Nutanix (NTNX)
Market Price (11/13/2025): $67.75 | Market Cap: $18.2 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Systems Software
Nutanix (NTNX)
Market Price (11/13/2025): $67.75Market Cap: $18.2 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Systems Software
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 83x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 97x | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 43% | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.2% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Cloud Computing, and Artificial Intelligence. Themes include Hybrid Cloud Solutions, Infrastructure as a Service (IaaS), Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 43% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Cloud Computing, and Artificial Intelligence. Themes include Hybrid Cloud Solutions, Infrastructure as a Service (IaaS), Show more. |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 83x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 97x |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.2% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
NTNX Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are key points highlighting potential reasons for Nutanix (NTNX) stock movement between July 31, 2025, and November 13, 2025:
1. Multiple analyst firms reduced their price targets for Nutanix in late August 2025. JPMorgan Chase & Co. dropped its target from $90.00 to $81.00, Wells Fargo lowered its target from $85 to $71, Needham & Company LLC decreased its target from $92.00 to $80.00, and Barclays adjusted its target from $94 to $82.
2. Nutanix CEO Rajiv Ramaswami conducted a significant insider sale on October 2, 2025. He sold 144,707 shares of the company's stock, amounting to over $11 million.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| NTNX Return | 2% | -0% | -18% | 83% | 28% | 11% | 117% |
| Peers Return | 2% | -1% | -48% | -6% | 82% | -16% | -25% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| NTNX Win Rate | 58% | 42% | 50% | 75% | 50% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 27% | 46% | 23% | 44% | 50% | 55% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| NTNX Max Drawdown | -60% | -20% | -57% | -10% | -6% | -5% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -24% | -15% | -49% | -33% | -44% | -38% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CSCO, NTAP, SNCR, ARQQ, ATGL. See NTNX Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/12/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | NTNX | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -68.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 219.6% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 535 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -66.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 199.6% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 455 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -71.4% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 250.1% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1661 days | 120 days |
Compare to CSCO, NTAP, SNCR, ARQQ, ATGL
In The Past
Nutanix's stock fell -68.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/7/2021. A -68.7% loss requires a 219.6% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Nutanix Earnings Notes | |||
| Is Affirm a Better Buy Than Nutanix? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| With Nutanix Stock Sliding, Have You Assessed The Risk? | Return | ||
| null | |||
| Better Bet Than NTNX Stock: Pay Less Than Nutanix To Get More From ACAD | |||
| NTNX Dip Buy Analysis | |||
| Nutanix Total Shareholder Return (TSR): 48.8% in 2025 and 70.6% 3-yr compounded annual returns (above peer average) | |||
| Nutanix (NTNX) worth $18 Bil (up $1.7 Bil), more valuable than KeyCorp | Notification | ||
| Nutanix (NTNX) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| Nutanix (NTNX) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| Nutanix vs Affirm: Which Stock Could Rally? | November 12th, 2025 | ||
| With Nutanix Stock Down 11% in a Week, Is It Time to Compare It Against Affirm Stock? | October 10th, 2025 | ||
| Big Move for NTNX, but Do AFRM’s Margins and Growth Give It the Edge? | September 10th, 2025 | ||
| How To Trade Nutanix Stock Ahead of Its Earnings? | August 25th, 2025 | ||
| How To Trade NTNX Stock Ahead of Its Earnings? | May 27th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to NTNX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | ZBRA | Zebra Technologies | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -5.2% | -5.2% | -5.2% |
| 10312025 | ACN | Accenture | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -3.0% | -3.0% | -3.5% |
| 10312025 | ADBE | Adobe | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.1% | -2.1% | -3.9% |
| 10312025 | TXN | Texas Instruments | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.1% | -1.1% | -1.3% |
| 10242025 | MRVL | Marvell Technology | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 6.2% | 6.2% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | ZBRA | Zebra Technologies | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -5.2% | -5.2% | -5.2% |
| 10312025 | ACN | Accenture | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -3.0% | -3.0% | -3.5% |
| 10312025 | ADBE | Adobe | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.1% | -2.1% | -3.9% |
| 10312025 | TXN | Texas Instruments | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.1% | -1.1% | -1.3% |
| 10242025 | MRVL | Marvell Technology | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 6.2% | 6.2% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Nutanix
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 49.02 |
| Mkt Cap | 20.3 |
| Rev LTM | 4,564 |
| Op Inc LTM | 804 |
| FCF LTM | 1,204 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 949 |
| CFO LTM | 1,330 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,076 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 4.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 5.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 4.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 19.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 12.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 30.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 25.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 24.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 22.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 20.3 |
| P/S | 4.3 |
| P/EBIT | 19.2 |
| P/E | 24.0 |
| P/CFO | 16.4 |
| Total Yield | 3.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.9% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 6.5% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -3.9% |
| 3M Rtn | -7.9% |
| 6M Rtn | -2.1% |
| 12M Rtn | 11.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | 62.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -7.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -9.9% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -18.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -0.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -7.8% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 8/27/2025 | -5.1% | -1.3% | 10.8% |
| 5/28/2025 | -3.8% | -2.2% | -4.5% |
| 2/26/2025 | 10.4% | 11.2% | 3.8% |
| 11/26/2024 | -7.8% | -5.4% | -13.6% |
| 8/28/2024 | 20.3% | 20.2% | 14.0% |
| 5/29/2024 | -23.1% | -27.2% | -22.4% |
| 2/28/2024 | 7.0% | 9.3% | 4.5% |
| 11/29/2023 | 3.7% | 7.7% | 14.7% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 13 | 12 | 13 |
| # Negative | 11 | 12 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 10.4% | 16.6% | 11.8% |
| Median Negative | -7.9% | -8.7% | -13.1% |
| Max Positive | 29.2% | 32.8% | 26.3% |
| Max Negative | -28.6% | -30.1% | -46.0% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 7312025 | 9242025 | 10-K 7/31/2025 |
| 4302025 | 6032025 | 10-Q 4/30/2025 |
| 1312025 | 3062025 | 10-Q 1/31/2025 |
| 10312024 | 12052024 | 10-Q 10/31/2024 |
| 7312024 | 9192024 | 10-K 7/31/2024 |
| 4302024 | 6102024 | 10-Q 4/30/2024 |
| 1312024 | 3072024 | 10-Q 1/31/2024 |
| 10312023 | 12072023 | 10-Q 10/31/2023 |
| 7312023 | 9212023 | 10-K 7/31/2023 |
| 4302023 | 6022023 | 10-Q 4/30/2023 |
| 1312023 | 5242023 | 10-Q 1/31/2023 |
| 10312022 | 12072022 | 10-Q 10/31/2022 |
| 7312022 | 9212022 | 10-K 7/31/2022 |
| 4302022 | 6022022 | 10-Q 4/30/2022 |
| 1312022 | 3102022 | 10-Q 1/31/2022 |
| 10312021 | 12022021 | 10-Q 10/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Sheppard Teresa Gayle | 10022025 | Sell | 76.40 | 2,900 | 221,565 | 1,757,241 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |