Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.8%, Dividend Yield is 2.8%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.6%, FCF Yield is 27%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -18%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -56%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -7.7%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -173%
  
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%, CFO LTM is 15 Bil, FCF LTM is 15 Bil
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 28%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, Digital & Alternative Assets, AI in Financial Services, and Sustainable Finance. Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.8%, Dividend Yield is 2.8%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.6%, FCF Yield is 27%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -173%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%, CFO LTM is 15 Bil, FCF LTM is 15 Bil
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 28%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, Digital & Alternative Assets, AI in Financial Services, and Sustainable Finance. Show more.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -18%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -56%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -7.7%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

MET Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

While the overall stock movement for MetLife (MET) from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 9, 2025, showed a decrease of approximately 4.35% (from an adjusted price of $81.36 in August 2025 to $77.82 on December 9, 2025), a specific daily movement of -1.12% occurred on November 20, 2025. Key factors contributing to downward pressure on MetLife's stock during this period include: 1. Anticipated downward adjustments in earnings per share (EPS) for 2024.

Analysts projected MetLife's 2024 EPS to be 3.5% below consensus estimates, presenting a negative outlook for the stock. 2. Estimated headwind to Retirement and Income Solutions (RIS) earnings.

The company faced an estimated headwind of $300-325 million to its Retirement and Income Solutions (RIS) earnings as interest rate caps rolled off.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
MET Return-3%37%19%-5%28%0%92%
Peers Return-13%45%1%6%17%18%86%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%113%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MET Win Rate67%67%67%58%67%58% 
Peers Win Rate50%70%53%55%58%65% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MET Max Drawdown-53%-2%-6%-31%-1%-16% 
Peers Max Drawdown-60%-4%-22%-23%-4%-9% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PRU, AIG, AFL, LNC, PFG. See MET Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/10/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventMETS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-36.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven56.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven472 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-55.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven123.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven319 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-31.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven45.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven785 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-82.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven485.7%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven4437 days1480 days

Compare to TRV, ALL, AIG, HIG, PRU


In The Past

MetLife's stock fell -36.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/25/2022. A -36.2% loss requires a 56.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About MetLife (MET)

Better Bets than MetLife (MET)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to MET. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.4%12.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
14.4%14.4%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.3%-1.3%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.6%-7.6%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.4%12.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
14.4%14.4%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.3%-1.3%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.6%-7.6%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for MetLife

Peers to compare with:

Financials

METPRUAIGAFLLNCPFGMedian
NameMetLife Prudenti.American.Aflac Lincoln .Principa. 
Mkt Price79.82114.7681.08107.1945.0290.2385.66
Mkt Cap53.140.744.956.88.120.142.8
Rev LTM70,76057,92627,39017,96218,45615,80122,923
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM14,6275,2742,8032,573-1784,1723,487
FCF 3Y Avg13,5455,7814,1203,057-1,2964,0294,075
CFO LTM14,6275,2742,8032,573-1784,2523,528
CFO 3Y Avg13,5455,7814,1203,057-1,2964,1174,119

Growth & Margins

METPRUAIGAFLLNCPFGMedian
NameMetLife Prudenti.American.Aflac Lincoln .Principa. 
Rev Chg LTM0.2%-21.0%2.9%3.0%35.5%12.3%3.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg1.3%1.9%9.8%-3.5%3.1%-4.1%1.6%
Rev Chg Q-7.7%-8.2%-5.2%57.9%9.4%22.2%2.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-2.0%-2.7%-1.3%10.8%2.2%4.4%0.5%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM20.7%9.1%10.2%14.3%-1.0%26.9%12.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg19.6%9.4%21.6%16.8%-9.5%28.1%18.2%
FCF/Rev LTM20.7%9.1%10.2%14.3%-1.0%26.4%12.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg19.6%9.4%21.6%16.8%-9.5%27.5%18.2%

Valuation

METPRUAIGAFLLNCPFGMedian
NameMetLife Prudenti.American.Aflac Lincoln .Principa. 
Mkt Cap53.140.744.956.88.120.142.8
P/S0.80.61.63.30.41.21.0
P/EBIT9.2-8.411.2--9.2
P/E14.314.113.314.23.411.713.7
P/CFO3.77.015.523.0-40.74.35.7
Total Yield9.8%12.3%9.7%9.0%33.4%12.2%11.0%
Dividend Yield2.8%5.2%2.3%2.0%4.4%3.7%3.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg25.3%15.0%9.2%5.7%-23.1%21.8%12.1%
D/E0.40.60.20.10.80.20.3
Net D/E-1.7-1.3-0.6-1.1-3.9-1.5-1.4

Returns

METPRUAIGAFLLNCPFGMedian
NameMetLife Prudenti.American.Aflac Lincoln .Principa. 
1M Rtn3.4%8.7%5.4%-5.1%9.6%9.0%7.0%
3M Rtn1.5%10.0%4.6%0.5%9.6%13.8%7.1%
6M Rtn2.7%12.6%-2.9%6.9%39.6%20.2%9.7%
12M Rtn0.5%-0.4%13.5%5.1%44.4%16.1%9.3%
3Y Rtn21.3%31.4%38.6%63.7%71.1%14.2%35.0%
1M Excs Rtn2.6%7.9%4.6%-5.9%8.8%8.2%6.2%
3M Excs Rtn-4.5%4.1%-0.9%-5.4%3.5%6.4%1.3%
6M Excs Rtn-11.7%-1.8%-17.2%-7.5%25.2%5.9%-4.6%
12M Excs Rtn-16.7%-17.7%-3.4%-11.0%25.2%-2.0%-7.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-56.0%-45.0%-31.4%-11.0%-28.7%-60.4%-38.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Group Benefits25,23024,402   
Retirement and Income Solutions (RIS)16,63520,518   
Asia10,92611,25513,360  
MetLife Holdings8,2029,03711,141  
Latin America7,3716,0315,030  
Europe, the Middle East, and Africa (EMEA)2,5432,4412,928  
Unit-linked investment income and Reinsurance adjustments1,183    
Other791    
Investment hedge adjustments-1,012    
Net derivative gains (losses)-2,140    
Net investment gains (losses)-2,824    
Adjustments -5,569836  
Corporate & Other 655701  
United States (U.S.)  37,084  
Total66,90568,77071,080  


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity9,306,296
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202521.1%
Average Daily Volume3,403,728
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.73
Basic Shares Quantity664,700,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.4%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/5/2025-3.4%1.9% 
8/6/2025-2.8%1.9%4.7%
4/30/20250.5%2.6%5.0%
2/5/2025-1.6%-2.7%-3.2%
10/30/2024-5.7%0.8%6.8%
7/31/2024-1.4%-9.8%0.7%
5/1/2024-2.3%0.5%1.5%
1/31/2024-5.7%-2.6%1.4%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive101416
# Negative14108
Median Positive2.2%2.2%3.7%
Median Negative-2.2%-2.6%-8.3%
Max Positive6.1%16.7%25.3%
Max Negative-7.8%-10.9%-24.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251107202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025501202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024221202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241101202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023216202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023804202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022223202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021218202210-K 12/31/2021