Tearsheet

Kohl's (KSS)


Market Price (12/8/2025): $23.2 | Market Cap: $2.6 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Broadline Retail

Kohl's (KSS)


Market Price (12/8/2025): $23.2
Market Cap: $2.6 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Broadline Retail

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, Dividend Yield is 3.8%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.2%, FCF Yield is 32%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -38%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -77%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 258%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Show more.
  Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 169%
2   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.1%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -5.4%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -3.6%
3   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 93%
4   Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 25%
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, Dividend Yield is 3.8%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.2%, FCF Yield is 32%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -38%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -77%
3 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 258%
4 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 169%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.1%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -5.4%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -3.6%
6 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 93%
7 Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 25%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

KSS Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The 54.2% stock movement for Kohl's (KSS) between August 31, 2025, and December 8, 2025, can be attributed to several key factors:



1. Strong Q3 2025 Earnings Beat and Raised Full-Year Outlook: Kohl's reported adjusted earnings per share of $0.10 for Q3 2025, significantly surpassing analyst estimates of a loss, with revenue also exceeding expectations. Following these results, management substantially raised its full-year 2025 adjusted EPS guidance, indicating renewed confidence in the company's financial trajectory. This strong performance and optimistic outlook led to a significant surge in the stock, with reports of jumps between 21.5% and 36.41% on the day of the announcement, November 25, 2025.

2. Appointment of Michael J. Bender as Permanent CEO: Michael Bender, who had been serving as the interim Chief Executive Officer, was formally appointed to the permanent role on November 24, 2025. This decision was met with positive investor sentiment, as Bender was perceived to provide the necessary leadership and vision for the company. The stock responded favorably, soaring by nearly 60% in the week following his confirmation, marking its best weekly performance of the year.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
KSS Return-17%24%-46%24%-46%67%-38%
Peers Return3%96%-1%15%8%22%202%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
KSS Win Rate58%50%33%50%33%60% 
Peers Win Rate57%65%43%57%55%54% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
KSS Max Drawdown-77%-5%-49%-27%-47%-56% 
Peers Max Drawdown-52%-8%-33%-22%-13%-26% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: TGT, M, TJX, ROST, DDS. See KSS Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/5/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventKSSS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-71.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven254.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-77.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven342.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven311 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-46.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven85.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-68.3%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven215.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2324 days1480 days

Compare to HD, TJX, DDS, M, BGO


In The Past

Kohl's's stock fell -71.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/24/2022. A -71.8% loss requires a 254.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Kohl's (KSS)

Better Bets than Kohl's (KSS)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to KSS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
8.2%8.2%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.9%1.9%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.8%-1.8%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
8.8%8.8%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.3%5.3%-1.6%
KSS_7312025_Short_Squeeze07312025KSSKohl'sSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
114.2%114.2%-1.0%
KSS_1312025_Short_Squeeze01312025KSSKohl'sSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-16.5%80.8%-52.9%
KSS_7312024_Short_Squeeze07312024KSSKohl'sSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-35.4%-45.4%-69.5%
KSS_1312024_Short_Squeeze01312024KSSKohl'sSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-12.3%-42.3%-45.4%
KSS_2282023_Short_Squeeze02282023KSSKohl'sSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-0.6%9.0%-34.4%
KSS_7312022_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG07312022KSSKohl'sDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.8%5.9%-34.7%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
8.2%8.2%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.9%1.9%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.8%-1.8%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
8.8%8.8%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.3%5.3%-1.6%
KSS_7312025_Short_Squeeze07312025KSSKohl'sSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
114.2%114.2%-1.0%
KSS_1312025_Short_Squeeze01312025KSSKohl'sSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-16.5%80.8%-52.9%
KSS_7312024_Short_Squeeze07312024KSSKohl'sSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-35.4%-45.4%-69.5%
KSS_1312024_Short_Squeeze01312024KSSKohl'sSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-12.3%-42.3%-45.4%
KSS_2282023_Short_Squeeze02282023KSSKohl'sSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-0.6%9.0%-34.4%
KSS_7312022_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG07312022KSSKohl'sDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.8%5.9%-34.7%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Kohl's

Peers to compare with:

Financials

KSSTGTMTJXROSTDDSMedian
NameKohl's Target Macy's TJX Comp.Ross Sto.Dillard's 
Mkt Price23.0592.1922.85153.28177.87698.18122.73
Mkt Cap2.641.96.2170.957.510.926.4
Rev LTM15,751105,64022,70257,92521,4986,58622,100
Op Inc LTM5005,4248496,4762,5807161,714
FCF LTM8192,9446034,0411,6797711,249
FCF 3Y Avg5703,2824064,3581,7977491,273
CFO LTM1,2266,3861,3965,9352,4748581,935
CFO 3Y Avg1,0517,4701,3836,1452,5658621,974

Growth & Margins

KSSTGTMTJXROSTDDSMedian
NameKohl's Target Macy's TJX Comp.Ross Sto.Dillard's 
Rev Chg LTM-6.1%-1.5%-3.4%4.1%1.9%-2.4%-2.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-5.4%-0.7%-4.5%5.3%5.2%-1.7%-1.2%
Rev Chg Q-3.6%-0.9%-1.9%6.9%4.6%1.4%0.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.8%-0.2%-0.4%1.6%1.1%0.3%0.0%
Op Mgn LTM3.2%5.1%3.7%11.2%12.0%10.9%8.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg2.5%5.1%4.6%10.7%11.5%12.5%7.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.1%-0.3%-0.1%0.2%-0.2%-0.1%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM7.8%6.0%6.1%10.2%11.5%13.0%9.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg6.3%7.0%5.9%11.2%12.5%12.7%9.1%
FCF/Rev LTM5.2%2.8%2.7%7.0%7.8%11.7%6.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg3.5%3.1%1.7%8.0%8.8%11.1%5.7%

Valuation

KSSTGTMTJXROSTDDSMedian
NameKohl's Target Macy's TJX Comp.Ross Sto.Dillard's 
Mkt Cap2.641.96.2170.957.510.926.4
P/S0.20.40.12.41.91.00.7
P/EBIT4.88.14.220.614.88.88.4
P/E13.311.46.427.720.011.312.4
P/CFO2.17.02.323.216.77.67.3
Total Yield11.3%13.3%21.8%4.9%6.2%15.2%12.3%
Dividend Yield3.8%4.6%6.2%1.3%1.2%6.3%4.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg28.6%5.6%10.6%3.7%4.3%12.3%8.1%
D/E2.60.41.70.10.10.10.3
Net D/E2.60.31.50.10.0-0.10.2

Returns

KSSTGTMTJXROSTDDSMedian
NameKohl's Target Macy's TJX Comp.Ross Sto.Dillard's 
1M Rtn35.5%2.3%12.3%6.0%10.4%15.1%11.4%
3M Rtn39.1%0.2%33.3%10.4%18.1%21.1%19.6%
6M Rtn169.0%-3.0%91.3%20.1%24.4%73.6%49.0%
12M Rtn61.3%-27.3%46.3%23.1%14.9%66.8%34.7%
3Y Rtn6.3%-33.6%13.2%103.1%56.5%133.5%34.8%
1M Excs Rtn30.3%0.4%9.0%5.9%8.6%12.5%8.8%
3M Excs Rtn33.2%-3.8%27.9%3.4%11.9%15.0%13.4%
6M Excs Rtn154.5%-17.5%76.8%5.6%9.9%59.1%34.5%
12M Excs Rtn48.4%-40.3%32.3%10.8%3.4%53.9%21.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-77.1%-107.1%-57.7%31.2%-12.2%60.4%-34.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Women's4,2814,6544,9273,7965,302
Men's3,4553,6793,8672,7533,827
Accessories (including Sephora)2,8132,2792,1001,6382,217
Home2,5332,7913,3443,3813,249
Children's2,0602,1762,4352,0822,460
Footwear1,4441,5821,7981,3811,830
Other revenue 9379629241,089
Total16,58618,09819,43315,95519,974


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity27,806,482
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-5.1%
Average Daily Volume4,168,250
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.67
Basic Shares Quantity112,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares24.8%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/25/202542.5%46.0% 
8/27/202524.0%22.5%24.0%
5/29/2025-0.7%0.4%5.6%
3/11/2025-24.1%-29.0%-48.0%
11/26/2024-17.0%-16.8%-16.3%
8/28/20240.3%5.0%6.0%
5/30/2024-22.9%-17.6%-13.7%
3/12/2024-6.7%-7.9%-12.9%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121012
# Negative121412
Median Positive7.3%11.5%12.1%
Median Negative-8.1%-8.0%-15.8%
Max Positive42.5%46.0%49.1%
Max Negative-24.1%-29.0%-60.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
103120251203202510-Q 11/1/2025
7312025904202510-Q 8/2/2025
4302025606202510-Q 5/3/2025
1312025320202510-K 2/1/2025
103120241205202410-Q 11/2/2024
7312024905202410-Q 8/3/2024
4302024606202410-Q 5/4/2024
1312024321202410-K 2/3/2024
103120231130202310-Q 10/28/2023
7312023831202310-Q 7/29/2023
4302023601202310-Q 4/29/2023
1312023316202310-K 1/28/2023
103120221201202210-Q 10/29/2022
7312022901202210-Q 7/30/2022
4302022602202210-Q 4/30/2022
1312022317202210-K 1/29/2022