Tearsheet

Vail Resorts (MTN)


Market Price (10/23/2025): $149.55 | Market Cap: $5.5 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines

Vail Resorts (MTN)


Market Price (10/23/2025): $149.55
Market Cap: $5.5 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.6%, FCF Yield is 5.9%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -81%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -103%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 55%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12%
 
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 34%
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.6%, FCF Yield is 5.9%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 34%
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -81%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -103%
4 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 55%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

MTN Stock


Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
MTN Return18%18%-25%-7%-8%-17%-26%
Peers Return65%25%-22%45%10%-1%155%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%106%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MTN Win Rate58%42%33%50%42%33% 
Peers Win Rate55%50%40%50%48%58% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%67% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MTN Max Drawdown-44%-6%-37%-11%-20%-29% 
Peers Max Drawdown-45%-15%-35%-17%-11%-23% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: DKNG, H, SCI, HGV, VAC. See MTN Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 10/22/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventMTNS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-45.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven82.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-48.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven93.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven220 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-40.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven66.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven764 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-77.5%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven345.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1530 days1480 days

Compare to DKNG, H, SCI, HGV, VAC


In The Past

Vail Resorts's stock fell -45.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/5/2021. A -45.3% loss requires a 82.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Vail Resorts (MTN)

Better Bets than Vail Resorts (MTN)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to MTN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ANF_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025ANFAbercrombie & FitchDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-19.3%-19.3%-22.1%
DECK_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025DECKDeckers OutdoorDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.6%1.6%-6.2%
CHH_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025CHHChoice Hotels InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.6%-4.6%-7.9%
VAC_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025VACMarriott Vacations WorldwideDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
3.9%3.9%-6.1%
FUN_9302025_Short_Squeeze09302025FUNSix Flags EntertainmentSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
12.8%12.8%-11.7%
MTN_4302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield04302025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.4%12.4%-1.3%
MTN_6302022_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield06302022MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
11.0%19.6%-6.5%
MTN_1312019_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield01312019MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
32.0%28.5%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ANF_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025ANFAbercrombie & FitchDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-19.3%-19.3%-22.1%
DECK_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025DECKDeckers OutdoorDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.6%1.6%-6.2%
CHH_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025CHHChoice Hotels InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.6%-4.6%-7.9%
VAC_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025VACMarriott Vacations WorldwideDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
3.9%3.9%-6.1%
FUN_9302025_Short_Squeeze09302025FUNSix Flags EntertainmentSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
12.8%12.8%-11.7%
MTN_4302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield04302025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.4%12.4%-1.3%
MTN_6302022_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield06302022MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
11.0%19.6%-6.5%
MTN_1312019_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield01312019MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
32.0%28.5%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Vail Resorts

Financials

MTNDKNGHSCIHGVVACMedian
NameVail Res.DraftKin.Hyatt Ho.Service .Hilton G.Marriott. 
Mkt Price149.5134.70152.0382.2146.0971.8777.04
Mkt Cap5.517.214.511.74.42.58.6
Rev LTM2,9645,4106,7574,2474,9735,0785,026
Op Inc LTM538-333439969628589564
FCF LTM32038513260420870264
FCF 3Y Avg3405420496273150307
CFO LTM5555143001,005347132430
CFO 3Y Avg594125603881379234486

Growth & Margins

MTNDKNGHSCIHGVVACMedian
NameVail Res.DraftKin.Hyatt Ho.Service .Hilton G.Marriott. 
Rev Chg LTM2.7%25.8%0.9%2.6%18.4%7.7%5.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg5.7%53.4%14.2%0.6%20.8%5.3%9.9%
Rev Chg Q2.2%36.9%6.2%3.0%-0.7%9.3%4.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.2%8.2%1.6%0.7%-0.2%2.1%1.2%
Op Mgn LTM18.1%-6.2%6.5%22.8%12.6%11.6%12.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg18.8%-18.7%6.1%21.8%16.0%12.9%14.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.4%4.2%-0.8%-0.1%-1.8%0.5%-0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM18.7%9.5%4.4%23.7%7.0%2.6%8.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg20.4%1.0%9.1%21.2%8.8%4.9%8.9%
FCF/Rev LTM10.8%7.1%2.0%14.2%4.2%1.4%5.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg11.7%-1.9%6.3%11.9%6.4%3.1%6.4%

Valuation

MTNDKNGHSCIHGVVACMedian
NameVail Res.DraftKin.Hyatt Ho.Service .Hilton G.Marriott. 
Mkt Cap5.517.214.511.74.42.58.6
P/S1.83.22.22.70.90.52.0
P/EBIT9.5-59.116.312.29.44.79.4
P/E19.5-56.633.621.8129.59.720.7
P/CFO9.833.548.411.612.719.015.8
Total Yield6.6%-1.8%3.4%4.6%0.8%14.7%4.0%
Dividend Yield1.5%0.0%0.4%0.0%0.0%4.3%0.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg4.8%-0.4%3.1%4.7%6.0%4.2%4.5%
D/E0.60.10.40.41.62.10.5
Net D/E0.60.00.40.41.52.10.5

Returns

MTNDKNGHSCIHGVVACMedian
NameVail Res.DraftKin.Hyatt Ho.Service .Hilton G.Marriott. 
1M Rtn5.6%-20.8%9.4%0.6%5.7%-2.7%3.1%
3M Rtn-5.9%-22.6%3.2%7.5%-9.9%-14.4%-7.9%
6M Rtn10.9%1.9%37.4%3.1%36.6%38.5%23.7%
12M Rtn-7.5%-7.9%-1.0%10.0%24.6%-2.6%-1.8%
3Y Rtn-19.3%162.7%73.6%47.3%23.5%-43.7%35.4%
1M Excs Rtn2.6%-20.4%9.1%0.4%5.0%-1.9%1.5%
3M Excs Rtn-9.0%-26.5%-0.7%3.0%-13.5%-17.1%-11.3%
6M Excs Rtn-13.8%-22.7%12.8%-21.5%11.9%13.8%-0.9%
12M Excs Rtn-22.9%-24.0%-15.0%-4.0%4.6%-19.8%-17.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-103.3%81.7%-2.7%-40.5%-58.5%-124.1%-49.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Mountain2,5412,2131,7031,7101,808
Lodging340312205248463
Real Estate81251
Total2,8892,5261,9101,9642,272


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date9302025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity4,325,851
Short Interest: % Change Since 91520252.8%
Average Daily Volume914,512
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.73
Basic Shares Quantity36,525,000
Short % of Basic Shares11.8%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
9/29/20251.0%6.9% 
6/5/2025-2.9%-0.8%8.9%
3/10/20257.7%5.8%-13.3%
12/9/20242.5%0.3%-4.8%
9/26/2024-3.9%-7.4%-9.3%
6/6/2024-10.3%-6.5%-9.5%
3/11/20240.7%-0.6%4.3%
12/7/20234.1%6.1%-1.6%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive14109
# Negative101415
Median Positive2.0%6.0%5.9%
Median Negative-4.3%-4.5%-9.4%
Max Positive7.7%8.6%11.5%
Max Negative-10.3%-15.5%-16.2%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
7312025929202510-K 7/31/2025
4302025605202510-Q 4/30/2025
1312025310202510-Q 1/31/2025
103120241209202410-Q 10/31/2024
7312024926202410-K 7/31/2024
4302024606202410-Q 4/30/2024
1312024311202410-Q 1/31/2024
103120231207202310-Q 10/31/2023
7312023928202310-K 7/31/2023
4302023608202310-Q 4/30/2023
1312023309202310-Q 1/31/2023
103120221208202210-Q 10/31/2022
7312022928202210-K 7/31/2022
4302022609202210-Q 4/30/2022
1312022314202210-Q 1/31/2022
103120211209202110-Q 10/31/2021

Insider Activity

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