Tearsheet

Microchip Technology (MCHP)


Market Price (11/25/2025): $51.81 | Market Cap: $28.0 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductors

Microchip Technology (MCHP)


Market Price (11/25/2025): $51.81
Market Cap: $28.0 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Semiconductors

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -83%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -95%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 584x
1 Attractive yield
Dividend Yield is 2.7%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -23%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -15%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -2.0%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Edge AI, Industrial Robotics, Show more.
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.3%
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%
1 Attractive yield
Dividend Yield is 2.7%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Edge AI, Industrial Robotics, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -83%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -95%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 584x
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -23%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -15%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -2.0%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.3%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

MCHP Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The search results provide information about Microchip Technology's (MCHP) financial results for Q3 FY2025 (ended December 31, 2024) and Q3 CY2025 (ended September 30, 2025). It also includes stock forecasts and recent stock movements up to November 24, 2025. However, the user's request is to highlight key points for why the stock moved by -23% for the approximate time period from July 31, 2025, to today (November 25, 2025). This specific 23% drop is not explicitly mentioned as occurring within this future timeframe in the search results. The results show various movements and forecasts, including some recent declines (e.g., down 11.3% over the last month, down 7.51% over the last 10 days), but not a specific -23% drop for the entire specified future period. Also, some sources provide future price *predictions* which are generally positive over the next year. Since the requested -23% movement within the specified future timeframe is not factually supported by the search results, and I am prohibited from hallucinating or including disclaimers, I cannot provide an answer that directly addresses a -23% stock movement for that specific, future period. However, the instruction "If the end date for this request is in the future, simply ignore that date and use the most recent date for which you have information" along with the requirement to output formatted points, suggests I should extract relevant information about recent stock performance and related news from the provided results, even if it doesn't perfectly match the -23% decline in the future timeframe. I will focus on recent negative stock movements and their identified causes leading up to today, as reported in the search results, as these are the most proximate factual explanations for *any* downward pressure on the stock. Key points from search results: * MCHP shares fell 9.8% in the afternoon session after the company issued a weak financial forecast for its upcoming fourth quarter (reported November 2025). * Microchip Technology's Q3 CY2025 saw a negative market response due to revenue matching expectations but declining year-on-year, and disappointing forward guidance. * Management attributed the Q3 CY2025 performance to ongoing inventory correction across distribution channels and direct customers, which pressured sales. * Operational changes, including underutilization charges and inventory write-offs, weighed on margins in Q3 CY2025. * The analog semiconductors group, including Microchip Technology, has generally underperformed, with share prices down 2.1% on average over the last month, and MCHP specifically down 11.3% during the same time (as of November 4, 2025). * Weak guidance for the December quarter (Q4 CY2025) triggered a selloff in November 2025, with projected revenue indicating a potential sequential decline and non-GAAP diluted EPS guidance below current quarter performance. * Debates around the economy's health and the impact of potential tariffs and corporate tax cuts have caused much uncertainty in 2025, contributing to the underperformance of the analog semiconductors group. I need to limit the number of key points to 5 and format them as requested. I will try to synthesize the most impactful negative factors that could explain a significant (even if not exactly -23% in the requested timeframe) recent decline. Since the original request specifies a future period, and a -23% drop is not confirmed for that period, I will adapt by providing reasons for recent *negative* stock movements that have actually occurred, as the prompt asks for "why the stock moved" and then states a future date. The instruction "If the end date for this request is in the future, simply ignore that date and use the most recent date for which you have information" implies focusing on available actual data. 1. **Weak Financial Forecasts and Disappointing Guidance**: Microchip Technology's stock experienced a negative market response following weak financial forecasts for its upcoming fourth quarter (Q4 CY2025) and disappointing forward guidance. This included projected revenue indicating a potential sequential decline and non-GAAP diluted earnings per share guidance falling below the current quarter's performance. 2. **Revenue Decline and Inventory Correction**: The company's revenue in Q3 CY2025 matched Wall Street expectations but declined year-on-year. Management attributed this performance to ongoing inventory correction across distribution channels and direct customers, which put pressure on sales. 3. **Pressure on Operating Margins**: Operational changes, such as underutilization charges and inventory write-offs, negatively impacted Microchip Technology's operating margins during Q3 CY2025. 4. **Broader Semiconductor Sector Underperformance**: The analog semiconductors segment, including MCHP, generally underperformed. This underperformance was influenced by debates surrounding the economy's health and the potential impact of tariffs and corporate tax cuts, leading to uncertainty in 2025. 5. **Risk-Off Sentiment in Technology Stocks**: A broader risk-off sentiment dominated Wall Street, particularly affecting AI-linked and technology stocks, contributing to selling pressure. MCHP shares were noted to be down in this environment.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
MCHP Return34%27%-18%31%-35%-8%10%
Peers Return30%33%-24%31%-2%27%114%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MCHP Win Rate58%50%42%67%25%30% 
Peers Win Rate62%62%37%60%43%48% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MCHP Max Drawdown-47%-4%-35%-2%-37%-38% 
Peers Max Drawdown-37%-3%-34%-8%-13%-27% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MU, TXN, ADI, NXPI, DIOD. See MCHP Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/24/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventMCHPS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-37.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven59.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven360 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-49.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven99.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven169 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-40.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven68.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven422 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-60.6%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven153.5%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1745 days1480 days

Compare to MU, TXN, ADI, NXPI, DIOD


In The Past

Microchip Technology's stock fell -37.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/27/2021. A -37.2% loss requires a 59.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

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About Microchip Technology (MCHP)

Better Bets than Microchip Technology (MCHP)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to MCHP. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ZBRA_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025ZBRAZebra TechnologiesDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-10.0%-10.0%-15.2%
ACN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ACNAccentureDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-4.0%
ADBE_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ADBEAdobeDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-6.3%-6.3%-8.2%
TXN_10312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312025TXNTexas InstrumentsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-5.0%
MRVL_10242025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10242025MRVLMarvell TechnologyMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.4%-0.4%-8.9%
MCHP_10312022_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312022MCHPMicrochip TechnologyMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
23.2%17.7%-3.7%
MCHP_4302022_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper04302022MCHPMicrochip TechnologyMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-2.6%13.9%-13.5%
MCHP_3312020_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper03312020MCHPMicrochip TechnologyMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
52.7%131.9%-7.4%
MCHP_3312019_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper03312019MCHPMicrochip TechnologyMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
11.0%-15.5%-31.7%
MCHP_9302018_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09302018MCHPMicrochip TechnologyMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
6.1%19.8%-22.3%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ZBRA_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025ZBRAZebra TechnologiesDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-10.0%-10.0%-15.2%
ACN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ACNAccentureDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-4.0%
ADBE_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ADBEAdobeDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-6.3%-6.3%-8.2%
TXN_10312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312025TXNTexas InstrumentsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-5.0%
MRVL_10242025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10242025MRVLMarvell TechnologyMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.4%-0.4%-8.9%
MCHP_10312022_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312022MCHPMicrochip TechnologyMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
23.2%17.7%-3.7%
MCHP_4302022_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper04302022MCHPMicrochip TechnologyMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-2.6%13.9%-13.5%
MCHP_3312020_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper03312020MCHPMicrochip TechnologyMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
52.7%131.9%-7.4%
MCHP_3312019_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper03312019MCHPMicrochip TechnologyMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
11.0%-15.5%-31.7%
MCHP_9302018_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09302018MCHPMicrochip TechnologyMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
6.1%19.8%-22.3%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Microchip Technology

Peers to compare with:

Financials

MCHPMUTXNADINXPIDIODMedian
NameMicrochi.Micron T.Texas In.Analog D.NXP Semi.Diodes  
Mkt Price51.25223.93161.26239.40191.5645.43176.41
Mkt Cap27.7251.2146.6118.448.32.183.3
Rev LTM4,21237,37817,26610,38712,0451,43011,216
Op Inc LTM1559,8096,0122,6303,001332,815
FCF LTM7541,6682,0803,6781,7701871,719
FCF 3Y Avg1,807-1,4431,7323,4392,2551131,770
CFO LTM84117,5256,8974,1622,3202593,241
CFO 3Y Avg2,0479,1976,5604,3103,1002273,705

Growth & Margins

MCHPMUTXNADINXPIDIODMedian
NameMicrochi.Micron T.Texas In.Analog D.NXP Semi.Diodes  
Rev Chg LTM-23.4%48.9%9.9%7.1%-6.8%10.4%8.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-14.9%20.3%-4.6%-0.6%-2.3%-8.8%-3.4%
Rev Chg Q-2.0%46.0%14.2%24.6%-2.4%12.0%13.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.6%10.5%3.5%5.8%-0.6%3.0%3.3%
Op Mgn LTM3.7%26.2%34.8%25.3%24.9%2.3%25.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg21.0%-1.1%38.0%27.5%27.2%8.2%24.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.2%3.7%-0.1%1.8%-0.7%-0.7%-0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM20.0%46.9%39.9%40.1%19.3%18.1%30.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg30.4%30.3%38.6%39.5%24.3%14.3%30.3%
FCF/Rev LTM17.9%4.5%12.0%35.4%14.7%13.1%13.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg26.9%-11.5%10.2%31.5%17.7%7.1%13.9%

Valuation

MCHPMUTXNADINXPIDIODMedian
NameMicrochi.Micron T.Texas In.Analog D.NXP Semi.Diodes  
Mkt Cap27.7251.2146.6118.448.32.183.3
P/S6.66.78.511.44.01.56.6
P/EBIT583.924.823.544.615.825.225.0
P/E-149.529.429.160.523.432.829.2
P/CFO32.914.321.328.420.88.121.0
Total Yield2.0%3.6%6.8%3.3%6.4%3.0%3.4%
Dividend Yield2.7%0.2%3.4%1.6%2.1%0.0%1.9%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg4.4%-2.4%1.1%3.2%4.0%3.9%3.5%
D/E0.20.10.10.10.30.00.1
Net D/E0.20.00.10.00.2-0.20.1

Returns

MCHPMUTXNADINXPIDIODMedian
NameMicrochi.Micron T.Texas In.Analog D.NXP Semi.Diodes  
1M Rtn-18.1%2.2%-4.7%0.6%-12.6%-20.4%-8.6%
3M Rtn-24.6%92.5%-21.0%-5.6%-18.7%-17.8%-18.2%
6M Rtn-7.3%140.2%-7.0%14.7%0.6%0.8%0.7%
12M Rtn-20.7%119.1%-15.9%13.5%-13.8%-25.9%-14.8%
3Y Rtn-27.1%289.7%-0.3%51.1%17.4%-49.1%8.6%
1M Excs Rtn-16.9%3.5%-3.4%1.9%-11.3%-19.1%-7.3%
3M Excs Rtn-27.2%88.6%-24.7%-9.7%-22.8%-21.6%-22.2%
6M Excs Rtn-24.5%119.5%-23.8%-1.9%-16.0%-15.8%-15.9%
12M Excs Rtn-31.6%115.3%-29.3%2.1%-24.7%-31.6%-27.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-94.8%217.6%-69.2%-13.6%-50.7%-118.0%-59.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Semiconductor products7,5318,2786,6995,3365,177
Technology licensing10316112210397
Total7,6348,4396,8215,4385,274


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10312025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity23,624,276
Short Interest: % Change Since 101520251.5%
Average Daily Volume6,658,571
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.55
Basic Shares Quantity540,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares4.4%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/6/2025-5.2%-7.6% 
8/7/2025-6.6%-0.3%-0.7%
5/8/202512.6%23.7%39.6%
2/6/2025-2.3%2.2%1.4%
11/5/2024-1.8%-10.4%-21.9%
8/1/2024-10.6%-8.4%-2.1%
5/6/2024-1.8%-1.3%1.0%
2/1/2024-1.6%-1.5%2.0%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131314
# Negative111110
Median Positive4.9%2.5%6.8%
Median Negative-2.3%-3.8%-5.4%
Max Positive12.6%24.3%39.6%
Max Negative-10.6%-10.4%-21.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025523202510-K 3/31/2025
12312024206202510-Q 12/31/2024
93020241105202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024523202410-K 3/31/2024
12312023201202410-Q 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023525202310-K 3/31/2023
12312022202202310-Q 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022802202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022520202210-K 3/31/2022
12312021203202210-Q 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0CHAPMAN MATTHEW W 8272025Sell68.2510,000682,5502,093,040Form
1Bjornholt James EricSENIOR VP AND CFO8272025Sell69.143,053211,0842,372,401Form
2Bjornholt James EricSENIOR VP AND CFO5272025Sell55.782,015112,3971,913,979Form
3Johnson Karlton D 5222025Sell60.6949429,981210,473Form
4Bjornholt James EricSENIOR VP AND CFO2272025Sell60.883,724226,7172,025,599Form