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Ionis Pharmaceuticals (IONS)


Market Price (12/16/2025): $80.4 | Market Cap: $12.8 Bil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology

Ionis Pharmaceuticals (IONS)


Market Price (12/16/2025): $80.4
Market Cap: $12.8 Bil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Biotechnology

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -3.6%, Dist 3Y High is -3.6%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -278 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -29%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, Targeted Therapies, Show more.
  Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 126%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 118%
2   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -26%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -32%
3   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 62%
4   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.6%
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, Targeted Therapies, Show more.
2 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -3.6%, Dist 3Y High is -3.6%
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -278 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -29%
4 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 126%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 118%
5 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -26%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -32%
6 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 62%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.6%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

IONS Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. U.S. FDA Approval of DAWNZERA™ (donidalorsen) for Hereditary Angioedema (HAE)

Ionis Pharmaceuticals received U.S. FDA approval for DAWNZERA™ (donidalorsen) as the first and only RNA-targeted prophylactic treatment for hereditary angioedema (HAE) on August 21, 2025, with the news announced on September 2, 2025. This significant independent product launch was a major catalyst, causing the stock to trade up by 31.66% on the day of the announcement.

2. Positive Phase 3 Results and Breakthrough Therapy Designation for Olezarsen in Severe Hypertriglyceridemia (sHTG)

The company reported positive topline data from its pivotal CORE and CORE2 studies of olezarsen for severe hypertriglyceridemia (sHTG) in August 2025, demonstrating significant reductions in triglycerides and acute pancreatitis events. This was further bolstered by the U.S. FDA granting Breakthrough Therapy designation to olezarsen in December 2025, positioning it for accelerated review and potential entry into a large patient population with high unmet medical need.

3. Positive Topline Pivotal Study Results and Breakthrough Therapy Designation for Zilganersen in Alexander Disease

Ionis announced positive topline results in September 2025 from a pivotal study of zilganersen for Alexander disease, a rare and often fatal neurological condition. Following these results, zilganersen received U.S. FDA Breakthrough Therapy designation in December 2025, indicating its potential as the first and only investigational medicine for this condition and paving the way for a New Drug Application (NDA) submission in Q1 2026.

4. Strong Q3 2025 Earnings and Raised Full-Year Financial Guidance

In October 2025, Ionis Pharmaceuticals reported third-quarter 2025 financial results that exceeded analyst expectations, with a significantly narrower adjusted loss per share and total revenues surpassing consensus estimates. The company subsequently raised its full-year 2025 revenue outlook to between $875 million and $900 million, marking the third upward revision for the year, primarily driven by the encouraging uptake of Tryngolza and strong commercial execution.

5. Multiple Analyst Price Target Increases and Maintained Positive Ratings

Throughout the period, several leading analyst firms, including Leerink Partners, B of A Securities, HC Wainwright & Co., Piper Sandler, Needham, and Raymond James, raised their price targets for Ionis Pharmaceuticals. These firms consistently maintained "Buy" or "Outperform" ratings, reflecting increasing investor confidence in the company's robust pipeline, successful commercialization efforts, and strategic guidance forecasting over $5 billion in potential annual peak sales from its therapies.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
IONS Return-6%-46%24%34%-31%131%34%
Peers Return11%-8%18%-7%-6%57%66%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%111%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
IONS Win Rate42%33%58%58%25%67% 
Peers Win Rate53%48%58%43%40%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
IONS Max Drawdown-31%-55%-2%-11%-33%-27% 
Peers Max Drawdown-30%-24%-28%-31%-23%-35% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ALNY, BIIB, VRTX, SRPT, ARWR. See IONS Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/15/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventIONSS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-59.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven149.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1378 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-34.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven52.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven308 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-37.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven60.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days

Compare to ALNY, RARE, SRPT, NTLA, ACSB


In The Past

Ionis Pharmaceuticals's stock fell -59.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/25/2021. A -59.8% loss requires a 149.0% gain to breakeven.

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About Ionis Pharmaceuticals (IONS)

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Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to IONS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.0%15.0%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-5.1%-5.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.0%9.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
2.3%2.3%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.0%16.0%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.0%15.0%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-5.1%-5.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.0%9.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
2.3%2.3%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.0%16.0%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Ionis Pharmaceuticals

Peers to compare with:

Financials

IONSALNYBIIBVRTXSRPTARWRMedian
NameIonis Ph.Alnylam .Biogen Vertex P.Sarepta .Arrowhea. 
Mkt Price79.76391.50175.74455.7121.5568.45127.75
Mkt Cap12.751.525.8116.52.29.419.3
Rev LTM9673,21010,06611,7232,4148292,812
Op Inc LTM-2782652,492-92-86986
FCF LTM-3092212,2623,337-389157189
FCF 3Y Avg-420571,6862,064-495-259-101
CFO LTM-2472662,4543,718-245180223
CFO 3Y Avg-3801081,9802,419-379-146-19

Growth & Margins

IONSALNYBIIBVRTXSRPTARWRMedian
NameIonis Ph.Alnylam .Biogen Vertex P.Sarepta .Arrowhea. 
Rev Chg LTM20.4%53.2%4.8%10.3%47.1%23,258.2%33.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg7.1%51.4%-0.9%10.5%40.6%7,719.5%25.5%
Rev Chg Q17.1%149.3%2.8%11.0%-14.5%-11.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.4%30.4%0.7%2.7%-2.7%44.8%2.5%
Op Mgn LTM-28.8%8.2%24.8%-0.8%-3.6%11.9%3.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-55.1%-7.1%22.5%26.2%-11.6%-5,666.8%-9.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.5%15.6%0.7%1.0%-3.5%30.7%0.8%
CFO/Rev LTM-25.5%8.3%24.4%31.7%-10.1%21.6%15.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-52.4%3.7%20.0%23.1%-26.8%-4,358.9%-11.5%
FCF/Rev LTM-32.0%6.9%22.5%28.5%-16.1%18.9%12.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-57.4%1.3%17.0%19.8%-33.7%-5,712.2%-16.2%

Valuation

IONSALNYBIIBVRTXSRPTARWRMedian
NameIonis Ph.Alnylam .Biogen Vertex P.Sarepta .Arrowhea. 
Mkt Cap12.751.525.8116.52.29.419.3
P/S10.818.72.08.50.811.49.7
P/EBIT-60.0460.09.522.4-8.433.816.0
P/E-40.81,375.912.827.2-7.1-5,786.42.8
P/CFO-42.3225.58.426.9-7.952.617.6
Total Yield-2.5%0.1%7.8%3.7%-14.1%-0.0%0.0%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-6.0%0.0%6.7%2.3%-10.0%-11.1%-3.0%
D/E0.10.00.30.00.60.10.1
Net D/E-0.1-0.00.1-0.00.2-0.1-0.0

Returns

IONSALNYBIIBVRTXSRPTARWRMedian
NameIonis Ph.Alnylam .Biogen Vertex P.Sarepta .Arrowhea. 
1M Rtn11.5%-12.8%4.9%4.2%14.6%65.9%8.2%
3M Rtn30.5%-15.1%22.6%15.9%23.4%138.8%23.0%
6M Rtn126.3%26.8%34.1%1.1%2.9%336.0%30.5%
12M Rtn117.9%59.5%17.1%-1.7%-82.6%213.3%38.3%
3Y Rtn106.3%65.2%-38.3%49.5%-82.6%115.5%57.4%
1M Excs Rtn13.0%-14.9%5.5%3.7%19.8%65.2%9.3%
3M Excs Rtn26.9%-18.3%19.1%13.3%15.9%129.5%17.5%
6M Excs Rtn113.3%13.8%21.1%-11.9%-10.1%323.0%17.5%
12M Excs Rtn97.9%42.0%-0.4%-14.7%-94.9%189.1%20.8%
3Y Excs Rtn37.9%-7.5%-111.2%-30.2%-153.9%44.9%-18.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Ionis operations788    
Commercial revenue 303342365 
Research and development revenue 284468365 
Akcea Therapeutics    489
Elimination of Intercompany Activity    -225
Ionis Core    859
Total7885878107291,123


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Ionis operations-366    
Total-366    


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity15,626,208
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520259.9%
Average Daily Volume2,624,122
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.95
Basic Shares Quantity159,765,000
Short % of Basic Shares9.8%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/29/2025-2.3%-0.9%12.4%
7/30/20254.6%3.8%3.1%
4/30/20253.0%6.9%12.2%
2/19/2025-0.4%-0.3%4.4%
11/6/20240.6%-2.7%-5.3%
8/1/20243.8%-5.4%0.9%
5/7/2024-3.2%-8.2%-5.7%
2/21/2024-1.8%6.9%-3.5%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131212
# Negative111212
Median Positive1.9%3.9%10.3%
Median Negative-3.0%-4.3%-7.4%
Max Positive5.7%7.9%20.9%
Max Negative-5.0%-12.6%-22.8%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251029202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025730202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025430202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024219202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241106202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023221202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023503202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022222202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021225202210-K 12/31/2021