HSBC (HSBC)
Market Price (10/16/2025): $66.41 | Market Cap: $232.7 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Diversified Banks
HSBC (HSBC)
Market Price (10/16/2025): $66.41Market Cap: $232.7 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Diversified Banks
Investment Highlights
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.7% | ||
Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -50% | ||
Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 25% | ||
Capital ratio is >2x the minimum of 6%Tier 1 Capital / Risk Wtd Assets RatioTier 1 Capital / Risk-Weighted Assets is a common measure of financial strength for a bank. It reflects how much equity there is relative to assets where assets are weighted based on riskiness. Low ratios indicate the bank is highly vulnerable to even small changes in the value of their risk assets. is 18% |
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.7% |
Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -50% |
Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 25% |
Capital ratio is >2x the minimum of 6%Tier 1 Capital / Risk Wtd Assets RatioTier 1 Capital / Risk-Weighted Assets is a common measure of financial strength for a bank. It reflects how much equity there is relative to assets where assets are weighted based on riskiness. Low ratios indicate the bank is highly vulnerable to even small changes in the value of their risk assets. is 18% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
HSBC Stock
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Returns | |||||||
HSBC Return | -32% | 21% | 8% | 39% | 34% | 41% | 133% |
Peers Return | -19% | 33% | -18% | 16% | 36% | 24% | 74% |
S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 13% | 103% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
HSBC Win Rate | 33% | 58% | 42% | 75% | 67% | 78% | |
Peers Win Rate | 45% | 60% | 42% | 53% | 62% | 62% | |
S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
HSBC Max Drawdown | -52% | -2% | -13% | 0% | -8% | -3% | |
Peers Max Drawdown | -51% | -4% | -29% | -17% | -5% | -17% | |
S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: JPM, BAC, WFC, C, USB. See HSBC Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 10/15/2025 (YTD)
Downturns Compared
Event | HSBC | S&P 500 |
---|---|---|
2022 Inflation Shock | ||
% Loss | -34.6% | -25.4% |
% Gain to Breakeven | 52.9% | 34.1% |
Time to Breakeven | 132 days | 464 days |
2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
% Loss | -54.0% | -33.9% |
% Gain to Breakeven | 117.4% | 51.3% |
Time to Breakeven | 998 days | 148 days |
2018 Correction | ||
% Loss | -35.3% | -19.8% |
% Gain to Breakeven | 54.5% | 24.7% |
Time to Breakeven | 2015 days | 120 days |
2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
% Loss | -76.3% | -56.8% |
% Gain to Breakeven | 321.9% | 131.3% |
Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 1480 days |
How Low Can It Go?
HSBC's stock fell -34.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/8/2022. A -34.6% loss requires a 52.9% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Title | Topic | Date | |
---|---|---|---|
DASHBOARDS | |||
HSBC Stock Dropped 5.5% - Have You Assessed the Risk | Return | ||
HSBC Dip Buy Analysis | |||
HSBC Total Shareholder Return (TSR): 34.4% in 2024 and 26.4% 3-yr compounded annual returns (above peer average) | |||
Time To Buy HSBC Stock? | Buy or Fear | ||
HSBC (HSBC) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
HSBC (HSBC) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
HSBC (HSBC) Stock Has 45% Chance Of Rise In The Next One Month | |||
HSBC (HSBC) Stock Has 48% Chance Of Rise In The Next One Month | |||
Dates Cached For HSBC | |||
HSBC Stock Return Comparison | Return | ||
ARTICLES | |||
What’s New With HSBC Stock? | August 28th, 2025 | ||
HSBC Fell 5.5% In A Day. What To Do Now?. | July 31st, 2025 | ||
Large Cap Stocks Trading Near 52W High | July 10th, 2025 | ||
What’s New With HSBC Stock? | June 16th, 2025 | ||
What’s Happening With HSBC Stock? | May 13th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to HSBC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
09302025 | HLNE | Hamilton Lane | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -10.8% | -10.8% | -12.3% |
09302025 | CNS | Cohen & Steers | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.4% | 1.4% | -1.6% |
09262025 | JKHY | Jack Henry & Associates | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 3.4% | 3.4% | -2.1% |
09192025 | FDS | FactSet Research Systems | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.8% | -1.8% | -4.9% |
09052025 | IBKR | Interactive Brokers | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 16.0% | 16.0% | 0.0% |
Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
09302025 | HLNE | Hamilton Lane | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -10.8% | -10.8% | -12.3% |
09302025 | CNS | Cohen & Steers | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.4% | 1.4% | -1.6% |
09262025 | JKHY | Jack Henry & Associates | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 3.4% | 3.4% | -2.1% |
09192025 | FDS | FactSet Research Systems | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.8% | -1.8% | -4.9% |
09052025 | IBKR | Interactive Brokers | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 16.0% | 16.0% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for HSBC
Financials
Median | |
---|---|
Name | |
Mkt Price | 76.44 |
Mkt Cap | 256.1 |
Rev LTM | 82,288 |
Op Inc LTM | - |
FCF LTM | -9,143 |
FCF 3Y Avg | 10,620 |
CFO LTM | -9,143 |
CFO 3Y Avg | 10,620 |
Growth & Margins
Median | |
---|---|
Name | |
Rev Chg LTM | 5.8% |
Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 5.8% |
Rev Chg Q | 5.9% |
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.5% |
Op Mgn LTM | - |
Op Mgn 3Y Avg | - |
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | - |
CFO/Rev LTM | -11.2% |
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 16.4% |
FCF/Rev LTM | -11.2% |
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 16.4% |
Valuation
Median | |
---|---|
Name | |
Mkt Cap | 256.1 |
P/S | 3.4 |
P/EBIT | - |
P/E | 13.3 |
P/CFO | -2.1 |
Total Yield | 7.9% |
Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 8.1% |
D/E | 0.8 |
Net D/E | -0.7 |
Returns
Median | |
---|---|
Name | |
1M Rtn | -0.3% |
3M Rtn | 8.2% |
6M Rtn | 35.6% |
12M Rtn | 40.3% |
3Y Rtn | 137.9% |
1M Excs Rtn | -1.7% |
3M Excs Rtn | 1.0% |
6M Excs Rtn | 10.3% |
12M Excs Rtn | 28.0% |
3Y Excs Rtn | 62.8% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
$ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Wealth and Personal Banking | 26,848 | 20,772 | 20,474 | 21,252 | |
Commercial Banking | 22,396 | 16,207 | 14,114 | 16,094 | |
Global Banking and Markets | 15,771 | 14,542 | 18,651 | 20,314 | |
Corporate Centre | -103 | -1,934 | -1,469 | -2,716 | |
Total | 64,912 | 49,587 | 51,770 | 54,944 |
$ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Global Banking and Markets | 1,298,065 | 1,305,319 | 1,171,909 | 1,319,389 | 1,310,772 |
Wealth and Personal Banking | 915,062 | 873,688 | 905,024 | 869,924 | 793,100 |
Commercial Banking | 613,124 | 602,624 | 605,696 | 562,125 | 523,585 |
Corporate Centre | 146,296 | 161,872 | 178,074 | 187,189 | 156,354 |
Currency translation | 66,130 | 5,783 | 97,236 | 45,537 | -68,659 |
Total | 3,038,677 | 2,949,286 | 2,957,939 | 2,984,164 | 2,715,152 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for MoreReport Date | Filing Date | Filing |
---|---|---|
6302025 | 7302025 | 6-K 6/30/2025 |
3312025 | 4292025 | 6-K 3/31/2025 |
12312024 | 2202025 | 20-F 12/31/2024 |
9302024 | 10292024 | 6-K 9/30/2024 |
3312024 | 4302024 | 6-K 3/31/2024 |
12312023 | 2222024 | Annual 12/31/2023 |
9302023 | 10302023 | 6-K 9/30/2023 |
6302023 | 8012023 | 6-K 6/30/2023 |
12312022 | 2222023 | 20-F 12/31/2022 |
6302022 | 8012022 | 6-K 6/30/2022 |
3312021 | 4272021 | 6-K 3/31/2021 |
12312020 | 2242021 | 20-F 12/31/2020 |
3312020 | 4282020 | 6-K 3/31/2020 |
12312019 | 2192020 | 20-F 12/31/2019 |
3312019 | 5032019 | 6-K 3/31/2019 |
12312018 | 2202019 | 20-F 12/31/2018 |
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