Tearsheet

Lowe's Companies (LOW)


Market Price (11/19/2025): $230.0 | Market Cap: $128.6 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Home Improvement Retail

Lowe's Companies (LOW)


Market Price (11/19/2025): $230.0
Market Cap: $128.6 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Home Improvement Retail

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.7%, Dividend Yield is 2.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.4%, FCF Yield is 6.3%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -34%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -54%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -4.2%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%, CFO LTM is 9.8 Bil, FCF LTM is 7.7 Bil
  
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 24%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Sustainable Consumption, Smart Buildings & Proptech, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.7%, Dividend Yield is 2.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.4%, FCF Yield is 6.3%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%, CFO LTM is 9.8 Bil, FCF LTM is 7.7 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 24%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Sustainable Consumption, Smart Buildings & Proptech, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -34%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -54%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -4.2%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

LOW Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining the approximate -1.3% movement in Lowe's Companies (LOW) stock from July 31, 2025, to November 19, 2025: 1. Mixed Second Quarter 2025 Earnings and Outlook Adjustment. Lowe's reported diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $4.27 for the quarter ended August 1, 2025, beating analyst estimates, but quarterly revenue of $23.96 billion was slightly below expectations. The company also slightly revised its full-year 2025 diluted EPS outlook downwards from a previous range of $12.15-$12.40 to $12.10-$12.35.

2. Challenging Home Improvement Market Conditions. The broader home improvement retail sector faced headwinds in 2025, with high mortgage rates (over 7%) and economic uncertainty delaying projects, particularly among middle-income households. This contributed to a modest projected growth of 1.2% year-over-year in spending for the sector, and existing home sales were down about 1% in 2025 due to a "rate lock log jam."

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
LOW Return36%63%-21%14%13%-9%105%
Peers Return31%23%-18%31%35%1%135%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%13%105%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
LOW Win Rate58%58%33%50%50%40% 
Peers Win Rate52%52%33%57%57%52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
LOW Max Drawdown-45%-4%-33%-6%-5%-14% 
Peers Max Drawdown-11%-9%-26%-3%-3%-10% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: BBBY, AMZN, WMT, COST, HD. See LOW Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/18/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventLOWS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-34.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven52.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven830 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-48.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven94.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven70 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-26.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven35.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven112 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-61.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven160.9%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1358 days1480 days

Compare to BBBY, AMZN, WMT, COST, HD


In The Past

Lowe's Companies's stock fell -34.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/10/2021. A -34.3% loss requires a 52.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Lowe's Companies (LOW)

Better Bets than Lowe's Companies (LOW)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to LOW. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
LRN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.8%-7.8%-7.8%
DECK_10312025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10312025DECKDeckers OutdoorDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-1.0%-1.0%-2.4%
ATGE_10312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10312025ATGEAdtalem Global EducationQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-4.3%-4.3%-5.9%
GNTX_10242025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10242025GNTXGentexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.3%-5.3%-5.3%
LNW_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025LNWLight & WonderDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.4%12.4%-6.2%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
LRN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.8%-7.8%-7.8%
DECK_10312025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10312025DECKDeckers OutdoorDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-1.0%-1.0%-2.4%
ATGE_10312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10312025ATGEAdtalem Global EducationQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-4.3%-4.3%-5.9%
GNTX_10242025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10242025GNTXGentexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.3%-5.3%-5.3%
LNW_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025LNWLight & WonderDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.4%12.4%-6.2%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Lowe's Companies

Financials

LOWBBBYAMZNWMTCOSTHDMedian
NameLowe's C.Bed Bath.Amazon.c.Walmart Costco W.Home Dep. 
Mkt Price219.575.90222.55101.39895.08336.48221.06
Mkt Cap122.70.42,367.3808.9397.4333.8365.6
Rev LTM83,6131,074670,038693,153275,235165,054220,144
Op Inc LTM10,329-10576,19028,98810,38321,60115,992
FCF LTM7,688-9513,48113,7537,83714,23010,659
FCF 3Y Avg7,302-12121,67714,9867,07015,75911,144
CFO LTM9,820-72121,13738,43813,33517,87215,604
CFO 3Y Avg9,317-9196,97736,70711,91419,12815,521

Growth & Margins

LOWBBBYAMZNWMTCOSTHDMedian
NameLowe's C.Bed Bath.Amazon.c.Walmart Costco W.Home Dep. 
Rev Chg LTM-0.5%-27.2%10.9%4.2%8.2%8.5%6.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-4.2%-20.0%11.3%5.7%6.6%2.2%3.9%
Rev Chg Q1.6%-17.4%13.3%4.8%8.1%4.9%4.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.4%-4.8%3.0%1.2%2.4%1.3%1.2%
Op Mgn LTM12.4%-9.8%11.4%4.2%3.8%13.1%7.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg11.8%-9.3%7.9%4.0%3.6%14.0%5.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.0%2.4%0.3%-0.1%0.0%-0.2%-0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM11.7%-6.7%18.1%5.5%4.8%10.8%8.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg10.8%-6.7%15.8%5.5%4.6%12.2%8.2%
FCF/Rev LTM9.2%-8.9%2.0%2.0%2.8%8.6%2.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg8.4%-8.9%3.5%2.3%2.7%10.1%3.1%

Valuation

LOWBBBYAMZNWMTCOSTHDMedian
NameLowe's C.Bed Bath.Amazon.c.Walmart Costco W.Home Dep. 
Mkt Cap122.70.42,367.3808.9397.4333.8365.6
P/S1.50.33.51.21.42.01.5
P/EBIT11.7-2.127.826.036.215.420.7
P/E17.9-2.533.537.949.122.828.2
P/CFO12.5-5.019.521.029.818.719.1
Total Yield7.7%-40.7%3.0%3.5%2.3%7.1%3.3%
Dividend Yield2.1%0.0%0.0%0.9%0.3%2.7%0.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg5.8%-1.1%2.8%2.1%4.7%2.8%
D/E0.30.10.10.10.00.20.1
Net D/E0.3-0.40.00.1-0.00.20.0

Returns

LOWBBBYAMZNWMTCOSTHDMedian
NameLowe's C.Bed Bath.Amazon.c.Walmart Costco W.Home Dep. 
1M Rtn-9.8%-25.0%4.5%-5.9%-4.3%-14.1%-7.9%
3M Rtn-13.9%--2.4%0.1%-8.6%-16.9%-8.6%
6M Rtn-4.1%-9.1%3.9%-13.4%-9.7%-4.1%
12M Rtn-17.6%-10.3%21.8%-2.1%-16.1%-2.1%
3Y Rtn11.0%-136.4%110.4%78.1%15.9%78.1%
1M Excs Rtn-7.2%-29.1%4.6%-3.5%-2.5%-11.7%-5.4%
3M Excs Rtn-17.7%--4.0%-4.6%-13.3%-19.2%-13.3%
6M Excs Rtn-15.5%--2.3%-7.5%-24.8%-21.1%-15.5%
12M Excs Rtn-28.4%--6.0%10.0%-13.8%-26.3%-13.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-54.3%-55.1%55.9%15.2%-50.5%15.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Home improvement operations86,37797,05996,25089,59772,148
Total86,37797,05996,25089,59772,148


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Home improvement operations7,7266,437   
Total7,7266,437   


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10312025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity7,849,952
Short Interest: % Change Since 10152025-2.8%
Average Daily Volume2,223,207
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.53
Basic Shares Quantity559,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.4%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/20/20250.3%0.8%4.4%
5/21/2025-1.7%-2.9%-8.0%
2/26/20251.9%-1.0%-4.3%
11/19/2024-4.6%1.3%-8.1%
8/20/2024-1.2%3.0%5.5%
5/21/2024-1.9%-6.0%-0.7%
2/27/20241.8%4.7%8.7%
11/21/2023-3.1%-2.1%8.6%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131413
# Negative111011
Median Positive1.7%3.0%5.7%
Median Negative-3.7%-3.2%-6.7%
Max Positive9.6%11.6%15.1%
Max Negative-8.2%-8.4%-29.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
7312025828202510-Q 8/1/2025
4302025529202510-Q 5/2/2025
1312025324202510-K 1/31/2025
103120241127202410-Q 11/1/2024
7312024829202410-Q 8/2/2024
4302024530202410-Q 5/3/2024
1312024325202410-K 2/2/2024
103120231129202310-Q 11/3/2023
7312023830202310-Q 8/4/2023
4302023601202310-Q 5/5/2023
1312023327202310-K 2/3/2023
103120221123202210-Q 10/28/2022
7312022825202210-Q 7/29/2022
4302022526202210-Q 4/29/2022
1312022321202210-K 1/28/2022
103120211124202110-Q 10/29/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More