Tearsheet

Intel (INTC)


Market Price (10/14/2025): $37.34 | Market Cap: $163.1 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductors

Intel (INTC)


Market Price (10/14/2025): $37.34
Market Cap: $163.1 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Semiconductors

Investment Highlights

0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%, CFO LTM is 10 Bil
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.5%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -4.4 Bil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -8.3%
1  Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -49%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -34%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.7%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -9.4%
2   Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -21%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -17%
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%, CFO LTM is 10 Bil
1 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.5%
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -49%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -34%
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -4.4 Bil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -8.3%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.7%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -9.4%
5 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -21%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -17%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

INTC Stock


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
INTC Return-15%6%-47%95%-60%86%-31%
Peers Return61%58%-38%101%31%57%555%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%13%103%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
INTC Win Rate58%50%33%75%50%44% 
Peers Win Rate48%43%30%53%43%47% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%67% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
INTC Max Drawdown-25%-2%-50%-5%-62%-10% 
Peers Max Drawdown-21%-9%-45%-1%-8%-22% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NVDA, AMD, MU, AMAT, AMBQ.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 10/13/2025 (YTD)

Downturns Compared

Unique KeyEventINTCS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-63.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven172.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-34.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven53.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-26.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven35.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven176 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-56.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven131.6%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1127 days1480 days


How Low Can It Go?

Intel's stock fell -63.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/9/2021. A -63.3% loss requires a 172.6% gain to breakeven.

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Asset Allocation

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About Intel (INTC)

Intel Corporation engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of computer products and technologies worldwide. The company operates through CCG, DCG, IOTG, Mobileye, NSG, PSG, and All Other segments. It offers platform products, such as central processing units and chipsets, and system-on-chip and multichip packages; and non-platform or adjacent products, including accelerators, boards and systems, connectivity products, graphics, and memory and storage products. The company also provides high-performance compute solutions for targeted verticals and embedded applications for retail, industrial, and healthcare markets; and solutions for assisted and autonomous driving comprising compute platforms, computer vision and machine learning-based sensing, mapping and localization, driving policy, and active sensors. In addition, it offers workload-optimized platforms and related products for cloud service providers, enterprise and government, and communications service providers. The company serves original equipment manufacturers, original design manufacturers, and cloud service providers. Intel Corporation has a strategic partnership with MILA to develop and apply advances in artificial intelligence methods for enhancing the search in the space of drugs. The company was incorporated in 1968 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, California.

Interactive Breakdown

Intel Interactive Breakdown Analysis

Better Bets than Intel (INTC)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past trade ideas related to INTC and Semiconductors.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ADBE_9302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09302025ADBEAdobeMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-4.3%-4.3%-4.3%
CRM_9302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09302025CRMSalesforceMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.0%2.0%-0.6%
MPWR_9302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09302025MPWRMonolithic Power SystemsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.8%-1.8%-1.8%
POWI_9262025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE09262025POWIPower IntegrationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-13.4%-13.4%-13.4%
ROP_9262025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09262025ROPRoper TechnologiesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.1%2.1%-0.3%
INTC_8312024_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE08312024INTCIntelDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
7.7%10.5%-17.7%
INTC_4302022_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield04302022INTCIntelDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-32.1%-25.6%-41.5%
INTC_10312020_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312020INTCIntelDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
31.7%13.6%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ADBE_9302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09302025ADBEAdobeMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-4.3%-4.3%-4.3%
CRM_9302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09302025CRMSalesforceMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.0%2.0%-0.6%
MPWR_9302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09302025MPWRMonolithic Power SystemsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.8%-1.8%-1.8%
POWI_9262025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE09262025POWIPower IntegrationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-13.4%-13.4%-13.4%
ROP_9262025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09262025ROPRoper TechnologiesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.1%2.1%-0.3%
INTC_8312024_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE08312024INTCIntelDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
7.7%10.5%-17.7%
INTC_4302022_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield04302022INTCIntelDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-32.1%-25.6%-41.5%
INTC_10312020_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312020INTCIntelDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
31.7%13.6%0.0%

See Trefis Trade Ideas for more.

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Intel

Financials

INTCNVDAAMDMUAMATAMBQMedian
NameIntel NVIDIA Advanced.Micron T.Applied .Ambiq Mi. 
Mkt Price37.22188.32216.42192.77219.4832.08190.55
Mkt Cap162.64,588.6351.2216.3175.1-216.3
Rev LTM53,070165,21829,60037,37828,6136933,489
Op Inc LTM-4,39795,9812,4539,8098,623-385,538
FCF LTM-10,94372,0234,0431,6685,823-212,856
FCF 3Y Avg-13,35743,0442,422-1,4436,457-2,422
CFO LTM10,08277,0354,87717,5257,705-168,894
CFO 3Y Avg10,45245,8663,0639,1977,788-9,197

Growth & Margins

INTCNVDAAMDMUAMATAMBQMedian
NameIntel NVIDIA Advanced.Micron T.Applied .Ambiq Mi. 
Rev Chg LTM-3.7%71.6%27.2%48.9%6.6%-27.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-9.4%92.0%11.7%20.3%4.4%-11.7%
Rev Chg Q0.2%55.6%31.7%46.0%7.7%-31.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.0%11.2%6.7%10.5%1.9%-6.7%
Op Mgn LTM-8.3%58.1%8.3%26.2%30.1%-54.6%17.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-3.9%51.0%3.4%-1.1%29.4%-3.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.5%0.1%-2.0%3.7%0.5%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM19.0%46.6%16.5%46.9%26.9%-22.6%23.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg19.3%44.5%11.9%30.3%28.5%-28.5%
FCF/Rev LTM-20.6%43.6%13.7%4.5%20.4%-29.7%9.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-24.7%41.3%9.3%-11.5%23.7%-9.3%

Valuation

INTCNVDAAMDMUAMATAMBQMedian
NameIntel NVIDIA Advanced.Micron T.Applied .Ambiq Mi. 
Mkt Cap162.64,588.6351.2216.3175.1-216.3
P/S3.127.811.95.86.1-6.1
P/EBIT-15.045.5141.821.319.1-21.3
P/E-7.953.0123.925.325.6-25.6
P/CFO16.159.672.012.322.7-22.7
Total Yield-12.3%1.9%0.8%4.2%4.7%-1.9%
Dividend Yield0.3%0.0%0.0%0.2%0.8%-0.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-10.8%1.5%1.1%-2.4%4.4%-1.1%
D/E0.30.00.00.10.0-0.0
Net D/E0.2-0.0-0.00.0-0.0--0.0

Returns

INTCNVDAAMDMUAMATAMBQMedian
NameIntel NVIDIA Advanced.Micron T.Applied .Ambiq Mi. 
1M Rtn54.6%5.9%36.5%22.7%30.8%-6.9%26.7%
3M Rtn59.7%14.8%48.0%62.6%11.7%-48.0%
6M Rtn83.3%70.1%129.0%171.9%52.7%-83.3%
12M Rtn58.0%39.7%28.9%81.0%8.1%-39.7%
3Y Rtn51.0%1,579.4%286.9%271.7%201.5%-271.7%
1M Excs Rtn53.5%4.8%35.4%21.6%29.7%-7.9%25.7%
3M Excs Rtn55.8%3.7%32.5%54.0%3.9%-32.5%
6M Excs Rtn64.5%45.7%107.6%153.5%28.2%-64.5%
12M Excs Rtn43.8%27.1%11.7%75.4%-6.7%-27.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-33.8%1,258.3%141.2%181.8%78.3%-141.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Client Computing Group (CCG)29,25831,77341,08140,05737,146
Intel Foundry18,91027,491347  
Data Center and Artificial Intelligence (DCAI)12,63516,85622,774  
Network and Edge (NEX)5,7748,4097,665  
All Other5,6085,5305,771522289
Corporate unallocated00   
Intersegment eliminations-17,957-27,005   
Mobileye  1,386  
Data Center Group   26,10323,481
Internet of Things Group   3,9744,700
Non-Volatile Memory Solutions Group   5,3584,362
Programmable Solutions Group   1,8531,987
Total54,22863,05479,02477,86771,965


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Client Computing Group (CCG)9,5138,20715,52315,12915,202
Data Center and Artificial Intelligence (DCAI)1,6204,1987,376  
All Other1,0791,174-6,008-3,381-3,878
Network and Edge (NEX)2041,5321,935  
Intersegment eliminations-203-1,975   
Corporate unallocated-5,165-5,633   
Intel Foundry-6,955-5,16976  
Mobileye  554  
Data Center Group   10,57110,227
Internet of Things Group   7381,342
Non-Volatile Memory Solutions Group   361-1,176
Programmable Solutions Group   260318
Total932,33419,45623,67822,035


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date9302025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity121,832,917
Short Interest: % Change Since 915202520.0%
Average Daily Volume192,475,213
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity4,369,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.8%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
7/24/2025-8.5%-12.5%9.6%
4/24/2025-6.7%-7.0%-6.7%
1/30/2025-2.9%-3.1%13.6%
10/31/20247.8%21.9%11.2%
8/1/2024-26.1%-29.0%-23.6%
4/25/2024-9.2%-13.1%-12.1%
1/25/2024-11.9%-12.5%-13.0%
10/26/20239.3%15.9%36.0%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive898
# Negative161516
Median Positive8.0%5.0%10.9%
Median Negative-7.8%-9.3%-10.4%
Max Positive10.7%21.9%36.0%
Max Negative-26.1%-29.0%-23.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025724202510-Q 6/28/2025
3312025425202510-Q 3/29/2025
12312024131202510-K 12/28/2024
93020241101202410-Q 9/28/2024
6302024802202410-Q 6/29/2024
3312024426202410-Q 3/30/2024
12312023126202410-K 12/30/2023
93020231027202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023728202310-Q 7/1/2023
3312023428202310-Q 4/1/2023
12312022127202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221028202210-Q 10/1/2022
6302022729202210-Q 7/2/2022
3312022429202210-Q 4/2/2022
12312021127202210-K 12/25/2021
93020211022202110-Q 9/25/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Holthaus Michelle JohnstonEVP & GM, CCG11082024Sell26.0025,000650,0007,104,708Form
1GELSINGER PATRICK PCEO11062024Buy22.5311,150251,1982,366,288Form