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Ionis Pharmaceuticals (IONS)


Market Price (11/30/2025): $82.75 | Market Cap: $13.2 Bil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology

Ionis Pharmaceuticals (IONS)


Market Price (11/30/2025): $82.75
Market Cap: $13.2 Bil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Biotechnology

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, Targeted Therapies, Show more.
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -278 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -29%
1   Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 147%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 131%
2   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -26%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -32%
3   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 62%
4   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.6%
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, Targeted Therapies, Show more.
1 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
2 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -278 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -29%
3 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 147%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 131%
4 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -26%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -32%
5 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 62%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.6%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

IONS Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

**Here are the key points for why Ionis Pharmaceuticals (IONS) stock moved by 92.4% for the approximate time period from July 31, 2025, to November 30, 2025:**

**1. Ionis Pharmaceuticals reported strong third-quarter 2025 financial results and raised its full-year 2025 financial guidance.** The company's revenue increased by 17% year-over-year in Q3 2025, with year-to-date revenue up 55%. Net product sales for TRYNGOLZA saw a nearly 70% increase quarter-over-quarter, contributing to the decision to raise the full-year 2025 revenue guidance to $875 million - $900 million.

**2. Positive Phase 3 results for olezarsen in severe hypertriglyceridemia (sHTG) were announced.** During its Innovation Day on October 7, 2025, and reiterated in its Q3 earnings, Ionis reported positive topline data from the Phase 3 CORE and CORE2 studies for olezarsen, showing a highly statistically significant placebo-adjusted reduction of up to 72% in fasting triglycerides and an 85% reduction in acute pancreatitis events, alongside a favorable safety profile. These results position olezarsen for a potential launch in 2026 to address a large patient population with significant unmet needs.

**3. Ionis received FDA approval for DAWNZERA (donidalorsen) for hereditary angioedema (HAE).** The FDA approval for DAWNZERA, likely occurring around its August 21, 2025, PDUFA date, marked Ionis' second independent product launch. The company noted strong early adoption and positive feedback from physicians and patients for this first RNA-targeted treatment for HAE.

**4. Positive topline results from the pivotal study of zilganersen for Alexander disease were unveiled.** Ionis announced positive topline results for zilganersen, a treatment for Alexander disease, a rare and often fatal neurological condition with no approved disease-modifying therapies. These results were highlighted during the Innovation Day in October 2025 and in the Q3 earnings report, with plans to submit a new drug application to the FDA in Q1 2026, paving the way for another independent neurology launch.

**5. European regulatory progress was achieved for both TRYNGOLZA and DAWNZERA.** The Committee for Medicinal Products for Human Use (CHMP) of the European Medicines Agency adopted positive opinions for TRYNGOLZA (olezarsen) for familial chylomicronemia syndrome (FCS) on July 25, 2025, and for DAWNZERA (donidalorsen) for hereditary angioedema (HAE) on November 14, 2025. These positive opinions from the CHMP indicate strong potential for marketing authorization in Europe, expanding the market reach for these key products.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
IONS Return-6%-46%24%34%-31%137%37%
Peers Return135%15%-8%-14%-6%-10%82%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%111%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
IONS Win Rate42%33%58%58%25%70% 
Peers Win Rate60%44%48%46%40%52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
IONS Max Drawdown-31%-55%-2%-11%-33%-27% 
Peers Max Drawdown-28%-31%-48%-37%-28%-45% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ALNY, RARE, SRPT, NTLA, ACSB. See IONS Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/26/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventIONSS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-59.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven149.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1378 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-34.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven52.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven308 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-37.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven60.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days

Compare to ALNY, RARE, SRPT, NTLA, ACSB


In The Past

Ionis Pharmaceuticals's stock fell -59.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/25/2021. A -59.8% loss requires a 149.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

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About Ionis Pharmaceuticals (IONS)

Better Bets than Ionis Pharmaceuticals (IONS)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to IONS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
GDRX_10312025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG10312025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-16.0%-16.0%-22.3%
DXCM_10312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312025DXCMDexComMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
7.4%7.4%-5.8%
ACHC_10242025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10242025ACHCAcadia HealthcareDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-26.7%-26.7%-38.7%
PBH_10102025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10102025PBHPrestige Consumer HealthcareDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.3%-2.3%-5.8%
REGN_10032025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10032025REGNRegeneron PharmaceuticalsDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
30.9%30.9%-7.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
GDRX_10312025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG10312025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-16.0%-16.0%-22.3%
DXCM_10312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312025DXCMDexComMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
7.4%7.4%-5.8%
ACHC_10242025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10242025ACHCAcadia HealthcareDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-26.7%-26.7%-38.7%
PBH_10102025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10102025PBHPrestige Consumer HealthcareDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.3%-2.3%-5.8%
REGN_10032025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10032025REGNRegeneron PharmaceuticalsDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
30.9%30.9%-7.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Ionis Pharmaceuticals

Peers to compare with:

Financials

IONSALNYRARESRPTNTLAACSBMedian
NameIonis Ph.Alnylam .Ultragen.Sarepta .Intellia.Acesis  
Mkt Price82.70445.1233.7620.958.52-33.76
Mkt Cap13.258.53.42.10.9-3.4
Rev LTM9673,2106312,41458-967
Op Inc LTM-278265-544-86-479--278
FCF LTM-309221-466-389-413--389
FCF 3Y Avg-42057-486-495-394--420
CFO LTM-247266-446-245-411--247
CFO 3Y Avg-380108-449-379-386--380

Growth & Margins

IONSALNYRARESRPTNTLAACSBMedian
NameIonis Ph.Alnylam .Ultragen.Sarepta .Intellia.Acesis  
Rev Chg LTM20.4%53.2%20.6%47.1%33.5%-33.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg7.1%51.4%22.5%40.6%5.8%-22.5%
Rev Chg Q17.1%149.3%14.7%-14.5%51.3%-17.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.4%30.4%3.3%-2.7%8.8%-3.3%
Op Mgn LTM-28.8%8.2%-86.3%-3.6%-832.2%--28.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-55.1%-7.1%-111.1%-11.6%-1,006.0%--55.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.5%15.6%-3.5%-3.5%136.5%--0.5%
CFO/Rev LTM-25.5%8.3%-70.7%-10.1%-713.8%--25.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-52.4%3.7%-89.4%-26.8%-765.6%--52.4%
FCF/Rev LTM-32.0%6.9%-74.0%-16.1%-717.3%--32.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-57.4%1.3%-97.6%-33.7%-782.2%--57.4%

Valuation

IONSALNYRARESRPTNTLAACSBMedian
NameIonis Ph.Alnylam .Ultragen.Sarepta .Intellia.Acesis  
Mkt Cap13.258.53.42.10.9-3.4
P/S10.818.74.80.833.1-10.8
P/EBIT-60.0460.0-5.8-8.4-4.0--5.8
P/E-40.81,375.9-5.2-7.1-4.3--5.2
P/CFO-42.3225.5-6.7-7.9-4.6--6.7
Total Yield-2.5%0.1%-19.3%-14.1%-23.4%--14.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%-0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-6.0%0.0%-15.2%-10.0%-17.9%--10.0%
D/E0.10.00.00.60.1-0.1
Net D/E-0.1-0.0-0.10.2-0.2--0.1

Returns

IONSALNYRARESRPTNTLAACSBMedian
NameIonis Ph.Alnylam .Ultragen.Sarepta .Intellia.Acesis  
1M Rtn11.5%-1.0%-4.0%-9.9%-30.5%--4.0%
3M Rtn94.0%-0.3%12.7%15.1%-25.0%-12.7%
6M Rtn146.8%46.2%-0.8%-44.3%24.0%-24.0%
12M Rtn131.5%75.9%-29.1%-84.3%-45.5%--29.1%
3Y Rtn102.7%101.8%-7.0%-82.9%-83.4%--7.0%
1M Excs Rtn13.5%-5.3%-1.8%-12.4%-37.8%--5.3%
3M Excs Rtn89.3%-6.4%6.6%9.5%-31.3%-6.6%
6M Excs Rtn131.9%36.7%-18.9%-61.0%-0.9%--0.9%
12M Excs Rtn129.0%67.6%-42.7%-95.8%-54.5%--42.7%
3Y Excs Rtn22.3%42.9%-74.2%-153.5%-154.9%--74.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Ionis operations788    
Commercial revenue 303342365 
Research and development revenue 284468365 
Akcea Therapeutics    489
Elimination of Intercompany Activity    -225
Ionis Core    859
Total7885878107291,123


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Ionis operations-366    
Total-366    


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity14,223,973
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202512.3%
Average Daily Volume3,736,097
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.81
Basic Shares Quantity159,765,000
Short % of Basic Shares8.9%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/29/2025-2.3%-0.9% 
7/30/20254.6%3.8%3.1%
4/30/20253.0%6.9%12.2%
2/19/20252.8%-0.2%2.9%
11/6/2024-1.5%-3.2%-2.4%
8/1/20243.8%-5.4%0.9%
5/7/2024-3.2%-8.2%-5.7%
2/21/20241.0%6.9%-1.8%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111111
# Negative131313
Median Positive2.4%3.4%7.6%
Median Negative-2.3%-2.8%-7.8%
Max Positive5.6%6.9%20.9%
Max Negative-5.0%-12.6%-22.8%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251029202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025730202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025430202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024219202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241106202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023221202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023503202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022222202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021225202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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