Tearsheet

MercadoLibre (MELI)


Market Price (11/14/2025): $2008.0 | Market Cap: $101.8 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Broadline Retail

MercadoLibre (MELI)


Market Price (11/14/2025): $2008.0
Market Cap: $101.8 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Broadline Retail

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -3.6%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 3.9x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 35x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 50x
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 38%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33%, CFO LTM is 9.8 Bil, FCF LTM is 8.6 Bil
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.1%
2 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 8.4%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 37%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Fintech & Digital Payments, Automation & Robotics, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Show more.
  
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 38%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33%, CFO LTM is 9.8 Bil, FCF LTM is 8.6 Bil
2 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 8.4%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 37%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Fintech & Digital Payments, Automation & Robotics, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Show more.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -3.6%
6 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 3.9x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 35x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 50x
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.1%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

MELI Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

For the approximate time period from July 31, 2025, to November 14, 2025, MercadoLibre (MELI) stock experienced a -14.4% movement due to several key factors: 1. MercadoLibre reported a significant earnings per share (EPS) miss for the third quarter of 2025. The company announced Q3 2025 earnings on October 29, 2025, with an EPS of $8.32, falling short of the consensus estimate of $9.88 by $1.56.

2. The company also missed analysts' expectations for its Q2 2025 GAAP profit. On August 4, 2025, MercadoLibre reported a GAAP profit of $10.31 per share, which was 13.3% below the analysts' consensus estimate of $11.89.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
MELI Return193%-20%-37%86%8%19%255%
Peers Return95%23%-30%24%34%15%216%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%15%109%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MELI Win Rate75%50%42%50%33%60% 
Peers Win Rate67%58%37%63%60%54% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MELI Max Drawdown-22%-37%-55%-2%-14%0% 
Peers Max Drawdown-16%-10%-41%-12%-11%-12% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AMZN, WMT, COST, EBAY, ETSY. See MELI Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/13/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventMELIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-69.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven223.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven791 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-39.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven66.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven35 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-37.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven60.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven65 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-89.5%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven851.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven860 days1480 days

Compare to AMZN, WMT, COST, EBAY, ETSY


In The Past

MercadoLibre's stock fell -69.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/20/2021. A -69.1% loss requires a 223.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About MercadoLibre (MELI)

Better Bets than MercadoLibre (MELI)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to MELI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
LRN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.5%-4.5%-4.5%
DECK_10312025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10312025DECKDeckers OutdoorDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
2.0%2.0%-2.4%
ATGE_10312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10312025ATGEAdtalem Global EducationQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-1.8%-1.8%-5.9%
GNTX_10242025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10242025GNTXGentexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.5%-1.5%-2.5%
LNW_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025LNWLight & WonderDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.4%12.4%-6.2%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
LRN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.5%-4.5%-4.5%
DECK_10312025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10312025DECKDeckers OutdoorDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
2.0%2.0%-2.4%
ATGE_10312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10312025ATGEAdtalem Global EducationQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-1.8%-1.8%-5.9%
GNTX_10242025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10242025GNTXGentexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.5%-1.5%-2.5%
LNW_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025LNWLight & WonderDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.4%12.4%-6.2%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for MercadoLibre

Financials

MELIAMZNWMTCOSTEBAYETSYMedian
NameMercadoL.Amazon.c.Walmart Costco W.eBay Etsy  
Mkt Price2,031.05237.58102.54925.0884.4358.48170.06
Mkt Cap103.02,527.1818.1410.738.95.8256.9
Rev LTM26,193670,038693,153275,23510,4702,854150,714
Op Inc LTM3,13276,19028,98810,3832,2383946,758
FCF LTM8,61013,48113,7537,8371,4096358,224
FCF 3Y Avg6,37021,67714,9867,0701,7626646,720
CFO LTM9,831121,13738,43813,3351,91269111,583
CFO 3Y Avg7,16996,97736,70711,9142,2447099,542

Growth & Margins

MELIAMZNWMTCOSTEBAYETSYMedian
NameMercadoL.Amazon.c.Walmart Costco W.eBay Etsy  
Rev Chg LTM36.9%10.9%4.2%8.2%2.7%2.0%6.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg39.5%11.3%5.7%6.6%1.5%4.9%6.2%
Rev Chg Q39.5%13.3%4.8%8.1%6.1%2.4%7.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM8.7%3.0%1.2%2.4%1.5%0.6%2.0%
Op Mgn LTM12.0%11.4%4.2%3.8%21.4%13.8%11.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg13.1%7.9%4.0%3.6%21.2%13.2%10.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.3%0.3%-0.1%0.0%-1.0%-0.2%-0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM37.5%18.1%5.5%4.8%18.3%24.2%18.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg35.9%15.8%5.5%4.6%22.1%25.4%19.0%
FCF/Rev LTM32.9%2.0%2.0%2.8%13.5%22.3%8.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg32.1%3.5%2.3%2.7%17.4%23.8%10.5%

Valuation

MELIAMZNWMTCOSTEBAYETSYMedian
NameMercadoL.Amazon.c.Walmart Costco W.eBay Etsy  
Mkt Cap103.02,527.1818.1410.738.95.8256.9
P/S3.93.81.21.53.72.02.9
P/EBIT34.629.726.337.414.014.028.0
P/E49.635.838.350.717.831.937.1
P/CFO10.520.921.330.820.48.420.6
Total Yield2.0%2.8%3.5%2.2%7.0%3.1%3.0%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.9%0.3%1.4%0.0%0.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg6.7%1.1%2.8%2.1%6.0%9.7%4.4%
D/E0.10.10.10.00.20.50.1
Net D/E0.10.00.1-0.00.10.30.1

Returns

MELIAMZNWMTCOSTEBAYETSYMedian
NameMercadoL.Amazon.c.Walmart Costco W.eBay Etsy  
1M Rtn-5.9%9.8%-4.4%-2.1%-7.3%-18.7%-5.1%
3M Rtn-12.4%2.9%1.7%-5.0%-14.0%-14.3%-8.7%
6M Rtn-21.5%15.8%6.7%-8.2%20.4%24.4%11.2%
12M Rtn5.2%11.0%21.1%-0.4%38.6%9.5%10.2%
3Y Rtn111.7%141.2%131.0%89.1%95.1%-51.2%103.4%
1M Excs Rtn-1.8%9.2%-6.9%-4.0%-8.1%-18.3%-5.5%
3M Excs Rtn-19.6%-1.6%-1.9%-9.2%-20.4%-16.4%-12.8%
6M Excs Rtn-35.3%1.9%-7.2%-22.1%6.6%10.6%-2.6%
12M Excs Rtn-8.7%2.6%10.7%-12.6%25.1%-4.0%-0.7%
3Y Excs Rtn40.7%88.0%47.8%19.6%39.3%-118.5%40.0%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Commerce services6,754    
Financial services and income4,317    
Credit revenues2,546    
Commerce products sales1,447    
Fintech products sales43    
Commerce revenues 5,8084,6352,5601,346
Fintech revenues 4,7292,4341,414950
Total15,10710,5377,0693,9732,296


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10312025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity581,268
Short Interest: % Change Since 101520255.6%
Average Daily Volume531,250
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.09
Basic Shares Quantity50,697,265
Short % of Basic Shares1.1%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/29/20252.8%0.3% 
8/4/20250.5%-4.3%-0.9%
5/7/20256.5%13.3%9.7%
2/20/20257.1%0.9%-0.7%
11/6/2024-16.2%-8.8%-8.0%
8/1/202410.6%16.4%28.4%
5/2/20248.3%12.6%12.4%
2/22/2024-10.4%-12.2%-13.5%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive171511
# Negative5711
Median Positive7.1%12.6%18.4%
Median Negative-5.8%-8.8%-12.7%
Max Positive19.6%26.7%36.6%
Max Negative-16.2%-20.8%-28.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251030202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024221202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024802202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024503202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023223202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022224202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221104202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022506202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021223202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Calemzuk Emiliano 12022024Sell1984.985099,249472,425Form