Helmerich & Payne (HP)
Market Price (3/14/2026): $35.67 | Market Cap: $3.6 BilSector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Drilling
Helmerich & Payne (HP)
Market Price (3/14/2026): $35.67Market Cap: $3.6 BilSector: EnergyIndustry: Oil & Gas Drilling
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 48% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -1.3% | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -13% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -33%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -74% | |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 5.1% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include US Energy Independence, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include US Oilfield Technologies, and Advanced Drilling Automation. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 48% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 5.1% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include US Energy Independence, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include US Oilfield Technologies, and Advanced Drilling Automation. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -1.3% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -33%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -74% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -13% |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Robust Revenue Performance and Strong Adjusted EBITDA: Helmerich & Payne reported fiscal first-quarter 2026 operating revenues of $1.0 billion, surpassing consensus estimates and marking the third consecutive quarter exceeding the billion-dollar threshold. Additionally, the company's adjusted EBITDA of $230 million exceeded expectations, indicating strong underlying operational performance despite a reported net loss of $(97) million, or $(0.98) per share, which included a $103 million non-cash impairment charge.
2. Significant Analyst Upgrades and Increased Price Targets: Multiple financial analysts revised their ratings and substantially raised price targets for Helmerich & Payne during the period. Notably, Piper Sandler upgraded the stock to Overweight and increased its price target from $21.00 to $35.00 (a 66.67% increase) on December 18, 2025. Barclays also maintained an Overweight rating and raised its price target from $29.00 to $36.00 (a 24.14% increase) on December 17, 2025.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 28.8% change in HP stock from 11/30/2025 to 3/13/2026 was primarily driven by a 18.2% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 3132026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 27.69 | 35.65 | 28.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 3,746 | 4,086 | 9.1% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.7 | 0.9 | 18.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 99 | 100 | -0.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 28.8% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 3/13/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| HP | 28.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | -3.1% | 33.0% |
| Sector (XLE) | 27.6% | 62.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 73.5% change in HP stock from 8/31/2025 to 3/13/2026 was primarily driven by a 45.8% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 8312025 | 3132026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 20.54 | 35.65 | 73.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 3,428 | 4,086 | 19.2% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.6 | 0.9 | 45.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 99 | 100 | -0.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 73.5% |
Market Drivers
8/31/2025 to 3/13/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| HP | 73.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 3.0% | 36.8% |
| Sector (XLE) | 28.8% | 61.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 40.5% change in HP stock from 2/28/2025 to 3/13/2026 was primarily driven by a 48.2% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 2282025 | 3132026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 25.37 | 35.65 | 40.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2,757 | 4,086 | 48.2% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.9 | 0.9 | -4.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 99 | 100 | -0.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 40.5% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2025 to 3/13/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| HP | 40.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 12.4% | 56.6% |
| Sector (XLE) | 29.9% | 75.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -3.2% change in HP stock from 2/28/2023 to 3/13/2026 was primarily driven by a -46.9% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 2282023 | 3132026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 36.82 | 35.65 | -3.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2,369 | 4,086 | 72.5% |
| P/S Multiple | 1.6 | 0.9 | -46.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 105 | 100 | 5.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -3.2% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2023 to 3/13/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| HP | -3.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 73.4% | 42.3% |
| Sector (XLE) | 51.3% | 73.0% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| HP Return | 6% | 115% | -23% | -8% | -6% | 22% | 85% |
| Peers Return | 54% | 89% | -16% | -21% | 0% | 57% | 204% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -1% | 80% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| HP Win Rate | 58% | 67% | 25% | 42% | 50% | 67% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 55% | 33% | 43% | 58% | 93% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 33% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| HP Max Drawdown | -5% | 0% | -37% | -15% | -52% | 0% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -6% | 0% | -32% | -30% | -41% | -0% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -2% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: PTEN, NBR, PDS, NE, VAL. See HP Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/13/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | HP | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -42.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 74.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -72.9% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 268.4% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 755 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -55.2% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 123.1% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -76.5% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 325.4% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,789 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to PTEN, NBR, PDS, NE, VAL
In The Past
Helmerich & Payne's stock fell -42.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/22/2022. A -42.6% loss requires a 74.2% gain to breakeven.
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About Helmerich & Payne (HP)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Helmerich & Payne:
Caterpillar for oil drilling. (Like Caterpillar provides heavy equipment and services for construction and mining, HP provides specialized drilling rigs and services for oil and gas extraction.)
United Rentals for oil rigs. (Similar to how United Rentals provides a wide range of industrial equipment for rent and service, HP provides and operates highly specialized drilling rigs for energy companies.)
John Deere for oilfield machinery. (Just as John Deere manufactures and services specialized machinery for agriculture, HP provides and services specialized drilling machinery for the oil and gas industry.)
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- Drilling Services: Provides advanced drilling services to exploration and production companies across North America, the Gulf of Mexico, and international locations utilizing a fleet of land and offshore rigs.
- Drilling Technology Solutions: Develops and commercializes proprietary technologies designed to enhance the efficiency, quality, and precision of drilling operations.
- Commercial Real Estate Operations: Owns, develops, and manages commercial real estate properties, including a shopping center and undeveloped land in Tulsa, Oklahoma.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Helmerich & Payne (HP) provides drilling services and solutions primarily to exploration and production companies.
The provided background information does not list the specific names of these customer companies.
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The global shift towards renewable energy sources and the associated long-term decline in demand for fossil fuels pose an emerging threat to Helmerich & Payne's core drilling services business. As exploration and production companies face increasing pressure and incentives to reduce carbon footprints and transition to sustainable energy, the demand for new oil and gas drilling could steadily decrease.
The continued rise of e-commerce represents an emerging threat to the value and viability of Helmerich & Payne's commercial real estate investments, particularly the shopping center. The shift in consumer behavior from brick-and-mortar retail to online shopping can reduce foot traffic, occupancy rates, and rental income for traditional retail properties.
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Trade Ideas
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| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12262025 | TPL | Texas Pacific Land | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 82.3% | 82.3% | -2.1% |
| 12122025 | NOV | NOV | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 23.6% | 23.6% | -6.5% |
| 12122025 | RIG | Transocean | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 56.9% | 56.9% | -7.0% |
| 11212025 | WHD | Cactus | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 31.6% | 31.6% | 0.0% |
| 10172025 | OVV | Ovintiv | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 41.7% | 41.7% | 0.0% |
| 02282025 | HP | Helmerich & Payne | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | -19.0% | 38.8% | -42.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 61.45 |
| Mkt Cap | 3.7 |
| Rev LTM | 3,235 |
| Op Inc LTM | 223 |
| FCF LTM | 206 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 237 |
| CFO LTM | 630 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 662 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 3.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 18.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | -2.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -0.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 8.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 12.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -1.6% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 22.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 22.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 8.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 7.9% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 3.7 |
| P/S | 0.8 |
| P/EBIT | 4.1 |
| P/E | 5.2 |
| P/CFO | 5.2 |
| Total Yield | 5.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 6.2% |
| D/E | 0.5 |
| Net D/E | 0.4 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 6.1% |
| 3M Rtn | 48.8% |
| 6M Rtn | 76.1% |
| 12M Rtn | 104.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | 21.8% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 8.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 42.9% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 72.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 78.3% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -59.1% |
Comparison Analyses
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $35.65 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 3.5 | |
| First Trading Date | 10/15/1980 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -1.3% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $33.34 | $24.21 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 6.9% | 47.2% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 37.9% | 53.1% |
| Downside Capture | -9.59 | 123.50 |
| Upside Capture | 118.17 | 141.01 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 34.9% | 57.9% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.31 | 1.14 | 1.15 | 1.30 | 1.57 | 1.25 |
| Up Beta | 1.27 | 1.40 | 1.19 | 1.19 | 1.24 | 1.13 |
| Down Beta | 3.50 | 2.23 | 1.76 | 1.78 | 2.37 | 1.97 |
| Up Capture | 127% | 157% | 173% | 214% | 174% | 62% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 9 | 20 | 31 | 70 | 142 | 431 |
| Stock +ve Days | 13 | 23 | 33 | 69 | 126 | 373 |
| Down Capture | 7% | -47% | 10% | 49% | 115% | 102% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 21 | 30 | 54 | 109 | 320 |
| Stock -ve Days | 8 | 17 | 27 | 54 | 124 | 376 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with HP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HP | 47.6% | 53.0% | 0.92 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLE) | 34.9% | 24.9% | 1.15 | 75.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 19.6% | 18.9% | 0.81 | 57.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 71.9% | 26.3% | 2.05 | 9.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 19.3% | 17.3% | 0.89 | 49.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 6.2% | 16.3% | 0.19 | 43.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -15.0% | 44.2% | -0.24 | 24.2% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with HP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HP | 5.6% | 49.0% | 0.29 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLE) | 21.1% | 26.2% | 0.73 | 74.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.1% | 17.0% | 0.61 | 40.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 24.1% | 17.3% | 1.14 | 13.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.2% | 19.0% | 0.47 | 52.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.8% | 18.8% | 0.16 | 29.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 6.4% | 56.7% | 0.33 | 17.1% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with HP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HP | -0.7% | 51.2% | 0.19 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLE) | 10.9% | 29.5% | 0.41 | 78.0% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.5% | 17.9% | 0.70 | 49.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 14.4% | 15.6% | 0.77 | 9.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.6% | 17.6% | 0.40 | 53.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.6% | 20.7% | 0.23 | 38.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.5% | 66.8% | 1.07 | 13.2% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 2/4/2026 | -5.2% | -5.7% | -5.7% |
| 11/17/2025 | -2.9% | -2.2% | 1.2% |
| 8/6/2025 | 3.2% | 15.9% | 32.2% |
| 5/7/2025 | -3.5% | -1.2% | -10.7% |
| 2/5/2025 | -16.5% | -18.8% | -22.2% |
| 11/13/2024 | -6.2% | -6.1% | -6.5% |
| 7/24/2024 | 8.8% | 7.1% | -13.1% |
| 4/24/2024 | -4.7% | -9.9% | -11.6% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 7 | 10 | 11 |
| # Negative | 17 | 14 | 13 |
| Median Positive | 8.8% | 6.0% | 16.5% |
| Median Negative | -3.9% | -7.6% | -11.6% |
| Max Positive | 12.0% | 18.3% | 33.5% |
| Max Negative | -16.5% | -18.8% | -24.5% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 02/05/2026 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/21/2025 | 10-K |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/11/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/09/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/05/2025 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/13/2024 | 10-K |
| 06/30/2024 | 07/25/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 04/24/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 01/29/2024 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/08/2023 | 10-K |
| 06/30/2023 | 07/26/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 04/26/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 01/30/2023 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/17/2022 | 10-K |
| 06/30/2022 | 07/27/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 04/27/2022 | 10-Q |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Helmerich, Hans | Reporting Person's Trust | Sell | 12222025 | 28.10 | 25,000 | 702,500 | 13,958,254 | Form | |
| 2 | Helmerich, Hans | Family Trust | Sell | 12222025 | 28.13 | 50,000 | 1,406,500 | 34,203,689 | Form | |
| 3 | Momper, Sara Marie | VP, CAO | Direct | Sell | 12042025 | 30.23 | 6,681 | 201,967 | 460,312 | Form |
| 4 | Momper, Sara Marie | VP, CAO | Direct | Sell | 8192025 | 17.83 | 6,700 | 119,461 | 390,620 | Form |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
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| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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