Tearsheet

Heartland Express (HTLD)


Market Price (11/26/2025): $7.79 | Market Cap: $608.2 Mil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Cargo Ground Transportation

Heartland Express (HTLD)


Market Price (11/26/2025): $7.79
Market Cap: $608.2 Mil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Cargo Ground Transportation

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -88%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -122%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -44 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -4.8%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 36%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -16%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -23%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Freight, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Freight Technology, Autonomous Trucks, Show more.
  Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.4%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -10%
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 36%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Freight, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Freight Technology, Autonomous Trucks, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -88%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -122%
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -44 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -4.8%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -16%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -23%
6 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.4%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -10%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

HTLD Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

**1. The trucking industry continued to face a weak freight environment and an oversupply of capacity, which put ongoing pressure on pricing and margins throughout 2024 and into 2025.**

**2. Heartland Express reported a net loss of $1.9 million in the fourth quarter of 2024, marking its fourth consecutive quarterly loss.**

**3. The company experienced declining operating revenues, with sequential quarterly revenue decreases being uninterrupted since the fourth quarter of 2022, and Q4 2024 revenues falling compared to the same period in 2023.**

**4. Analyst sentiment remained cautious, with Wall Street analysts generally maintaining "Reduce" or "Hold" ratings for HTLD stock, and an average price target that suggested limited upside.**

**5. Heartland Express's full-year operating ratio for 2024 increased to 101.9%, up from 96.5% in 2023, reflecting challenges in operational efficiency.**

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
HTLD Return-14%-4%-8%-7%-21%-30%-61%
Peers Return23%38%-11%15%4%-24%38%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%15%109%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
HTLD Win Rate42%50%33%42%33%30% 
Peers Win Rate60%67%37%47%50%46% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
HTLD Max Drawdown-25%-10%-23%-24%-30%-36% 
Peers Max Drawdown-23%-2%-26%-9%-15%-30% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: LSTR, SNDR, TRN, WERN, ODFL. See HTLD Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/25/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventHTLDS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-41.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven71.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-25.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven33.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven72 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-31.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven45.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-34.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven53.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1724 days1480 days

Compare to LSTR, SNDR, TRN, WERN, ODFL


In The Past

Heartland Express's stock fell -41.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/5/2021. A -41.6% loss requires a 71.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Heartland Express (HTLD)

Better Bets than Heartland Express (HTLD)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to HTLD. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
GEO_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025GEOGEODip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.9%-9.9%-14.1%
RUN_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025RUNSunrunSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-12.9%-12.9%-17.5%
PLPC_10312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10312025PLPCPreformed Line ProductsQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-8.0%-8.0%-12.2%
VRSK_10172025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10172025VRSKVerisk AnalyticsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-5.4%-5.4%-10.5%
CARR_10102025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10102025CARRCarrier GlobalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-8.3%-8.3%-10.8%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
GEO_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025GEOGEODip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.9%-9.9%-14.1%
RUN_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025RUNSunrunSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-12.9%-12.9%-17.5%
PLPC_10312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10312025PLPCPreformed Line ProductsQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-8.0%-8.0%-12.2%
VRSK_10172025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10172025VRSKVerisk AnalyticsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-5.4%-5.4%-10.5%
CARR_10102025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10102025CARRCarrier GlobalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-8.3%-8.3%-10.8%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Heartland Express

Peers to compare with:

Financials

HTLDLSTRSNDRTRNWERNODFLMedian
NameHeartlan.Landstar.Schneide.Trinity .Werner E.Old Domi. 
Mkt Price7.79130.7622.4426.3825.20134.3325.79
Mkt Cap0.64.53.92.11.528.23.0
Rev LTM9324,7795,6142,1752,9915,5753,885
Op Inc LTM-44195175366541,391185
FCF LTM-31199114-396-5592141
FCF 3Y Avg231632-335-8882717
CFO LTM1202136513841911,461299
CFO 3Y Avg1643406993693471,550358

Growth & Margins

HTLDLSTRSNDRTRNWERNODFLMedian
NameHeartlan.Landstar.Schneide.Trinity .Werner E.Old Domi. 
Rev Chg LTM-16.4%-0.7%5.5%-33.0%-3.4%-5.9%-4.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg23.2%-14.1%-5.0%11.1%-2.1%-3.3%-2.7%
Rev Chg Q-23.4%-0.7%10.4%-43.2%3.5%-4.3%-2.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-6.5%-0.2%2.5%-13.7%0.9%-1.1%-0.7%
Op Mgn LTM-4.8%4.1%3.1%16.8%1.8%24.9%3.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-0.8%5.3%4.4%13.4%3.9%26.9%4.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.7%-0.1%-0.2%1.8%-1.0%-0.4%-0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM12.9%4.5%11.6%17.6%6.4%26.2%12.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg14.6%6.5%12.6%13.8%10.9%26.8%13.2%
FCF/Rev LTM-3.4%4.2%2.0%-18.2%-1.8%16.5%0.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-0.0%6.0%0.6%-13.2%-2.7%14.3%0.3%

Valuation

HTLDLSTRSNDRTRNWERNODFLMedian
NameHeartlan.Landstar.Schneide.Trinity .Werner E.Old Domi. 
Mkt Cap0.64.53.92.11.528.23.0
P/S0.70.90.71.00.55.10.8
P/EBIT-18.623.121.85.019.820.320.0
P/E-17.032.934.522.359.626.729.8
P/CFO5.121.26.05.57.919.37.0
Total Yield-5.9%5.8%4.6%9.1%4.0%4.6%4.6%
Dividend Yield0.0%2.7%1.7%4.6%2.3%0.8%2.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-0.4%5.4%0.9%-15.5%-4.0%2.2%0.3%
D/E0.30.00.12.80.50.00.2
Net D/E0.3-0.10.12.80.40.00.2

Returns

HTLDLSTRSNDRTRNWERNODFLMedian
NameHeartlan.Landstar.Schneide.Trinity .Werner E.Old Domi. 
1M Rtn-3.2%0.8%-2.0%-6.7%-9.0%-1.3%-2.6%
3M Rtn-9.1%-1.0%-9.7%-6.6%-12.6%-12.9%-9.4%
6M Rtn-13.5%-4.9%-3.8%3.7%-3.4%-17.9%-4.3%
12M Rtn-37.2%-27.7%-28.9%-27.4%-36.2%-39.9%-32.5%
3Y Rtn-52.3%-19.6%-8.5%-2.4%-38.9%-7.2%-14.1%
1M Excs Rtn-1.6%2.8%-1.0%-4.9%-6.7%-0.2%-1.3%
3M Excs Rtn-13.2%-5.8%-14.1%-11.8%-16.5%-17.1%-13.6%
6M Excs Rtn-28.0%-18.5%-17.2%-9.5%-17.6%-31.9%-18.0%
12M Excs Rtn-49.4%-39.2%-41.2%-39.8%-48.4%-51.8%-44.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-122.0%-87.0%-77.4%-70.0%-109.6%-79.1%-83.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment1,207968607645597
Total1,207968607645597


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,551,181
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-4.9%
Average Daily Volume516,206
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.94
Basic Shares Quantity78,079,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.3%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/6/20250.3%-0.1% 
7/29/2025-3.2%-8.2%2.4%
5/2/20255.8%13.4%17.1%
2/3/20251.7%2.0%-10.0%
10/29/2024-0.5%-2.0%13.2%
7/26/2024-1.7%-5.8%-5.9%
4/30/20244.6%10.1%12.7%
2/2/2024-1.8%2.2%-7.3%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131312
# Negative111112
Median Positive1.4%2.2%7.4%
Median Negative-0.9%-2.0%-4.5%
Max Positive5.8%13.6%19.8%
Max Negative-5.4%-8.2%-10.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025808202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025512202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024218202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024809202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024510202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023228202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023508202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022301202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022509202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021225202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211104202110-Q 9/30/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0GERDIN MICHAEL JChief Executive Officer8182025Buy8.201,31410,77511,998,092Form
1PRATT JAMES G5162025Buy8.966,57158,876268,800Form
2Ann S. Gerdin Revocable Trust5142025Buy8.95167,6441,500,04510,867,103Form
3Hupfeld Amanda 5142025Buy8.762,00017,52017,520Form
4GERDIN MICHAEL JChief Executive Officer5132025Buy8.50148,2721,260,6683,726,449Form