Nutanix (NTNX)
Market Price (11/23/2025): $57.49 | Market Cap: $15.4 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Systems Software
Nutanix (NTNX)
Market Price (11/23/2025): $57.49Market Cap: $15.4 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Systems Software
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 70x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 82x |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 43% | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.1% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Cloud Computing, and Artificial Intelligence. Themes include Hybrid Cloud Solutions, Infrastructure as a Service (IaaS), Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 43% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Cloud Computing, and Artificial Intelligence. Themes include Hybrid Cloud Solutions, Infrastructure as a Service (IaaS), Show more. |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 70x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 82x |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.1% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
NTNX Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
For the approximate time period from July 31, 2025, to November 23, 2025, Nutanix (NTNX) experienced a stock movement of -23.3% due to several key factors: 1. Mixed Market Reaction to Q4 FY2025 Earnings. On August 27, 2025, Nutanix reported its fiscal fourth-quarter 2025 financial results. While the company's non-GAAP earnings per share of $0.37 significantly exceeded the consensus estimate of $0.33, its revenue of $653.3 million slightly missed analyst expectations of $654.1 million. This mixed performance led to a decline in shares during after-hours trading, indicating a somewhat negative market reaction despite the earnings beat. 2. Analyst Downgrades and Price Target Reductions. Following the Q4 earnings announcement, several financial analysts adjusted their ratings and price targets for Nutanix. For instance, on August 28, 2025, Barclays decreased its price target from $94.00 to $82.00, Needham from $92.00 to $80.00, and Wells Fargo from $85.00 to $71.00. Further impacting sentiment, Northland Capital Markets lowered its rating on Nutanix from a "strong-buy" to a "hold" and set a $76.00 price objective on October 9, 2025.
Show moreStock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| NTNX Return | 2% | -0% | -18% | 83% | 28% | -6% | 84% |
| Peers Return | 2% | 10% | -33% | 18% | 27% | -7% | 6% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 12% | 104% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| NTNX Win Rate | 58% | 42% | 50% | 75% | 50% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 38% | 46% | 25% | 40% | 44% | 68% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| NTNX Max Drawdown | -60% | -20% | -57% | -10% | -6% | -6% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -32% | -15% | -37% | -12% | -7% | -25% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CSCO, NTAP, SNCR, CHOW, ECST. See NTNX Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/21/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | NTNX | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -68.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 219.6% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 535 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -66.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 199.6% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 455 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -71.4% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 250.1% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1661 days | 120 days |
Compare to CSCO, NTAP, SNCR, CHOW, ECST
In The Past
Nutanix's stock fell -68.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/7/2021. A -68.7% loss requires a 219.6% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to NTNX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | ZBRA | Zebra Technologies | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -10.5% | -10.5% | -15.2% |
| 10312025 | ACN | Accenture | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.7% | 0.7% | -4.0% |
| 10312025 | ADBE | Adobe | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.7% | -4.7% | -8.2% |
| 10312025 | TXN | Texas Instruments | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.3% | -1.3% | -5.0% |
| 10242025 | MRVL | Marvell Technology | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -7.9% | -7.9% | -8.9% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | ZBRA | Zebra Technologies | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -10.5% | -10.5% | -15.2% |
| 10312025 | ACN | Accenture | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.7% | 0.7% | -4.0% |
| 10312025 | ADBE | Adobe | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.7% | -4.7% | -8.2% |
| 10312025 | TXN | Texas Instruments | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.3% | -1.3% | -5.0% |
| 10242025 | MRVL | Marvell Technology | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -7.9% | -7.9% | -8.9% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Nutanix
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 57.62 |
| Mkt Cap | 18.5 |
| Rev LTM | 4,564 |
| Op Inc LTM | 804 |
| FCF LTM | 1,204 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 949 |
| CFO LTM | 1,330 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,076 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 4.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 5.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 4.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 19.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 12.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 30.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 25.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 24.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 22.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 18.5 |
| P/S | 4.3 |
| P/EBIT | 19.2 |
| P/E | 24.0 |
| P/CFO | 15.3 |
| Total Yield | 3.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 6.5% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -8.9% |
| 3M Rtn | -9.4% |
| 6M Rtn | -8.6% |
| 12M Rtn | -15.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | 62.4% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -6.9% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -11.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -22.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -24.7% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 6.2% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 8/27/2025 | -5.1% | -1.3% | 10.8% |
| 5/28/2025 | -3.8% | -2.2% | -4.5% |
| 2/26/2025 | 10.4% | 11.2% | 3.8% |
| 11/26/2024 | -7.8% | -5.4% | -13.6% |
| 8/28/2024 | 20.3% | 20.2% | 14.0% |
| 5/29/2024 | -23.1% | -27.2% | -22.4% |
| 2/28/2024 | 7.0% | 9.3% | 4.5% |
| 11/29/2023 | 3.7% | 7.7% | 14.7% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 13 | 12 | 13 |
| # Negative | 11 | 12 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 10.4% | 16.6% | 11.8% |
| Median Negative | -7.9% | -8.7% | -13.1% |
| Max Positive | 29.2% | 32.8% | 26.3% |
| Max Negative | -28.6% | -30.1% | -46.0% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 7312025 | 9242025 | 10-K 7/31/2025 |
| 4302025 | 6032025 | 10-Q 4/30/2025 |
| 1312025 | 3062025 | 10-Q 1/31/2025 |
| 10312024 | 12052024 | 10-Q 10/31/2024 |
| 7312024 | 9192024 | 10-K 7/31/2024 |
| 4302024 | 6102024 | 10-Q 4/30/2024 |
| 1312024 | 3072024 | 10-Q 1/31/2024 |
| 10312023 | 12072023 | 10-Q 10/31/2023 |
| 7312023 | 9212023 | 10-K 7/31/2023 |
| 4302023 | 6022023 | 10-Q 4/30/2023 |
| 1312023 | 5242023 | 10-Q 1/31/2023 |
| 10312022 | 12072022 | 10-Q 10/31/2022 |
| 7312022 | 9212022 | 10-K 7/31/2022 |
| 4302022 | 6022022 | 10-Q 4/30/2022 |
| 1312022 | 3102022 | 10-Q 1/31/2022 |
| 10312021 | 12022021 | 10-Q 10/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Sheppard Teresa Gayle | 10022025 | Sell | 76.40 | 2,900 | 221,565 | 1,757,241 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |