Ionis Pharmaceuticals (IONS)
Market Price (5/10/2026): $75.71 | Market Cap: $12.5 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
Ionis Pharmaceuticals (IONS)
Market Price (5/10/2026): $75.71Market Cap: $12.5 BilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 48% Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 47% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, Targeted Therapies, Show more. | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -352 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -33% Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 135% Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14% Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -86%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -92% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.9% Key risksIONS key risks include [1] ongoing patent infringement lawsuits with Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals and [2] challenges in its strategic transition to independently commercializing its own products. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 48% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 47% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, Targeted Therapies, Show more. |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -352 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -33% |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 135% |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -86%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -92% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.9% |
| Key risksIONS key risks include [1] ongoing patent infringement lawsuits with Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals and [2] challenges in its strategic transition to independently commercializing its own products. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Ionis Pharmaceuticals reported a wider-than-expected loss for Q4 2025. On February 25, 2026, the company announced an earnings per share (EPS) of -$1.41 for the fourth quarter of 2025, missing analyst forecasts of -$1.33. This EPS miss likely contributed to a decline in the stock price, as seen by a 4.75% drop in pre-market trading, despite revenue of $203 million surpassing estimates of $154.71 million.
2. Significant insider selling by multiple executives. Several key executives at Ionis Pharmaceuticals engaged in substantial stock sales during this period, with individual transactions exceeding $5 million. For instance, the EVP, Finance & CFO, Elizabeth L. Hougen, sold shares valued at an estimated $17.87 million, while the EVP, Chief Scientific Officer, C. Frank Bennett, sold shares worth approximately $14.96 million. The Chief Executive Officer, Brett P. Monia, also sold shares estimated at $11.03 million, and the EVP, Chief Development Officer, Richard S. Geary, sold shares for an estimated $9.45 million.
Show more
Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -8.4% change in IONS stock from 1/31/2026 to 5/9/2026 was primarily driven by a -13.6% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 1312026 | 5092026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 82.67 | 75.71 | -8.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 967 | 1,058 | 9.4% |
| P/S Multiple | 13.7 | 11.8 | -13.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 160 | 165 | -3.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -8.4% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2026 to 5/9/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| IONS | -8.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 3.6% | 44.7% |
| Sector (XLV) | -6.9% | 51.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 1.9% change in IONS stock from 10/31/2025 to 5/9/2026 was primarily driven by a 9.4% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 5092026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 74.30 | 75.71 | 1.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 967 | 1,058 | 9.4% |
| P/S Multiple | 12.3 | 11.8 | -3.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 160 | 165 | -3.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 1.9% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 5/9/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| IONS | 1.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 5.5% | 34.0% |
| Sector (XLV) | 0.3% | 49.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 146.5% change in IONS stock from 4/30/2025 to 5/9/2026 was primarily driven by a 73.6% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 4302025 | 5092026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 30.71 | 75.71 | 146.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 717 | 1,058 | 47.5% |
| P/S Multiple | 6.8 | 11.8 | 73.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 159 | 165 | -3.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 146.5% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2025 to 5/9/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| IONS | 146.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 30.4% | 14.9% |
| Sector (XLV) | 4.0% | 29.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 114.1% change in IONS stock from 4/30/2023 to 5/9/2026 was primarily driven by a 80.2% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 4302023 | 5092026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 35.37 | 75.71 | 114.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 587 | 1,058 | 80.2% |
| P/S Multiple | 8.6 | 11.8 | 37.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 142 | 165 | -13.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 114.1% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2023 to 5/9/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| IONS | 114.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 78.7% | 25.3% |
| Sector (XLV) | 13.0% | 32.5% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| IONS Return | -46% | 24% | 34% | -31% | 126% | -4% | 34% |
| Peers Return | -8% | 18% | -7% | -6% | 53% | -2% | 43% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 7% | 95% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| IONS Win Rate | 33% | 58% | 58% | 25% | 67% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 48% | 58% | 43% | 40% | 60% | 40% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 60% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| IONS Max Drawdown | -55% | -2% | -11% | -33% | -27% | -12% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -24% | -28% | -31% | -23% | -35% | -16% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: ALNY, BIIB, VRTX, SRPT, ARWR. See IONS Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/8/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | IONS | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -19.8% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 24.7% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 24 days | 79 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -15.4% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 18.1% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 70 days | 31 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -32.6% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 48.4% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 109 days | 140 days |
| 2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff | ||
| % Loss | -29.0% | -3.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 40.9% | 3.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 13 days | 6 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -43.2% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 76.1% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 532 days | 62 days |
| 2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse | ||
| % Loss | -43.2% | -6.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 76.1% | 7.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 532 days | 15 days |
In The Past
Ionis Pharmaceuticals's stock fell -19.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 24.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
| Event | IONS | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -32.6% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 48.4% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 109 days | 140 days |
| 2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff | ||
| % Loss | -29.0% | -3.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 40.9% | 3.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 13 days | 6 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -43.2% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 76.1% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 532 days | 62 days |
| 2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse | ||
| % Loss | -43.2% | -6.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 76.1% | 7.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 532 days | 15 days |
In The Past
Ionis Pharmaceuticals's stock fell -19.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 24.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Ionis Pharmaceuticals (IONS)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are a few analogies to describe Ionis Pharmaceuticals:
- Ionis Pharmaceuticals is like Moderna or BioNTech for chronic diseases, using advanced RNA technology to develop a wide range of treatments, with several already approved.
- Ionis Pharmaceuticals is like Vertex Pharmaceuticals, but specializing in RNA-targeted drugs for a diverse range of rare and challenging conditions.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- SPINRAZA: A treatment for spinal muscular atrophy (SMA) in pediatric and adult patients.
- TEGSEDI: An injection for the treatment of polyneuropathy of hereditary transthyretin-mediated amyloidosis in adults.
- WAYLIVRA: A treatment for familial chylomicronemia syndrome and familial partial lipodystrophy.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Ionis Pharmaceuticals primarily sells its therapies, licenses its technology, and partners in drug development with other pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies. Its major customers are the companies with which it has collaboration agreements:- AstraZeneca (AZN)
- GlaxoSmithKline plc (GSK)
- Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) (parent company of Janssen Biotech, Inc.)
- Bayer AG (BAYRY)
- Novartis AG (NVS)
- Pfizer, Inc. (PFE)
- Biogen Inc. (BIIB)
- Flamingo Therapeutics, Inc. (private company)
- Roche (RHHBY)
AI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
Brett P. Monia, Ph.D. Chief Executive Officer
Dr. Monia is the Chief Executive Officer, a member of the board of directors, and a founding scientist of Ionis Pharmaceuticals. He was appointed CEO in January 2020. Dr. Monia co-founded Ionis Pharmaceuticals (originally Isis Pharmaceuticals) in 1989 and has over 35 years of experience with the company. His contributions at Ionis include extensive research into RNA-targeting modalities and he is an inventor on over 100 issued patents and has published more than 200 scientific manuscripts. He previously held roles such as Chief Operating Officer and Senior Vice President of Translational Medicine. Dr. Monia also serves on the board of directors of Cognition Therapeutics and Flamingo Therapeutics.
Elizabeth L. Hougen Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer
Ms. Hougen serves as the Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of Ionis Pharmaceuticals. She joined Ionis in May 2000 as Vice President, Finance, and was appointed Chief Accounting Officer in January 2007, and Chief Financial Officer in January 2013. Ms. Hougen has over 25 years of finance and business experience, primarily within the life sciences industry. Before joining Ionis, she was the Chief Financial Officer for Molecular Biosystems, Inc., a public biotechnology company.
Stanley T. Crooke, M.D., Ph.D. Founder and Executive Chairman
Dr. Crooke is the Founder of Ionis Pharmaceuticals, which was established as Isis Pharmaceuticals in 1989. He previously served as the Chief Executive Officer before transitioning to his current role as Executive Chairman of the Board of Directors. Prior to founding Ionis, Dr. Crooke was a research leader at GlaxoSmithKline.
C. Frank Bennett, Ph.D. Executive Vice President, Chief Scientific Officer
Dr. Bennett is the Executive Vice President and Chief Scientific Officer at Ionis Pharmaceuticals.
Joseph T. Baroldi Executive Vice President, Chief Business Officer
Mr. Baroldi serves as the Executive Vice President and Chief Business Officer, responsible for leading Ionis' business development and alliance management activities. He brings over two decades of industry experience, having previously served as Chief Operating Officer at Avidity Biosciences, where he played a key role in their initial public offering and team development.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks for Ionis Pharmaceuticals (IONS) are primarily centered around the inherent challenges of drug development and commercialization within the highly competitive biopharmaceutical industry, as well as its strategic business model.
-
Clinical Trial and Regulatory Failure: As a biotechnology company with a vast pipeline of RNA-targeted therapeutics, Ionis Pharmaceuticals faces significant risks associated with the rigorous process of drug discovery, development, and regulatory approval. The success of its numerous investigational medicines, targeting a wide range of diseases from neurological disorders to cardiometabolic conditions, is contingent upon favorable outcomes in preclinical studies and clinical trials, followed by regulatory clearances. Any delays in trials, unexpected safety concerns, or failure to demonstrate efficacy could lead to the abandonment of promising programs, negatively impacting future revenue and growth prospects. For instance, the early termination of the Hero study for an Alzheimer's disease candidate illustrates the potential for setbacks in their development pipeline.
-
Competition and Loss of Market Exclusivity: Ionis operates in a highly competitive landscape where numerous companies are vying for market share, particularly in the rapidly evolving RNA-targeted therapy space. This intense competition can lead to pricing pressures and challenges in gaining and maintaining market access for both its approved drugs and future products. For example, their established drug SPINRAZA faces competition in the spinal muscular atrophy (SMA) market, contributing to declining royalty revenues. Similarly, drugs like WAINUA compete directly with products from rivals such as Alnylam Pharmaceuticals in indications like transthyretin-mediated amyloidosis. The eventual expiry of patents for its commercialized medicines also poses a risk, opening the door to generic or biosimilar competition and potentially reducing profitability.
-
Reliance on Collaborative Agreements: Ionis Pharmaceuticals heavily leverages strategic partnerships with larger pharmaceutical companies for the late-stage development and commercialization of many of its drug candidates. While this model helps mitigate the substantial costs and risks associated with building a global commercial infrastructure, it also introduces a dependency on these partners. The termination or unfavorable renegotiation of these collaboration agreements could significantly impact Ionis' financial results, which can already be "lumpy and difficult to predict" due to the timing of partner payments. A past example includes Bayer's decision to discontinue the clinical development of fesomersen, leading to its return to Ionis.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The clear emerging threat for Ionis Pharmaceuticals is the rise of alternative therapeutic modalities and competing products in the disease areas where Ionis has commercialized drugs. For example, Ionis's SPINRAZA (for spinal muscular atrophy) faces significant competition from gene therapies and oral small molecule therapies that offer different administration routes (such as one-time administration versus chronic injection) and potentially different efficacy profiles. Similarly, Ionis's TEGSEDI (for hereditary transthyretin-mediated amyloidosis) faces competition from other RNA-based therapies and small molecule stabilizers. These alternative treatments and modalities present a direct challenge to the market share and revenue streams derived from Ionis's key commercial products.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Ionis Pharmaceuticals (IONS) develops and markets RNA-targeted therapeutics for various diseases. Here are the addressable market sizes for its main products:
SPINRAZA (for Spinal Muscular Atrophy - SMA)
- The global spinal muscular atrophy (SMA) treatment market was estimated at approximately USD 4.40 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 13.09 billion by 2030.
- Another estimate indicates the global SMA market reached USD 3.0 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach USD 13.0 billion by 2034 across the seven major markets (7MM).
- The North American market held the largest share of the global SMA treatment market, accounting for 68.4% in 2024.
- Asia-Pacific is anticipated to be the fastest-growing region in the SMA treatment market.
TEGSEDI (for hereditary transthyretin-mediated amyloidosis - hATTR)
- The global transthyretin amyloidosis treatment market was valued at USD 5.9 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach USD 11.2 billion by 2032.
- Another projection estimates the global transthyretin amyloidosis treatment market size at USD 6,644.3 million in 2024, growing to USD 16,526.5 million by 2030.
- North America dominated this market with a revenue share of 47.8% in 2024.
- There are an estimated 50,000 patients with hATTR amyloidosis worldwide.
WAYLIVRA (for Familial Chylomicronemia Syndrome - FCS and Familial Partial Lipodystrophy - FPLD)
- For Familial Chylomicronemia Syndrome (FCS), the total market size in the seven major markets (7MM: United States, EU4, United Kingdom, and Japan) was approximately USD 15 million in 2022 and is projected to increase through 2034.
- The global FCS market is estimated to reach US$ 18.89 million by 2032.
- WAYLIVRA is approved for FCS in Europe.
- For Familial Partial Lipodystrophy (FPLD), which falls under the broader lipodystrophy market, the market size in the U.S. was approximately USD 77 million in 2021 across the 7MM.
- Germany accounted for the largest market size for lipodystrophy treatments among the EU4 countries, valued at approximately USD 94 million.
- WAYLIVRA has received regulatory approval for familial partial lipodystrophy in Brazil.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Ionis Pharmaceuticals (IONS) is anticipated to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key initiatives:- Launch and Expansion of New Independent Products: Ionis expects significant revenue growth from the independent launch and commercialization of new therapies. Olezarsen, for severe hypertriglyceridemia (sHTG), is particularly highlighted as a major independent launch in 2026, targeting a broad patient population. Another key independent launch anticipated in 2026 is zilganersen for Alexander disease, which marks the company's first neurology launch.
- Growth of Recently Launched Therapies: Recently launched products such as DAWNZERA (donidalorsen) for hereditary angioedema and TRYNGOLZA are expected to continue their revenue ramp-up. DAWNZERA has shown strong initial participation and a high conversion rate to paid therapy, indicating promising future revenue growth. TRYNGOLZA also demonstrated substantial product sales growth in 2025.
- Increasing Royalty Revenue from Commercial Products: The company anticipates continued and growing royalty revenue from its established commercial products, including SPINRAZA and WAINUA (eplontersen). WAINUA, in particular, is contributing a new stream of royalty revenue.
- Milestone Payments from Partnered Programs: Ionis benefits from its robust partnered pipeline, which is projected to yield numerous milestone payments. Key partnered programs, such as pelacarsen (Lp(a) HORIZON trial) and eplontersen (CARDIO-TTRansform trial), are expected to have significant Phase 3 readouts in mid to late 2026, which can trigger substantial R&D revenue. The company has already reported earning significant milestone payments from collaborations in early 2026.
AI Analysis | Feedback
**Share Issuances**
- In September 2024, Ionis Pharmaceuticals conducted a public offering of 11,500,000 shares of its common stock, with expected gross proceeds of approximately $500.3 million.
- The company's shares outstanding increased to 0.15 billion in 2024, representing a 4.42% rise from 2023.
- Shares outstanding further grew to 0.160 billion by the quarter ending September 30, 2025, marking a 7.52% increase year-over-year.
**Inbound Investments**
- Ionis received a $280 million upfront payment in the second quarter of 2025 for granting Ono Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. a global license for sapablursen.
- A significant portion of Ionis's $944 million total revenue in 2025 was generated from R&D collaborations.
**Capital Expenditures**
- Operating expenses in 2025 saw an increase due to investments made to support the launches of TRYNGOLZA, DAWNZERA, and WAINUA.
- For 2026, the company anticipates a modest increase in non-GAAP operating expenses as it invests in independent launches and advances its wholly-owned pipeline of innovative medicines.
- Research and development expenses are projected to remain consistent in 2026, with resources being reallocated to support drugs expected to drive future growth.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to IONS.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04302026 | GEHC | GE HealthCare Technologies | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 04302026 | IQV | IQVIA | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 04302026 | UHS | Universal Health Services | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 04302026 | ABT | Abbott Laboratories | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 04302026 | ZBIO | Zenas BioPharma | Insider | Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 134.58 |
| Mkt Cap | 20.5 |
| Rev LTM | 3,236 |
| Op Inc LTM | 377 |
| FCF LTM | 376 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 30 |
| CFO LTM | 445 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 104 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 12.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 29.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 4.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.1% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 63.2% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 30.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 8.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -1.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 2.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 12.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -5.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 10.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -9.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 20.5 |
| P/S | 9.0 |
| P/Op Inc | 17.9 |
| P/EBIT | 18.3 |
| P/E | 23.0 |
| P/CFO | 11.5 |
| Total Yield | 2.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -1.7% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -2.4% |
| 3M Rtn | -7.0% |
| 6M Rtn | 9.1% |
| 12M Rtn | 40.6% |
| 3Y Rtn | 31.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -10.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -13.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -3.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 4.5% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -44.9% |
Comparison Analyses
FDA Approved Drugs Data
Expand for More| Post-Approval Fwd Returns | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FDA App # | Brand Name | Generic Name | Dosage Form | FDA Approval | 3M Rtn | 6M Rtn | 1Y Rtn | 2Y Rtn | Total Rtn |
| NDA219407 | DAWNZERA (AUTOINJECTOR) | donidalorsen sodium | solution | 8212025 | 69.1% | 92.3% | 75.1% | 75.1% | 75.1% |
| NDA218614 | TRYNGOLZA (AUTOINJECTOR) | olezarsen sodium | solution | 12192024 | -8.0% | 4.0% | 123.6% | 112.7% | 112.7% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $75.71 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 12.5 | |
| First Trading Date | 12/22/2015 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -12.5% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $74.60 | $70.54 |
| DMA Trend | up | down |
| Distance from DMA | 1.5% | 7.3% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 29.8% | 47.3% |
| Downside Capture | 0.59 | -0.01 |
| Upside Capture | 31.79 | 101.49 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 43.2% | 13.8% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.99 | 1.01 | 0.87 | 0.73 | 0.56 | 0.70 |
| Up Beta | 1.39 | 1.10 | 1.27 | 0.97 | 0.64 | 0.71 |
| Down Beta | -2.42 | 0.07 | 0.67 | 0.10 | 0.19 | 0.72 |
| Up Capture | 24% | 68% | 42% | 77% | 125% | 49% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 15 | 22 | 31 | 66 | 141 | 428 |
| Stock +ve Days | 9 | 17 | 30 | 61 | 137 | 385 |
| Down Capture | 293% | 169% | 111% | 91% | 25% | 84% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 4 | 18 | 30 | 56 | 108 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 13 | 26 | 34 | 64 | 113 | 363 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with IONS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IONS | 139.7% | 47.0% | 1.99 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 7.9% | 15.4% | 0.30 | 28.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 29.0% | 12.5% | 1.83 | 12.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 39.8% | 27.0% | 1.22 | 16.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 50.6% | 18.0% | 2.21 | 0.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 13.0% | 13.5% | 0.66 | 6.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -17.4% | 42.1% | -0.34 | 11.9% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with IONS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IONS | 12.9% | 42.5% | 0.41 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 4.9% | 14.6% | 0.16 | 36.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 12.8% | 17.1% | 0.59 | 31.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 20.9% | 17.9% | 0.95 | 9.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 13.8% | 19.1% | 0.59 | 5.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.4% | 18.8% | 0.08 | 25.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 7.0% | 56.0% | 0.34 | 17.9% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with IONS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IONS | 6.8% | 48.3% | 0.32 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 9.3% | 16.5% | 0.46 | 40.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.1% | 17.9% | 0.72 | 35.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.4% | 15.9% | 0.69 | 4.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 9.3% | 17.8% | 0.44 | 8.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.8% | 20.7% | 0.24 | 24.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.8% | 66.9% | 1.07 | 10.3% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 4/29/2026 | 4.2% | 4.8% | |
| 1/12/2026 | 1.7% | -4.9% | 5.0% |
| 10/29/2025 | -2.3% | -0.9% | 12.4% |
| 7/30/2025 | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% |
| 4/30/2025 | 3.0% | 6.9% | 12.2% |
| 2/19/2025 | 2.8% | -0.2% | 2.9% |
| 11/6/2024 | -1.5% | -3.2% | -2.4% |
| 8/1/2024 | 3.8% | -5.4% | 0.9% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 13 | 11 | 12 |
| # Negative | 11 | 13 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 2.4% | 3.4% | 7.1% |
| Median Negative | -2.3% | -3.2% | -7.1% |
| Max Positive | 5.6% | 6.9% | 20.9% |
| Max Negative | -5.0% | -12.6% | -22.8% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 04/29/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/26/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 10/29/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 07/30/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 04/30/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/19/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/01/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/21/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/22/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/09/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 4/29/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Total Revenue | 875.00 Mil | 887.50 Mil | 900.00 Mil | 9.2% | Raised | Guidance: 812.50 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Operating loss on a non-GAAP basis | 425.00 Mil | 450.00 Mil | 475.00 Mil | -14.3% | Raised | Guidance: 525.00 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments | 1.60 Bil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 1.60 Bil for 2026 | |||
| 2026 TRYNGOLZA product sales, net | 100.00 Mil | 105.00 Mil | 110.00 Mil | Higher New | |||
| 2026 DAWNZERA product sales, net | 110.00 Mil | 115.00 Mil | 120.00 Mil | Higher New | |||
| 2026 TRYNGOLZA peak net sales | 3.00 Bil | Higher New | |||||
Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/25/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Revenue | 800.00 Mil | 812.50 Mil | 825.00 Mil | -8.4% | Lower New | Actual: 887.50 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Revenue Growth | 20.0% | ||||||
| 2026 Operating Loss | 500.00 Mil | 525.00 Mil | 550.00 Mil | 82.6% | Higher New | Actual: 287.50 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments | 1.60 Bil | -23.8% | Lower New | Actual: 2.10 Bil for 2025 | |||
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Klein, Joseph Iii | Direct | Sell | 5042026 | 73.51 | 10,111 | 743,238 | 809,616 | Form | |
| 2 | Baroldi, Joseph | EVP, Chief Business Officer | Direct | Sell | 4302026 | 71.79 | 1,626 | 116,727 | 3,223,914 | Form |
| 3 | Jenne, Kyle | EVP, Chf GL Pdt Str Ofcr | Direct | Sell | 4172026 | 75.17 | 4,902 | 368,488 | 1,782,530 | Form |
| 4 | Birchler, Brian | EVP, Corp and Development Ops | Direct | Sell | 4172026 | 75.04 | 973 | 73,016 | 5,065,335 | Form |
| 5 | Baroldi, Joseph | EVP, Chief Business Officer | Direct | Sell | 4172026 | 74.56 | 5,619 | 418,953 | 3,469,650 | Form |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
Prefer one of these to Trefis? Tell us why.