Kohl's (KSS)
Market Price (4/11/2026): $13.31 | Market Cap: $1.5 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Broadline Retail
Kohl's (KSS)
Market Price (4/11/2026): $13.31Market Cap: $1.5 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Broadline Retail
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 22%, Dividend Yield is 3.8%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 18%, FCF Yield is 68% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -72%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -98% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 400% Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 101% Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.3%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -5.0%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -4.2% Significant short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 27% Key risksKSS key risks include [1] worsening financial distress driven by sharply declining sales and strained liquidity, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 22%, Dividend Yield is 3.8%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 18%, FCF Yield is 68% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -72%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -98% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 400% |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 101% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.3%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -5.0%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -4.2% |
| Significant short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 27% |
| Key risksKSS key risks include [1] worsening financial distress driven by sharply declining sales and strained liquidity, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Deteriorating Fiscal Year 2026 Outlook: Kohl's issued a fiscal year 2026 guidance projecting net sales and comparable sales to decline by 2% to remain flat, alongside an adjusted earnings per share (EPS) range of $1.00 to $1.60. The midpoint of this EPS guidance, $1.30, fell below the analyst consensus of $1.38, signaling anticipated ongoing operational challenges and contributing to negative investor sentiment.
2. Persistent Sales Decline in Q4 2025: Despite exceeding earnings expectations for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2025 with a diluted EPS of $1.07, Kohl's reported a 3.9% year-over-year decrease in net sales to $5.0 billion and a 2.8% decline in comparable sales. This revenue miss indicated continued difficulty in driving top-line growth.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -34.3% change in KSS stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/10/2026 was primarily driven by a -53.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 4102026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 20.21 | 13.28 | -34.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 15,751 | 15,527 | -1.4% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 1.2% | 1.7% | 41.7% |
| P/E Multiple | 11.7 | 5.5 | -53.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 112 | 112 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -34.3% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 4/10/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| KSS | -34.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | -5.4% | 21.8% |
| Sector (XLY) | -5.5% | 39.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -12.3% change in KSS stock from 9/30/2025 to 4/10/2026 was primarily driven by a -32.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 9302025 | 4102026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 15.14 | 13.28 | -12.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 15,886 | 15,527 | -2.3% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 1.3% | 1.7% | 33.3% |
| P/E Multiple | 8.2 | 5.5 | -32.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 112 | 112 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -12.3% |
Market Drivers
9/30/2025 to 4/10/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| KSS | -12.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | -2.9% | 33.9% |
| Sector (XLY) | -5.6% | 41.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 68.3% change in KSS stock from 3/31/2025 to 4/10/2026 was primarily driven by a 159.7% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 3312025 | 4102026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 7.89 | 13.28 | 68.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 16,221 | 15,527 | -4.3% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 0.7% | 1.7% | 159.7% |
| P/E Multiple | 7.8 | 5.5 | -29.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 108 | 112 | -3.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 68.3% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2025 to 4/10/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| KSS | 68.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.3% | 39.6% |
| Sector (XLY) | 15.0% | 46.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -30.0% change in KSS stock from 3/31/2023 to 4/10/2026 was primarily driven by a -15.4% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 3312023 | 4102026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 18.97 | 13.28 | -30.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 18,098 | 15,527 | -14.2% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.1 | 0.1 | -15.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 108 | 112 | -3.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -30.0% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2023 to 4/10/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| KSS | -30.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 63.3% | 36.6% |
| Sector (XLY) | 54.4% | 40.2% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| KSS Return | 24% | -46% | 24% | -46% | 51% | -32% | -54% |
| Peers Return | 96% | -1% | 15% | 8% | 22% | 10% | 221% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -0% | 82% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| KSS Win Rate | 50% | 33% | 50% | 33% | 58% | 25% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 65% | 43% | 57% | 55% | 57% | 65% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| KSS Max Drawdown | -5% | -49% | -27% | -47% | -56% | -40% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -8% | -33% | -22% | -13% | -26% | -7% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: TGT, M, TJX, ROST, DDS. See KSS Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/10/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | KSS | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -71.8% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 254.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -77.4% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 342.7% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 311 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -46.0% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 85.2% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -68.3% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 215.8% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2,324 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to TGT, M, TJX, ROST, DDS
In The Past
Kohl's's stock fell -71.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/24/2022. A -71.8% loss requires a 254.1% gain to breakeven.
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About Kohl's (KSS)
AI Analysis | Feedback
- A value-oriented Target, specializing in apparel and home goods.
- A standalone department store, similar to JCPenney, known for its frequent sales and private-label brands.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Branded Apparel: Clothing items sold under various brand names for men, women, and children.
- Footwear: A range of shoes, boots, and sandals for different age groups and occasions.
- Accessories: Complementary items such as jewelry, handbags, scarves, and hats.
- Beauty Products: Cosmetics, skincare, fragrances, and other personal care items.
- Home Products: Goods for the home including decor, kitchenware, bedding, and small appliances.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Kohl's (KSS) Major Customers
Kohl's Corporation primarily sells its products directly to individual consumers through its network of retail stores and its e-commerce website.
Categories of Customers:
- Value-Oriented Families and Individuals: This category includes shoppers who prioritize affordability and seek out deals, discounts, and Kohl's Cash to maximize savings on everyday apparel, footwear, accessories, and home goods for themselves and their households.
- Fashion-Aware, Budget-Conscious Shoppers: Customers who are interested in current trends and recognized brands (including Kohl's exclusive brands like LC Lauren Conrad and Simply Vera Vera Wang, as well as national brands) but prefer accessible price points. They seek stylish options without paying premium department store prices.
- Convenience-Seeking Shoppers: Individuals who appreciate the one-stop-shop convenience of a department store that offers a wide variety of products, from clothing for all family members to home decor, small appliances, and gifts, often valuing the ease of shopping at a familiar retail environment.
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Michael J. Bender, Chief Executive Officer
Michael Bender was appointed permanent CEO of Kohl's in November 2025, having served as interim CEO since May 2025. He has over three decades of leadership experience in large-scale retail and consumer goods. Prior to joining Kohl's as a director in July 2019, Bender was President and CEO of Eyemart Express from 2018 to 2022. His career also includes executive management positions at Walmart Inc., where he served as Chief Operating Officer of Global eCommerce and Executive Vice President and President of the Walmart West business unit. He held senior positions at Cardinal Health, Inc., Victoria's Secret for L Brands, Inc., and began his career at PepsiCo, Inc. Bender also serves as a Director of Acuity Brands.
Jill Timm, Chief Financial Officer
Jill Timm is the Chief Financial Officer of Kohl's and is responsible for financial planning and analysis, investor relations, financial reporting, accounting operations, tax, treasury, and corporate strategy. She joined Kohl's in 1999 and has held various progressive leadership roles across finance, including executive vice president of finance. Before her tenure at Kohl's, Timm served as a senior auditor at Arthur Andersen LLP. She possesses over 25 years of finance and retail experience.
Nick Jones, Chief Merchandising Officer
Nick Jones was appointed Chief Merchandising Officer at Kohl's in March 2023. He is responsible for Kohl's overall merchandise strategy and all merchandising functions, including buying, digital and omnichannel merchandising, and product design and development. Jones has more than 25 years of merchandising, brand, retail, and leadership experience. He previously served as CEO of Joules Group and held senior merchandising leadership roles at ASDA/Walmart UK, where he managed the George brand, and Marks & Spencer, where he was involved in home, beauty, and women's categories.
Gregg Barta, Chief Supply Chain Officer
Gregg Barta serves as Kohl's Chief Supply Chain Officer. He is responsible for the company's supply chain and logistics network, including digital fulfillment strategies, global transportation operations, logistics planning, vendor relations, and field operations in distribution and e-commerce fulfillment centers. Barta joined Kohl's in 2005 and has held several progressive leadership roles in supply chain and logistics. Prior to Kohl's, he held leadership roles at Accenture and Sears, focusing on supply chain strategy, transportation operations, and logistics. He has over 30 years of supply chain and retail experience.
Christie Raymond, Chief Marketing Officer
Christie Raymond was promoted to Chief Marketing Officer of Kohl's in August 2022. She leads Kohl's marketing and customer service organizations, overseeing strategy, brand and creative, media, loyalty, customer analytics, corporate communications, and philanthropic efforts. Raymond joined Kohl's in 2017 as senior vice president, media and personalization, and was promoted to executive vice president, customer engagement, analytics & insights in 2020. Before joining Kohl's, she held various marketing, new business, and strategic planning leadership roles at The Walt Disney Company and Aspen Club Technologies. Raymond has more than 20 years of marketing and retail experience.
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Key Risks to Kohl's (KSS) Business
Declining Sales and Intense Competition in a Challenging Retail Environment: Kohl's faces significant headwinds from reduced discretionary spending among consumers and intense competition from off-price retailers and e-commerce giants, leading to shrinking net and comparable sales. Macroeconomic factors such as inflation, changing trade policies, and fluctuating consumer confidence also impact the business, particularly its core low- to middle-income customers, who remain cautious with their discretionary spending. The company's revenue has been declining, with a reported year-over-year decline of -7.18% for the fiscal year ending February 1, 2025, and continued projected decreases for FY 2025 and 2026.
High Debt Levels and Strained Balance Sheet: Kohl's carries a significant amount of debt, which poses a balance sheet risk. The company's debt-to-equity ratio of 1.75 indicates an aggressive approach to financing growth with debt, which can lead to more volatile earnings due to higher interest expenses. While Kohl's refinanced $353 million of 4.25% notes maturing in July 2025, it issued $360 million of new 10.000% senior secured notes due 2030, which carries a high interest rate and increases future financing costs. Its $6.80 billion of debt substantially exceeds the $144 million of cash on its balance sheet, and its 5x net-debt-to-EBITDA ratio suggests the company is overleveraged.
Dependence on Physical Footprint and Need to Adapt to a Digital-First Retail Landscape: Despite a significant digital sales operation, Kohl's extensive network of brick-and-mortar stores may pose a liability in an increasingly digital-first retail environment. The costs associated with maintaining and operating these physical locations could strain the company's resources and detract from its ability to invest more in lucrative online channels. While strategic partnerships like Sephora at Kohl's are showing positive comparable sales growth and driving traffic, they are not yet large enough to offset declines in the legacy business and digital sales.
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The rapid scaling of ultra-fast fashion retailers (e.g., Shein, Temu), which leverage highly efficient supply chains, real-time trend data, and aggressive pricing to offer a vast array of new apparel and home goods quickly and cheaply, fundamentally altering consumer expectations and competing directly for Kohl's' market share.
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Addressable Markets for Kohl's (KSS) Main Products in the U.S.
Kohl's Corporation operates as a retail company offering a variety of products in the United States, including apparel, footwear, accessories, beauty, and home products. The addressable market sizes for these main product categories in the U.S. are detailed below:
- Apparel Market: The United States apparel market is valued at approximately $365.70 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 2.11% between 2025 and 2028. Another estimate indicates the market reached nearly $361.68 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach approximately $458.48 billion by 2035, growing at a CAGR of 2.40% during the forecast period of 2026-2035.
- Footwear Market: The United States footwear market size was valued at an estimated $97.16 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach $121.30 billion by 2034, with a CAGR of 2.50% from 2026-2034. Other data suggests the U.S. footwear market generated a revenue of $94,538.1 million in 2024 and is expected to reach $117,375.3 million by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 3.7% from 2025 to 2030.
- Fashion Accessories Market: The U.S. fashion accessories market generated a revenue of $222,074.1 million in 2024 and is expected to reach $342,988.5 million by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 7.8% from 2025 to 2030. This market encompasses items such as jewelry, watches, handbags, and sunglasses.
- Beauty and Personal Care Products Market: The United States beauty and personal care products market size was valued at $136.03 billion in 2024 and is projected to expand to $195.83 billion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 4.13% during the forecast period of 2025-2033. Another report indicates the market was estimated at $109.56 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach $196.33 billion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 7.7% from 2026 to 2033.
- Home Products Market (Home Decor): The U.S. home decor market generated a revenue of $237,874.2 million in 2024 and is expected to reach $392,556.1 million by 2030, with a CAGR of 8.9% from 2025 to 2030. This market includes categories such as furniture, textiles, and flooring.
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Kohl's (KSS) is focusing on several key drivers to stimulate future revenue growth over the next two to three years:
- Expansion of Sephora Partnership: The partnership with Sephora is a significant growth engine, with Kohl's projecting Sephora at Kohl's to achieve over $2 billion in annual sales by 2025. The company plans to expand Sephora's presence to over 1,000 stores by 2025, ultimately aiming for all of its 1,100+ locations, attracting new, younger, and more diverse customers.
- Focus on Proprietary Brands: Kohl's is committed to increasing investment in its proprietary brands, such as Apt. 9, Croft & Barrow, Jumping Beans, SO, and Sonoma Goods for Life. This includes enhancing inventory, marketing, and the in-store experience for these labels, which are a core part of their value proposition.
- Optimization of Store Footprint and Omnichannel Experience: The company plans to open approximately 100 new smaller-format stores over the next four years and is modernizing its existing store portfolio. Investments in technology and cloud-based infrastructure are aimed at improving the omnichannel experience, streamlining operations, and enhancing customer engagement across online and in-store channels.
- Value-Oriented Pricing and Impulse Initiatives: Kohl's intends to provide more consistent and competitive value to its customers, including offering basic and gift items priced at $10 or less. The expansion of "Impulse" and "Deal Bar" initiatives is designed to drive incremental sales and increase customer trip frequency.
- New Category Partnerships: Beyond its successful beauty partnership, Kohl's is diversifying its product offerings through new collaborations, such as a significant venture with Babies R Us. This strategy aims to expand into new product categories and attract additional customer segments.
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Share Repurchases
- Kohl's Board of Directors approved a $3.0 billion share repurchase authorization in 2022 and planned to repurchase at least $1.0 billion in shares in 2022.
- The company repurchased $1.355 billion in shares in 2021.
- In April 2021, the Board expanded its existing share repurchase authorization to $2 billion.
Share Issuance
- In fiscal year 2025, long-term debt increased by $262 million due to the issuance of $360 million of 10.000% senior secured notes, partially offset by $87 million in open market repurchases of outstanding long-term debt.
Capital Expenditures
- Kohl's expects capital expenditures for fiscal year 2026 to be approximately $350 million to $400 million. These expenditures are focused on operational improvements and modernization efforts.
- Capital expenditures were $460 million in fiscal year 2025.
- Capital expenditures were $551 million in fiscal year 2023 and $783 million in fiscal year 2022.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Is 26.5% Fall In Kohl's (KSS) Stock A Buying Opportunity? | 03/11/2026 | |
| Kohl's Earnings Notes | 12/29/2026 | |
| Is Kohl's Stock Outperforming Its Rivals? | 11/26/2025 | |
| Kohl's Stock Up 51% in One Month, Now Is Not The Time To Buy The Stock | 11/26/2025 | |
| Can Kohl's Stock Hold Up When Markets Turn? | 10/17/2025 | |
| KSS Dip Buy Analysis | 07/10/2025 | |
| Kohl's Total Shareholder Return (TSR): -36.3% in 2025 and -24.0% 3-yr compounded annual returns (below peer average) | 03/07/2025 | |
| Kohl's vs. S&P500 Correlation | 10/03/2024 | |
| Kohl's Price Volatility | 09/24/2024 | |
| ARTICLES | ||
| Kohl’s Stock To $10? | 03/11/2026 | |
| Small Cap Stocks Trading At 52-Week High | 12/03/2025 | |
| Kohl’s Stock vs Competition: Who Wins? | 11/26/2025 | |
| Kohl’s Stock To $16? | 11/26/2025 | |
| Market Movers | Winners: PHGE, CETY, KSS | Losers: INHD, CLSD, GP | 11/25/2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to KSS.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03312026 | SKY | Champion Homes | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 03272026 | DPZ | Domino's Pizza | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.1% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| 03272026 | ETSY | Etsy | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.6% | 5.6% | 0.0% |
| 03272026 | OLLI | Ollie's Bargain Outlet | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.1% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| 03272026 | PATK | Patrick Industries | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.4% | 3.4% | -1.6% |
| 01302026 | KSS | Kohl's | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -25.4% | -25.4% | -30.5% |
| 07312025 | KSS | Kohl's | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 57.9% | 21.7% | -1.0% |
| 01312025 | KSS | Kohl's | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -16.5% | 37.8% | -52.9% |
| 07312024 | KSS | Kohl's | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -35.4% | -45.4% | -69.5% |
| 01312024 | KSS | Kohl's | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -12.3% | -42.3% | -45.4% |
| 02282023 | KSS | Kohl's | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -0.6% | 9.0% | -34.4% |
| 07312022 | KSS | Kohl's | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 11.8% | 5.9% | -34.7% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 141.75 |
| Mkt Cap | 32.3 |
| Rev LTM | 22,324 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,754 |
| FCF LTM | 1,486 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,273 |
| CFO LTM | 2,109 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 2,001 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -1.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -1.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | -1.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -0.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 7.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 8.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 9.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 9.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 7.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 5.8% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 32.3 |
| P/S | 1.0 |
| P/EBIT | 11.6 |
| P/E | 15.6 |
| P/CFO | 10.7 |
| Total Yield | 10.9% |
| Dividend Yield | 3.7% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 7.8% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 2.5% |
| 3M Rtn | -4.9% |
| 6M Rtn | 16.1% |
| 12M Rtn | 66.6% |
| 3Y Rtn | 65.8% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 1.9% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -4.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 11.0% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 49.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -4.2% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2026 | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Single segment | 16,221 | ||||
| Accessories (including Sephora) | 2,813 | 2,279 | 2,100 | 1,638 | |
| Children's | 2,060 | 2,176 | 2,435 | 2,082 | |
| Footwear | 1,444 | 1,582 | 1,798 | 1,381 | |
| Home | 2,533 | 2,791 | 3,344 | 3,381 | |
| Men's | 3,455 | 3,679 | 3,867 | 2,753 | |
| Women's | 4,281 | 4,654 | 4,927 | 3,796 | |
| Other revenue | 937 | 962 | 924 | ||
| Total | 16,221 | 16,586 | 18,098 | 19,433 | 15,955 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $13.28 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 1.5 | |
| First Trading Date | 05/19/1992 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -45.4% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $15.34 | $15.82 |
| DMA Trend | up | down |
| Distance from DMA | -13.4% | -16.1% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 53.7% | 89.0% |
| Downside Capture | 0.75 | 1.21 |
| Upside Capture | -98.55 | 252.14 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 19.4% | 30.2% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.15 | 0.92 | 0.93 | 2.21 | 2.02 | 1.77 |
| Up Beta | 6.29 | 2.69 | 1.69 | 3.95 | 2.10 | 1.86 |
| Down Beta | 1.11 | 2.04 | 1.45 | 1.96 | 1.33 | 1.20 |
| Up Capture | -78% | -68% | -62% | 193% | 590% | 719% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 7 | 16 | 27 | 65 | 139 | 424 |
| Stock +ve Days | 6 | 15 | 23 | 54 | 121 | 344 |
| Down Capture | 171% | 102% | 153% | 167% | 155% | 112% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 23 | 33 | 58 | 110 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 16 | 27 | 40 | 72 | 130 | 404 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with KSS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KSS | 123.5% | 92.9% | 1.24 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 28.9% | 22.5% | 1.05 | 44.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 31.2% | 17.3% | 1.47 | 39.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 60.1% | 27.8% | 1.69 | -1.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 29.8% | 16.6% | 1.58 | 5.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 21.3% | 15.2% | 1.07 | 32.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -5.7% | 43.7% | -0.01 | 23.8% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with KSS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KSS | -21.1% | 68.5% | -0.07 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 6.3% | 23.7% | 0.23 | 43.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 11.1% | 17.0% | 0.50 | 40.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 22.1% | 17.8% | 1.02 | 2.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.8% | 18.8% | 0.52 | 11.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.7% | 18.8% | 0.10 | 34.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 4.0% | 56.5% | 0.29 | 15.2% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with KSS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KSS | -6.9% | 62.8% | 0.15 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 12.2% | 22.0% | 0.51 | 46.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.8% | 17.9% | 0.66 | 42.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 14.2% | 15.9% | 0.74 | -1.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.6% | 17.6% | 0.41 | 17.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.1% | 20.7% | 0.22 | 39.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.4% | 66.9% | 1.07 | 13.0% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 3/10/2026 | -1.5% | -11.0% | -7.8% |
| 11/25/2025 | 42.5% | 46.0% | 33.4% |
| 8/27/2025 | 24.0% | 21.5% | 24.0% |
| 5/29/2025 | -0.7% | 0.4% | 5.6% |
| 3/11/2025 | -24.1% | -29.0% | -48.0% |
| 11/26/2024 | -17.0% | -16.8% | -16.3% |
| 8/28/2024 | 0.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% |
| 5/30/2024 | -22.9% | -17.6% | -13.7% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 10 | 13 |
| # Negative | 12 | 14 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 7.3% | 11.5% | 12.7% |
| Median Negative | -8.1% | -8.0% | -14.9% |
| Max Positive | 42.5% | 46.0% | 49.1% |
| Max Negative | -24.1% | -29.0% | -48.0% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 01/31/2026 | 03/19/2026 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2025 | 12/03/2025 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2025 | 09/04/2025 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2025 | 06/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2025 | 03/20/2025 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2024 | 12/05/2024 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2024 | 09/05/2024 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2024 | 06/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2024 | 03/21/2024 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2023 | 11/30/2023 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2023 | 08/31/2023 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2023 | 06/01/2023 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2023 | 03/16/2023 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2022 | 12/01/2022 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2022 | 09/01/2022 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2022 | 06/02/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 3/10/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Revenue Growth | -2.0% | -1.0% | 0.0% | -73.3% | 2.8% | Raised | Guidance: -3.75% for 2025 |
| 2026 Operating Margin | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | -1.6% | -0.0% | Lowered | Guidance: 3.15% for 2025 |
| 2026 EPS | 1 | 1.3 | 1.6 | -3.7% | Lowered | Guidance: 1.35 for 2025 | |
| 2026 Capital Expenditures | 350.00 Mil | 375.00 Mil | 400.00 Mil | -6.2% | Lowered | Guidance: 400.00 Mil for 2025 | |
Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/25/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2025 Revenue Growth | -4.0% | -3.75% | -3.5% | -31.8% | 1.8% | Raised | Guidance: -5.5% for 2025 |
| 2025 Comparable Sales Growth | -3.0% | -2.75% | -2.5% | -38.9% | 1.8% | Raised | Guidance: -4.5% for 2025 |
| 2025 Operating Margin | 3.1% | 3.15% | 3.2% | 21.2% | 0.6% | Raised | Guidance: 2.6% for 2025 |
| 2025 EPS | 1.25 | 1.35 | 1.45 | 107.7% | Raised | Guidance: 0.65 for 2025 | |
| 2025 Capital Expenditures | 400.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 400.00 Mil for 2025 | |||
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Timm, Jill | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 12112025 | 24.00 | 10,000 | 240,000 | 7,813,464 | Form |
| 2 | Timm, Jill | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 12042025 | 22.75 | 25,000 | 568,750 | 7,634,013 | Form |
| 3 | Raymond, Christie | Sr. EVP & Chief Marketing Off. | Direct | Sell | 7232025 | 19.56 | 26,500 | 518,450 | 4,467,454 | Form |
| 4 | Steinmetz, Mari | Sr. EVP, Chief People Officer | Direct | Sell | 3202026 | 12.81 | 1,583 | 20,278 | 2,802,188 | Form |
| 5 | Steinmetz, Mari | Sr. EVP, Chief People Officer | Direct | Sell | 3262026 | 12.50 | 457 | 5,712 | 2,721,788 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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