Newmont (NEM)
Market Price (11/19/2025): $88.52 | Market Cap: $97.1 BilSector: Materials | Industry: Gold
Newmont (NEM)
Market Price (11/19/2025): $88.52Market Cap: $97.1 BilSector: MaterialsIndustry: Gold
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.7%, FCF Yield is 6.4% | Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 109% | |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27% | Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 56% | |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 44% | ||
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 43%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%, CFO LTM is 9.2 Bil, FCF LTM is 6.1 Bil | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 39% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Sustainable Resource Management, Renewable Energy Transition, Energy Transition & Decarbonization, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.7%, FCF Yield is 6.4% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 44% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 43%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%, CFO LTM is 9.2 Bil, FCF LTM is 6.1 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 39% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Sustainable Resource Management, Renewable Energy Transition, Energy Transition & Decarbonization, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Show more. |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 109% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 56% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
NEM Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points explaining Newmont (NEM) stock movement for the approximate time period from July 31, 2025, to November 19, 2025:
1. Strong Q2 and Q3 2025 Financial Performance.
Newmont reported robust financial results during this period, including a strong second quarter with a record $1.7 billion in free cash flow and approximately 1.5 million attributable gold ounces produced. This was followed by a record third quarter with $1.6 billion in free cash flow, marking four consecutive quarters with over $1 billion in free cash flow, and adjusted net income of $1.71 per diluted share, surpassing forecasts by 18.75%. The company achieved an annual record of $4.5 billion in cash flow with one quarter remaining in 2025.
2. Unprecedented Surge in Gold Prices.
The stock's upward movement was significantly propelled by an unprecedented rally in gold prices, which soared past $4,000 per ounce and touched $4,179.48 by mid-October 2025. Gold prices remained exceptionally strong throughout the quarter, averaging well above $3,500/oz. This surge was driven by a weaker U.S. dollar, investor concerns over a possible government shutdown, renewed trade tensions, persistent global inflation, and expectations of aggressive Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, enhancing gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset. Newmont's dual exposure to gold and copper prices further amplified revenue growth and margin resilience.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| NEM Return | 40% | 7% | -21% | -9% | -8% | 136% | 137% |
| Peers Return | 27% | -5% | -10% | 7% | 20% | 99% | 179% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 13% | 105% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| NEM Win Rate | 50% | 42% | 50% | 58% | 58% | 90% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 37% | 37% | 32% | 45% | 45% | 69% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| NEM Max Drawdown | -9% | -9% | -37% | -26% | -28% | 0% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -18% | -17% | -26% | -16% | -14% | 0% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AEM, FNV, KGC, NAMM, NEM. See NEM Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/18/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | NEM | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -60.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 151.6% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 692 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -24.5% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 32.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 27 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -29.4% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 41.5% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 469 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -61.7% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 161.0% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 561 days | 1480 days |
Compare to AEM, FNV, KGC, NAMM, NEM
In The Past
Newmont's stock fell -60.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/18/2022. A -60.3% loss requires a 151.6% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to NEM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.9% | 2.9% | -2.5% |
| 10312025 | SLGN | Silgan | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.7% | -2.7% | -2.7% |
| 10242025 | TGLS | Tecnoglass | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -24.8% | -24.8% | -25.2% |
| 10242025 | NEM | Newmont | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 4.5% | 4.5% | -5.7% |
| 10242025 | RGLD | Royal Gold | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 0.9% | 0.9% | -7.3% |
| 01312024 | NEM | Newmont | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 44.2% | 28.0% | -13.5% |
| 02282023 | NEM | Newmont | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -7.6% | -28.7% | -28.8% |
| 08312022 | NEM | Newmont | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.3% | -0.4% | -7.4% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.9% | 2.9% | -2.5% |
| 10312025 | SLGN | Silgan | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.7% | -2.7% | -2.7% |
| 10242025 | TGLS | Tecnoglass | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -24.8% | -24.8% | -25.2% |
| 10242025 | NEM | Newmont | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 4.5% | 4.5% | -5.7% |
| 10242025 | RGLD | Royal Gold | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 0.9% | 0.9% | -7.3% |
| 01312024 | NEM | Newmont | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 44.2% | 28.0% | -13.5% |
| 02282023 | NEM | Newmont | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -7.6% | -28.7% | -28.8% |
| 08312022 | NEM | Newmont | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.3% | -0.4% | -7.4% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Newmont
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 126.55 |
| Mkt Cap | 60.6 |
| Rev LTM | 8,506 |
| Op Inc LTM | 3,916 |
| FCF LTM | 2,943 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,658 |
| CFO LTM | 4,593 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 3,131 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 34.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 24.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 33.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 7.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 46.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 30.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 2.7% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 53.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 45.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 31.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 18.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 60.6 |
| P/S | 6.3 |
| P/EBIT | 13.8 |
| P/E | 20.9 |
| P/CFO | 12.3 |
| Total Yield | 5.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.7% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.8% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -4.3% |
| 3M Rtn | 28.6% |
| 6M Rtn | 57.9% |
| 12M Rtn | 109.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | 192.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -4.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 21.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 46.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 106.2% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 120.3% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nevada Gold Mines (NGM) | 2,271 | 2,098 | |||
| Boddington | 1,814 | 1,763 | |||
| Ahafo | 1,130 | 1,023 | |||
| Peñasquito | 901 | 2,189 | |||
| Tanami | 867 | 878 | |||
| Merian | 625 | 723 | |||
| Akyem | 574 | 749 | |||
| Yanacocha | 537 | 451 | |||
| Cerro Negro | 510 | 508 | |||
| Porcupine | 503 | 504 | |||
| Éléonore | 453 | 391 | |||
| Cadia | 422 | ||||
| Musselwhite | 351 | 305 | |||
| Cripple Creek & Victor Gold Mining Company LLC (CC&V) | 332 | 333 | |||
| Lihir | 266 | ||||
| Telfer | 152 | ||||
| Brucejack | 72 | ||||
| Red Chris | 32 | ||||
| Corporate and Other | 0 | 0 | |||
| Gold Sales from Doré Production | 8,490 | 8,534 | 7,975 | ||
| Sales from Concentrate and Other Production | 3,732 | 2,963 | 1,765 | ||
| Total | 11,812 | 11,915 | 12,222 | 11,497 | 9,740 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corporate and Other | 9,844 | 8,369 | |||
| Nevada Gold Mines (NGM) | 7,401 | 7,419 | |||
| Cadia | 6,351 | ||||
| Peñasquito | 4,738 | 6,430 | |||
| Brucejack | 4,006 | ||||
| Lihir | 3,909 | ||||
| Ahafo | 2,823 | 2,619 | |||
| Boddington | 2,376 | 2,264 | |||
| Red Chris | 2,178 | ||||
| Yanacocha | 2,117 | 2,225 | |||
| Tanami | 1,896 | 1,585 | |||
| Cerro Negro | 1,646 | 1,659 | |||
| Porcupine | 1,473 | 1,401 | |||
| Akyem | 1,069 | 998 | |||
| Musselwhite | 1,018 | 1,294 | |||
| Merian | 927 | 923 | |||
| Éléonore | 777 | 1,010 | |||
| Telfer | 574 | ||||
| Cripple Creek & Victor Gold Mining Company LLC (CC&V) | 383 | 286 | |||
| Total | 55,506 | 38,482 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/23/2025 | -6.2% | -7.4% | |
| 7/24/2025 | 6.9% | 1.0% | 15.1% |
| 2/20/2025 | -5.7% | -12.4% | -0.9% |
| 10/23/2024 | -14.7% | -18.7% | -25.0% |
| 7/24/2024 | -4.2% | 2.9% | 7.8% |
| 2/22/2024 | -7.6% | -10.6% | 4.1% |
| 10/26/2023 | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% |
| 7/20/2023 | -6.0% | -3.8% | -14.4% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 7 | 11 | 10 |
| # Negative | 14 | 10 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 2.9% | 2.3% | 9.7% |
| Median Negative | -4.4% | -6.5% | -7.9% |
| Max Positive | 6.9% | 11.0% | 15.4% |
| Max Negative | -14.7% | -18.7% | -25.0% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10232025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7242025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4242025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2212025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10242024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7252024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4292024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2292024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10262023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7202023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4272023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2232023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11012022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7252022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4222022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2242022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Brook Bruce R | 9042025 | Sell | 74.59 | 2,077 | 154,923 | 2,905,206 | Form | |
| 1 | Tabolt Brian | SVP & CAO | 8082025 | Sell | 68.02 | 7,015 | 477,160 | 2,218,472 | Form |
| 2 | Toth Peter | EVP, Chief Sustain & Dev Off | 8052025 | Sell | 63.66 | 3,000 | 190,980 | 3,739,134 | Form |
| 3 | Brook Bruce R | 8052025 | Sell | 63.66 | 2,077 | 132,222 | 2,611,715 | Form | |
| 4 | Brook Bruce R | 7032025 | Sell | 58.75 | 2,077 | 122,024 | 2,532,301 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
