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PeriodLUV ReturnS&P 500 ReturnEvent ProbabilityChance Of Rise
In Next Equivalent Period
5-day-1.5%0.6%24%52%10-day-3.1%1.9%24%49%21-day-10%2.7%9%52%
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'Event' refers to LUV return >= to observed return within specified period; 'Equivalent Period' refers to same period as that specified for past return
Periods specified in trading days; 5-day = 5 trading days
Calculation of 'Event Probability' and 'Chance of Rise' using last 10 year data
[1] -1.5% or higher return during 5-day period in 615 times out of 2517; Stock rose in the next 5 days in 319 of these 615 instances
[2] -3.1% or higher return during 10-day period in 601 times out of 2516; Stock rose in the next 10 days in 292 of these 601 instances
[3] -10% or higher return during 21-day period in 238 times out of 2516; Stock rose in the next 21 days in 124 of these 238 instances
Predict average return on Southwest Airlines (LUV) Stock Return: AI Predicts LUV Average and Excess Return After a Fall or Rise
