HSBC (HSBC)
Market Price (11/8/2025): $71.28 | Market Cap: $246.6 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Diversified Banks
HSBC (HSBC)
Market Price (11/8/2025): $71.28Market Cap: $246.6 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Diversified Banks
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.2%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.1% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -0.6%, Dist 3Y High is -0.6% | |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -60% | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 24% | ||
| Capital ratio is >2x the minimum of 6%Tier 1 Capital / Risk Wtd Assets RatioTier 1 Capital / Risk-Weighted Assets is a common measure of financial strength for a bank. It reflects how much equity there is relative to assets where assets are weighted based on riskiness. Low ratios indicate the bank is highly vulnerable to even small changes in the value of their risk assets. is 18% |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.2%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.1% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -60% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 24% |
| Capital ratio is >2x the minimum of 6%Tier 1 Capital / Risk Wtd Assets RatioTier 1 Capital / Risk-Weighted Assets is a common measure of financial strength for a bank. It reflects how much equity there is relative to assets where assets are weighted based on riskiness. Low ratios indicate the bank is highly vulnerable to even small changes in the value of their risk assets. is 18% |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -0.6%, Dist 3Y High is -0.6% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
HSBC Stock
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| HSBC Return | -32% | 21% | 8% | 39% | 34% | 52% | 153% |
| Peers Return | -19% | 33% | -18% | 16% | 36% | 26% | 76% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| HSBC Win Rate | 33% | 58% | 42% | 75% | 67% | 70% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 45% | 60% | 42% | 53% | 62% | 62% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| HSBC Max Drawdown | -52% | -2% | -13% | 0% | -8% | -3% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -51% | -4% | -29% | -17% | -5% | -17% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: JPM, BAC, WFC, C, USB. See HSBC Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/7/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | HSBC | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -34.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 52.9% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 132 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -54.0% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 117.4% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 998 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -35.3% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 54.5% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2015 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -76.3% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 321.9% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 1480 days |
Compare to JPM, BAC, WFC, C, USB
In The Past
HSBC's stock fell -34.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/8/2022. A -34.6% loss requires a 52.9% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| How Low Can HSBC Stock Really Go? | Return | ||
| HSBC Dip Buy Analysis | |||
| HSBC Total Shareholder Return (TSR): 34.4% in 2024 and 26.4% 3-yr compounded annual returns (above peer average) | |||
| Time To Buy HSBC Stock? | Buy or Fear | ||
| HSBC (HSBC) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| HSBC (HSBC) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| HSBC (HSBC) Stock Has 45% Chance Of Rise In The Next One Month | |||
| HSBC (HSBC) Stock Has 48% Chance Of Rise In The Next One Month | |||
| Dates Cached For HSBC | |||
| HSBC Stock Return Comparison | Return | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| What’s New With HSBC Stock? | August 28th, 2025 | ||
| HSBC Fell 5.5% In A Day. What To Do Now?. | July 31st, 2025 | ||
| Large Cap Stocks Trading Near 52W High | July 10th, 2025 | ||
| What’s New With HSBC Stock? | June 16th, 2025 | ||
| What’s Happening With HSBC Stock? | May 13th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to HSBC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | BRO | Brown & Brown | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.5% | -1.5% | -4.2% |
| 10312025 | CPAY | Corpay | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.2% | 6.2% | 0.0% |
| 10312025 | EEFT | Euronet Worldwide | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.7% | -4.7% | -4.9% |
| 10312025 | GPN | Global Payments | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.2% | -2.2% | -2.2% |
| 10102025 | APO | Apollo Asset Management | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.0% | 12.0% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | BRO | Brown & Brown | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.5% | -1.5% | -4.2% |
| 10312025 | CPAY | Corpay | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.2% | 6.2% | 0.0% |
| 10312025 | EEFT | Euronet Worldwide | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.7% | -4.7% | -4.9% |
| 10312025 | GPN | Global Payments | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.2% | -2.2% | -2.2% |
| 10102025 | APO | Apollo Asset Management | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.0% | 12.0% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for HSBC
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 78.66 |
| Mkt Cap | 260.2 |
| Rev LTM | 83,888 |
| Op Inc LTM | - |
| FCF LTM | -14,218 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 9,172 |
| CFO LTM | -14,218 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 9,172 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 7.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 5.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 7.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | - |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | - |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | - |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -17.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 11.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -17.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 11.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 260.2 |
| P/S | 3.4 |
| P/EBIT | - |
| P/E | 13.2 |
| P/CFO | -2.6 |
| Total Yield | 7.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 6.9% |
| D/E | 0.9 |
| Net D/E | -0.7 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 4.1% |
| 3M Rtn | 10.2% |
| 6M Rtn | 26.4% |
| 12M Rtn | 31.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | 120.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 6.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 5.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 7.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 25.1% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 45.7% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wealth and Personal Banking | 26,848 | 20,474 | 21,252 | ||
| Commercial Banking | 22,396 | 14,114 | 16,094 | ||
| Global Banking and Markets | 15,771 | 18,651 | 20,314 | ||
| Corporate Centre | -103 | -1,469 | -2,716 | ||
| Total | 64,912 | 51,770 | 54,944 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Global Banking and Markets | 1,298,065 | 1,341,575 | 1,157,327 | 1,319,389 | 1,310,772 |
| Wealth and Personal Banking | 915,062 | 893,867 | 888,028 | 869,924 | 793,100 |
| Commercial Banking | 613,124 | 620,193 | 586,392 | 562,125 | 523,585 |
| Corporate Centre | 146,296 | 152,049 | 174,073 | 187,189 | 156,354 |
| Currency translation | 66,130 | -58,398 | 152,119 | 45,537 | -68,659 |
| Total | 3,038,677 | 2,949,286 | 2,957,939 | 2,984,164 | 2,715,152 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10282025 | 6-K 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7302025 | 6-K 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4292025 | 6-K 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2202025 | 20-F 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10292024 | 6-K 9/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4302024 | 6-K 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2222024 | Annual 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10302023 | 6-K 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8012023 | 6-K 6/30/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2222023 | 20-F 12/31/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8012022 | 6-K 6/30/2022 |
| 3312021 | 4272021 | 6-K 3/31/2021 |
| 12312020 | 2242021 | 20-F 12/31/2020 |
| 3312020 | 4282020 | 6-K 3/31/2020 |
| 12312019 | 2192020 | 20-F 12/31/2019 |
| 3312019 | 5032019 | 6-K 3/31/2019 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
