Tearsheet

Intel (INTC)


Market Price (11/8/2025): $38.27 | Market Cap: $172.8 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductors

Intel (INTC)


Market Price (11/8/2025): $38.27
Market Cap: $172.8 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Semiconductors

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, CFO LTM is 8.6 Bil
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -53%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -33%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -104 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -0.2%
1   Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 869x
2   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.5%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -7.6%
3   Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -16%
4   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 52%
5   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.0%
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, CFO LTM is 8.6 Bil
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -53%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -33%
2 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -104 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -0.2%
3 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 869x
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.5%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -7.6%
5 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -16%
6 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 52%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.0%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

INTC Stock


Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
INTC Return-15%6%-47%95%-60%86%-29%
Peers Return61%58%-38%101%31%73%622%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
INTC Win Rate58%50%33%75%50%50% 
Peers Win Rate48%43%30%53%43%57% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
INTC Max Drawdown-25%-2%-50%-5%-62%-10% 
Peers Max Drawdown-21%-9%-45%-1%-8%-22% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NVDA, AMD, MU, AMAT, AMBQ.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/7/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventINTCS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-63.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven172.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-34.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven53.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-26.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven35.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven176 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-56.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven131.6%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1127 days1480 days

Compare to NVDA, AMD, MU, AMAT, AMBQ


In The Past

Intel's stock fell -63.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/9/2021. A -63.3% loss requires a 172.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Intel (INTC)

Interactive Breakdown

Intel Interactive Breakdown Analysis

Better Bets than Intel (INTC)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to INTC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ZBRA_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025ZBRAZebra TechnologiesDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-3.6%-3.6%-4.1%
ACN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ACNAccentureDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.7%-1.7%-3.5%
ADBE_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ADBEAdobeDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-3.9%-3.9%-3.9%
TXN_10312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312025TXNTexas InstrumentsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.6%-0.6%-1.3%
MRVL_10242025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10242025MRVLMarvell TechnologyMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
8.1%8.1%0.0%
INTC_8312024_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE08312024INTCIntelDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
7.7%10.5%-17.7%
INTC_4302022_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield04302022INTCIntelDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-32.1%-25.6%-41.5%
INTC_10312020_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312020INTCIntelDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
31.7%13.6%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ZBRA_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025ZBRAZebra TechnologiesDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-3.6%-3.6%-4.1%
ACN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ACNAccentureDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.7%-1.7%-3.5%
ADBE_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ADBEAdobeDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-3.9%-3.9%-3.9%
TXN_10312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312025TXNTexas InstrumentsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.6%-0.6%-1.3%
MRVL_10242025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10242025MRVLMarvell TechnologyMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
8.1%8.1%0.0%
INTC_8312024_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE08312024INTCIntelDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
7.7%10.5%-17.7%
INTC_4302022_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield04302022INTCIntelDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-32.1%-25.6%-41.5%
INTC_10312020_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312020INTCIntelDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
31.7%13.6%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Intel

Financials

INTCNVDAAMDMUAMATAMBQMedian
NameIntel NVIDIA Advanced.Micron T.Applied .Ambiq Mi. 
Mkt Price38.13188.15233.54237.92230.0727.27209.11
Mkt Cap172.14,584.5379.7266.9183.6-266.9
Rev LTM53,439165,21832,02737,37828,6136934,702
Op Inc LTM-10495,9812,9999,8098,623-385,811
FCF LTM-8,41872,0235,4481,6685,823-213,558
FCF 3Y Avg-11,22743,0442,775-1,4436,457-2,775
CFO LTM8,57477,0356,40817,5257,705-168,140
CFO 3Y Avg10,95745,8663,4619,1977,788-9,197

Growth & Margins

INTCNVDAAMDMUAMATAMBQMedian
NameIntel NVIDIA Advanced.Micron T.Applied .Ambiq Mi. 
Rev Chg LTM-1.5%71.6%31.8%48.9%6.6%-31.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-7.6%92.0%12.9%20.3%4.4%-12.9%
Rev Chg Q2.8%55.6%35.6%46.0%7.7%-35.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.7%11.2%8.2%10.5%1.9%-8.2%
Op Mgn LTM-0.2%58.1%9.4%26.2%30.1%-54.6%17.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-3.7%51.0%4.9%-1.1%29.4%-4.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM8.1%0.1%1.1%3.7%0.5%-1.1%
CFO/Rev LTM16.0%46.6%20.0%46.9%26.9%-22.6%23.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg20.5%44.5%12.4%30.3%28.5%-28.5%
FCF/Rev LTM-15.8%43.6%17.0%4.5%20.4%-29.7%10.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-20.9%41.3%9.8%-11.5%23.7%-9.8%

Valuation

INTCNVDAAMDMUAMATAMBQMedian
NameIntel NVIDIA Advanced.Micron T.Applied .Ambiq Mi. 
Mkt Cap172.14,584.5379.7266.9183.6-266.9
P/S3.227.711.97.16.4-7.1
P/EBIT60.245.4123.726.320.0-45.4
P/E869.352.9114.931.326.9-52.9
P/CFO20.159.559.315.223.8-23.8
Total Yield0.1%1.9%0.9%3.4%4.5%-1.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.2%0.7%-0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-9.1%1.5%1.2%-2.4%4.4%-1.2%
D/E0.30.00.00.10.0-0.0
Net D/E0.1-0.0-0.00.0-0.0--0.0

Returns

INTCNVDAAMDMUAMATAMBQMedian
NameIntel NVIDIA Advanced.Micron T.Applied .Ambiq Mi. 
1M Rtn1.9%-0.5%-0.9%21.1%5.8%-19.4%0.7%
3M Rtn91.1%3.0%35.2%100.2%24.8%-30.9%30.0%
6M Rtn78.0%61.3%127.1%177.5%48.7%-78.0%
12M Rtn45.4%26.4%55.9%110.7%19.8%-45.4%
3Y Rtn38.8%1,190.1%265.8%320.6%142.6%-265.8%
1M Excs Rtn1.0%-2.2%0.4%23.8%4.5%-15.5%0.7%
3M Excs Rtn79.1%-2.2%30.0%86.9%19.6%-30.6%24.8%
6M Excs Rtn59.1%42.4%108.2%158.7%29.8%-59.1%
12M Excs Rtn47.1%18.2%48.5%110.1%8.3%-47.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-32.8%1,246.1%219.4%273.5%90.5%-219.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Client Computing Group (CCG)29,25831,77341,06740,05737,146
Intel Foundry18,910469786  
Data Center and Artificial Intelligence (DCAI)12,63519,44522,691  
Network and Edge (NEX)5,7748,4097,976  
All Other5,6081,0895,019522289
Corporate unallocated0    
Intersegment eliminations-17,957    
Mobileye 1,8691,386  
Accelerated Computing Systems and Graphics  774  
Accelerated Computing Systems and Graphics intersegment revenue  -675  
Data Center Group   26,10323,481
Internet of Things Group   3,9744,700
Non-Volatile Memory Solutions Group   5,3584,362
Programmable Solutions Group   1,8531,987
Total54,22863,05479,02477,86771,965


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Client Computing Group (CCG)9,5135,56915,70415,12915,202
Data Center and Artificial Intelligence (DCAI)1,6201,3008,439  
All Other1,079-5,977-5,722-3,381-3,878
Network and Edge (NEX)2041,0331,711  
Intersegment eliminations-203    
Corporate unallocated-5,165    
Intel Foundry-6,955-281-23  
Mobileye 690554  
Accelerated Computing Systems and Graphics  -1,207  
Data Center Group   10,57110,227
Internet of Things Group   7381,342
Non-Volatile Memory Solutions Group   361-1,176
Programmable Solutions Group   260318
Total932,33419,45623,67822,035


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity116,134,131
Short Interest: % Change Since 9302025-4.7%
Average Daily Volume122,511,888
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity4,514,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.6%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/23/20250.3%5.2% 
7/24/2025-8.5%-12.5%9.6%
4/24/2025-6.7%-7.0%-6.7%
1/30/2025-2.9%-3.1%13.6%
10/31/20247.8%21.9%11.2%
8/1/2024-26.1%-29.0%-23.6%
4/25/2024-9.2%-13.1%-12.1%
1/25/2024-11.9%-12.5%-13.0%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive897
# Negative161517
Median Positive7.2%5.0%10.8%
Median Negative-7.8%-9.3%-10.4%
Max Positive10.7%21.9%36.0%
Max Negative-26.1%-29.0%-23.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/27/2025
6302025724202510-Q 6/28/2025
3312025425202510-Q 3/29/2025
12312024131202510-K 12/28/2024
93020241101202410-Q 9/28/2024
6302024802202410-Q 6/29/2024
3312024426202410-Q 3/30/2024
12312023126202410-K 12/30/2023
93020231027202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023728202310-Q 7/1/2023
3312023428202310-Q 4/1/2023
12312022127202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221028202210-Q 10/1/2022
6302022729202210-Q 7/2/2022
3312022429202210-Q 4/2/2022
12312021127202210-K 12/25/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Holthaus Michelle JohnstonEVP & GM, CCG11082024Sell26.0025,000650,0007,104,708Form
1GELSINGER PATRICK PCEO11062024Buy22.5311,150251,1982,366,288Form