Ionis Pharmaceuticals (IONS)
Market Price (11/13/2025): $71.27 | Market Cap: $11.4 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
Ionis Pharmaceuticals (IONS)
Market Price (11/13/2025): $71.27Market Cap: $11.4 BilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, Targeted Therapies, Show more. | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -2.7%, Dist 3Y High is -2.7% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -278 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -29% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -2.0%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -5.3% | Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 123% | |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -26%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -32% | ||
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 62% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.2% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, Targeted Therapies, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -2.7%, Dist 3Y High is -2.7% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -2.0%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -5.3% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -278 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -29% |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 123% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -26%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -32% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 62% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.2% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
IONS Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points for why Ionis Pharmaceuticals (IONS) stock moved by 69.1% from approximately July 31, 2025, to today:
**1. FDA Approval of DAWNZERA (donidalorsen) for Hereditary Angioedema (HAE).**
Ionis Pharmaceuticals received FDA approval for DAWNZERA, an RNA-targeted drug for hereditary angioedema (HAE), in August 2025. This marked a significant milestone as the first of its kind targeted at plasma prekallikrein and the company's second independent product launch within a year, positioning Ionis as a leader in RNA medicine. The drug offers flexible dosing every four or eight weeks and is expected to meet unmet needs in the HAE patient group.
**2. Breakthrough Therapy Designation for ION582 in Angelman Syndrome.**
In September 2025, Ionis Pharmaceuticals announced that the U.S. FDA granted Breakthrough Therapy designation to ION582 for the treatment of Angelman syndrome. This designation is intended to expedite the review of medicines for serious or life-threatening conditions that have shown preliminary clinical evidence of substantial improvement over available therapies. The designation was based on positive results from the Phase 1/2 HALOS study, which showed consistent clinical improvement across functional domains and favorable safety.
**3. Positive Phase 3 Results for Olezarsen in Severe Hypertriglyceridemia (sHTG).**
Ionis announced positive results from the pivotal Phase 3 CORE and CORE2 studies of olezarsen in people with severe hypertriglyceridemia (sHTG) in early September, with detailed data presented in November 2025. The studies met their primary endpoint, demonstrating a highly statistically significant placebo-adjusted mean reduction in fasting triglyceride levels of up to 72% at six months, sustained through 12 months. Olezarsen also showed a highly statistically significant 85% reduction in acute pancreatitis events, making it the first investigational treatment for sHTG to achieve this. Analysts have described this readout as "game-changing" with "blockbuster potential" for the treatment of sHTG. Ionis plans to submit a supplemental new drug application (sNDA) by year-end.
**4. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results and Increased Full-Year Guidance.**
On October 29, 2025, Ionis Pharmaceuticals reported its financial results for the third quarter, significantly surpassing analyst expectations. The company reported total revenue of $157 million, a 17% increase compared to the same period in 2024, and a net loss of $129 million, translating to a loss per share of $0.80, which beat the average estimate of $1.15 per share. Net product sales for TRYNGOLZA® reached $32 million, a nearly 70% increase over the prior quarter, contributing significantly to revenue growth. Following this strong performance, Ionis increased its financial guidance for 2025, expecting total revenue between $875 million and $900 million.
**5. Innovation Day Highlighting Future Growth and Path to Positive Cash Flow.**
During its 2025 Innovation Day on October 7, 2025, Ionis Pharmaceuticals highlighted its accelerating revenue growth, robust pipeline of wholly-owned medicines, and a clear path to sustained positive cash flow. The company anticipates further independent launches, including olezarsen in severe hypertriglyceridemia and zilganersen in Alexander disease, in 2026. Ionis projected reaching cash flow breakeven by 2028 with substantial and sustainable positive cash flow in subsequent years.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| IONS Return | -6% | -46% | 24% | 34% | -31% | 108% | 20% |
| Peers Return | 91% | 4% | -19% | -22% | -2% | -16% | 4% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| IONS Win Rate | 42% | 33% | 58% | 58% | 25% | 70% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 53% | 42% | 48% | 43% | 35% | 50% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| IONS Max Drawdown | -31% | -55% | -2% | -11% | -33% | -27% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -41% | -33% | -53% | -45% | -38% | -51% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ALNY, RARE, NTLA, SRPT, APM. See IONS Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/12/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | IONS | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -59.8% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 149.0% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1378 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -34.4% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 52.4% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 308 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -37.5% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 60.0% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
Compare to ALNY, RARE, NTLA, SRPT, APM
In The Past
Ionis Pharmaceuticals's stock fell -59.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/25/2021. A -59.8% loss requires a 149.0% gain to breakeven.
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to IONS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -10.1% | -10.1% | -10.1% |
| 10312025 | DXCM | DexCom | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.2% | -0.2% | -5.8% |
| 10242025 | ACHC | Acadia Healthcare | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -22.0% | -22.0% | -22.3% |
| 10102025 | PBH | Prestige Consumer Healthcare | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -0.7% | -0.7% | -1.9% |
| 10032025 | REGN | Regeneron Pharmaceuticals | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.4% | 12.4% | -7.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -10.1% | -10.1% | -10.1% |
| 10312025 | DXCM | DexCom | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.2% | -0.2% | -5.8% |
| 10242025 | ACHC | Acadia Healthcare | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -22.0% | -22.0% | -22.3% |
| 10102025 | PBH | Prestige Consumer Healthcare | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -0.7% | -0.7% | -1.9% |
| 10032025 | REGN | Regeneron Pharmaceuticals | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.4% | 12.4% | -7.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Ionis Pharmaceuticals
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 25.77 |
| Mkt Cap | 3.3 |
| Rev LTM | 967 |
| Op Inc LTM | -278 |
| FCF LTM | -389 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -420 |
| CFO LTM | -247 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -380 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 33.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 22.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 17.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -28.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -55.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.5% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -25.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -52.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -32.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -57.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 3.3 |
| P/S | 12.0 |
| P/EBIT | -6.4 |
| P/E | -5.8 |
| P/CFO | -7.4 |
| Total Yield | -15.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -10.0% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | -0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -6.5% |
| 3M Rtn | 2.2% |
| 6M Rtn | 28.3% |
| 12M Rtn | -5.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | -43.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -10.3% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -6.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 12.0% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -23.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -120.7% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ionis operations | 788 | ||||
| Commercial revenue | 303 | 342 | 365 | ||
| Research and development revenue | 284 | 468 | 365 | ||
| Akcea Therapeutics | 489 | ||||
| Elimination of Intercompany Activity | -225 | ||||
| Ionis Core | 859 | ||||
| Total | 788 | 587 | 810 | 729 | 1,123 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ionis operations | -366 | ||||
| Total | -366 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/29/2025 | -2.3% | -0.9% | |
| 7/30/2025 | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% |
| 4/30/2025 | 3.0% | 6.9% | 12.2% |
| 2/19/2025 | 2.8% | -0.2% | 2.9% |
| 11/6/2024 | -1.5% | -3.2% | -2.4% |
| 8/1/2024 | 3.8% | -5.4% | 0.9% |
| 5/7/2024 | -3.2% | -8.2% | -5.7% |
| 2/21/2024 | 1.0% | 6.9% | -1.8% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 11 | 11 |
| # Negative | 13 | 13 | 13 |
| Median Positive | 2.4% | 3.4% | 7.6% |
| Median Negative | -2.3% | -2.8% | -7.8% |
| Max Positive | 5.6% | 6.9% | 20.9% |
| Max Negative | -5.0% | -12.6% | -22.8% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10292025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7302025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4302025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2192025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11062024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8012024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5072024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2212024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11022023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8092023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5032023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2222023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11092022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8092022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5042022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2252022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |