Tearsheet

Heartland Express (HTLD)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $9.225 | Market Cap: $714.6 Mil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Cargo Ground Transportation

Heartland Express (HTLD)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $9.225
Market Cap: $714.6 Mil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Cargo Ground Transportation

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -75%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -111%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -51 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -5.8%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 37%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -20%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -24%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Freight, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Freight Technology, Autonomous Trucks, Show more.
  Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.8%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -9.0%
4   Key risks
HTLD key risks include [1] operational challenges and losses from integrating significant acquisitions and [2] potential for increased financial risk from debt used to finance its acquisition strategy.
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 37%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Freight, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Freight Technology, Autonomous Trucks, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -75%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -111%
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -51 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -5.8%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -20%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -24%
6 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.8%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -9.0%
8 Key risks
HTLD key risks include [1] operational challenges and losses from integrating significant acquisitions and [2] potential for increased financial risk from debt used to finance its acquisition strategy.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

HTLD Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The Heartland Express (HTLD) stock experienced notable movements between August 31, 2025, and December 18, 2025, influenced by the following key factors:

1. Continued Net Losses and Market Headwinds: Heartland Express reported its ninth consecutive quarterly net loss in Q3 2025, with a net loss of 11 cents per share. The company continued to face significant challenges due to a softening freight and logistics market, with freight demand lagging available capacity. This prolonged downturn was a major contributor to the stock's performance.

2. Revenue Decline: The company's revenue in Q3 2025 decreased significantly by 24% year-over-year, reaching $197 million, falling short of expected figures. Cumulative net losses over the first nine months of 2025 totaled $33 million, an increase from the $27.9 million during the same period in 2024. Q1 2025 revenue also missed estimates, impacting overall financial health.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
HTLD Return-14%-4%-8%-7%-21%-16%-53%
Peers Return15%31%-7%10%-9%-5%33%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
HTLD Win Rate42%50%33%42%33%42% 
Peers Win Rate63%65%37%45%47%55% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
HTLD Max Drawdown-25%-10%-23%-24%-30%-36% 
Peers Max Drawdown-24%-4%-21%-9%-21%-32% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: KNX, JBHT, WERN, SNDR, MRTN. See HTLD Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventHTLDS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-41.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven71.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-25.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven33.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven72 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-31.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven45.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-34.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven53.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,724 days1,480 days

Compare to LSTR, SNDR, TRN, WERN, ODFL


In The Past

Heartland Express's stock fell -41.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/5/2021. A -41.6% loss requires a 71.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Heartland Express (HTLD)

Better Bets than Heartland Express (HTLD)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to HTLD. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
19.8%19.8%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.2%4.2%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.5%1.5%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
19.8%19.8%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.2%4.2%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.5%1.5%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Heartland Express

Peers to compare with:

Financials

HTLDKNXJBHTWERNSNDRMRTNMedian
NameHeartlan.Knight-S.JB Hunt .Werner E.Schneide.Marten T. 
Mkt Price9.2252.66194.1030.5426.7511.5028.64
Mkt Cap0.78.518.71.84.70.93.3
Rev LTM8697,47812,0492,9915,6149044,303
Op Inc LTM-513218265417516114
FCF LTM-68-62790-55114-72-58
FCF 3Y Avg-6-2388-8832-70-4
CFO LTM1128181,610191651112421
CFO 3Y Avg1559471,647347699148523

Growth & Margins

HTLDKNXJBHTWERNSNDRMRTNMedian
NameHeartlan.Knight-S.JB Hunt .Werner E.Schneide.Marten T. 
Rev Chg LTM-19.6%-0.0%-1.6%-3.4%5.5%-9.7%-2.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg11.1%0.1%-6.3%-2.1%-5.0%-9.0%-3.5%
Rev Chg Q-24.4%2.7%-0.5%3.5%10.4%-7.1%1.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-6.8%0.7%-0.1%0.9%2.5%-1.8%0.3%
Op Mgn LTM-5.8%4.3%6.9%1.8%3.1%1.8%2.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-2.1%4.8%7.2%3.9%4.4%4.4%4.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.1%0.0%0.2%-1.0%-0.2%-0.2%-0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM12.9%10.9%13.4%6.4%11.6%12.4%12.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg14.2%13.1%13.1%10.9%12.6%14.2%13.1%
FCF/Rev LTM-7.8%-0.8%6.6%-1.8%2.0%-7.9%-1.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-0.9%-0.0%3.2%-2.7%0.6%-7.0%-0.4%

Valuation

HTLDKNXJBHTWERNSNDRMRTNMedian
NameHeartlan.Knight-S.JB Hunt .Werner E.Schneide.Marten T. 
Mkt Cap0.78.518.71.84.70.93.3
P/S0.80.91.10.50.71.00.8
P/EBIT-21.818.315.520.720.654.619.4
P/E-20.545.122.562.332.544.838.7
P/CFO6.47.88.08.35.77.87.8
Total Yield-4.9%3.6%5.8%3.8%4.9%4.5%4.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.4%1.3%2.2%1.8%2.3%1.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-1.5%-0.1%2.8%-4.0%0.9%-5.9%-0.8%
D/E0.30.50.10.50.10.00.2
Net D/E0.20.50.10.40.1-0.10.2

Returns

HTLDKNXJBHTWERNSNDRMRTNMedian
NameHeartlan.Knight-S.JB Hunt .Werner E.Schneide.Marten T. 
1M Rtn24.3%26.3%21.1%29.0%29.3%21.5%25.3%
3M Rtn9.8%26.7%44.7%11.1%15.3%2.9%13.2%
6M Rtn6.2%23.9%40.4%10.2%12.7%-9.7%11.4%
12M Rtn-20.7%-0.9%10.7%-18.6%-9.7%-29.8%-14.2%
3Y Rtn-41.8%0.6%11.9%-22.7%15.0%-40.7%-11.0%
1M Excs Rtn23.5%25.5%20.4%28.3%28.6%20.8%24.5%
3M Excs Rtn7.1%26.5%42.7%10.2%15.3%1.1%12.8%
6M Excs Rtn-6.2%11.5%28.1%-2.1%0.3%-22.0%-0.9%
12M Excs Rtn-32.1%-14.6%-1.9%-30.9%-23.5%-42.4%-27.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-111.4%-71.5%-61.4%-95.5%-57.5%-110.4%-83.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment1,207968607645597
Total1,207968607645597


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,582,589
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520251.2%
Average Daily Volume537,338
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.81
Basic Shares Quantity77,465,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.3%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/6/20250.3%-0.1%17.9%
7/29/2025-3.2%-8.2%2.4%
5/2/2025-1.0%8.5%15.4%
2/3/20251.7%2.0%-10.0%
10/29/2024-0.5%-2.0%13.2%
7/26/2024-1.7%-5.8%-5.9%
4/30/2024-0.2%9.4%10.6%
2/2/2024-1.8%2.2%-7.3%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111313
# Negative131111
Median Positive1.4%2.2%7.9%
Median Negative-0.9%-3.1%-4.5%
Max Positive3.7%13.6%19.8%
Max Negative-5.4%-8.2%-10.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251110202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025808202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025512202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024218202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024809202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024510202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023228202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023508202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022301202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022509202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021225202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0GERDIN MICHAEL JChief Executive Officer8182025Buy8.201,31410,77511,998,092Form
1PRATT JAMES G5162025Buy8.966,57158,876268,800Form
2Ann S. Gerdin Revocable Trust5142025Buy8.95167,6441,500,04510,867,103Form
3Hupfeld Amanda 5142025Buy8.762,00017,52017,520Form
4GERDIN MICHAEL JChief Executive Officer5132025Buy8.50148,2721,260,6683,726,449Form