Tearsheet

MercadoLibre (MELI)


Market Price (10/31/2025): $2380.0 | Market Cap: $120.7 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Broadline Retail

MercadoLibre (MELI)


Market Price (10/31/2025): $2380.0
Market Cap: $120.7 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Broadline Retail

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36%
  Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 5.0x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 42x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 58x
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 35%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31%, CFO LTM is 8.5 Bil, FCF LTM is 7.4 Bil
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.8%
2 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 6.2%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 41%
  
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 35%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31%, CFO LTM is 8.5 Bil, FCF LTM is 7.4 Bil
2 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 6.2%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 41%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 5.0x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 42x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 58x
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.8%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

MELI Stock


Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
MELI Return193%-20%-37%86%8%39%278%
Peers Return95%23%-30%24%34%14%214%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%110%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MELI Win Rate75%50%42%50%33%67% 
Peers Win Rate67%58%37%63%60%58% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%67% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MELI Max Drawdown-22%-37%-55%-2%-14%0% 
Peers Max Drawdown-16%-10%-41%-12%-11%-12% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AMZN, WMT, COST, EBAY, ETSY. See MELI Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 10/30/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventMELIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-69.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven223.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven791 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-39.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven66.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven35 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-37.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven60.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven65 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-89.5%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven851.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven860 days1480 days

Compare to AMZN, WMT, COST, EBAY, ETSY


In The Past

MercadoLibre's stock fell -69.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/20/2021. A -69.1% loss requires a 223.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About MercadoLibre (MELI)

Better Bets than MercadoLibre (MELI)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to MELI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ANF_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025ANFAbercrombie & FitchDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-14.4%-14.4%-22.1%
DECK_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025DECKDeckers OutdoorDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-17.3%-17.3%-17.3%
CHH_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025CHHChoice Hotels InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-11.9%-11.9%-11.9%
VAC_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025VACMarriott Vacations WorldwideDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.0%-0.0%-6.1%
FUN_9302025_Short_Squeeze09302025FUNSix Flags EntertainmentSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
4.5%4.5%-11.7%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ANF_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025ANFAbercrombie & FitchDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-14.4%-14.4%-22.1%
DECK_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025DECKDeckers OutdoorDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-17.3%-17.3%-17.3%
CHH_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025CHHChoice Hotels InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-11.9%-11.9%-11.9%
VAC_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025VACMarriott Vacations WorldwideDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.0%-0.0%-6.1%
FUN_9302025_Short_Squeeze09302025FUNSix Flags EntertainmentSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
4.5%4.5%-11.7%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for MercadoLibre

Financials

MELIAMZNWMTCOSTEBAYETSYMedian
NameMercadoL.Amazon.c.Walmart Costco W.eBay Etsy  
Mkt Price2,360.76222.86102.23920.1883.7361.93162.55
Mkt Cap119.72,370.6815.6408.639.16.2264.1
Rev LTM24,096670,038693,153275,23510,3122,854149,666
Op Inc LTM2,96576,19028,98810,3832,3033946,674
FCF LTM7,38513,48113,7537,8372,1286357,611
FCF 3Y Avg5,70921,67714,9867,0701,9486646,390
CFO LTM8,472121,13738,43813,3352,58669110,904
CFO 3Y Avg6,42496,97736,70711,9142,4237099,169

Growth & Margins

MELIAMZNWMTCOSTEBAYETSYMedian
NameMercadoL.Amazon.c.Walmart Costco W.eBay Etsy  
Rev Chg LTM35.8%10.9%4.2%8.2%1.5%2.0%6.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg39.8%11.3%5.7%6.6%0.2%4.9%6.2%
Rev Chg Q33.8%13.3%4.8%8.1%1.1%2.4%6.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM7.7%3.0%1.2%2.4%0.3%0.6%1.8%
Op Mgn LTM12.3%11.4%4.2%3.8%22.3%13.8%11.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg13.2%7.9%4.0%3.6%21.6%13.2%10.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.5%0.3%-0.1%0.0%-0.2%-0.2%-0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM35.2%18.1%5.5%4.8%25.1%24.2%21.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg35.4%15.8%5.5%4.6%24.0%25.4%19.9%
FCF/Rev LTM30.6%2.0%2.0%2.8%20.6%22.3%11.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg31.6%3.5%2.3%2.7%19.3%23.8%11.4%

Valuation

MELIAMZNWMTCOSTEBAYETSYMedian
NameMercadoL.Amazon.c.Walmart Costco W.eBay Etsy  
Mkt Cap119.72,370.6815.6408.639.16.2264.1
P/S5.03.51.21.53.82.22.8
P/EBIT41.727.826.237.214.914.927.0
P/E58.333.638.250.419.233.836.0
P/CFO14.119.621.230.615.18.917.3
Total Yield1.7%3.0%3.5%2.2%6.6%3.0%3.0%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.9%0.3%1.4%0.0%0.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg6.4%1.1%2.8%2.1%6.9%9.7%4.6%
D/E0.10.10.10.00.20.50.1
Net D/E0.00.00.1-0.00.10.30.1

Returns

MELIAMZNWMTCOSTEBAYETSYMedian
NameMercadoL.Amazon.c.Walmart Costco W.eBay Etsy  
1M Rtn1.0%1.5%-0.8%-0.6%-7.9%-6.7%-0.7%
3M Rtn-0.6%-4.8%4.6%-2.1%-8.5%6.3%-1.3%
6M Rtn2.9%17.2%5.4%-7.6%24.6%45.7%11.3%
12M Rtn16.8%15.6%26.8%5.2%35.8%29.0%21.8%
3Y Rtn161.8%117.6%123.9%90.9%123.0%-34.1%120.3%
1M Excs Rtn6.8%-0.6%-1.4%-1.3%-6.1%-13.8%-1.4%
3M Excs Rtn-10.0%-5.6%-5.3%-12.8%-17.8%-4.0%-7.8%
6M Excs Rtn-18.9%-4.6%-16.3%-29.4%2.9%23.9%-10.4%
12M Excs Rtn-2.3%1.1%7.6%-13.3%17.9%9.8%4.4%
3Y Excs Rtn96.8%8.0%50.7%15.4%51.2%-116.8%33.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Commerce services6,7544,764   
Financial services and income4,3172,888   
Credit revenues2,5462,033   
Commerce products sales1,4471,044   
Fintech products sales4351   
Commerce revenues  4,6352,5601,346
Fintech revenues  2,4341,414950
Total15,10710,7807,0693,9732,296


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity550,262
Short Interest: % Change Since 9302025-25.3%
Average Daily Volume607,851
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity50,697,375
Short % of Basic Shares1.1%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/29/20252.8%  
8/4/20250.5%-4.3%-0.9%
5/7/20256.5%13.3%9.7%
2/20/20257.1%0.9%-0.7%
11/6/2024-16.2%-8.8%-8.0%
8/1/202410.6%16.4%28.4%
5/2/20248.3%12.6%12.4%
2/22/2024-10.4%-12.2%-13.5%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive171411
# Negative5811
Median Positive7.1%12.6%18.4%
Median Negative-5.8%-8.8%-12.7%
Max Positive19.6%26.7%36.6%
Max Negative-16.2%-20.8%-28.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024221202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024802202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024503202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023223202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022224202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221104202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022506202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021223202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211105202110-Q 9/30/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Calemzuk Emiliano 12022024Sell1984.985099,249472,425Form