Nokia (NOK)
Market Price (11/6/2025): $6.84 | Market Cap: $36.9 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Communications Equipment
Nokia (NOK)
Market Price (11/6/2025): $6.84Market Cap: $36.9 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Communications Equipment
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 40% | Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -3.6% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -5.7% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 40% |
| Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -3.6% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -5.7% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
NOK Stock
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| NOK Return | 5% | 59% | -24% | -24% | 34% | 60% | 107% |
| Peers Return | 38% | 12% | -23% | 63% | 40% | 9% | 196% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 110% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| NOK Win Rate | 58% | 67% | 33% | 42% | 67% | 70% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 43% | 37% | 18% | 40% | 46% | 61% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| NOK Max Drawdown | -35% | -2% | -33% | -33% | -3% | -6% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -21% | -6% | -29% | -7% | -8% | -31% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AAPL, VRT, ERIC, FIEE, SYNX. See NOK Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/5/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | NOK | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -54.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 118.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 693 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -45.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 82.2% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 81 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -49.2% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 97.0% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2169 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -78.7% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 370.3% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 1480 days |
Compare to AAPL, VRT, ERIC, FIEE, SYNX
In The Past
Nokia's stock fell -54.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/27/2021. A -54.2% loss requires a 118.3% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Nokia Stock Dropped 6.5% - Have You Assessed the Risk | Return | ||
| NOK Dip Buy Analysis | |||
| Nokia (NOK) Valuation Ratios Comparison | Financials | ||
| Nokia Total Shareholder Return (TSR): 34.3% in 2024 and -8.3% 3-yr compounded annual returns (below peer average) | |||
| Nokia (NOK) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| Nokia (NOK) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Nokia (NOK) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Nokia (NOK) Revenue Comparison | Financials | ||
| Nokia (NOK) worth $21 Bil (down $0), more valuable than J.B. Hunt Transport Services | Notification | ||
| Nokia (NOK) Stock Has 61% Chance Of Rise In The Next One Month | |||
| ARTICLES | |||
| Nokia Surges as Nvidia Bets $1 Billion on Its AI Future | October 29th, 2025 | ||
| What’s Next For Nokia Stock? | September 11th, 2025 | ||
| NOK Lost 6.1% In A Day. Past Slides Turned Into Crashes. | July 23rd, 2025 | ||
| What Is Fueling Nokia’s 50% Stock Price Increase? | February 21st, 2025 | ||
| Why Is Nokia Stock Up Nearly 40% Over The Last Year? | January 16th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to NOK. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | ZBRA | Zebra Technologies | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.1% | -1.1% | -3.3% |
| 10312025 | ACN | Accenture | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -0.9% | -0.9% | -2.9% |
| 10312025 | ADBE | Adobe | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.4% | -1.4% | -1.5% |
| 10312025 | TXN | Texas Instruments | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.3% | 1.3% | -1.3% |
| 10242025 | MRVL | Marvell Technology | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 10.4% | 10.4% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | ZBRA | Zebra Technologies | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.1% | -1.1% | -3.3% |
| 10312025 | ACN | Accenture | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -0.9% | -0.9% | -2.9% |
| 10312025 | ADBE | Adobe | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.4% | -1.4% | -1.5% |
| 10312025 | TXN | Texas Instruments | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.3% | 1.3% | -1.3% |
| 10242025 | MRVL | Marvell Technology | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 10.4% | 10.4% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Nokia
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 8.30 |
| Mkt Cap | 54.9 |
| Rev LTM | 19,748 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,748 |
| FCF LTM | 1,365 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,432 |
| CFO LTM | 1,904 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 2,024 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 5.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -1.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 10.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 15.4% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 8.0% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.6% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 14.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 12.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 10.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 54.9 |
| P/S | 4.7 |
| P/EBIT | 27.2 |
| P/E | 40.2 |
| P/CFO | 28.3 |
| Total Yield | 2.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.4% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 10.5% |
| 3M Rtn | 30.5% |
| 6M Rtn | 37.6% |
| 12M Rtn | 21.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | 99.2% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 9.3% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 20.4% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 16.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 3.1% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 13.2% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mobile Networks | 9,797 | 10,671 | 9,711 | 10,394 | |
| Network infrastructure | 6,917 | 9,047 | 7,673 | 6,735 | |
| Cloud and Network Services | 3,220 | 3,351 | 3,088 | 3,086 | |
| Nokia Technologies | 1,085 | 1,595 | 1,490 | 1,389 | 1,473 |
| Group Common and Other | 130 | 295 | 240 | 250 | 897 |
| Eliminations and unallocated items | -11 | -48 | -2 | -29 | |
| Networks | 18,207 | ||||
| Nokia Software | 2,767 | ||||
| Total | 21,138 | 24,911 | 22,202 | 21,852 | 23,315 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Network infrastructure | 1,016 | 1,102 | 784 | 457 | |
| Nokia Technologies | 734 | 1,208 | 1,185 | 1,123 | 1,239 |
| Mobile Networks | 723 | 940 | 765 | 819 | |
| Cloud and Network Services | 255 | 177 | 166 | -67 | |
| Group Common and Other | -391 | -318 | -125 | -251 | -490 |
| Eliminations and unallocated items | -676 | -791 | -617 | -1,196 | -1,518 |
| Networks | 665 | ||||
| Nokia Software | 589 | ||||
| Total | 1,661 | 2,318 | 2,158 | 885 | 485 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10232025 | 6-K 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7242025 | 6-K 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4242025 | 6-K 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3132025 | 20-F 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10172024 | 6-K 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7182024 | 6-K 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4182024 | 6-K 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2292024 | 20-F 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10192023 | 6-K 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7202023 | 6-K 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4202023 | 6-K 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3022023 | 20-F 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10202022 | 6-K 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7212022 | 6-K 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4282022 | 6-K 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3032022 | 20-F 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
