Tearsheet

Southwest Airlines (LUV)


Market Price (10/21/2025): $34.48 | Market Cap: $18.6 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Passenger Airlines

Southwest Airlines (LUV)


Market Price (10/21/2025): $34.48
Market Cap: $18.6 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Passenger Airlines

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Dividend Yield is 2.3%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -13%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -70%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 47x
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 41%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.5%
0 Attractive yield
Dividend Yield is 2.3%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 41%
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -13%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -70%
3 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 47x
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.5%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

LUV Stock


Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
LUV Return-13%-8%-21%-12%19%4%-33%
Peers Return19%5%-11%9%52%5%94%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%15%106%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
LUV Win Rate58%33%50%33%75%44% 
Peers Win Rate27%40%42%35%46%42% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%67% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
LUV Max Drawdown-56%-16%-28%-33%-17%-28% 
Peers Max Drawdown-52%-9%-22%-10%-7%-27% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VTOL, CAKR, RJET, DAL, UAL. See LUV Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 10/20/2025 (YTD)

Downturns Compared

Unique KeyEventLUVS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-65.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven188.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-59.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven145.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven285 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-33.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven49.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-69.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven231.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1694 days1480 days


How Low Can It Go?

Southwest Airlines's stock fell -65.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/6/2021. A -65.3% loss requires a 188.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

Better Bets than Southwest Airlines (LUV)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to LUV. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
FCN_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025FCNFTI ConsultingDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.8%-5.8%-6.2%
ODFL_9122025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09122025ODFLOld Dominion Freight LineMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-4.7%-4.7%-7.3%
EFX_8312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper08312025EFXEquifaxMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-7.9%-7.9%-8.5%
UHAL_8312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper08312025UHALU-HaulMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-3.6%-3.6%-5.6%
BWXT_8312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%08312025BWXTBWX TechnologiesQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
25.4%25.4%-1.2%
LUV_4302020_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield04302020LUVSouthwest AirlinesDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
26.6%100.9%-23.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
FCN_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025FCNFTI ConsultingDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.8%-5.8%-6.2%
ODFL_9122025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09122025ODFLOld Dominion Freight LineMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-4.7%-4.7%-7.3%
EFX_8312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper08312025EFXEquifaxMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-7.9%-7.9%-8.5%
UHAL_8312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper08312025UHALU-HaulMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-3.6%-3.6%-5.6%
BWXT_8312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%08312025BWXTBWX TechnologiesQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
25.4%25.4%-1.2%
LUV_4302020_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield04302020LUVSouthwest AirlinesDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
26.6%100.9%-23.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Southwest Airlines

Financials

LUVVTOLCAKRRJETDALUALMedian
NameSouthwes.Bristow Cambodia.Republic.Delta Ai.United A. 
Mkt Price34.4338.96--61.75101.2950.36
Mkt Cap18.51.1--40.132.825.7
Rev LTM27,4721,446--62,92058,36842,920
Op Inc LTM318133--6,0725,1652,742
FCF LTM-273-9--3,0743,7101,533
FCF 3Y Avg-1,171-42--1,8351,783871
CFO LTM1,850216--7,9769,3694,913
CFO 3Y Avg1,900104--7,2538,2204,576

Growth & Margins

LUVVTOLCAKRRJETDALUALMedian
NameSouthwes.Bristow Cambodia.Republic.Delta Ai.United A. 
Rev Chg LTM1.6%5.3%--4.3%4.2%4.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg9.3%6.9%--10.8%13.2%10.1%
Rev Chg Q-1.5%4.6%--6.4%2.6%3.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.4%1.2%--1.6%0.7%0.9%
Op Mgn LTM1.2%9.2%--9.7%8.8%9.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg0.7%6.7%--9.5%9.2%8.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.6%-0.7%--0.3%-0.5%-0.5%
CFO/Rev LTM6.7%14.9%--12.7%16.1%13.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg7.3%7.4%--12.1%14.8%9.7%
FCF/Rev LTM-1.0%-0.6%--4.9%6.4%2.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-4.5%-3.1%--3.0%3.1%-0.1%

Valuation

LUVVTOLCAKRRJETDALUALMedian
NameSouthwes.Bristow Cambodia.Republic.Delta Ai.United A. 
Mkt Cap18.51.1--40.132.825.7
P/S0.70.8--0.60.60.7
P/EBIT27.76.1--6.16.06.1
P/E47.39.4--8.710.09.7
P/CFO10.05.2--5.03.55.1
Total Yield4.4%10.6%--12.1%10.0%10.3%
Dividend Yield2.3%0.0%--0.5%0.0%0.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-6.2%-4.6%--5.7%7.7%0.6%
D/E0.30.9--0.51.00.7
Net D/E0.10.6--0.40.50.5

Returns

LUVVTOLCAKRRJETDALUALMedian
NameSouthwes.Bristow Cambodia.Republic.Delta Ai.United A. 
1M Rtn5.9%5.0%--3.6%-4.7%4.3%
3M Rtn-6.1%10.1%--10.9%9.7%9.9%
6M Rtn44.9%37.3%--57.9%55.1%50.0%
12M Rtn13.7%15.8%--12.0%36.6%14.7%
3Y Rtn11.3%38.5%--94.8%150.5%66.7%
1M Excs Rtn4.8%4.0%--2.6%-5.8%3.3%
3M Excs Rtn-13.6%2.4%--4.9%4.8%3.6%
6M Excs Rtn14.3%6.7%--27.4%24.5%19.4%
12M Excs Rtn-1.4%-2.0%---4.3%25.4%-1.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-69.9%-28.6%--25.4%102.6%-1.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment26,09123,81415,7909,04822,428
Total26,09123,81415,7909,04822,428


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date9302025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity33,930,195
Short Interest: % Change Since 9152025-11.5%
Average Daily Volume10,777,800
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.15
Basic Shares Quantity538,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares6.3%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
7/23/2025-11.2%-18.0%-17.0%
4/23/20253.7%9.6%22.3%
1/30/2025-1.2%-2.4%-1.9%
10/24/2024-5.6%2.4%3.4%
7/25/20245.5%1.2%1.2%
4/25/2024-7.0%-12.4%-9.0%
1/25/2024-2.3%-3.9%8.6%
10/26/2023-0.9%-5.8%5.4%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive9913
# Negative151511
Median Positive3.6%5.4%6.3%
Median Negative-3.2%-4.3%-6.3%
Max Positive5.7%9.6%31.7%
Max Negative-11.2%-18.0%-17.0%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025724202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025425202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024207202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241028202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024729202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024426202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023206202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231030202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023728202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023428202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022207202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221031202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022802202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022502202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021207202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211026202110-Q 9/30/2021

Insider Activity

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