Tearsheet

Nasdaq (NDAQ)


Market Price (12/5/2025): $90.27 | Market Cap: $51.8 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Financial Exchanges & Data

Nasdaq (NDAQ)


Market Price (12/5/2025): $90.27
Market Cap: $51.8 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Financial Exchanges & Data

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%, CFO LTM is 2.3 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.1 Bil
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -31%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 22x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 31x
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 24%
  
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Finance, AI in Financial Services, and Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include ESG Investing & Green Bonds, Show more.
  
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%, CFO LTM is 2.3 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.1 Bil
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 24%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Finance, AI in Financial Services, and Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include ESG Investing & Green Bonds, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -31%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 22x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 31x

Valuation, Metrics & Events

NDAQ Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 5, 2025, experienced a -4.7% movement in Nasdaq (NDAQ) stock due to several key factors.

1. Increased Competition in Exchange Services. Nasdaq faces ongoing competitive pressure in its equity exchange business. New exchanges, such as MEMX and MIAX Pearl Equities, have launched and expanded their offerings, with the Texas Stock Exchange also planned for 2026. This heightened competition could lead to a decline in Nasdaq's market share and impact its trading volumes and listing revenues.

2. Regulatory Scrutiny and Investigations. The European Commission initiated an unannounced inspection at Nasdaq's offices in September 2024, probing potential anti-competitive practices related to financial derivatives. Continued or intensified regulatory investigations could introduce uncertainty, potentially leading to fines or operational restrictions that negatively affect the stock.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
NDAQ Return26%60%-11%-4%35%18%174%
Peers Return13%25%-16%19%6%13%68%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NDAQ Win Rate67%83%33%50%58%60% 
Peers Win Rate55%48%47%62%52%56% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NDAQ Max Drawdown-32%-1%-32%-22%-5%-14% 
Peers Max Drawdown-32%-11%-30%-16%-12%-9% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: SCHW, CME, ICE, CBOE, MKTX. See NDAQ Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventNDAQS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-33.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven49.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven832 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-38.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven62.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven70 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-20.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven26.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven178 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-68.5%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven217.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2282 days1480 days

Compare to SCHW, CME, ICE, CBOE, MKTX


In The Past

Nasdaq's stock fell -33.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/5/2021. A -33.2% loss requires a 49.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Nasdaq (NDAQ)

Better Bets than Nasdaq (NDAQ)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to NDAQ. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.5%7.5%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
15.2%15.2%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.5%-2.5%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-6.2%-6.2%-11.0%
NDAQ_7312023_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper07312023NDAQNasdaqMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
16.3%39.2%-6.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.5%7.5%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
15.2%15.2%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.5%-2.5%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-6.2%-6.2%-11.0%
NDAQ_7312023_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper07312023NDAQNasdaqMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
16.3%39.2%-6.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Nasdaq

Peers to compare with:

Financials

NDAQSCHWCMEICECBOEMKTXMedian
NameNasdaq Charles .CME Intercon.Cboe Glo.MarketAx. 
Mkt Price90.0295.03273.19159.11254.92167.25163.18
Mkt Cap51.6171.698.391.226.76.271.4
Rev LTM8,16822,9146,39712,5544,5328397,283
Op Inc LTM2,322-4,1574,7931,3163462,322
FCF LTM2,098-1,3974,0844,078-1133461,222
FCF 3Y Avg1,7289,4373,6743,5261,0903022,627
CFO LTM2,335-7534,1614,876-424001,367
CFO 3Y Avg1,92010,0753,7564,1511,1503592,838

Growth & Margins

NDAQSCHWCMEICECBOEMKTXMedian
NameNasdaq Charles .CME Intercon.Cboe Glo.MarketAx. 
Rev Chg LTM16.4%22.3%5.8%16.3%19.0%3.4%16.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg10.5%5.4%8.9%10.0%7.9%6.0%8.4%
Rev Chg Q2.9%26.6%-3.0%12.6%20.5%1.0%7.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.7%6.0%-0.7%3.0%4.6%0.3%1.8%
Op Mgn LTM28.4%-65.0%38.2%29.0%41.2%38.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg28.1%-63.1%38.8%28.1%42.0%38.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.4%--0.3%0.7%0.2%-0.3%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM28.6%-3.3%65.0%38.8%-0.9%47.6%33.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg27.2%54.3%63.3%37.8%30.1%45.1%41.4%
FCF/Rev LTM25.7%-6.1%63.8%32.5%-2.5%41.2%29.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg24.5%51.2%61.9%32.1%28.7%38.0%35.0%

Valuation

NDAQSCHWCMEICECBOEMKTXMedian
NameNasdaq Charles .CME Intercon.Cboe Glo.MarketAx. 
Mkt Cap51.6171.698.391.226.76.271.4
P/S6.27.515.27.75.77.77.6
P/EBIT21.4-19.419.919.417.319.4
P/E31.220.925.832.128.529.428.9
P/CFO21.7-229.023.419.8-607.016.118.0
Total Yield4.4%4.8%6.5%4.2%4.5%5.2%4.7%
Dividend Yield1.2%0.0%2.6%1.1%1.0%1.8%1.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg4.8%7.9%4.5%4.3%5.3%3.9%4.6%
D/E0.20.20.00.20.10.00.1
Net D/E0.1-0.40.00.20.0-0.10.0

Returns

NDAQSCHWCMEICECBOEMKTXMedian
NameNasdaq Charles .CME Intercon.Cboe Glo.MarketAx. 
1M Rtn4.8%1.6%2.0%8.3%2.1%4.1%3.1%
3M Rtn-4.3%-2.4%2.2%-8.6%9.2%-6.7%-3.3%
6M Rtn7.8%9.5%0.3%-10.4%15.1%-25.4%4.1%
12M Rtn12.7%18.0%17.4%3.1%21.6%-31.6%15.1%
3Y Rtn38.0%22.2%74.1%54.6%108.1%-38.9%46.3%
1M Excs Rtn3.6%0.3%0.7%7.0%0.9%2.9%1.9%
3M Excs Rtn-9.5%-2.3%-1.5%-14.2%4.1%-16.2%-5.9%
6M Excs Rtn-7.6%-5.9%-15.1%-25.9%-0.3%-40.9%-11.4%
12M Excs Rtn-1.8%4.8%7.7%-11.7%8.3%-48.9%1.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-31.1%-49.8%6.4%-16.1%41.6%-105.4%-23.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Market Services3,1563,632 3,8182,639
Capital Access Platforms1,7701,6821,568  
Financial Technology1,099864   
Corporate Items3948393110
Anti-Financial Crime  231  
Market Platforms  4,048  
Corporate Platforms   521496
Investment Intelligence   898779
Market Technology   357338
Total6,0646,2265,8865,6254,262


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Capital Access Platforms971914844  
Market Services582627 685516
Financial Technology494299   
Corporate Items-469-276-340-242-221
Anti-Financial Crime  44  
Market Platforms  893  
Corporate Platforms   187178
Investment Intelligence   572490
Market Technology   3254
Total1,5781,5641,4411,2341,017


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity7,263,235
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-6.4%
Average Daily Volume2,274,312
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.19
Basic Shares Quantity573,286,343
Short % of Basic Shares1.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251023202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025725202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025428202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024221202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241029202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023221202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231103202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023802202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022223202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221102202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022803202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021223202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0SKULE JEREMYEVP, CSO11052025Sell85.402,105179,7677,256,780Form