Morgan Stanley (MS)


Market Price (8/2/2026): $210.6 | Market Cap: $328.7 BilInvestor Relations Sector: Financials | Industry: Investment Banking & Brokerage

Morgan Stanley (MS)


Market Price (8/2/2026): $210.6
Market Cap: $328.7 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Investment Banking & Brokerage

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.5%, Dividend Yield is 2.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.2%

Stock buyback support
Stock Buyback 3Y Total is 17 Bil

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 28%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, Digital & Alternative Assets, AI in Financial Services, and Sustainable Finance. Show more.

Moderate capital ratio
Tier 1 Capital / Risk Wtd Assets RatioTier 1 Capital / Risk-Weighted Assets is a common measure of financial strength for a bank. It reflects how much equity there is relative to assets where assets are weighted based on riskiness. Low ratios indicate the bank is highly vulnerable to even small changes in the value of their risk assets. is 9.5%

Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 80%

Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.5%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.7%

Key risks
MS key risks include [1] significant regulatory investigations into whether its wealth management division failed to adequately vet high-risk clients, Show more.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.5%, Dividend Yield is 2.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.2%
1 Stock buyback support
Stock Buyback 3Y Total is 17 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 28%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, Digital & Alternative Assets, AI in Financial Services, and Sustainable Finance. Show more.
4 Moderate capital ratio
Tier 1 Capital / Risk Wtd Assets RatioTier 1 Capital / Risk-Weighted Assets is a common measure of financial strength for a bank. It reflects how much equity there is relative to assets where assets are weighted based on riskiness. Low ratios indicate the bank is highly vulnerable to even small changes in the value of their risk assets. is 9.5%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 80%
6 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.5%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.7%
7 Key risks
MS key risks include [1] significant regulatory investigations into whether its wealth management division failed to adequately vet high-risk clients, Show more.

MS in ETFs

Weight = MS's share of each fund

SPY0.40%
VOO0.39%
IVV0.39%
VTI0.34%
ITOT0.36%
IWB0.35%
RSP0.20%
VTV0.93%
+31 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 11.0% change in MS stock from 4/30/2026 to 8/1/2026 was primarily driven by a 4.3% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)43020268012026Change
Stock Price ($)189.55210.4211.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)65,96668,7734.3%
Net Income Margin (%)25.6%26.3%3.0%
P/E Multiple17.618.13.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1,5651,5610.3%
Cumulative Contribution11.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2026 to 8/1/2026
ReturnCorrelation
MS11.0% 
Market (SPY)3.9%61.0%
Sector (XLF)9.2%45.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The 16.4% change in MS stock from 1/31/2026 to 8/1/2026 was primarily driven by a 7.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)13120268012026Change
Stock Price ($)180.83210.4216.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)64,24768,7737.0%
Net Income Margin (%)25.2%26.3%4.6%
P/E Multiple17.618.13.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1,5711,5610.6%
Cumulative Contribution16.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2026 to 8/1/2026
ReturnCorrelation
MS16.4% 
Market (SPY)8.3%64.5%
Sector (XLF)7.1%65.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The 51.1% change in MS stock from 7/31/2025 to 8/1/2026 was primarily driven by a 17.5% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)73120258012026Change
Stock Price ($)139.30210.4251.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)59,92368,77314.8%
Net Income Margin (%)23.9%26.3%10.4%
P/E Multiple15.418.117.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1,5841,5611.5%
Cumulative Contribution51.1%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2025 to 8/1/2026
ReturnCorrelation
MS51.1% 
Market (SPY)19.2%64.6%
Sector (XLF)10.0%66.9%

Fundamental Drivers

The 151.9% change in MS stock from 7/31/2023 to 8/1/2026 was primarily driven by a 37.7% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)73120238012026Change
Stock Price ($)83.52210.42151.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)49,92768,77337.7%
Net Income Margin (%)20.7%26.3%27.1%
P/E Multiple13.318.136.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1,6451,5615.4%
Cumulative Contribution151.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2023 to 8/1/2026
ReturnCorrelation
MS151.9% 
Market (SPY)68.9%67.8%
Sector (XLF)68.4%77.0%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
MS Return47%-10%14%40%45%20%263%
Peers Return37%-16%19%44%46%10%216%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%9%98%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MS Win Rate75%50%50%58%75%71% 
Peers Win Rate62%42%53%65%70%46% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%43% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MS Max Drawdown-12%-32%-29%-13%-29%-19% 
Peers Max Drawdown-16%-37%-23%-14%-28%-18% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: GS, JPM, BAC, C, WFC. See MS Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 7/31/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventMSS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-29.0%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven40.9%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven83 days79 days
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-10.2%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven11.4%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven24 days18 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-24.7%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven32.9%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven55 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-17.6%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven21.4%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven348 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-26.1%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven35.3%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven214 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-50.6%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven102.5%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven231 days140 days

Compare to GS, JPM, BAC, C, WFC

In The Past

Morgan Stanley's stock fell -29.0% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 40.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventMSS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-29.0%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven40.9%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven83 days79 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-24.7%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven32.9%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven55 days24 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-26.1%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven35.3%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven214 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-50.6%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven102.5%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven231 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-20.9%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven26.4%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven109 days105 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-42.5%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven74.0%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven273 days62 days
2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse
  % Loss-35.2%-6.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven54.4%7.3%
  Time to Breakeven253 days15 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-47.7%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven91.3%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven487 days123 days
2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash
  % Loss-26.1%-15.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven35.3%18.2%
  Time to Breakeven231 days125 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-82.7%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven479.4%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven3169 days1085 days
Summer 2007 Credit Crunch
  % Loss-21.8%-8.6%
  % Gain to Breakeven27.8%9.5%
  Time to Breakeven4842 days47 days

Compare to GS, JPM, BAC, C, WFC

In The Past

Morgan Stanley's stock fell -29.0% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 40.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Morgan Stanley (MS)

Morgan Stanley (MS) is a leading global financial services firm that provides a comprehensive range of financial products and services across the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and Asia. It primarily serves large corporations, governments, financial institutions, and individual investors. The company organizes its operations into three main segments: Institutional Securities, Wealth Management, and Investment Management.

The Institutional Securities segment is a core part of Morgan Stanley's business, assisting corporations and governments with critical financial needs. This includes capital raising through the underwriting of debt and equity securities, as well as providing strategic financial advisory services for mergers, acquisitions, and restructurings. This segment also encompasses significant sales and trading activities across various asset classes like equities, fixed income, foreign exchange, and commodities, along with corporate lending. Separately, the Investment Management segment focuses on managing a diverse array of investment products, including equities, fixed income, and alternative investments, for institutional clients such as pension funds, endowments, and sovereign wealth funds.

The Wealth Management segment caters to individual investors and small to medium-sized businesses, offering a broad suite of financial advisory and brokerage services. These services include personalized investment planning, self-directed trading platforms, various lending products like securities-based and residential real estate loans, comprehensive banking solutions, and retirement plan services. This segment is dedicated to helping clients manage, preserve, and grow their personal and business wealth through tailored financial advice and solutions.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Similar to Goldman Sachs, but with a significantly larger focus on managing investments for individuals and families, alongside its core investment banking operations.
  • Think of it as a blend of Goldman Sachs' high-stakes investment banking and Fidelity's comprehensive wealth management services.

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  • Investment Banking: Provides capital raising services through underwriting debt and equity, and financial advisory on mergers, acquisitions, and restructurings.
  • Sales & Trading: Offers brokerage, financing, prime brokerage, and market-making services across equity and fixed income products, including foreign exchange and commodities.
  • Wealth Management Services: Delivers financial advisor-led and self-directed brokerage, investment advisory, and comprehensive financial and wealth planning services to individual and small business clients.
  • Lending Solutions: Provides secured corporate and commercial real estate loans, asset-backed and mortgage lending, as well as securities-based and residential real estate loans for clients.
  • Investment Management Products: Offers a variety of equity, fixed income, liquidity, and alternative investment products to institutional clients like pension plans, endowments, and corporations.
  • Workplace & Retirement Services: Administers stock plans and provides comprehensive retirement plan services for businesses and institutions.
  • Annuity & Insurance Products: Sells various annuity and insurance products to individual clients.

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Morgan Stanley (MS) Major Customers

Morgan Stanley serves a diverse client base across its three segments. Given its significant Wealth Management segment, which caters directly to individual investors and small to medium-sized businesses, the company serves categories of customers rather than primarily listing other specific company names.

  • Individual Investors: Clients seeking financial advisor-led or self-directed brokerage, investment advisory, wealth planning, and lending services through the Wealth Management segment.
  • Small to Medium-sized Businesses: Businesses utilizing financial and wealth planning, workplace services, lending products, and retirement plan services offered by the Wealth Management segment.
  • Institutional Clients and Corporations: This broad category includes corporations, governments, financial institutions, benefit/defined contribution plans, foundations, endowments, sovereign wealth funds, insurance companies, and third-party fund sponsors, served by the Institutional Securities and Investment Management segments for services such as capital raising, financial advisory, sales and trading, and investment management products.

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Ted Pick - Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Ted Pick became Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of Morgan Stanley in January 2025 and January 2024, respectively. He joined Morgan Stanley as an analyst in 1990 and has spent his entire professional career at the firm. He held various leadership roles including Head of Institutional Equities, Global Head of Sales and Trading, where he engineered a turnaround of the firm's Fixed Income Division, Co-President, Co-Head of Firm Strategy, and Head of the Institutional Securities Group.

Sharon Yeshaya - Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Sharon Yeshaya became Chief Financial Officer of Morgan Stanley in June 2021 and serves as Executive Vice President. She began her career at Morgan Stanley in 2001 as an analyst in the Mergers & Acquisitions department. Her roles within the firm have included Head of Investor Relations, Chief of Staff in the Office of the Chairman and CEO, and Co-Head of New Product Origination for Derivative Structured Products.

James P. Gorman - Chairman Emeritus

James P. Gorman served as CEO of Morgan Stanley from January 2010 until December 2023 and Chairman from January 2012 until December 2023, before transitioning to Executive Chairman from January to December 2024 and Chairman Emeritus in January 2025. He joined Morgan Stanley in 2006 as the Head of Global Wealth Management and was instrumental in leading the merger of Morgan Stanley's wealth management business with Smith Barney in 2009, creating one of the largest wealth management platforms globally. Prior to joining Morgan Stanley, he held executive positions at Merrill Lynch and was a senior partner at McKinsey & Co. He began his career as an attorney in Melbourne, Australia.

Andy Saperstein - Co-President

Andy Saperstein is Co-President of Morgan Stanley, responsible for all Wealth and Investment Management channels, the U.S. Banks business, Firmwide Artificial Intelligence, and the Integrated Firm Management organizations. He joined Morgan Stanley in 2006 as COO of National Sales and became Head of U.S. Wealth Management following the acquisition of Smith Barney in 2009. Before joining Morgan Stanley, he was COO of the Direct Division at Merrill Lynch and a partner in the Financial Institutions Group of McKinsey & Company.

Dan Simkowitz - Co-President

Dan Simkowitz is Co-President of Morgan Stanley, responsible for the Institutional Securities Group. He began his career at Morgan Stanley in 1990 in the M&A department. He previously served as Co-Head of Global Capital Markets and was the lead capital markets partner for the firm's assignments with the U.S. Treasury and Federal Reserve during the 2008-2012 financial crisis. In 2016, he was appointed Head of Morgan Stanley Investment Management (MSIM) and led the firm's acquisitions of Eaton Vance/Parametric and Mesa West, as well as the growth of its private markets and alternatives platform.

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The key risks to Morgan Stanley's business are:
  1. Market Volatility and Economic Uncertainties: Morgan Stanley's operations, particularly its Institutional Securities and Investment Management segments, are highly sensitive to global financial market conditions, economic downturns, and geopolitical events. Fluctuations in interest rates, equity markets, and commodity prices, as well as broader economic uncertainties and geopolitical tensions, can significantly impact the firm's trading revenues, asset valuations, and capital-raising activities.
  2. Legal, Regulatory, and Compliance Exposure: As a large, global financial institution, Morgan Stanley is subject to extensive and complex laws, regulations, and governmental oversight across numerous jurisdictions. Non-compliance with these evolving legal and regulatory frameworks, including those related to capital requirements, liquidity, data privacy, and market conduct, could result in substantial fines, penalties, disgorgement, reputational damage, and restrictions on its business activities.
  3. Operational and Cybersecurity Threats: Morgan Stanley relies heavily on technology and complex systems for its global operations, handling vast amounts of sensitive client data. This exposes the firm to significant operational risks, including system failures, human error, and external threats such as cyberattacks and data breaches. Such incidents could lead to financial losses, disruption of services, reputational harm, and erosion of client trust.

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The proliferation of digital-first, low-cost or commission-free investment platforms and robo-advisors that directly compete with and aim to disrupt traditional wealth management and brokerage services, particularly impacting Morgan Stanley's Wealth Management segment.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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Morgan Stanley (MS) operates across three main segments: Institutional Securities, Wealth Management, and Investment Management. The addressable markets for their key products and services are substantial and span globally across various regions.

Institutional Securities

This segment focuses on capital raising, financial advisory, and sales and trading services.

  • Investment Banking Market:
    • Globally, the investment banking market was valued at approximately $111.0 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to $221.89 billion by 2033, demonstrating a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 8.0%. Another estimate places the global market at $110.12 billion in 2025, with a projection to reach $214.90 billion by 2034 at a CAGR of 7.80%.
    • North America held a valuation of $44.72 billion in 2025 and is considered the fastest-growing region, holding over 34% of the market share in 2023.
    • The Asia Pacific market for investment banking was valued at $23.99 billion in 2025 and is anticipated to experience the highest CAGR during the forecast period.
    • The GCC (Gulf Cooperation Council) market within the Middle East & Africa is expected to be $1.89 billion in 2025.
  • Mergers & Acquisitions (M&A) Advisory Market:
    • The global M&A advisory market was valued at $27.946 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach $34.802 billion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 2.5%. Other sources indicate a global market size of $26.50 billion in 2024, growing to $31.91 billion by 2033 with a 2.5% CAGR, and another report estimates the market at $50 billion in 2025 with a projected CAGR of 7% between 2025 and 2033. The global M&A deal value reached approximately $3.2 trillion in 2023.
    • North America and Europe combined held a 70% share of the market in 2025. Specifically, the United States accounted for 38% of the global market share in 2023.
    • The Asia-Pacific region contributed 22% in 2023 and is anticipated to witness the fastest growth rate. It represented 20.74% of the global market share in 2025.
    • Africa is projected to have a high growth rate with a 5.0% CAGR, and the Middle East with a 3.1% CAGR.
  • Debt Underwriting Services Market:
    • The global debt underwriting services market was valued at $27.63 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach $38.88 billion by 2032, growing at a CAGR of 5.0%. Another report estimated the market at $12.5 billion in 2023, projected to reach $27 billion by 2030, exhibiting a CAGR of 11.50%.
    • North America is expected to dominate this market in 2025, accounting for approximately 45% of the global share.
    • The Asia-Pacific region is anticipated to witness the fastest growth, holding around 20% of the global share, driven by increasing infrastructure investments and urbanization.
    • The Middle East and Africa region is gradually emerging, holding about 5% of the global share.
  • Equity Underwriting:
    • Global equity issuance totaled $504.8 billion in 2024. Through the first nine months of 2025, global equity issuance totaled US$527 billion.
    • U.S. IPO activity was up 17% to US$30.4 billion through the first nine months of 2025.
    • China recorded an 83% jump in IPOs to US$15.5 billion through the first nine months of 2025.
  • Sales and Trading (Equity and Fixed Income):
    • The global equity market capitalization increased to $126.7 trillion in 2024, with another source stating $127 trillion in 2024. It is expected to climb from US $139 trillion in 2024 to $200 trillion by 2030.
    • The U.S. stock market alone accounted for $62.2 trillion in 2024, representing 49.1% of the total global equity value.
    • Global fixed income markets outstanding increased to $145.1 trillion in 2024.
    • The overall global capital markets exceeded $1 quadrillion in 2023.

Wealth Management

This segment provides brokerage, investment advisory, financial planning, lending, and retirement services to individuals and small to medium-sized businesses.

  • Wealth Management Market:
    • The global wealth management market was valued at $1.83 trillion in 2024 and is poised to grow to $5.95 trillion by 2033, with a CAGR of 14%. Another report indicates a value of $1.636 trillion in 2024, projected to surpass $4.893 trillion by 2034, at a CAGR of 10.6%.
    • The total investable wealth worldwide is expected to exceed $481 trillion by 2030.
  • Financial Advisory Services Market:
    • The global financial advisory services market size was valued at $103.01 billion in 2024 and is estimated to grow to $174.33 billion by 2033, with a CAGR of 6.02%. Other estimates include a market size of $85.1 billion in 2022, projected to reach $146.8 billion by 2032 (CAGR of 5.5%), and $134.81 billion in 2025, projected to reach $245.54 billion by 2032 at a CAGR of 8.94%.
    • North America dominated the financial advisory services market in 2020 and is expected to retain its leading position.
    • The Asia-Pacific region is expected to witness significant growth and has emerged as the fastest-growing region.
  • Wealth Management Platform Market:
    • The global wealth management platform market size was valued at $3.73 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to $9.99 billion by 2034, exhibiting a CAGR of 11.40%.
    • North America dominated this market with a 33.10% share in 2025.
    • Asia Pacific is likely to be the fastest-growing market during the forecast period.

Investment Management

This segment provides equity, fixed income, liquidity, and alternative products to institutional and intermediary clients.

  • Asset Management Market:
    • The global asset management market was valued at $432.77 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to $1,122.04 billion by 2034, with a CAGR of 12.6%. Other sources indicate a global market size of $469 billion in 2024, projected to grow to $6 trillion by 2034 with a CAGR of 29.9%, and $458.02 billion in 2023, expected to reach $3,677.39 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 36.4%.
    • The global asset management industry grew to a record-breaking $128 trillion in assets under management (AuM) in 2024. PwC estimates global AuM is projected to surge from US $139 trillion in 2024 to $200 trillion by 2030.
    • Specifically, the global investment management market was recorded at $1.343 trillion in 2025 and is projected to reach $2.487 trillion by 2033, demonstrating a CAGR of 8.01%.
    • North America held the dominant asset management market share of 47.00% in 2025 and remains the dominant market powerhouse.
    • The Asia-Pacific region is the fastest-growing leader, projected to hold 21.4% of the global market in 2025.
    • Europe represents a major asset management market.
  • Private Equity Market (Alternative Investments):
    • The global private equity market size was valued at $6.749 trillion in 2025 and is projected to grow to $20.242 trillion by 2034, exhibiting a CAGR of 13.2%. Another report states a valuation of $6.92 billion in 2025, poised to grow to $16.19 billion by 2033 at a CAGR of 11.2%.
    • North America dominated the global private equity market, accounting for 48.3% of the market share in 2025.
    • Asia-Pacific is the fastest-growing private equity region.
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AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are the expected drivers of future revenue growth for Morgan Stanley (MS) over the next 2-3 years:

Expected Revenue Growth Drivers for Morgan Stanley (MS)

  1. Wealth Management Expansion and Net New Asset Growth: Morgan Stanley is strategically focused on expanding its Wealth Management segment, with an ambition to reach $10 trillion in total client assets across Wealth and Investment Management. This growth is anticipated through sustained net new asset (NNA) momentum, which supports recurring fee growth and reduces revenue cyclicality. The firm plans to achieve this by deepening existing client relationships through its financial advisor-led services, leveraging platforms like E-TRADE to attract and convert mass-affluent clients into advisory relationships, and continuously enhancing its product suites and client channels.
  2. Growth in Private Markets and Alternative Investments: A key strategic initiative involves expanding offerings in private credit and alternative investments. Following acquisitions like Eaton Vance, Morgan Stanley is building out its private credit and real estate platforms to cater to increasing institutional and high-net-worth client demand for non-correlated returns. This focus on private assets and alternatives is expected to be a significant driver of asset management revenue.
  3. Rebound in Investment Banking and Capital Markets Activity: There is an expectation for a rebound in investment banking and capital markets. This includes an anticipated increase in advisory services, equity underwriting, and mergers and acquisitions (M&A) activity. Despite a sometimes "complicated" macro backdrop, the firm's leadership has expressed cautious optimism about dealmaking, citing a strong pipeline of potential transactions and increased client engagement in areas like equity trading and structured products.
  4. Technology Investments and Artificial Intelligence (AI) Integration: Morgan Stanley is making significant multi-year investments in technology, including the integration of artificial intelligence (AI) tools across the enterprise. These investments are aimed at driving efficiency gains, enhancing client solutions, and unlocking long-term revenue opportunities. Specific applications include AI-assisted advice to increase advisor-client interaction time, improvements in trading and market-making margins through cloud and low-latency execution, and exploration of tokenization for private asset access.

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Share Repurchases

  • Morgan Stanley reauthorized a multi-year common equity share repurchase program of up to $20 billion, without a set expiration date, beginning in the third quarter of 2025.
  • The firm repurchased $4.6 billion of its outstanding common stock in 2025 as part of its share repurchase program.
  • A similar $20 billion multi-year share repurchase program was reauthorized in the third quarter of 2024 and 2023. In 2021, the company was authorized to buy back up to $10 billion of stock.

Outbound Investments

  • In January 2026, Morgan Stanley acquired Security 101 and Olsson. Additionally, in January 2026, Morgan Stanley acquired EquityZen, a platform for trading shares of private companies, aligning with its strategy to deepen exposure to high-growth private firms and broaden investment opportunities for wealth-management clients.
  • Morgan Stanley made 5 acquisitions in 2024 and 5 in 2023, including ClearMedi for $35 million and Valoriza Servicios Medioambientales for $789 million.
  • The company is evaluating "tuck-in" acquisitions to bolster its core strategy in wealth and investment management or investment banking, aiming to expand capabilities, improve operational efficiency, and enter new markets.

Capital Expenditures

  • Morgan Stanley's capital expenditures were -$2.31 billion in 2021, -$3.08 billion in 2022, -$3.41 billion in 2023, and -$3.46 billion in 2024.
  • Capital expenditures are considered essential for maintaining and growing the business, specifically for investments in long-term assets such as property, equipment, and technology.

Latest Trefis Analyses

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Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

MSGSJPMBACCWFCMedian
NameMorgan S.Goldman .JPMorgan.Bank of .CitigroupWells Fa. 
Mkt Price210.421,018.38351.7961.95132.4586.45171.44
Mkt Cap328.5309.4955.5443.0230.1263.2318.9
Rev LTM68,77360,448186,941121,09888,08986,79687,442
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM-3,950-41,922-107,70494,742-37,21519,170-20,582
FCF 3Y Avg-19,034-39,555-92,44739,706-57,16311,220-29,294
CFO LTM-1,011-39,792-107,70494,742-30,79719,170-15,904
CFO 3Y Avg-15,765-37,408-92,44739,706-50,70211,220-26,587

Growth & Margins

MSGSJPMBACCWFCMedian
NameMorgan S.Goldman .JPMorgan.Bank of .CitigroupWells Fa. 
Rev Chg LTM14.8%11.2%8.2%9.7%8.4%6.5%9.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg11.4%9.1%11.4%6.5%5.2%2.4%7.8%
Rev Chg Q17.0%14.4%9.9%15.0%14.2%10.0%14.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM4.3%3.7%2.5%3.5%3.6%2.4%3.6%
Op Inc Chg LTM-------
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg-------
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM-1.5%-65.8%-57.6%78.2%-35.0%22.1%-18.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-28.1%-70.2%-52.4%34.5%-62.1%13.1%-40.2%
FCF/Rev LTM-5.7%-69.4%-57.6%78.2%-42.2%22.1%-24.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-33.6%-74.2%-52.4%34.5%-70.0%13.1%-43.0%

Valuation

MSGSJPMBACCWFCMedian
NameMorgan S.Goldman .JPMorgan.Bank of .CitigroupWells Fa. 
Mkt Cap328.5309.4955.5443.0230.1263.2318.9
P/S4.85.15.13.72.63.04.2
P/Op Inc-------
P/EBIT-------
P/E18.117.116.213.214.411.615.3
P/CFO-324.9-7.8-8.94.7-7.513.7-7.6
Total Yield7.5%7.7%8.0%9.8%9.3%10.7%8.6%
Dividend Yield2.0%1.9%1.8%2.2%2.3%2.1%2.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-9.8%-19.6%-11.4%10.6%-37.1%5.2%-10.6%
D/E1.21.40.50.91.70.81.1
Net D/E0.80.8-0.4-0.4-1.10.0-0.2

Returns

MSGSJPMBACCWFCMedian
NameMorgan S.Goldman .JPMorgan.Bank of .CitigroupWells Fa. 
1M Rtn-1.1%-0.3%5.7%5.5%-5.4%1.1%0.4%
3M Rtn11.3%10.7%13.1%17.0%4.4%7.6%11.0%
6M Rtn16.4%9.9%16.1%17.7%15.6%-3.4%15.9%
12M Rtn54.7%46.4%23.9%38.6%47.5%13.6%42.5%
3Y Rtn158.3%211.2%141.8%114.1%215.5%106.6%150.0%
1M Excs Rtn-0.2%-0.2%5.7%6.1%-5.6%0.5%0.1%
3M Excs Rtn7.1%6.8%8.9%12.6%0.1%1.8%7.0%
6M Excs Rtn9.8%1.9%8.4%10.5%8.6%-11.1%8.5%
12M Excs Rtn31.8%24.5%1.9%14.3%23.7%-9.7%19.0%
3Y Excs Rtn84.9%141.5%74.2%42.0%143.7%36.6%79.5%

Comparison Analyses

null

FDIC Bank Data

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Institutional Securities (IS)33,08028,08023,06024,39329,833
Wealth Management (WM)31,75428,42026,26824,41724,243
Investment Management (IM)6,5255,8615,3705,3756,220
Intersegment Eliminations (I/E)-714-600-555-517-541
Total70,64561,76154,14353,66859,755


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20152014201320042003
Institutional Securities (IS)3,846-581,2623,7243,608
Wealth Management (WM)2,0852,9851,709  
Investment Management (IM)364664685827491
Credit Services   1,2721,093
Individual Investor Group   371454
Total6,2953,5913,6566,1945,646


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Institutional Securities (IS)8,6506,6663,4535,2428,957
Wealth Management (WM)7,1305,8885,0225,1394,734
Investment Management (IM)1,1228596396601,347
Intersegment Eliminations (I/E)-41-23-27-12-4
Total16,86113,3909,08711,02915,034


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Institutional Securities (IS)969,553796,608810,506789,837792,135
Wealth Management (WM)433,017400,848365,168373,305378,438
Investment Management (IM)17,70017,61518,01917,08917,567
Total1,420,2701,215,0711,193,6931,180,2311,188,140


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$210.42 
Market Cap ($ Bil)328.5 
First Trading Date02/23/1993 
Distance from 52W High-7.4% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$213.23$182.36
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA-1.3%15.4%
 3M1YR
Volatility30.7%27.8%
Downside Capture149.27148.90
Upside Capture173.54166.81
Correlation (SPY)61.0%64.7%
MS Betas & Captures as of 7/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta2.201.291.361.431.401.27
Up Beta2.640.931.121.211.221.17
Down Beta2.220.900.931.041.081.35
Up Capture224%177%185%200%234%266%
Bmk +ve Days11223567138427
Stock +ve Days12233674146419
Down Capture192%139%143%143%129%105%
Bmk -ve Days11212859114326
Stock -ve Days10202752106333

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with MS
MS49.7%27.8%1.43-
Sector ETF (XLF)9.4%14.8%0.3966.9%
Equity (SPY)18.8%12.9%1.0764.6%
Gold (GLD)23.6%28.1%0.7421.4%
Commodities (DBC)30.2%19.7%1.22-9.7%
Real Estate (VNQ)13.7%13.9%0.6916.4%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-46.8%43.0%-1.3437.9%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with MS
MS21.3%28.8%0.69-
Sector ETF (XLF)11.3%18.4%0.4779.6%
Equity (SPY)12.6%17.1%0.5669.5%
Gold (GLD)17.1%18.5%0.756.8%
Commodities (DBC)9.0%19.5%0.3514.3%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.5%18.9%0.0348.1%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)13.4%53.3%0.4331.8%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with MS
MS25.6%31.3%0.79-
Sector ETF (XLF)13.6%22.0%0.5686.3%
Equity (SPY)15.0%17.9%0.7174.4%
Gold (GLD)11.3%16.1%0.57-0.1%
Commodities (DBC)7.3%18.0%0.3225.3%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.9%20.7%0.2053.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)57.6%66.2%0.9820.5%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date7152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity17.2 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 6302026-2.6%
Average Daily Volume5.5 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.1 days
Basic Shares Quantity1,561.0 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares1.1%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 7/24/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
7/15/20260.4%-5.0% 
4/15/20264.5%3.3%6.3%
1/15/20265.8%1.3%-4.8%
10/15/20254.7%2.5%10.1%
7/16/2025-1.3%-1.1%5.1%
4/11/20251.4%2.4%20.2%
1/16/20254.0%5.6%7.1%
10/16/20246.5%5.4%19.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive171318
# Negative7115
Median Positive2.5%5.4%8.4%
Median Negative-2.8%-3.1%-5.5%
Max Positive6.5%9.6%21.4%
Max Negative-6.8%-10.9%-7.3%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
7/15/20260.4%-5.0% 
4/15/20264.5%3.3%6.3%
1/15/20265.8%1.3%-4.8%
10/15/20254.7%2.5%10.1%
7/16/2025-1.3%-1.1%5.1%
4/11/20251.4%2.4%20.2%
1/16/20254.0%5.6%7.1%
10/16/20246.5%5.4%19.2%
7/16/20240.9%-2.7%-7.3%
1/16/2024-4.2%-4.4%-5.5%
10/18/2023-6.8%-10.9%0.4%
7/18/20236.4%9.6%0.7%
4/19/20230.7%-2.0%-5.8%
1/17/20235.9%6.0%10.6%
10/14/2022-5.1%-3.4%15.6%
7/14/2022-0.4%9.1%21.4%
4/14/20220.7%5.7%-3.4%
1/19/20221.8%5.4%8.3%
10/14/20212.5%2.1%1.0%
7/15/20210.2%3.5%14.0%
4/16/2021-2.8%-3.1%8.5%
1/20/2021-0.2%-5.0%0.3%
10/15/20201.3%-0.5%10.5%
7/16/20202.5%-0.7%2.3%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive171318
# Negative7115
Median Positive2.5%5.4%8.4%
Median Negative-2.8%-3.1%-5.5%
Max Positive6.5%9.6%21.4%
Max Negative-6.8%-10.9%-7.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202605/05/202610-Q
12/31/202502/19/202610-K
09/30/202511/03/202510-Q
06/30/202508/04/202510-Q
03/31/202505/05/202510-Q
12/31/202402/21/202510-K
09/30/202411/04/202410-Q
06/30/202408/05/202410-Q
03/31/202405/03/202410-Q
12/31/202302/22/202410-K
09/30/202311/03/202310-Q
06/30/202308/03/202310-Q
03/31/202305/02/202310-Q
12/31/202202/24/202310-K
09/30/202211/03/202210-Q
06/30/202208/05/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202605/05/202610-Q
12/31/202502/19/202610-K
09/30/202511/03/202510-Q
06/30/202508/04/202510-Q
03/31/202505/05/202510-Q
12/31/202402/21/202510-K
09/30/202411/04/202410-Q
06/30/202408/05/202410-Q
03/31/202405/03/202410-Q
12/31/202302/22/202410-K
09/30/202311/03/202310-Q
06/30/202308/03/202310-Q
03/31/202305/02/202310-Q
12/31/202202/24/202310-K
09/30/202211/03/202210-Q
06/30/202208/05/202210-Q
03/31/202205/04/202210-Q
12/31/202102/24/202210-K
09/30/202111/03/202110-Q
06/30/202108/02/202110-Q
03/31/202105/03/202110-Q
12/31/202002/26/202110-K
09/30/202011/03/202010-Q
06/30/202008/04/202010-Q
03/31/202005/05/202010-Q
12/31/201902/27/202010-K
09/30/201911/05/201910-Q
06/30/201908/05/201910-Q

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 7/16/2026

Latest: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 7/15/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Share Repurchases 20.00 Bil    

Prior: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 4/15/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q2 2026 Dividends 1 0.0% Same NewActual: 1 for Q1 2026

Insider Activity

Updated 7/29/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Schapiro, Mary L DirectSell7292026212.061,000212,0558,660,875Form
2Pizzi, Michael AHead Technology & OperationsDirectSell7172026215.5524,1655,208,82526,247,736Form
3Yeshaya, SharonChief Financial OfficerDirectSell7172026222.516,3821,420,05930,441,515Form
4Yeshaya, SharonChief Financial OfficerLLC on behalf of TrustSell7172026222.519,172  Form
5Grossman, Eric FChief Legal/Admin OfficerDirectSell4202026190.7511,1182,120,75832,313,613Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Schapiro, Mary L DirectSell7292026212.061,000212,0558,660,875Form
2Pizzi, Michael AHead Technology & OperationsDirectSell7172026215.5524,1655,208,82526,247,736Form
3Yeshaya, SharonChief Financial OfficerDirectSell7172026222.516,3821,420,05930,441,515Form
4Yeshaya, SharonChief Financial OfficerLLC on behalf of TrustSell7172026222.519,172  Form
5Grossman, Eric FChief Legal/Admin OfficerDirectSell4202026190.7511,1182,120,75832,313,613Form
6Simkowitz, Daniel ACo-PresidentDirectSell4172026189.2414,6902,779,98769,225,666Form
7Saperstein, Andrew MCo-PresidentDirectSell4172026188.5951,6689,744,32253,210,619Form
8Crawley, MandellChief Client OfficerDirectSell4172026188.2216,1293,035,75511,769,010Form
9Simkowitz, Daniel ACo-PresidentDirectSell1302026182.6132,9686,020,31365,254,583Form
10Yeshaya, SharonChief Financial OfficerDirectSell1222026185.7715,8382,942,17625,135,067Form
11Smith, Charles AChief Risk OfficerDirectSell1222026182.088,5001,547,68621,690,840Form
12Saperstein, Andrew MCo-PresidentDirectSell1222026183.6230,3305,569,08651,500,915Form
13Pizzi, Michael AHead Technology & OperationsDirectSell1222026184.5520,0003,691,00023,598,832Form
14Grossman, Eric FChief Legal/Admin OfficerDirectSell1222026184.0021,5553,966,13731,465,072Form
15Crawley, MandellChief Client OfficerDirectSell1222026183.457,8601,441,87912,618,919Form
16Pick, EdwardChairman and CEODirectSell10312025164.34100,00016,434,44094,495,732Form
17Yeshaya, SharonChief Financial OfficerLLC on behalf of TrustSell7182025139.8125,583  Form
18Smith, Charles AChief Risk OfficerDirectSell7182025140.3020,0002,805,91816,728,762Form
19Simkowitz, Daniel ACo-PresidentDirectSell7182025141.1329,0004,092,62856,323,722Form
20Saperstein, Andrew MCo-PresidentGrantor Retained Annuity TrustSell7182025140.9743,566  Form
21Pizzi, Michael AHead Technology & OperationsDirectSell7182025140.6218,0002,531,07719,180,911Form
22Grossman, Eric FChief Legal/Admin OfficerDirectSell7182025141.1212,0001,693,40026,307,009Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Aug 2, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Caldwell Investment Management Ltd.$39.6 Mil15.5%57New13F
Focused Investors LLC$202.1 Mil6.6%22Hold13F
Hamlin Capital Management, LLC$212.1 Mil5.1%30TRIM -7.7%13F
Teewinot Capital Advisers, L.L.C.$45.9 Mil3.7%33ADD +15.6%13F
Hound Partners, LLC$23.3 Mil2.9%34New13F
Think Investments LP$11.2 Mil1.5%30New13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Caldwell Investment Management Ltd.$39.6 Mil15.5%57New13F
Hound Partners, LLC$23.3 Mil2.9%34New13F
Think Investments LP$11.2 Mil1.5%30New13F
Teewinot Capital Advisers, L.L.C.$45.9 Mil3.7%33ADD +15.6%13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQAs OfFiling
Trivest Advisors Ltd$17.2 Mil0.8%30ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Wealth High Governance Capital Ltda$13.0 Mil2.4%46ExitedDec 31, 202513F
VMS Asset Management Limited$5.7 Mil2.2%42ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Hamlin Capital Management, LLC$212.1 Mil5.1%30TRIM -7.7%Mar 31, 202613F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Hamlin Capital Management, LLC$212.1 Mil5.1%30TRIM -7.7%13F
Focused Investors LLC$202.1 Mil6.6%22Hold13F
Teewinot Capital Advisers, L.L.C.$45.9 Mil3.7%33ADD +15.6%13F
Caldwell Investment Management Ltd.$39.6 Mil15.5%57New13F
Hound Partners, LLC$23.3 Mil2.9%34New13F
Think Investments LP$11.2 Mil1.5%30New13F
Core Cache Last Updated: 8/1/2026