Tearsheet

Kohl's (KSS)


Market Price (10/16/2025): $15.5 | Market Cap: $1.7 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Broadline Retail

Kohl's (KSS)


Market Price (10/16/2025): $15.5
Market Cap: $1.7 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Broadline Retail

Investment Highlights


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 20%, Dividend Yield is 8.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 16%, FCF Yield is 28%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -58%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -112%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 389%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -38%
  Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 156%
2   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.2%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -5.6%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -5.0%
3   Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 29%
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 20%, Dividend Yield is 8.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 16%, FCF Yield is 28%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -38%
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -58%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -112%
3 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 389%
4 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 156%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.2%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -5.6%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -5.0%
6 Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 29%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

KSS Stock


Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
KSS Return-17%24%-46%24%-46%13%-62%
Peers Return-1%103%1%13%9%14%186%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%13%103%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
KSS Win Rate58%50%33%50%33%56% 
Peers Win Rate47%58%35%45%48%67% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%67% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
KSS Max Drawdown-77%-5%-49%-27%-47%-56% 
Peers Max Drawdown-42%-5%-24%-16%-11%-18% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HD, TJX, DDS, M, BBBY. See KSS Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 10/15/2025 (YTD)

Downturns Compared

Unique KeyEventKSSS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-71.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven254.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-77.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven342.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven311 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-46.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven85.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-68.3%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven215.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2324 days1480 days


How Low Can It Go?

Kohl's's stock fell -71.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/24/2022. A -71.8% loss requires a 254.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

Better Bets than Kohl's (KSS)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to KSS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ANF_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025ANFAbercrombie & FitchDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-16.9%-16.9%-16.9%
DECK_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025DECKDeckers OutdoorDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.9%-4.9%-6.2%
CHH_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025CHHChoice Hotels InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.4%-7.4%-7.6%
VAC_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025VACMarriott Vacations WorldwideDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.4%-0.4%-6.1%
FUN_9302025_Short_Squeeze09302025FUNSix Flags EntertainmentSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-9.3%-9.3%-11.7%
KSS_7312025_Short_Squeeze07312025KSSKohl'sSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
42.7%42.7%-1.0%
KSS_1312025_Short_Squeeze01312025KSSKohl'sSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-16.5%20.4%-52.9%
KSS_7312024_Short_Squeeze07312024KSSKohl'sSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-35.4%-45.4%-69.5%
KSS_1312024_Short_Squeeze01312024KSSKohl'sSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-12.3%-42.3%-45.4%
KSS_2282023_Short_Squeeze02282023KSSKohl'sSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-0.6%9.0%-34.4%
KSS_7312022_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG07312022KSSKohl'sDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.8%5.9%-34.7%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ANF_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025ANFAbercrombie & FitchDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-16.9%-16.9%-16.9%
DECK_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025DECKDeckers OutdoorDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.9%-4.9%-6.2%
CHH_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025CHHChoice Hotels InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.4%-7.4%-7.6%
VAC_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025VACMarriott Vacations WorldwideDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.4%-0.4%-6.1%
FUN_9302025_Short_Squeeze09302025FUNSix Flags EntertainmentSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-9.3%-9.3%-11.7%
KSS_7312025_Short_Squeeze07312025KSSKohl'sSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
42.7%42.7%-1.0%
KSS_1312025_Short_Squeeze01312025KSSKohl'sSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-16.5%20.4%-52.9%
KSS_7312024_Short_Squeeze07312024KSSKohl'sSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-35.4%-45.4%-69.5%
KSS_1312024_Short_Squeeze01312024KSSKohl'sSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-12.3%-42.3%-45.4%
KSS_2282023_Short_Squeeze02282023KSSKohl'sSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-0.6%9.0%-34.4%
KSS_7312022_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG07312022KSSKohl'sDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.8%5.9%-34.7%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Kohl's

Financials

KSSHDTJXDDSMBBBYMedian
NameKohl's Home Dep.TJX Comp.Dillard'sMacy's Bed Bath. 
Mkt Price15.35388.30145.16600.8017.908.2881.53
Mkt Cap1.7385.2161.99.44.9-9.4
Rev LTM15,886165,05457,9256,58622,7021,12919,294
Op Inc LTM52121,6016,476716849-128782
FCF LTM48014,2304,041771603-113687
FCF 3Y Avg54315,7594,358749406-115646
CFO LTM90717,8725,9358581,396-991,152
CFO 3Y Avg1,05019,1286,1458621,383-871,217

Growth & Margins

KSSHDTJXDDSMBBBYMedian
NameKohl's Home Dep.TJX Comp.Dillard'sMacy's Bed Bath. 
Rev Chg LTM-7.2%8.5%4.1%-2.4%-3.4%-26.6%-2.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-5.6%2.2%5.3%-1.7%-4.5%-21.3%-3.1%
Rev Chg Q-5.0%4.9%6.9%1.4%-1.9%-29.1%-0.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-1.2%1.3%1.6%0.3%-0.4%-9.3%-0.1%
Op Mgn LTM3.3%13.1%11.2%10.9%3.7%-11.3%7.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg2.7%14.0%10.7%12.5%4.6%-8.5%7.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.0%-0.2%0.2%-0.1%-0.1%1.3%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM5.7%10.8%10.2%13.0%6.1%-8.8%8.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg6.2%12.2%11.2%12.7%5.9%-6.4%8.7%
FCF/Rev LTM3.0%8.6%7.0%11.7%2.7%-10.0%5.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg3.2%10.1%8.0%11.1%1.7%-8.3%5.6%

Valuation

KSSHDTJXDDSMBBBYMedian
NameKohl's Home Dep.TJX Comp.Dillard'sMacy's Bed Bath. 
Mkt Cap1.7385.2161.99.44.9-9.4
P/S0.12.32.81.40.2-1.4
P/EBIT3.117.724.212.66.4-12.6
P/E8.326.332.516.39.8-16.3
P/CFO1.921.627.310.93.5-10.9
Total Yield20.2%6.1%4.2%10.5%14.2%-10.5%
Dividend Yield8.1%2.3%1.1%4.4%4.0%-4.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg31.9%4.7%3.7%12.3%10.6%-10.6%
D/E4.00.20.10.11.1-0.2
Net D/E3.90.20.1-0.11.0-0.2

Returns

KSSHDTJXDDSMBBBYMedian
NameKohl's Home Dep.TJX Comp.Dillard'sMacy's Bed Bath. 
1M Rtn-4.4%-8.1%2.8%2.4%2.6%-19.3%-1.0%
3M Rtn64.7%9.3%20.0%36.3%50.2%-36.3%
6M Rtn155.7%13.6%15.7%91.5%66.9%-66.9%
12M Rtn-17.6%-4.3%25.9%69.3%20.4%-20.4%
3Y Rtn-27.7%51.5%138.4%152.1%16.7%-51.5%
1M Excs Rtn-8.8%-8.8%3.0%0.4%1.7%-16.6%-4.2%
3M Excs Rtn54.7%2.8%13.3%24.3%44.9%-24.3%
6M Excs Rtn126.8%-12.7%-9.9%66.6%40.5%-40.5%
12M Excs Rtn-30.5%-18.2%14.5%60.1%4.6%-4.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-112.3%-36.4%50.8%65.6%-66.0%--36.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Women's4,2814,6544,9273,7965,302
Men's3,4553,6793,8672,7533,827
Accessories (including Sephora)2,8132,2792,1001,6382,217
Home2,5332,7913,3443,3813,249
Children's2,0602,1762,4352,0822,460
Footwear1,4441,5821,7981,3811,830
Other revenue  9629241,089
Total16,58617,16119,43315,95519,974


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date9302025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity31,991,412
Short Interest: % Change Since 9152025-2.1%
Average Daily Volume6,448,710
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.96
Basic Shares Quantity112,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares28.6%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/27/202524.0%22.5%24.0%
5/29/2025-0.7%0.4%5.6%
3/11/2025-24.1%-29.0%-48.0%
11/26/2024-17.0%-16.8%-16.3%
8/28/20240.3%5.0%6.0%
5/30/2024-22.9%-17.6%-13.7%
3/12/2024-6.7%-7.9%-12.9%
11/21/2023-8.6%-5.4%11.6%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive11912
# Negative131512
Median Positive7.3%7.1%12.1%
Median Negative-8.6%-8.0%-15.4%
Max Positive24.0%22.5%49.1%
Max Negative-24.1%-29.0%-60.6%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
7312025904202510-Q 8/2/2025
4302025606202510-Q 5/3/2025
1312025320202510-K 2/1/2025
103120241205202410-Q 11/2/2024
7312024905202410-Q 8/3/2024
4302024606202410-Q 5/4/2024
1312024321202410-K 2/3/2024
103120231130202310-Q 10/28/2023
7312023831202310-Q 7/29/2023
4302023601202310-Q 4/29/2023
1312023316202310-K 1/28/2023
103120221201202210-Q 10/29/2022
7312022901202210-Q 7/30/2022
4302022602202210-Q 4/30/2022
1312022317202210-K 1/29/2022
103120211202202110-Q 10/30/2021

Insider Activity

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