Microchip Technology (MCHP)
Market Price (10/19/2025): $65.59 | Market Cap: $35.4 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductors
Microchip Technology (MCHP)
Market Price (10/19/2025): $65.59Market Cap: $35.4 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Semiconductors
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -66%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -66% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 323x |
Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -36%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -13%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -13% | ||
Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.3% |
Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17% |
Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -66%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -66% |
Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 323x |
Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -36%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -13%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -13% |
Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.3% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
MCHP Stock
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Returns | |||||||
MCHP Return | 34% | 27% | -18% | 31% | -35% | 16% | 38% |
Peers Return | 30% | 33% | -24% | 31% | -2% | 29% | 117% |
S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 13% | 106% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
MCHP Win Rate | 58% | 50% | 42% | 67% | 25% | 33% | |
Peers Win Rate | 62% | 62% | 37% | 60% | 43% | 49% | |
S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
MCHP Max Drawdown | -47% | -4% | -35% | -2% | -37% | -38% | |
Peers Max Drawdown | -37% | -3% | -34% | -8% | -13% | -27% | |
S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MU, TXN, ADI, NXPI, DIOD. See MCHP Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 10/17/2025 (YTD)
Downturns Compared
Event | MCHP | S&P 500 |
---|---|---|
2022 Inflation Shock | ||
% Loss | -37.2% | -25.4% |
% Gain to Breakeven | 59.2% | 34.1% |
Time to Breakeven | 360 days | 464 days |
2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
% Loss | -49.9% | -33.9% |
% Gain to Breakeven | 99.4% | 51.3% |
Time to Breakeven | 169 days | 148 days |
2018 Correction | ||
% Loss | -40.7% | -19.8% |
% Gain to Breakeven | 68.5% | 24.7% |
Time to Breakeven | 422 days | 120 days |
2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
% Loss | -60.6% | -56.8% |
% Gain to Breakeven | 153.5% | 131.3% |
Time to Breakeven | 1745 days | 1480 days |
How Low Can It Go?
Microchip Technology's stock fell -37.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/27/2021. A -37.2% loss requires a 59.2% gain to breakeven.
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to MCHP. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
09302025 | ADBE | Adobe | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -5.5% | -5.5% | -6.7% |
09302025 | CRM | Salesforce | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.6% | 2.6% | -0.6% |
09302025 | MPWR | Monolithic Power Systems | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 9.1% | 9.1% | -1.8% |
09262025 | POWI | Power Integrations | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 13.6% | 13.6% | -13.4% |
09262025 | ROP | Roper Technologies | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.2% | 1.2% | -0.3% |
10312022 | MCHP | Microchip Technology | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 23.2% | 17.7% | -3.7% |
04302022 | MCHP | Microchip Technology | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -2.6% | 13.9% | -13.5% |
03312020 | MCHP | Microchip Technology | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 52.7% | 131.9% | -7.4% |
03312019 | MCHP | Microchip Technology | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 11.0% | -15.5% | -31.7% |
09302018 | MCHP | Microchip Technology | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 6.1% | 19.8% | -22.3% |
Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
09302025 | ADBE | Adobe | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -5.5% | -5.5% | -6.7% |
09302025 | CRM | Salesforce | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.6% | 2.6% | -0.6% |
09302025 | MPWR | Monolithic Power Systems | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 9.1% | 9.1% | -1.8% |
09262025 | POWI | Power Integrations | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 13.6% | 13.6% | -13.4% |
09262025 | ROP | Roper Technologies | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.2% | 1.2% | -0.3% |
10312022 | MCHP | Microchip Technology | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 23.2% | 17.7% | -3.7% |
04302022 | MCHP | Microchip Technology | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -2.6% | 13.9% | -13.5% |
03312020 | MCHP | Microchip Technology | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 52.7% | 131.9% | -7.4% |
03312019 | MCHP | Microchip Technology | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 11.0% | -15.5% | -31.7% |
09302018 | MCHP | Microchip Technology | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 6.1% | 19.8% | -22.3% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Microchip Technology
Financials
Median | |
---|---|
Name | |
Mkt Price | 189.48 |
Mkt Cap | 87.1 |
Rev LTM | 11,254 |
Op Inc LTM | 2,865 |
FCF LTM | 1,586 |
FCF 3Y Avg | 2,039 |
CFO LTM | 3,338 |
CFO 3Y Avg | 3,798 |
Growth & Margins
Median | |
---|---|
Name | |
Rev Chg LTM | 3.2% |
Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -2.8% |
Rev Chg Q | 15.5% |
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.7% |
Op Mgn LTM | 25.4% |
Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 25.6% |
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.2% |
CFO/Rev LTM | 29.7% |
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 31.2% |
FCF/Rev LTM | 13.5% |
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 15.1% |
Valuation
Median | |
---|---|
Name | |
Mkt Cap | 87.1 |
P/S | 7.2 |
P/EBIT | 28.1 |
P/E | 29.2 |
P/CFO | 23.2 |
Total Yield | 3.6% |
Dividend Yield | 1.1% |
FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.4% |
D/E | 0.1 |
Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
Median | |
---|---|
Name | |
1M Rtn | -2.6% |
3M Rtn | -2.8% |
6M Rtn | 49.0% |
12M Rtn | -7.4% |
3Y Rtn | 43.5% |
1M Excs Rtn | -3.1% |
3M Excs Rtn | -9.2% |
6M Excs Rtn | 22.9% |
12M Excs Rtn | -22.2% |
3Y Excs Rtn | -41.7% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for MoreForward Returns | |||
---|---|---|---|
Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
8/7/2025 | -6.6% | -0.3% | -0.7% |
5/8/2025 | 12.6% | 23.7% | 39.6% |
2/6/2025 | -2.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% |
11/5/2024 | -1.8% | -10.4% | -21.9% |
8/1/2024 | -10.6% | -8.4% | -2.1% |
5/6/2024 | -1.8% | -1.3% | 1.0% |
2/1/2024 | -1.6% | -1.5% | 2.0% |
11/2/2023 | 3.8% | 0.1% | 15.4% |
... | |||
SUMMARY STATS | |||
# Positive | 13 | 13 | 13 |
# Negative | 11 | 11 | 11 |
Median Positive | 4.9% | 2.5% | 7.2% |
Median Negative | -2.3% | -3.8% | -4.6% |
Max Positive | 12.6% | 24.3% | 39.6% |
Max Negative | -10.6% | -10.4% | -21.9% |
SEC Filings
Expand for MoreReport Date | Filing Date | Filing |
---|---|---|
6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
3312025 | 5232025 | 10-K 3/31/2025 |
12312024 | 2062025 | 10-Q 12/31/2024 |
9302024 | 11052024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
6302024 | 8012024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
3312024 | 5232024 | 10-K 3/31/2024 |
12312023 | 2012024 | 10-Q 12/31/2023 |
9302023 | 11022023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
6302023 | 8032023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
3312023 | 5252023 | 10-K 3/31/2023 |
12312022 | 2022023 | 10-Q 12/31/2022 |
9302022 | 11032022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
6302022 | 8022022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
3312022 | 5202022 | 10-K 3/31/2022 |
12312021 | 2032022 | 10-Q 12/31/2021 |
9302021 | 11042021 | 10-Q 9/30/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for MoreOwner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0 | CHAPMAN MATTHEW W | 8272025 | Sell | 68.25 | 10,000 | 682,550 | 2,093,040 | Form | |
1 | Bjornholt James Eric | SENIOR VP AND CFO | 8272025 | Sell | 69.14 | 3,053 | 211,084 | 2,372,401 | Form |
2 | Bjornholt James Eric | SENIOR VP AND CFO | 5272025 | Sell | 55.78 | 2,015 | 112,397 | 1,913,979 | Form |
3 | Johnson Karlton D | 5222025 | Sell | 60.69 | 494 | 29,981 | 210,473 | Form | |
4 | Bjornholt James Eric | SENIOR VP AND CFO | 2272025 | Sell | 60.88 | 3,724 | 226,717 | 2,025,599 | Form |
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