Illumina (ILMN)
Market Price (10/14/2025): $95.04 | Market Cap: $14.9 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Life Sciences Tools & Services
Illumina (ILMN)
Market Price (10/14/2025): $95.04Market Cap: $14.9 BilSector: Health CareIndustry: Life Sciences Tools & Services
Investment Highlights
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.0%, FCF Yield is 6.9% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -83%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -132% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.3%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.0%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -4.8% |
Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 19% | ||
Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24% | ||
Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -28% | ||
Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 43% |
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.0%, FCF Yield is 6.9% |
Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 19% |
Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24% |
Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -28% |
Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 43% |
Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -83%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -132% |
Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.3%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.0%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -4.8% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
ILMN Stock
Price Returns Compared
2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Returns | |||||||
ILMN Return | 12% | 3% | -47% | -31% | -1% | -29% | -71% |
Peers Return | 116% | 24% | -35% | 14% | -36% | -13% | 10% |
S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 13% | 103% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
ILMN Win Rate | 58% | 67% | 25% | 33% | 50% | 33% | |
Peers Win Rate | 65% | 67% | 38% | 53% | 42% | 38% | |
S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
ILMN Max Drawdown | -37% | -6% | -53% | -54% | -27% | -47% | |
Peers Max Drawdown | -34% | -8% | -52% | -21% | -43% | -40% | |
S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: TMO, A, BRKR, TXG, PACB. See ILMN Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 10/13/2025 (YTD)
Downturns Compared
Event | ILMN | S&P 500 |
---|---|---|
2022 Inflation Shock | ||
% Loss | -82.3% | -25.4% |
% Gain to Breakeven | 465.6% | 34.1% |
Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
% Loss | -37.7% | -33.9% |
% Gain to Breakeven | 60.4% | 51.3% |
Time to Breakeven | 61 days | 148 days |
2018 Correction | ||
% Loss | -29.5% | -19.8% |
% Gain to Breakeven | 41.7% | 24.7% |
Time to Breakeven | 301 days | 120 days |
2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
% Loss | -57.8% | -56.8% |
% Gain to Breakeven | 137.2% | 131.3% |
Time to Breakeven | 623 days | 1480 days |
How Low Can It Go?
Illumina's stock fell -82.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/16/2021. A -82.3% loss requires a 465.6% gain to breakeven.
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About Illumina (ILMN)
Illumina, Inc. provides sequencing and array-based solutions for genetic and genomic analysis. Its products and services serve customers in a range of markets enabling the adoption of genomic solutions in research and clinical settings for applications in the life sciences, oncology, reproductive health, agriculture, and other emerging segments. The company provides instruments and consumables used in genetic analysis; and genotyping and sequencing services, instrument service contracts, and development and licensing agreements, as well as cancer detection testing services. Its customers include genomic research centers, academic institutions, government laboratories, and hospitals, as well as pharmaceutical, biotechnology, commercial molecular diagnostic laboratories, and consumer genomics companies. The company markets and distributes its products directly to customers in North America, Europe, Latin America, and the Asia-Pacific region, as well as sells through life-science distributors in various markets within Europe, the Asia-Pacific region, Latin America, the Middle East, and Africa. The company was incorporated in 1998 and is based in San Diego, California.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past trade ideas related to ILMN and Life Sciences Tools & Services.
Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
09302025 | ADMA | ADMA Biologics | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -0.8% | -0.8% | -4.6% |
09302025 | REGN | Regeneron Pharmaceuticals | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
09262025 | HAE | Haemonetics | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.4% | 1.4% | -0.1% |
09192025 | WAT | Waters | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 10.0% | 10.0% | -4.3% |
09052025 | ISRG | Intuitive Surgical | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -8.0% | -8.0% | -8.0% |
02292020 | ILMN | Illumina | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 33.2% | 65.4% | -21.3% |
07312019 | ILMN | Illumina | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.6% | 27.9% | -30.1% |
12312016 | ILMN | Illumina | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 35.5% | 70.6% | 0.0% |
Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
09302025 | ADMA | ADMA Biologics | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -0.8% | -0.8% | -4.6% |
09302025 | REGN | Regeneron Pharmaceuticals | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
09262025 | HAE | Haemonetics | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.4% | 1.4% | -0.1% |
09192025 | WAT | Waters | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 10.0% | 10.0% | -4.3% |
09052025 | ISRG | Intuitive Surgical | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -8.0% | -8.0% | -8.0% |
02292020 | ILMN | Illumina | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 33.2% | 65.4% | -21.3% |
07312019 | ILMN | Illumina | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.6% | 27.9% | -30.1% |
12312016 | ILMN | Illumina | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 35.5% | 70.6% | 0.0% |
See Trefis Trade Ideas for more.
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Illumina
Financials
Median | |
---|---|
Name | |
Mkt Price | 65.63 |
Mkt Cap | 10.2 |
Rev LTM | 3,863 |
Op Inc LTM | 576 |
FCF LTM | 540 |
FCF 3Y Avg | 263 |
CFO LTM | 660 |
CFO 3Y Avg | 444 |
Growth & Margins
Median | |
---|---|
Name | |
Rev Chg LTM | 2.0% |
Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 3.2% |
Rev Chg Q | 6.6% |
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.6% |
Op Mgn LTM | 13.9% |
Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 10.2% |
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.1% |
CFO/Rev LTM | 14.0% |
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 11.6% |
FCF/Rev LTM | 11.6% |
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 6.9% |
Valuation
Median | |
---|---|
Name | |
Mkt Cap | 10.2 |
P/S | 3.3 |
P/EBIT | 16.8 |
P/E | 21.0 |
P/CFO | 23.8 |
Total Yield | 2.7% |
Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 2.1% |
D/E | 0.2 |
Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
Median | |
---|---|
Name | |
1M Rtn | 10.9% |
3M Rtn | 3.7% |
6M Rtn | 24.7% |
12M Rtn | -23.4% |
3Y Rtn | -42.1% |
1M Excs Rtn | 9.8% |
3M Excs Rtn | -1.4% |
6M Excs Rtn | -0.6% |
12M Excs Rtn | -37.0% |
3Y Excs Rtn | -123.0% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
$ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Core Illumina | 4,438 | 4,553 | 4,519 | 3,239 | 3,543 |
GRAIL | 93 | 55 | 12 | ||
Eliminations | -26 | -24 | -5 | -1 | |
Helix | 1 | ||||
Total | 4,505 | 4,584 | 4,526 | 3,239 | 3,543 |
$ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Core Illumina | 552 | 481 | 808 | 580 | 1,008 |
Eliminations | 0 | -24 | |||
GRAIL | -931 | ||||
Helix | 1 | ||||
Total | 552 | 481 | -123 | 580 | 985 |
$ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Core Illumina | 7,585 | 7,316 | |||
Total | 7,585 | 7,316 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for MoreForward Returns | |||
---|---|---|---|
Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
7/31/2025 | -7.8% | -7.0% | -2.7% |
5/8/2025 | -4.8% | 1.7% | 6.8% |
1/14/2025 | -5.4% | -2.0% | -28.2% |
11/4/2024 | 1.0% | -1.3% | -7.2% |
8/6/2024 | 4.1% | 2.9% | 11.5% |
5/2/2024 | -4.9% | -10.2% | -16.6% |
2/8/2024 | -3.8% | 1.9% | -3.0% |
11/9/2023 | -8.0% | -11.0% | 10.0% |
... | |||
SUMMARY STATS | |||
# Positive | 6 | 7 | 8 |
# Negative | 18 | 17 | 16 |
Median Positive | 2.5% | 3.8% | 7.7% |
Median Negative | -6.2% | -8.1% | -8.7% |
Max Positive | 7.9% | 13.3% | 24.9% |
Max Negative | -14.6% | -25.5% | -28.2% |
SEC Filings
Expand for MoreReport Date | Filing Date | Filing |
---|---|---|
6302025 | 8012025 | 10-Q 6/29/2025 |
3312025 | 5092025 | 10-Q 3/30/2025 |
12312024 | 2122025 | 10-K 12/29/2024 |
9302024 | 11062024 | 10-Q 9/29/2024 |
6302024 | 8072024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
3312024 | 5032024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
12312023 | 2162024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
9302023 | 11132023 | 10-Q 10/1/2023 |
6302023 | 8102023 | 10-Q 7/2/2023 |
3312023 | 5052023 | 10-Q 4/2/2023 |
12312022 | 2172023 | 10-K 1/1/2023 |
9302022 | 11042022 | 10-Q 10/2/2022 |
6302022 | 8112022 | 10-Q 7/3/2022 |
3312022 | 5052022 | 10-Q 4/3/2022 |
12312021 | 2182022 | 10-K 1/2/2022 |
9302021 | 11052021 | 10-Q 10/3/2021 |
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