5% |
| 10102025 | PBH | Prestige Consumer Healthcare | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.6% | -1.6% | -1.9% |
| 10032025 | REGN | Regeneron Pharmaceuticals | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.6% | 15.6% | -7.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -11.9% | -11.9% | -11.9% |
| 10312025 | DXCM | DexCom | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.3% | -0.3% | -5.8% |
| 10242025 | ACHC | Acadia Healthcare | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -31.5% | -31.5% | -31.5% |
| 10102025 | PBH | Prestige Consumer Healthcare | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.6% | -1.6% | -1.9% |
| 10032025 | REGN | Regeneron Pharmaceuticals | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.6% | 15.6% | -7.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for NovoCure
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 6.14 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.3 |
| Rev LTM | 642 |
| Op Inc LTM | -28 |
| FCF LTM | -24 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -29 |
| CFO LTM | -24 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -29 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 7.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 3.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | 6.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -4.6% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -7.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 6.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 5.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 1.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 1.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 1.3 |
| P/S | 3.5 |
| P/EBIT | -0.4 |
| P/E | -0.4 |
| P/CFO | -0.4 |
| Total Yield | -14.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -4.8% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | -0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -16.3% |
| 3M Rtn | -6.5% |
| 6M Rtn | -55.9% |
| 12M Rtn | -40.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | -71.8% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -11.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -11.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -68.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -59.3% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -150.4% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/30/2025 | -4.9% | ||
| 7/24/2025 | -24.0% | -33.6% | -27.9% |
| 4/24/2025 | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% |
| 1/13/2025 | -0.3% | -4.7% | -22.7% |
| 10/30/2024 | 0.6% | -1.6% | 16.6% |
| 7/25/2024 | -0.7% | 21.2% | -9.6% |
| 5/2/2024 | |||
| 1/8/2024 | 11.6% | 11.7% | |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 7 | 9 | 11 |
| # Negative | 17 | 15 | 13 |
| Median Positive | 1.2% | 6.6% | 10.8% |
| Median Negative | -5.0% | -5.8% | -15.2% |
| Max Positive | 12.0% | 21.2% | 20.6% |
| Max Negative | -24.0% | -33.6% | -27.9% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10302025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7242025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4242025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2272025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10302024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7252024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5022024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2222024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10262023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7272023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5042023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2232023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10272022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7282022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4282022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2242022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| FinViz |