Tearsheet

MGM Resorts International (MGM)


Market Price (11/4/2025): $31.8 | Market Cap: $8.7 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Casinos & Gaming

MGM Resorts International (MGM)


Market Price (11/4/2025): $31.8
Market Cap: $8.7 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Casinos & Gaming

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%, CFO LTM is 2.5 Bil
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -72%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -87%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 331%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 16%
  Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 126x
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 43%
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.2%
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%, CFO LTM is 2.5 Bil
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 16%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 43%
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -72%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -87%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 331%
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 126x
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.2%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

MGM Stock


Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
MGM Return-5%42%-25%33%-22%-7%-3%
Peers Return46%-15%-26%6%14%0%11%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MGM Win Rate42%67%33%67%42%60% 
Peers Win Rate43%44%42%45%45%52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MGM Max Drawdown-78%-10%-39%-1%-25%-26% 
Peers Max Drawdown-57%-27%-48%-12%-23%-29% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: LVS, WYNN, CZR, PENN, CDRO. See MGM Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventMGMS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-46.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven85.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven400 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-79.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven383.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven327 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-42.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven74.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven792 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-98.1%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven5177.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1480 days

Compare to LVS, WYNN, CZR, PENN, CDRO


In The Past

MGM Resorts International's stock fell -46.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/5/2021. A -46.1% loss requires a 85.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About MGM Resorts International (MGM)

Better Bets than MGM Resorts International (MGM)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to MGM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
LRN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
0.0%0.0%0.0%
DECK_10312025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10312025DECKDeckers OutdoorDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
0.0%0.0%0.0%
ATGE_10312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10312025ATGEAdtalem Global EducationQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
0.0%0.0%0.0%
GNTX_10242025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10242025GNTXGentexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.8%-0.8%-0.8%
LNW_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025LNWLight & WonderDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.5%-4.5%-6.2%
MGM_3312020_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG03312020MGMMGM Resorts InternationalDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
84.1%222.1%-10.3%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
LRN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
0.0%0.0%0.0%
DECK_10312025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10312025DECKDeckers OutdoorDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
0.0%0.0%0.0%
ATGE_10312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10312025ATGEAdtalem Global EducationQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
0.0%0.0%0.0%
GNTX_10242025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10242025GNTXGentexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.8%-0.8%-0.8%
LNW_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025LNWLight & WonderDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.5%-4.5%-6.2%
MGM_3312020_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG03312020MGMMGM Resorts InternationalDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
84.1%222.1%-10.3%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for MGM Resorts International

Financials

MGMLVSWYNNCZRPENNCDROMedian
NameMGM Reso.Las Vega.Wynn Res.Caesars .PENN Ent.Codere O. 
Mkt Price32.1361.73125.7320.4516.626.1226.29
Mkt Cap8.842.113.04.22.5-8.8
Rev LTM17,27912,2646,97011,3696,746-11,369
Op Inc LTM1,3712,8171,2712,061244-1,371
FCF LTM1,3691,215743379-201-743
FCF 3Y Avg1,3961,38966030635-660
CFO LTM2,5462,7341,2971,307498-1,307
CFO 3Y Avg2,4502,7151,1001,469492-1,469

Growth & Margins

MGMLVSWYNNCZRPENNCDROMedian
NameMGM Reso.Las Vega.Wynn Res.Caesars .PENN Ent.Codere O. 
Rev Chg LTM0.1%8.4%-1.9%0.9%7.3%-0.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg11.5%51.6%22.9%2.5%2.6%-11.5%
Rev Chg Q1.6%24.2%0.3%-0.2%6.1%-1.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.4%5.6%0.1%-0.0%1.5%-0.4%
Op Mgn LTM7.9%23.0%18.2%18.1%3.6%-18.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg6.3%21.0%14.6%20.5%5.9%-14.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.7%1.1%0.1%-1.2%0.2%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM14.7%22.3%18.6%11.5%7.4%-14.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg14.8%25.4%16.9%12.9%7.5%-14.8%
FCF/Rev LTM7.9%9.9%10.7%3.3%-3.0%-7.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg8.4%13.0%9.9%2.7%0.5%-8.4%

Valuation

MGMLVSWYNNCZRPENNCDROMedian
NameMGM Reso.Las Vega.Wynn Res.Caesars .PENN Ent.Codere O. 
Mkt Cap8.842.113.04.22.5-8.8
P/S0.53.41.90.40.4-0.5
P/EBIT10.814.711.71.96.2-10.8
P/E125.727.133.9-17.6-32.8-27.1
P/CFO3.415.410.03.25.0-5.0
Total Yield0.8%5.6%4.2%-5.7%-3.1%-0.8%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.9%1.2%0.0%0.0%-0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg12.5%3.8%6.6%4.0%-0.1%-4.0%
D/E3.60.40.95.94.5-3.6
Net D/E3.30.30.85.74.2-3.3

Returns

MGMLVSWYNNCZRPENNCDROMedian
NameMGM Reso.Las Vega.Wynn Res.Caesars .PENN Ent.Codere O. 
1M Rtn-5.3%21.1%1.7%-25.0%-12.5%-10.8%-8.0%
3M Rtn-9.5%17.8%17.7%-19.4%-5.8%-27.9%-7.7%
6M Rtn0.2%63.0%52.3%-26.0%5.0%-24.7%2.6%
12M Rtn-11.8%21.9%32.8%-47.9%-14.6%-21.2%-13.2%
3Y Rtn-5.0%60.0%82.3%-52.0%-49.2%156.1%27.5%
1M Excs Rtn-7.3%19.1%-0.4%-27.0%-14.6%-12.8%-10.1%
3M Excs Rtn-16.9%9.5%8.2%-27.5%-13.2%-35.8%-15.0%
6M Excs Rtn-21.1%41.7%31.0%-47.2%-16.3%-46.0%-18.7%
12M Excs Rtn-40.3%1.2%11.1%-68.7%-37.6%-40.5%-38.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-86.8%3.7%51.4%-130.7%-127.1%26.8%-41.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Las Vegas Strip Resorts8,7998,3984,7372,2465,831
Regional Operations3,6703,8163,3921,9673,550
MGM China3,1546741,2116572,905
MGM Digital432    
Corporate and other109240340292613
Total16,16413,1279,6805,16212,900


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity22,009,643
Short Interest: % Change Since 9302025-11.1%
Average Daily Volume5,065,075
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.35
Basic Shares Quantity272,517,000
Short % of Basic Shares8.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251029202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025730202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025430202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024218202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241030202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024731202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024501202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023223202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023802202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023501202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022224202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221102202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022803202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022502202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021225202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0McManus JohnCHIEF LEGAL ADMIN OFC AND SECY9152025Sell36.1260,0002,167,1701,138,523Form
1Meister Keith A. 9112025Sell35.42242,0008,571,640190,753,631Form
2Meister Keith A. 6132025Sell32.0959,6341,913,655180,597,514Form
3SANDERS COREY IANCHIEF OPERATING OFFICER5142025Sell34.4340,0001,377,0489,692,008Form
4TAYLOR DANIEL J 5142025Sell34.935,261183,767 Form