Tearsheet

Honda Motor (HMC)


Market Price (10/26/2025): $31.51 | Market Cap: $44.1 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Automobile Manufacturers

Honda Motor (HMC)


Market Price (10/26/2025): $31.51
Market Cap: $44.1 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Automobile Manufacturers

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 2141%, Dividend Yield is 696%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 2136%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -64%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -37%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.2%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -9450%
  Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.8%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO LTM is 459 Bil
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 35%
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 2141%, Dividend Yield is 696%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 2136%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -9450%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO LTM is 459 Bil
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 35%
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -64%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -37%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.2%
6 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.8%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

HMC Stock


Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
HMC Return3%4%-17%37%-8%10%25%
Peers Return157%31%-34%26%19%13%277%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%15%110%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
HMC Win Rate50%50%50%83%50%44% 
Peers Win Rate43%53%25%40%38%58% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%67% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
HMC Max Drawdown-30%-6%-21%0%-23%-12% 
Peers Max Drawdown-27%-7%-38%-12%-17%-17% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: TSLA, TM, GM, VWAGY, AIIO. See HMC Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 10/24/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventHMCS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-35.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven54.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven341 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-30.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven44.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven238 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-37.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven60.4%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1670 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-55.4%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven124.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven781 days1480 days

Compare to TSLA, TM, GM, VWAGY, AIIO


In The Past

Honda Motor's stock fell -35.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/6/2021. A -35.1% loss requires a 54.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

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About Honda Motor (HMC)

Better Bets than Honda Motor (HMC)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to HMC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ANF_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025ANFAbercrombie & FitchDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-17.6%-17.6%-22.1%
DECK_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025DECKDeckers OutdoorDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-14.2%-14.2%-14.2%
CHH_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025CHHChoice Hotels InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.0%-9.0%-9.0%
VAC_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025VACMarriott Vacations WorldwideDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%-6.1%
FUN_9302025_Short_Squeeze09302025FUNSix Flags EntertainmentSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
13.2%13.2%-11.7%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ANF_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025ANFAbercrombie & FitchDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-17.6%-17.6%-22.1%
DECK_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025DECKDeckers OutdoorDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-14.2%-14.2%-14.2%
CHH_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025CHHChoice Hotels InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.0%-9.0%-9.0%
VAC_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025VACMarriott Vacations WorldwideDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%-6.1%
FUN_9302025_Short_Squeeze09302025FUNSix Flags EntertainmentSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
13.2%13.2%-11.7%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Honda Motor

Financials

HMCTSLATMGMVWAGYAIIOMedian
NameHonda Mo.Tesla Toyota M.General .Volkswag.Robo.ai  
Mkt Price31.52433.72205.3769.6610.641.0250.59
Mkt Cap44.21,399.6267.765.853.3-65.8
Rev LTM21,624,17795,63348,452,150187,435324,221-324,221
Op Inc LTM972,9514,8684,653,2658,07818,723-18,723
FCF LTM-381,3426,834-113,429-1,749-11,102--11,102
FCF 3Y Avg160,8984,719-793,290-2,949-8,808--2,949
CFO LTM459,07415,7484,889,75424,21215,979-24,212
CFO 3Y Avg878,66114,1303,990,25922,25217,123-22,252

Growth & Margins

HMCTSLATMGMVWAGYAIIOMedian
NameHonda Mo.Tesla Toyota M.General .Volkswag.Robo.ai  
Rev Chg LTM2.0%-1.6%4.5%2.6%-0.2%-2.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg13.8%9.3%15.2%8.6%9.0%-9.3%
Rev Chg Q-1.2%11.6%3.5%-0.3%-3.0%--0.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.3%3.1%0.9%-0.1%-0.8%--0.1%
Op Mgn LTM4.5%5.1%9.6%4.3%5.8%-5.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg5.6%8.3%10.0%5.8%6.3%-6.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.1%-1.1%-0.4%-1.4%-0.4%--1.1%
CFO/Rev LTM2.1%16.5%10.1%12.9%4.9%-10.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg4.7%14.7%8.9%12.3%5.4%-8.9%
FCF/Rev LTM-1.8%7.1%-0.2%-0.9%-3.4%--0.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg1.1%4.9%-1.8%-1.6%-2.8%--1.6%

Valuation

HMCTSLATMGMVWAGYAIIOMedian
NameHonda Mo.Tesla Toyota M.General .Volkswag.Robo.ai  
Mkt Cap44.21,399.6267.765.853.3-65.8
P/S0.014.60.00.40.2-0.2
P/EBIT0.0200.80.011.83.1-3.1
P/E0.1275.60.121.65.9-5.9
P/CFO0.188.90.12.73.3-2.7
Total Yield2,140.7%0.4%2,036.8%5.6%16.8%-16.8%
Dividend Yield696.1%0.0%440.3%1.0%0.0%-1.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg263.4%0.5%-304.3%-5.8%-14.5%--5.8%
D/E0.00.0143.62.03.5-2.0
Net D/E-94.5-0.084.01.62.3-1.6

Returns

HMCTSLATMGMVWAGYAIIOMedian
NameHonda Mo.Tesla Toyota M.General .Volkswag.Robo.ai  
1M Rtn-5.6%2.4%4.1%15.0%-2.5%-58.0%-0.0%
3M Rtn-4.8%37.2%9.0%30.8%-10.8%-9.0%
6M Rtn4.3%52.2%9.1%48.7%0.0%-9.1%
12M Rtn4.3%61.1%19.4%35.2%8.6%-19.4%
3Y Rtn40.7%93.1%48.9%89.9%-15.1%-48.9%
1M Excs Rtn-8.5%-0.4%1.3%12.1%-5.3%-60.9%-2.9%
3M Excs Rtn-11.5%26.9%3.4%24.4%-12.8%-3.4%
6M Excs Rtn-18.6%29.3%-13.8%25.8%-22.9%--13.8%
12M Excs Rtn-12.5%82.9%4.8%15.0%-6.3%-4.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-36.6%11.5%-29.4%30.0%-95.2%--29.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Automobile Business13,791,51510,781,7179,360,5938,779,34910,194,638
Financial Services Business3,251,7842,956,1442,823,3232,506,7882,600,937
Motorcycle Business3,220,1682,908,9832,185,2531,787,2832,059,335
Power Products and Other Businesses422,329476,432421,758341,844350,654
Reconciling Items-256,994-215,551-238,231-244,745-274,555
Total20,428,80216,907,72514,552,69613,170,51914,931,009


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Automobile Business560,649-16,629236,20790,255153,323
Motorcycle Business556,232488,709311,492224,608285,668
Financial Services Business273,978285,857333,032356,980219,704
Reconciling Items000  
Power Products and Other Businesses-8,88222,832-9,499-11,635-25,058
Total1,381,977780,769871,232660,208633,637


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Financial Services Business14,118,37111,197,01711,318,75610,832,64510,282,136
Automobile Business11,690,44610,082,5199,563,5538,643,1097,821,499
Motorcycle Business2,047,2701,580,5211,448,9261,555,0571,483,888
Reconciling Items1,332,7621,329,8441,166,794516,050519,470
Power Products and Other Businesses585,301480,166475,124374,169354,472
Total29,774,15024,670,06723,973,15321,921,03020,461,465


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3,391,427
Short Interest: % Change Since 9302025-7.9%
Average Daily Volume946,504
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.58
Basic Shares Quantity1,400,783,476
Short % of Basic Shares0.2%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
630202580620256-K 6/30/2025
3312025618202520-F 3/31/2025
1231202421320256-K 12/31/2024
9302024110620246-K 9/30/2024
630202480720246-K 6/30/2024
3312024620202420-F 3/31/2024
1231202320820246-K 12/31/2023
9302023111720236-K 9/30/2023
630202382420236-K 6/30/2023
3312023623202320-F 3/31/2023
1231202222120236-K 12/31/2022
9302022111820226-K 9/30/2022
630202282620226-K 6/30/2022
3312022622202220-F 3/31/2022
1231202122520226-K 12/31/2021
9302021111820216-K 9/30/2021

Insider Activity

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