Tearsheet

Intercontinental Exchange (ICE)


Market Price (10/18/2025): $153.25 | Market Cap: $88.0 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Financial Exchanges & Data

Intercontinental Exchange (ICE)


Market Price (10/18/2025): $153.25
Market Cap: $88.0 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Financial Exchanges & Data

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31%, CFO LTM is 4.6 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.8 Bil
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -11%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -10.0%
 
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 19%
  
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31%, CFO LTM is 4.6 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.8 Bil
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 19%
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -11%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -10.0%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

ICE Stock


Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ICE Return26%20%-24%27%17%4%83%
Peers Return13%33%-13%12%10%11%77%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%13%103%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ICE Win Rate58%50%42%67%50%56% 
Peers Win Rate57%55%45%58%53%62% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%67% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ICE Max Drawdown-28%-5%-34%-7%-3%-4% 
Peers Max Drawdown-33%-10%-30%-19%-12%-10% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: SCHW, CME, NDAQ, CBOE, MKTX. See ICE Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 10/17/2025 (YTD)

Downturns Compared

Unique KeyEventICES&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-34.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven53.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven615 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-33.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven49.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven137 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-13.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven15.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven148 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-73.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven283.7%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1786 days1480 days


How Low Can It Go?

Intercontinental Exchange's stock fell -34.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/2/2021. A -34.9% loss requires a 53.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

Better Bets than Intercontinental Exchange (ICE)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ICE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
HLNE_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025HLNEHamilton LaneDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-12.4%-12.4%-12.7%
CNS_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025CNSCohen & SteersDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.1%6.1%-1.6%
JKHY_9262025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09262025JKHYJack Henry & AssociatesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.4%2.4%-2.1%
FDS_9192025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09192025FDSFactSet Research SystemsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.9%-0.9%-4.9%
IBKR_9052025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%09052025IBKRInteractive BrokersQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
10.1%10.1%0.0%
ICE_3312023_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper03312023ICEIntercontinental ExchangeMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
6.3%33.7%0.0%
ICE_9302022_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302022ICEIntercontinental ExchangeDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%23.7%-0.4%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
HLNE_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025HLNEHamilton LaneDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-12.4%-12.4%-12.7%
CNS_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025CNSCohen & SteersDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.1%6.1%-1.6%
JKHY_9262025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09262025JKHYJack Henry & AssociatesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.4%2.4%-2.1%
FDS_9192025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09192025FDSFactSet Research SystemsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.9%-0.9%-4.9%
IBKR_9052025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%09052025IBKRInteractive BrokersQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
10.1%10.1%0.0%
ICE_3312023_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper03312023ICEIntercontinental ExchangeMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
6.3%33.7%0.0%
ICE_9302022_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302022ICEIntercontinental ExchangeDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%23.7%-0.4%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Intercontinental Exchange

Financials

ICESCHWCMENDAQCBOEMKTXMedian
NameIntercon.Charles .CME Nasdaq Cboe Glo.MarketAx. 
Mkt Price153.6094.14267.9488.59239.62171.26162.43
Mkt Cap88.2171.196.450.925.16.469.5
Rev LTM12,18921,6266,4448,1124,5328377,278
Op Inc LTM4,567-4,2092,1951,3163472,195
FCF LTM3,77017,1804,1072,134-1133522,952
FCF 3Y Avg3,36912,2473,5691,7411,0903012,555
CFO LTM4,56617,8074,1962,358-424053,277
CFO 3Y Avg3,97212,9133,6531,9231,1503572,788

Growth & Margins

ICESCHWCMENDAQCBOEMKTXMedian
NameIntercon.Charles .CME Nasdaq Cboe Glo.MarketAx. 
Rev Chg LTM19.1%16.9%11.2%23.6%19.0%7.7%17.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg10.0%5.0%10.0%11.5%7.9%6.4%9.0%
Rev Chg Q15.3%24.8%10.4%16.6%20.5%11.0%16.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.6%5.7%2.5%3.8%4.6%2.7%3.7%
Op Mgn LTM37.5%-65.3%27.1%29.0%41.5%37.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg38.6%-62.8%27.7%28.1%42.2%38.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.1%-0.4%0.4%0.2%0.2%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM37.5%82.3%65.1%29.1%-0.9%48.3%42.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg37.1%62.9%62.6%27.7%30.1%45.6%41.3%
FCF/Rev LTM30.9%79.4%63.7%26.3%-2.5%42.0%36.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg31.5%59.6%61.1%25.0%28.7%38.3%34.9%

Valuation

ICESCHWCMENDAQCBOEMKTXMedian
NameIntercon.Charles .CME Nasdaq Cboe Glo.MarketAx. 
Mkt Cap88.2171.196.450.925.16.469.5
P/S7.27.915.06.35.57.67.4
P/EBIT19.1-19.223.018.917.119.1
P/E31.723.525.633.727.928.628.2
P/CFO19.39.623.021.6-593.115.717.5
Total Yield4.4%4.3%6.6%4.1%4.6%5.3%4.5%
Dividend Yield1.2%0.0%2.7%1.1%1.1%1.8%1.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg4.2%9.1%4.6%5.0%6.4%3.6%4.8%
D/E0.20.20.00.20.10.00.1
Net D/E0.2-0.40.00.10.0-0.10.0

Returns

ICESCHWCMENDAQCBOEMKTXMedian
NameIntercon.Charles .CME Nasdaq Cboe Glo.MarketAx. 
1M Rtn-10.8%2.2%2.1%-4.8%1.1%-6.7%-1.9%
3M Rtn-14.8%-1.5%-2.0%-0.6%0.7%-18.0%-1.7%
6M Rtn-2.6%24.4%3.0%23.5%11.0%-23.7%7.0%
12M Rtn-5.8%32.6%23.2%21.0%15.7%-40.5%18.3%
3Y Rtn72.4%43.7%76.7%61.6%104.3%-26.6%67.0%
1M Excs Rtn-10.7%0.4%2.3%-0.8%1.7%-5.2%-0.2%
3M Excs Rtn-20.5%-7.6%-7.8%-6.1%-4.0%-23.3%-7.7%
6M Excs Rtn-28.8%-1.8%-23.1%-2.7%-15.1%-49.8%-19.1%
12M Excs Rtn-20.6%17.9%9.9%8.2%0.6%-54.6%4.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-10.0%-49.1%-6.9%-25.7%24.6%-111.6%-17.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Exchanges6,3556,4155,8785,8394,652
Fixed Income and Data Services2,2312,0921,8831,8101,756
Mortgage Technology1,3171,1291,407595139
Total9,9039,6369,1688,2446,547


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Exchanges3,1592,8622,5232,3892,167
Fixed Income and Data Services811719529492439
Mortgage Technology-2765739715267
Total3,6943,6383,4493,0332,673


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date9302025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity7,188,466
Short Interest: % Change Since 91520257.4%
Average Daily Volume3,458,162
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.08
Basic Shares Quantity574,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.3%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
7/31/2025-0.5%1.2%-4.6%
5/1/20251.7%5.1%7.0%
2/6/20254.3%3.6%5.9%
10/31/2024-6.4%-6.4%-3.3%
8/1/2024-0.4%-0.3%5.7%
5/2/2024-1.7%3.7%4.1%
2/8/20244.7%6.7%8.3%
11/2/2023-1.8%0.8%5.5%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive101615
# Negative1489
Median Positive2.0%3.1%5.7%
Median Negative-1.3%-2.7%-3.3%
Max Positive4.7%6.7%17.9%
Max Negative-7.5%-13.9%-8.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025731202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025501202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024206202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241031202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023208202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022202202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021203202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211028202110-Q 9/30/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0SPRIESER JUDITH A 9082025Sell174.071,500261,0983,406,284Form
1Farooqui Duriya M 8292025Sell178.342,036363,1002,550,084Form
2Tirinnanzi Martha A 8262025Sell179.76610109,654632,575Form
3Gardiner WarrenChief Financial Officer8222025Sell178.451,570280,1663,944,816Form
4Bowen Sharon 7292025Sell185.00794146,8902,628,110Form