Lemonade (LMND)
Market Price (6/23/2026): $57.43 | Market Cap: $4.4 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Property & Casualty Insurance
Lemonade (LMND)
Market Price (6/23/2026): $57.43Market Cap: $4.4 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Property & Casualty Insurance
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 51% Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -28% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Fintech & Digital Payments, and AI in Financial Services. Themes include AI Software Platforms, Show more. | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 146x Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.4% Key risksLMND key risks include [1] its persistent unprofitability and an uncertain path to achieving it, Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 51% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -28% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Fintech & Digital Payments, and AI in Financial Services. Themes include AI Software Platforms, Show more. |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 146x |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.4% |
| Key risksLMND key risks include [1] its persistent unprofitability and an uncertain path to achieving it, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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Lemonade (LMND) stock has gained about 10% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Exceptional Fiscal Q1 2026 Financial Performance and Positive Forward Guidance.
Lemonade reported strong results for fiscal Q1 2026 (ending March 31, 2026), significantly surpassing analyst expectations. The company announced an Earnings Per Share (EPS) of -$0.47, beating estimates of -$0.57 by 17.54%. Revenue also exceeded projections, reaching $258 million against an anticipated $251.5 million. This represented a substantial 71% year-over-year revenue growth. Furthermore, adjusted EBITDA loss improved to $17.1 million from $47.0 million in the prior year's first quarter. The company subsequently increased its 2026 guidance for both top and bottom lines, reiterating its expectation for positive adjusted EBITDA in fiscal Q4 2026 and full-year adjusted EBITDA profitability in 2027.
2. Robust Growth in Key Business Metrics.
Lemonade demonstrated continued strength in core operational metrics during the period. In-force premium (IFP) grew 32% year-over-year to $1.33 billion in fiscal Q1 2026, marking its tenth consecutive quarter of accelerating growth. The customer base expanded by 23% year-over-year, reaching 3.14 million customers. Additionally, gross profit surged by 159% year-over-year to $100 million, achieving a gross margin of 39%. These figures underscore the company's successful execution in expanding its market reach and improving underwriting profitability.
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Lemonade (LMND) stock has gained about 10% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Exceptional Fiscal Q1 2026 Financial Performance and Positive Forward Guidance.
Lemonade reported strong results for fiscal Q1 2026 (ending March 31, 2026), significantly surpassing analyst expectations. The company announced an Earnings Per Share (EPS) of -$0.47, beating estimates of -$0.57 by 17.54%. Revenue also exceeded projections, reaching $258 million against an anticipated $251.5 million. This represented a substantial 71% year-over-year revenue growth. Furthermore, adjusted EBITDA loss improved to $17.1 million from $47.0 million in the prior year's first quarter. The company subsequently increased its 2026 guidance for both top and bottom lines, reiterating its expectation for positive adjusted EBITDA in fiscal Q4 2026 and full-year adjusted EBITDA profitability in 2027.
2. Robust Growth in Key Business Metrics.
Lemonade demonstrated continued strength in core operational metrics during the period. In-force premium (IFP) grew 32% year-over-year to $1.33 billion in fiscal Q1 2026, marking its tenth consecutive quarter of accelerating growth. The customer base expanded by 23% year-over-year, reaching 3.14 million customers. Additionally, gross profit surged by 159% year-over-year to $100 million, achieving a gross margin of 39%. These figures underscore the company's successful execution in expanding its market reach and improving underwriting profitability.
3. Strategic Product Innovation and Broadened Market Presence.
The company continued its strategic expansion and product innovation, particularly in its Lemonade Car segment and across new geographic markets. In March 2026, Lemonade launched its Autonomous Car insurance, a new product aimed at self-driving vehicles. Concurrently, Lemonade expanded its renters insurance offerings to several new states, including Montana, North Dakota, Indiana, Louisiana, Delaware, New Hampshire, and West Virginia between May and June 2026. These initiatives highlight Lemonade's commitment to leveraging its AI-driven model to capture new customer segments and market share.
4. Favorable Macroeconomic Environment for Insurance Tech.
A broader macroeconomic factor contributing to investor confidence was the expectation of a "higher for longer" interest rate environment. For an insurance tech company like Lemonade, a large cash and investment float can benefit from firmer interest rates, which can increase investment income. This, combined with its AI-powered underwriting designed to maintain favorable loss ratios, positions Lemonade to potentially capitalize on the prevailing interest rate landscape, despite still being a loss-making entity.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 11.2% change in LMND stock from 2/28/2026 to 6/22/2026 was primarily driven by a 14.5% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 2282026 | 6222026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 51.74 | 57.51 | 11.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 738 | 845 | 14.5% |
| P/S Multiple | 5.3 | 5.2 | -1.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 75 | 76 | -1.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 11.2% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2026 to 6/22/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| LMND | 11.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 8.8% | 39.4% |
| Sector (XLF) | 5.0% | 38.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -26.4% change in LMND stock from 11/30/2025 to 6/22/2026 was primarily driven by a -41.0% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 6222026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 78.12 | 57.51 | -26.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 659 | 845 | 28.3% |
| P/S Multiple | 8.8 | 5.2 | -41.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 74 | 76 | -2.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -26.4% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 6/22/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| LMND | -26.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.5% | 39.7% |
| Sector (XLF) | 1.6% | 39.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 71.7% change in LMND stock from 5/31/2025 to 6/22/2026 was primarily driven by a 51.2% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 5312025 | 6222026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 33.50 | 57.51 | 71.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 559 | 845 | 51.2% |
| P/S Multiple | 4.4 | 5.2 | 18.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 73 | 76 | -4.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 71.7% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2025 to 6/22/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| LMND | 71.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 27.7% | 38.4% |
| Sector (XLF) | 7.0% | 36.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 226.4% change in LMND stock from 5/31/2023 to 6/22/2026 was primarily driven by a 174.6% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 5312023 | 6222026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 17.62 | 57.51 | 226.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 308 | 845 | 174.6% |
| P/S Multiple | 4.0 | 5.2 | 30.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 69 | 76 | -9.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 226.4% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2023 to 6/22/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| LMND | 226.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 85.1% | 38.7% |
| Sector (XLF) | 77.5% | 40.8% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| LMND Return | -66% | -68% | 18% | 127% | 94% | -17% | -52% |
| Peers Return | -24% | -21% | 27% | 181% | 8% | -6% | 117% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 10% | 100% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| LMND Win Rate | 25% | 42% | 42% | 58% | 58% | 67% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 33% | 43% | 60% | 67% | 52% | 40% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| LMND Max Drawdown | -78% | -69% | -56% | -36% | -35% | -48% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -34% | -45% | -37% | -26% | -30% | -20% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: PGR, ALL, TRV, ROOT, HIPO.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 6/22/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | LMND | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -31.3% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 45.5% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 59 days | 79 days |
| 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind | ||
| % Loss | -18.3% | -7.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 22.4% | 8.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 11 days | 18 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -51.8% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 107.6% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 263 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -36.6% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 57.8% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 25 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -61.0% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 156.3% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 888 days | 427 days |
In The Past
Lemonade's stock fell -31.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 45.5% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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| Event | LMND | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -31.3% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 45.5% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 59 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -51.8% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 107.6% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 263 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -36.6% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 57.8% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 25 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -61.0% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 156.3% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 888 days | 427 days |
In The Past
Lemonade's stock fell -31.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 45.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Lemonade (LMND)
Lemonade, Inc. (LMND) is an insurance technology company that provides a range of insurance products primarily in the United States and Europe. The company differentiates itself by leveraging technology to offer a modern, digital-first approach to insurance, aiming to simplify the customer experience.
The company's main products include renters, homeowners, pet, car, life, and landlord insurance policies. These offerings are designed to cover common risks such as stolen or damaged property, and they also provide personal liability protection, safeguarding customers if they are deemed responsible for an accident or damage to another person or their property. Beyond its own policies, Lemonade also functions as an agent for other insurance companies, further expanding its product suite.
Lemonade's primary customers are individuals and property owners seeking comprehensive insurance coverage for their personal assets and liabilities. This includes renters, homeowners, pet owners, car owners, and landlords located across its operational markets in both the United States and various European countries.
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Analogy 1: The Robinhood of insurance.
Analogy 2: The Netflix of insurance.
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- Renters Insurance: Protects tenants against stolen or damaged property and personal liability.
- Homeowners Insurance: Protects homeowners against stolen or damaged property and personal liability.
- Pet Insurance: Provides coverage for veterinary care and other pet-related expenses.
- Car Insurance: Offers protection against financial loss in the event of a car accident or theft.
- Life Insurance: Provides a financial payout to beneficiaries upon the death of the insured.
- Landlord Insurance: Protects property owners who rent out their properties from risks like property damage or liability claims.
- Insurance Agency Services: Operates as an agent to sell insurance policies from other insurance companies.
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Lemonade (LMND) primarily sells insurance products directly to individuals.
The company serves the following categories of customers:
- Renters: Individuals seeking insurance for their personal property and liability while living in rented homes or apartments.
- Homeowners: Individuals who own their homes and require insurance to protect their property and against personal liability.
- Pet Owners: Individuals seeking insurance coverage for their pets' health and medical expenses.
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- Swiss Re (SWCEY)
- Munich Re (MURGY)
- Hannover Re
- SCOR SE
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Daniel Schreiber, Co-Founder, Chief Executive Officer, and Chairman
Daniel Schreiber co-founded Lemonade in April 2015. Before establishing Lemonade, he served as President and a board member of Powermat Technologies from 2011 to 2015. He also held senior marketing roles at SanDisk and M-Systems between 2003 and 2011. Additionally, Schreiber co-founded Alchemedia Inc., an internet security software company, and served as its CEO, which was acquired by Finjan Software in 2002. He previously practiced corporate law in Israel.
Shai Wininger, Co-Founder, President
Shai Wininger co-founded Lemonade in April 2015. Prior to Lemonade, he founded Fiverr Ltd. in 2009, where he served as Chief Technology Officer, managing the engineering, design, and product departments. He also held senior management capacities for other technology companies such as Mobideo Aerospace (2005-2010), Handsmart Software (2003-2005), and Trimus Inc. (1999-2003).
Tim Bixby, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer
Tim Bixby joined Lemonade in June 2017. Before his role at Lemonade, he served as the Chief Financial Officer of Shutterstock, Inc. from 2011 to 2015. From 1999 to 2011, Bixby was the Chief Financial Officer, President, and a board member of LivePerson, Inc. He has experience in guiding companies through the transition from private to public. He also currently serves as Audit Chair and Board Director for Rent the Runway since 2021.
Adina Eckstein, Chief Operating Officer
Adina Eckstein is responsible for ensuring day-to-day operational efficiency and technological advancements at Lemonade.
John Peters, Chief Insurance Officer
John Peters oversees Lemonade's insurance operations and risk management. Prior to joining Lemonade in 2016, he held executive roles at Liberty Mutual Insurance and was a partner at McKinsey & Company.
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1. Persistent Net Losses and Unassured Path to Profitability
Lemonade continues to incur significant net losses, and its journey to sustained profitability is not yet assured. The company is spending heavily to grow, and while it has shown improvements in its loss ratio and narrowed net losses, the core financial risk remains its ongoing unprofitability. Its valuation is highly sensitive to its ability to achieve positive adjusted EBITDA targets.2. Exposure to Catastrophic Events and Underwriting Risk
As an insurance provider, Lemonade is inherently exposed to the unpredictable risk of severe weather events and other catastrophes, including the effects of climate change. While the company is working to improve its underwriting models and has seen an improved loss ratio, a major catastrophic event could still have a material adverse effect on its financial results and condition, particularly after reducing its reinsurance cession rate, meaning it retains more risk in-house.3. Intense Competition and Regulatory Challenges
Lemonade faces intense competition from established insurance giants that are rapidly digitizing, as well as from other tech-first rivals. To compete effectively, Lemonade must continually maintain its AI edge in pricing and customer experience. Additionally, the company is subject to extensive regulatory scrutiny, particularly concerning potential biases in its AI algorithms used for underwriting in both the US and Europe, which could necessitate costly model changes or lead to fines and restrictions. Its reliance on direct-to-consumer (DTC) sales in a market historically resistant to this approach also adds uncertainty to its growth prospects and financial stability.AI Analysis | Feedback
The most significant emerging threat to Lemonade is the accelerated digital transformation and adoption of advanced AI, data analytics, and user-friendly mobile platforms by large, established traditional insurance carriers. These incumbents, with their vast customer bases, deep capital reserves, and extensive regulatory experience, are actively investing in and integrating technologies that were once primary differentiators for Lemonade (e.g., instant quotes, AI-powered underwriting, streamlined claims processing, and modern app-based customer experiences). As these traditional players successfully modernize their operations and customer-facing interfaces, they can erode Lemonade's competitive edge as a tech-first disruptor, potentially offering comparable digital convenience combined with the scale, brand recognition, and diverse product offerings of a deeply entrenched market leader.
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The addressable markets for Lemonade's main products and services are as follows:
-
Renters Insurance:
- U.S.: $74 billion in 2024.
- Europe: Null
-
Homeowners Insurance:
- U.S.: $175.1 billion in 2025.
- Europe: $83.81 billion in 2025.
-
Pet Insurance:
- U.S.: $6.48 billion in 2025.
- Europe: $5.62 billion in 2025.
-
Car Insurance:
- U.S.: $487.65 billion in 2025.
- Europe: $129.68 billion in 2025.
-
Life Insurance:
- U.S.: $1.93 trillion in 2024.
- Europe: $226.10 billion in 2020, with a projected revenue of $283.78 billion by 2027.
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Lemonade (LMND) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key strategies, leveraging its AI-powered platform and expanding product offerings.
- Growth in Customer Base and In-Force Premium (IFP)
Lemonade anticipates continued robust growth in its customer count and In-Force Premium (IFP). The company reported a 23% year-over-year increase in customers and a 31% year-over-year growth in IFP for Q4 2025, reaching $1.24 billion. Looking ahead, Lemonade has provided guidance for 32% IFP growth in 2026. This consistent expansion of its customer base across its various insurance products is a fundamental driver of revenue. - Expansion of Lemonade Car and Autonomous Car Insurance
The Lemonade Car product continues to be a significant growth engine. A major new initiative is the recent launch and planned geographic expansion of its autonomous car insurance, starting with Tesla vehicles in Arizona and Oregon. This product offers differentiated pricing based on whether a car is human-driven or AI-driven, with autonomous miles priced significantly lower, reflecting their safer record. Morgan Stanley upgraded Lemonade's stock, partly due to this partnership, suggesting it could allow Lemonade to grow its business tenfold, primarily through Lemonade Car, with plans for near full U.S. coverage by 2027. - Product Diversification and Increased Bundling
Lemonade's growth strategy is increasingly diversified across multiple products, including renters, homeowners, pet, car, and life insurance. A key focus is on increasing the bundling of these products, which leads to a higher premium per customer and improved customer retention. The company has seen its bundling percentage rise from approximately 1% at the time of its IPO to around 5% by the second quarter of 2025, contributing to its overall premium growth trajectory. - Geographic Expansion
Beyond the specific expansion of autonomous car insurance, Lemonade continues to expand its general insurance offerings into new states within the United States and further into European markets. This ongoing geographic expansion allows the company to tap into new customer pools and increase its overall market penetration, thereby driving incremental revenue. The company operates across the U.S. and E.U. - AI-Driven Underwriting and Pricing Improvements
Lemonade's proprietary AI technology is a core competitive advantage that indirectly but powerfully drives revenue growth. Continuous improvements in its AI for underwriting, pricing segmentation, and claims processing lead to a lower gross loss ratio (reported at a record-breaking 52% in Q4 2025). This enhanced efficiency and accuracy allow Lemonade to offer more competitive pricing and a better customer experience, attracting more policyholders and improving customer retention, which in turn fuels premium and revenue growth. The company emphasizes significant R&D investments in AI, cross-selling, and pricing automation.
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Share Repurchases
- Lemonade made stock buybacks of $19.40 million for the quarter ending December 31, 2025.
Share Issuance
- Lemonade executed a secondary public offering on January 14, 2021, issuing 4,824,314 shares and raising $796.01 million.
- In July 2022, Lemonade issued 7.3 million LMND shares to Metromile shareholders as part of the Metromile acquisition. The stock portion of the deal was valued at $145 million.
- The number of shares outstanding has steadily increased, from 61.58 million in 2021 to 74.19 million in 2025, indicating ongoing issuance likely through equity compensation plans and the Metromile acquisition.
Outbound Investments
- Lemonade acquired Metromile in an all-stock deal that closed in July 2022. The initial value announced in November 2021 was approximately $500 million, which later adjusted to around $115 million (or $35 million net of Metromile's cash) by June 2022 due to changes in stock prices. This acquisition included Metromile's business, over $155 million in cash, and over $110 million in premiums. The strategic rationale was to accelerate the expansion of Lemonade Car by gaining licenses, data, and telematics technology.
Capital Expenditures
- Lemonade has been making large-scale investments in AI to automate pricing, underwriting, and go-to-market operations.
- Management is prioritizing research and development for autonomous insurance, cross-selling platforms, and pricing automation to improve unit economics and maintain high gross profit growth rates. These investments are expected to pressure margins in the short term but aim for long-term revenue and profitability gains.
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 132.44 |
| Mkt Cap | 31.1 |
| Rev LTM | 25,252 |
| Op Inc LTM | - |
| FCF LTM | 5,809 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 4,331 |
| CFO LTM | 5,816 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 4,449 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 17.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 30.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 9.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.2% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | - |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | - |
| Op Mgn LTM | - |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | - |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | - |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 14.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 13.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 14.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.5% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Personal property and casualty insurance products | 738 | 526 | 430 | ||
| Ceding commission income | 64 | 45 | |||
| Commission and other income | 12 | ||||
| Net earned premium | 172 | 77 | |||
| Net investment income | 8 | 2 | |||
| Total | 738 | 526 | 430 | 257 | 124 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 |
|---|---|---|
| Personal property and casualty insurance products | -166 | -202 |
| Total | -166 | -202 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $57.51 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 4.4 | |
| First Trading Date | 07/02/2020 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -40.4% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $58.23 | $64.10 |
| DMA Trend | up | down |
| Distance from DMA | -1.2% | -10.3% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 65.7% | 83.9% |
| Downside Capture | 336.89 | 328.35 |
| Upside Capture | 138.04 | 271.99 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 42.3% | 37.4% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.86 | 2.02 | 1.95 | 2.45 | 2.81 | 2.16 |
| Up Beta | -0.83 | 1.65 | 1.33 | 1.61 | 2.12 | 2.01 |
| Down Beta | 5.37 | 0.46 | 0.97 | 1.70 | 3.04 | 1.47 |
| Up Capture | 41% | 95% | 261% | 309% | 756% | 6936% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 13 | 28 | 36 | 67 | 141 | 432 |
| Stock +ve Days | 11 | 22 | 34 | 58 | 124 | 365 |
| Down Capture | 36% | 519% | 244% | 262% | 191% | 113% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 13 | 27 | 57 | 109 | 318 |
| Stock -ve Days | 9 | 19 | 29 | 66 | 125 | 381 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with LMND | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LMND | 40.1% | 84.3% | 0.75 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 8.6% | 14.6% | 0.35 | 35.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 26.1% | 12.4% | 1.59 | 37.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 24.1% | 27.5% | 0.77 | 15.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 18.5% | 18.8% | 0.77 | -0.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 11.8% | 13.8% | 0.57 | 14.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -40.2% | 42.5% | -1.09 | 30.9% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with LMND | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LMND | -11.4% | 82.2% | 0.21 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 9.5% | 18.6% | 0.39 | 40.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.4% | 17.1% | 0.61 | 44.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 17.1% | 18.3% | 0.76 | 7.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.5% | 19.4% | 0.28 | 5.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 2.1% | 18.9% | 0.01 | 37.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 9.4% | 54.1% | 0.37 | 28.0% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with LMND | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LMND | -2.0% | 85.1% | 0.34 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 13.2% | 22.2% | 0.54 | 35.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.4% | 18.0% | 0.73 | 41.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 12.2% | 16.1% | 0.62 | 7.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 6.0% | 18.0% | 0.26 | 6.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.4% | 20.7% | 0.23 | 34.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 59.9% | 66.8% | 1.00 | 22.7% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/5/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 4/29/2026 | 1.1% | -5.4% | 3.6% |
| 2/19/2026 | -7.1% | -10.5% | 4.1% |
| 11/5/2025 | -4.6% | -2.2% | -2.0% |
| 8/5/2025 | 6.6% | 13.9% | 5.8% |
| 5/6/2025 | 1.0% | 6.6% | 19.5% |
| 2/25/2025 | -1.6% | 16.6% | 7.2% |
| 10/30/2024 | 26.8% | 56.2% | 176.3% |
| 7/30/2024 | -20.3% | -31.4% | -21.9% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 13 | 12 |
| # Negative | 13 | 11 | 12 |
| Median Positive | 3.2% | 13.9% | 18.9% |
| Median Negative | -6.7% | -9.1% | -16.5% |
| Max Positive | 47.0% | 56.2% | 176.3% |
| Max Negative | -27.7% | -31.4% | -37.7% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 4/29/2026 | 1.1% | -5.4% | 3.6% |
| 2/19/2026 | -7.1% | -10.5% | 4.1% |
| 11/5/2025 | -4.6% | -2.2% | -2.0% |
| 8/5/2025 | 6.6% | 13.9% | 5.8% |
| 5/6/2025 | 1.0% | 6.6% | 19.5% |
| 2/25/2025 | -1.6% | 16.6% | 7.2% |
| 10/30/2024 | 26.8% | 56.2% | 176.3% |
| 7/30/2024 | -20.3% | -31.4% | -21.9% |
| 4/30/2024 | 0.6% | 1.5% | -3.9% |
| 2/27/2024 | -27.7% | -24.8% | -25.0% |
| 11/1/2023 | 47.0% | 45.5% | 66.4% |
| 8/2/2023 | -21.6% | -29.1% | -37.7% |
| 5/3/2023 | 27.8% | 45.2% | 64.1% |
| 2/22/2023 | 3.2% | -7.4% | -22.4% |
| 11/8/2022 | -4.0% | 20.1% | -6.0% |
| 8/8/2022 | 11.9% | 23.0% | -5.2% |
| 5/9/2022 | 2.4% | 4.5% | 11.3% |
| 2/23/2022 | 2.4% | -2.8% | 18.3% |
| 11/9/2021 | -0.1% | -1.8% | -26.1% |
| 8/4/2021 | -11.4% | -9.1% | -11.8% |
| 5/11/2021 | -18.5% | 0.0% | 37.3% |
| 3/2/2021 | -6.7% | -15.3% | -15.7% |
| 11/12/2020 | -3.3% | 10.2% | 58.2% |
| 8/12/2020 | -2.3% | 1.7% | -17.4% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 13 | 12 |
| # Negative | 13 | 11 | 12 |
| Median Positive | 3.2% | 13.9% | 18.9% |
| Median Negative | -6.7% | -9.1% | -16.5% |
| Max Positive | 47.0% | 56.2% | 176.3% |
| Max Negative | -27.7% | -31.4% | -37.7% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 04/30/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/25/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/05/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/05/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/26/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 10/31/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 07/31/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/01/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/28/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/04/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/05/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/03/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 04/30/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/25/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/05/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/05/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/26/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 10/31/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 07/31/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/01/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/28/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/04/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/05/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/03/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/10/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 03/01/2022 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2021 | 11/09/2021 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2021 | 08/11/2021 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2021 | 05/12/2021 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2020 | 03/08/2021 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2020 | 11/12/2020 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2020 | 08/12/2020 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2020 | 07/02/2020 | 424B4 |
Recent Forward Guidance
Updated 6/1/2026Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 4/29/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q2 2026 In force premium (IFP) | 1.43 Bil | 1.43 Bil | 1.43 Bil | 8.1% | Higher New | Guidance: 1.32 Bil for Q1 2026 | |
| Q2 2026 Gross earned premium (GEP) | 328.00 Mil | 329.50 Mil | 331.00 Mil | 9.7% | Higher New | Guidance: 300.50 Mil for Q1 2026 | |
| Q2 2026 Revenue | 287.00 Mil | 288.50 Mil | 290.00 Mil | 16.1% | Higher New | Guidance: 248.50 Mil for Q1 2026 | |
| Q2 2026 Adjusted EBITDA loss | -23.00 Mil | -21.00 Mil | -19.00 Mil | -10.6% | Higher New | Guidance: -23.50 Mil for Q1 2026 | |
| 2026 In force premium (IFP) | 1.63 Bil | 1.64 Bil | 1.64 Bil | 0.5% | Raised | Guidance: 1.63 Bil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Gross earned premium (GEP) | 1.37 Bil | 1.37 Bil | 1.37 Bil | 0.6% | Raised | Guidance: 1.36 Bil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Revenue | 1.20 Bil | 1.20 Bil | 1.20 Bil | 0.9% | Raised | Guidance: 1.19 Bil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA loss | -51.00 Mil | -49.00 Mil | -47.00 Mil | -2.0% | Raised | Guidance: -50.00 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 IFP growth | 33.0% | Higher New | |||||
Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/19/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q1 2026 In force premium (IFP) | 1.32 Bil | 1.32 Bil | 1.33 Bil | 8.4% | Higher New | Actual: 1.22 Bil for Q4 2025 | |
| Q1 2026 Gross earned premium (GEP) | 299.00 Mil | 300.50 Mil | 302.00 Mil | 5.6% | Higher New | Actual: 284.50 Mil for Q4 2025 | |
| Q1 2026 Revenue | 246.00 Mil | 248.50 Mil | 251.00 Mil | 13.2% | Higher New | Actual: 219.50 Mil for Q4 2025 | |
| Q1 2026 Adjusted EBITDA loss | -25.00 Mil | -23.50 Mil | -22.00 Mil | 62.1% | Lower New | Actual: -14.50 Mil for Q4 2025 | |
| 2026 In force premium (IFP) | 1.62 Bil | 1.63 Bil | 1.63 Bil | 33.3% | Higher New | Actual: 1.22 Bil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Gross earned premium (GEP) | 1.36 Bil | 1.36 Bil | 1.36 Bil | 30.4% | Higher New | Actual: 1.05 Bil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Revenue | 1.19 Bil | 1.19 Bil | 1.19 Bil | 63.1% | Higher New | Actual: 729.50 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA loss | -52.00 Mil | -50.00 Mil | -48.00 Mil | -61.1% | Higher New | Actual: -128.50 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 IFP Growth | 30.0% | Higher New | |||||
Insider Activity
Updated 6/12/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Peters, John Sheldon | Chief Insurance Officer | Direct | Sell | 6052026 | 52.94 | 3,608 | 191,008 | 4,308,575 | Form |
| 2 | Peters, John Sheldon | Chief Insurance Officer | Direct | Sell | 6052026 | 53.17 | 1,735 | 92,250 | 4,519,131 | Form |
| 3 | Prosor, Maya | Chief Business Officer | Direct | Sell | 6052026 | 53.17 | 1,220 | 64,867 | 9,973,256 | Form |
| 4 | Bixby, Timothy E | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 6052026 | 53.17 | 2,227 | 118,410 | 13,146,974 | Form |
| 5 | Peters, John Sheldon | Chief Insurance Officer | Direct | Sell | 3052026 | 52.50 | 3,571 | 187,478 | 4,028,272 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Peters, John Sheldon | Chief Insurance Officer | Direct | Sell | 6052026 | 52.94 | 3,608 | 191,008 | 4,308,575 | Form |
| 2 | Peters, John Sheldon | Chief Insurance Officer | Direct | Sell | 6052026 | 53.17 | 1,735 | 92,250 | 4,519,131 | Form |
| 3 | Prosor, Maya | Chief Business Officer | Direct | Sell | 6052026 | 53.17 | 1,220 | 64,867 | 9,973,256 | Form |
| 4 | Bixby, Timothy E | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 6052026 | 53.17 | 2,227 | 118,410 | 13,146,974 | Form |
| 5 | Peters, John Sheldon | Chief Insurance Officer | Direct | Sell | 3052026 | 52.50 | 3,571 | 187,478 | 4,028,272 | Form |
| 6 | Peters, John Sheldon | Chief Insurance Officer | Direct | Sell | 3052026 | 50.12 | 1,773 | 88,863 | 4,024,636 | Form |
| 7 | Prosor, Maya | Chief Business Officer | Direct | Sell | 3052026 | 50.12 | 223 | 11,177 | 371,088 | Form |
| 8 | Bixby, Timothy E | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 3052026 | 50.12 | 2,135 | 107,006 | 12,504,439 | Form |
| 9 | Schreiber, Daniel A | Chief Executive Officer | Directly held by Dan and Dan Ltd. | Sell | 2042026 | 99.04 | 9,108 | 902,056 | 149,988,751 | Form |
| 10 | Peters, John Sheldon | Chief Insurance Officer | Direct | Sell | 1232026 | 90.00 | 9,000 | 810,000 | 6,320,520 | Form |
| 11 | Schreiber, Daniel A | Chief Executive Officer | Directly held by Dan and Dan Ltd. | Sell | 1232026 | 94.74 | 126,625 | 11,996,452 | 144,339,611 | Form |
| 12 | Eckstein, Adina | Chief Operating Officer | Direct | Sell | 12152025 | 84.15 | 7,919 | 666,384 | 15,853,103 | Form |
| 13 | Schwartz, Debra | Direct | Sell | 12152025 | 83.59 | 4,200 | 351,078 | 1,802,786 | Form | |
| 14 | Eckstein, Adina | Chief Operating Officer | Direct | Sell | 12112025 | 81.15 | 7,919 | 642,627 | 15,930,557 | Form |
| 15 | Peters, John Sheldon | Chief Insurance Officer | Direct | Sell | 12112025 | 81.00 | 3,554 | 287,874 | 5,732,451 | Form |
| 16 | Eckstein, Adina | Chief Operating Officer | Direct | Sell | 12102025 | 77.17 | 29,237 | 2,256,219 | 15,760,352 | Form |
| 17 | Eckstein, Adina | Chief Operating Officer | Direct | Sell | 12102025 | 78.95 | 41,557 | 3,280,727 | 16,122,905 | Form |
| 18 | Peters, John Sheldon | Chief Insurance Officer | Direct | Sell | 12042025 | 72.37 | 2,667 | 193,011 | 5,378,900 | Form |
| 19 | Bixby, Timothy E | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 12042025 | 72.74 | 2,862 | 208,182 | 18,303,202 | Form |
| 20 | Prosor, Maya | Chief Business Officer | Direct | Sell | 12042025 | 72.74 | 198 | 14,403 | 554,788 | Form |
| 21 | Peters, John Sheldon | Chief Insurance Officer | Direct | Sell | 12042025 | 72.74 | 2,677 | 194,725 | 5,600,398 | Form |
| 22 | Peters, John Sheldon | Chief Insurance Officer | Direct | Sell | 11242025 | 73.25 | 3,798 | 278,204 | 5,835,754 | Form |
| 23 | Peters, John Sheldon | Chief Insurance Officer | Direct | Sell | 11242025 | 72.77 | 18,930 | 1,377,536 | 6,073,894 | Form |
| 24 | Bixby, Timothy E | Chief Financial Officer | Held by Timothy E Bixby Family Trust | Sell | 11122025 | 75.51 | 30,000 | Form | ||
| 25 | Eckstein, Adina | Chief Operating Officer | Direct | Sell | 11122025 | 78.00 | 5,988 | 467,064 | 17,782,986 | Form |
| 26 | Eckstein, Adina | Chief Operating Officer | Direct | Sell | 11122025 | 73.02 | 40,000 | 2,920,800 | 16,647,611 | Form |
| 27 | Prosor, Maya | Chief Business Officer | Direct | Sell | 9052025 | 50.34 | 282 | 14,196 | 393,910 | Form |
| 28 | Peters, John Sheldon | Chief Insurance Officer | Direct | Sell | 9052025 | 50.34 | 2,718 | 136,824 | 5,154,665 | Form |
| 29 | Bixby, Timothy E | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 9052025 | 50.34 | 2,906 | 146,288 | 13,112,916 | Form |
| 30 | Peters, John Sheldon | Chief Insurance Officer | Direct | Sell | 8152025 | 60.00 | 38,155 | 2,289,300 | 6,306,900 | Form |
| 31 | Eckstein, Adina | Chief Operating Officer | Direct | Sell | 8152025 | 58.00 | 5,000 | 290,000 | 10,999,874 | Form |
| 32 | Eckstein, Adina | Chief Operating Officer | Direct | Sell | 8132025 | 53.00 | 0 | Form | ||
| 33 | Eckstein, Adina | Chief Operating Officer | Direct | Sell | 8072025 | 49.00 | 5,000 | 245,000 | 9,292,997 | Form |
| 34 | Bixby, Timothy E | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 7222025 | 42.70 | 1,000 | 42,700 | 11,246,881 | Form |
| 35 | Bixby, Timothy E | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 7222025 | 42.50 | 6,000 | 255,000 | 11,194,202 | Form |
| 36 | Bixby, Timothy E | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 7162025 | 38.16 | 5,000 | 190,800 | 10,051,077 | Form |
| 37 | Bixby, Timothy E | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 7092025 | 42.40 | 11,000 | 466,400 | 11,167,863 | Form |
| 38 | Bixby, Timothy E | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 7022025 | 42.69 | 11,000 | 469,590 | 11,244,247 | Form |
| 39 | Eckstein, Adina | Chief Operating Officer | Direct | Sell | 6252025 | 45.00 | 5,000 | 225,000 | 8,534,385 | Form |
| 40 | Bixby, Timothy E | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 6252025 | 43.36 | 11,000 | 476,960 | 11,420,720 | Form |
| 41 | Peters, John Sheldon | Chief Insurance Officer | Direct | Sell | 6252025 | 45.00 | 6,543 | 294,435 | 4,775,175 | Form |
| 42 | Bixby, Timothy E | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 6182025 | 41.85 | 11,000 | 460,300 | 11,021,800 | Form |
| 43 | Bixby, Timothy E | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 6122025 | 42.50 | 6,000 | 255,000 | 11,194,202 | Form |
| 44 | Bixby, Timothy E | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 6112025 | 40.30 | 5,000 | 201,500 | 10,614,738 | Form |
| 45 | Bixby, Timothy E | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 6092025 | 37.50 | 5,000 | 187,500 | 9,877,238 | Form |
| 46 | Peters, John Sheldon | Chief Insurance Officer | Direct | Sell | 6052025 | 35.25 | 1,494 | 52,664 | 3,740,554 | Form |
| 47 | Bixby, Timothy E | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 6052025 | 35.25 | 1,916 | 67,539 | 9,284,603 | Form |
| 48 | Prosor, Maya | Chief Business Officer | Direct | Sell | 6052025 | 35.25 | 252 | 8,883 | 285,772 | Form |
Industry Resources
| Financials Resources |
| Federal Reserve Economic Data |
| Federal Reserve |
| FDIC Data |
| American Banker |
| The Banker |
| Banking Technology |
| Property & Casualty Insurance Resources |
| Insurance Journal |
| Business Insurance |
| PropertyCasualty360 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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