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Ionis Pharmaceuticals (IONS)


Market Price (11/13/2025): $71.27 | Market Cap: $11.4 Bil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology

Ionis Pharmaceuticals (IONS)


Market Price (11/13/2025): $71.27
Market Cap: $11.4 Bil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Biotechnology

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, Targeted Therapies, Show more.
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -2.7%, Dist 3Y High is -2.7%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -278 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -29%
1  Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -2.0%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -5.3%
Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 123%
2   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -26%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -32%
3   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 62%
4   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.2%
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, Targeted Therapies, Show more.
1 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -2.7%, Dist 3Y High is -2.7%
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -2.0%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -5.3%
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -278 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -29%
4 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 123%
5 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -26%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -32%
6 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 62%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.2%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

IONS Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for why Ionis Pharmaceuticals (IONS) stock moved by 69.1% from approximately July 31, 2025, to today: **1. FDA Approval of DAWNZERA (donidalorsen) for Hereditary Angioedema (HAE).**

Ionis Pharmaceuticals received FDA approval for DAWNZERA, an RNA-targeted drug for hereditary angioedema (HAE), in August 2025. This marked a significant milestone as the first of its kind targeted at plasma prekallikrein and the company's second independent product launch within a year, positioning Ionis as a leader in RNA medicine. The drug offers flexible dosing every four or eight weeks and is expected to meet unmet needs in the HAE patient group. **2. Breakthrough Therapy Designation for ION582 in Angelman Syndrome.**

In September 2025, Ionis Pharmaceuticals announced that the U.S. FDA granted Breakthrough Therapy designation to ION582 for the treatment of Angelman syndrome. This designation is intended to expedite the review of medicines for serious or life-threatening conditions that have shown preliminary clinical evidence of substantial improvement over available therapies. The designation was based on positive results from the Phase 1/2 HALOS study, which showed consistent clinical improvement across functional domains and favorable safety. **3. Positive Phase 3 Results for Olezarsen in Severe Hypertriglyceridemia (sHTG).**

Ionis announced positive results from the pivotal Phase 3 CORE and CORE2 studies of olezarsen in people with severe hypertriglyceridemia (sHTG) in early September, with detailed data presented in November 2025. The studies met their primary endpoint, demonstrating a highly statistically significant placebo-adjusted mean reduction in fasting triglyceride levels of up to 72% at six months, sustained through 12 months. Olezarsen also showed a highly statistically significant 85% reduction in acute pancreatitis events, making it the first investigational treatment for sHTG to achieve this. Analysts have described this readout as "game-changing" with "blockbuster potential" for the treatment of sHTG. Ionis plans to submit a supplemental new drug application (sNDA) by year-end. **4. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results and Increased Full-Year Guidance.**

On October 29, 2025, Ionis Pharmaceuticals reported its financial results for the third quarter, significantly surpassing analyst expectations. The company reported total revenue of $157 million, a 17% increase compared to the same period in 2024, and a net loss of $129 million, translating to a loss per share of $0.80, which beat the average estimate of $1.15 per share. Net product sales for TRYNGOLZA® reached $32 million, a nearly 70% increase over the prior quarter, contributing significantly to revenue growth. Following this strong performance, Ionis increased its financial guidance for 2025, expecting total revenue between $875 million and $900 million. **5. Innovation Day Highlighting Future Growth and Path to Positive Cash Flow.**

During its 2025 Innovation Day on October 7, 2025, Ionis Pharmaceuticals highlighted its accelerating revenue growth, robust pipeline of wholly-owned medicines, and a clear path to sustained positive cash flow. The company anticipates further independent launches, including olezarsen in severe hypertriglyceridemia and zilganersen in Alexander disease, in 2026. Ionis projected reaching cash flow breakeven by 2028 with substantial and sustainable positive cash flow in subsequent years.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
IONS Return-6%-46%24%34%-31%108%20%
Peers Return91%4%-19%-22%-2%-16%4%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
IONS Win Rate42%33%58%58%25%70% 
Peers Win Rate53%42%48%43%35%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
IONS Max Drawdown-31%-55%-2%-11%-33%-27% 
Peers Max Drawdown-41%-33%-53%-45%-38%-51% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ALNY, RARE, NTLA, SRPT, APM. See IONS Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/12/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventIONSS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-59.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven149.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1378 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-34.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven52.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven308 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-37.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven60.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days

Compare to ALNY, RARE, NTLA, SRPT, APM


In The Past

Ionis Pharmaceuticals's stock fell -59.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/25/2021. A -59.8% loss requires a 149.0% gain to breakeven.

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About Ionis Pharmaceuticals (IONS)

Better Bets than Ionis Pharmaceuticals (IONS)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to IONS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
GDRX_10312025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG10312025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-10.1%-10.1%-10.1%
DXCM_10312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312025DXCMDexComMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.2%-0.2%-5.8%
ACHC_10242025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10242025ACHCAcadia HealthcareDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-22.0%-22.0%-22.3%
PBH_10102025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10102025PBHPrestige Consumer HealthcareDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.7%-0.7%-1.9%
REGN_10032025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10032025REGNRegeneron PharmaceuticalsDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
12.4%12.4%-7.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
GDRX_10312025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG10312025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-10.1%-10.1%-10.1%
DXCM_10312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312025DXCMDexComMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.2%-0.2%-5.8%
ACHC_10242025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10242025ACHCAcadia HealthcareDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-22.0%-22.0%-22.3%
PBH_10102025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10102025PBHPrestige Consumer HealthcareDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.7%-0.7%-1.9%
REGN_10032025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10032025REGNRegeneron PharmaceuticalsDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
12.4%12.4%-7.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Ionis Pharmaceuticals

Financials

IONSALNYRARENTLASRPTAPMMedian
NameIonis Ph.Alnylam .Ultragen.Intellia.Sarepta .Aptorum  
Mkt Price72.67452.7433.539.4918.001.4225.77
Mkt Cap11.659.53.31.01.8-3.3
Rev LTM9673,210631582,414-967
Op Inc LTM-278265-544-479-86--278
FCF LTM-309221-466-413-389--389
FCF 3Y Avg-42057-486-394-495--420
CFO LTM-247266-446-411-245--247
CFO 3Y Avg-380108-449-386-379--380

Growth & Margins

IONSALNYRARENTLASRPTAPMMedian
NameIonis Ph.Alnylam .Ultragen.Intellia.Sarepta .Aptorum  
Rev Chg LTM20.4%53.2%20.6%33.5%47.1%-33.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg7.1%51.4%22.5%5.8%40.6%-22.5%
Rev Chg Q17.1%149.3%14.7%51.3%-14.5%-17.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.4%30.4%3.3%8.8%-2.7%-3.3%
Op Mgn LTM-28.8%8.2%-86.3%-832.2%-3.6%--28.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-55.1%-7.1%-111.1%-1,006.0%-11.6%--55.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.5%15.6%-3.5%136.5%-3.5%--0.5%
CFO/Rev LTM-25.5%8.3%-70.7%-713.8%-10.1%--25.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-52.4%3.7%-89.4%-765.6%-26.8%--52.4%
FCF/Rev LTM-32.0%6.9%-74.0%-717.3%-16.1%--32.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-57.4%1.3%-97.6%-782.2%-33.7%--57.4%

Valuation

IONSALNYRARENTLASRPTAPMMedian
NameIonis Ph.Alnylam .Ultragen.Intellia.Sarepta .Aptorum  
Mkt Cap11.659.53.31.01.8-3.3
P/S12.018.55.318.20.7-12.0
P/EBIT-66.6456.7-6.4-2.2-7.8--6.4
P/E-45.31,366.0-5.8-2.3-6.6--5.8
P/CFO-47.0223.8-7.5-2.5-7.4--7.4
Total Yield-2.2%0.1%-17.3%-42.6%-15.0%--15.0%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%-0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-6.0%0.0%-15.2%-17.9%-10.0%--10.0%
D/E0.10.00.00.10.7-0.1
Net D/E-0.1-0.0-0.1-0.40.2--0.1

Returns

IONSALNYRARENTLASRPTAPMMedian
NameIonis Ph.Alnylam .Ultragen.Intellia.Sarepta .Aptorum  
1M Rtn2.9%-2.6%4.7%-60.1%-18.0%-10.4%-6.5%
3M Rtn68.6%4.7%15.7%-13.7%-11.8%-0.3%2.2%
6M Rtn122.9%69.2%-3.4%20.4%-49.6%36.2%28.3%
12M Rtn92.4%68.3%-29.9%-43.0%-84.3%18.0%-5.9%
3Y Rtn68.0%109.2%-8.3%-82.7%-83.2%-78.4%-43.3%
1M Excs Rtn-1.3%-6.7%2.7%-63.4%-19.1%-14.0%-10.3%
3M Excs Rtn63.7%-3.7%9.7%-18.8%-17.2%-8.9%-6.3%
6M Excs Rtn106.7%53.0%-19.7%4.2%-65.9%19.9%12.0%
12M Excs Rtn71.2%48.9%-47.7%-57.5%-99.5%0.9%-23.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-5.3%41.0%-84.4%-160.4%-162.0%-157.0%-120.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Ionis operations788    
Commercial revenue 303342365 
Research and development revenue 284468365 
Akcea Therapeutics    489
Elimination of Intercompany Activity    -225
Ionis Core    859
Total7885878107291,123


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Ionis operations-366    
Total-366    


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10312025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity12,661,274
Short Interest: % Change Since 10152025-7.6%
Average Daily Volume1,914,799
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.61
Basic Shares Quantity159,765,000
Short % of Basic Shares7.9%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/29/2025-2.3%-0.9% 
7/30/20254.6%3.8%3.1%
4/30/20253.0%6.9%12.2%
2/19/20252.8%-0.2%2.9%
11/6/2024-1.5%-3.2%-2.4%
8/1/20243.8%-5.4%0.9%
5/7/2024-3.2%-8.2%-5.7%
2/21/20241.0%6.9%-1.8%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111111
# Negative131313
Median Positive2.4%3.4%7.6%
Median Negative-2.3%-2.8%-7.8%
Max Positive5.6%6.9%20.9%
Max Negative-5.0%-12.6%-22.8%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251029202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025730202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025430202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024219202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241106202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023221202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023503202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022222202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021225202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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