Tearsheet

Hilton Worldwide (HLT)


Market Price (5/7/2026): $321.52 | Market Cap: $73.6 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines

Hilton Worldwide (HLT)


Market Price (5/7/2026): $321.52
Market Cap: $73.6 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 23%

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%, CFO LTM is 2.3 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.1 Bil

Stock buyback support
Stock Buyback 3Y Total is 8.8 Bil

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 23%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, Smart Buildings & Proptech, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech, Show more.

Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 6.0x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 32x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 48x

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.0%

Key risks
HLT key risks include [1] its substantial level of indebtedness, Show more.

0 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 23%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%, CFO LTM is 2.3 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.1 Bil
2 Stock buyback support
Stock Buyback 3Y Total is 8.8 Bil
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 23%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, Smart Buildings & Proptech, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech, Show more.
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 6.0x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 32x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 48x
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.0%
7 Key risks
HLT key risks include [1] its substantial level of indebtedness, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Hilton Worldwide (HLT) stock has gained about 10% since 1/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Hilton's strong Q1 2026 earnings exceeded analyst expectations, coupled with an increased full-year outlook. The company reported adjusted diluted EPS of $2.01 in Q1 2026, surpassing estimates of $1.98 by $0.03. Although Q1 revenue of $2.937 billion slightly missed estimates, system-wide comparable Revenue Per Available Room (RevPAR) increased by 3.6% compared to the same period in 2025. Furthermore, Hilton raised its full-year 2026 guidance, projecting system-wide RevPAR growth between 2.0% and 3.0%, and Adjusted EBITDA between $4.02 billion and $4.06 billion.

2. The company demonstrated robust system-wide growth and continued expansion of its development pipeline. Hilton achieved 6.3% net unit growth from March 31, 2025, to March 31, 2026, and added 10,900 net rooms in Q1 2026. The development pipeline reached a record 527,000 rooms as of March 31, 2026, representing a 5% increase from the prior year. Hilton also launched a new brand, "Select by Hilton," in March 2026, indicating strategic growth initiatives.

Show more
Holding a concentrated position? Know your true downside before the momentum shifts.
Protect Your Wealth →

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 7.8% change in HLT stock from 1/31/2026 to 5/6/2026 was primarily driven by a 13.9% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)13120265062026Change
Stock Price ($)298.37321.517.8%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)11,73512,2814.7%
Net Income Margin (%)14.2%12.6%-11.5%
P/E Multiple41.947.713.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2342292.2%
Cumulative Contribution7.8%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2026 to 5/6/2026
ReturnCorrelation
HLT7.8% 
Market (SPY)3.6%61.4%
Sector (XLY)-0.9%69.0%

Fundamental Drivers

The 25.3% change in HLT stock from 10/31/2025 to 5/6/2026 was primarily driven by a 32.4% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)103120255062026Change
Stock Price ($)256.69321.5125.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)11,73512,2814.7%
Net Income Margin (%)14.2%12.6%-11.5%
P/E Multiple36.147.732.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2342292.2%
Cumulative Contribution25.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2025 to 5/6/2026
ReturnCorrelation
HLT25.3% 
Market (SPY)5.5%51.1%
Sector (XLY)0.3%58.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The 42.9% change in HLT stock from 4/30/2025 to 5/6/2026 was primarily driven by a 38.8% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)43020255062026Change
Stock Price ($)224.99321.5142.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)11,29612,2818.7%
Net Income Margin (%)13.9%12.6%-9.7%
P/E Multiple34.447.738.8%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2402294.8%
Cumulative Contribution42.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2025 to 5/6/2026
ReturnCorrelation
HLT42.9% 
Market (SPY)30.4%51.5%
Sector (XLY)22.5%56.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The 125.1% change in HLT stock from 4/30/2023 to 5/6/2026 was primarily driven by a 57.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)43020235062026Change
Stock Price ($)142.80321.51125.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)9,34512,28131.4%
Net Income Margin (%)13.4%12.6%-6.1%
P/E Multiple30.447.757.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)26622916.2%
Cumulative Contribution125.1%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2023 to 5/6/2026
ReturnCorrelation
HLT125.1% 
Market (SPY)78.7%61.7%
Sector (XLY)66.2%61.1%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
HLT Return40%-19%45%36%16%9%185%
Peers Return35%-13%28%19%-7%11%84%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%6%93%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
HLT Win Rate50%50%67%75%67%60% 
Peers Win Rate58%40%57%58%52%56% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%60% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
HLT Max Drawdown-11%-30%-1%-2%-19%-1% 
Peers Max Drawdown-8%-24%-4%-9%-31%-3% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-7% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: MAR, H, WH, CHH, HST. See HLT Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/6/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventHLTS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-25.3%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven33.8%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven85 days79 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-11.4%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven12.9%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven108 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-28.9%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven40.6%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven387 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-50.3%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven101.1%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven279 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-16.6%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven19.9%23.7%
  Time to Breakeven35 days105 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-33.8%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven51.0%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven312 days62 days

Compare to MAR, H, WH, CHH, HST

In The Past

Hilton Worldwide's stock fell -25.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 33.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventHLTS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-25.3%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven33.8%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven85 days79 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-28.9%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven40.6%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven387 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-50.3%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven101.1%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven279 days140 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-33.8%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven51.0%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven312 days62 days
2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse
  % Loss-31.8%-6.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven46.5%7.3%
  Time to Breakeven300 days15 days

Compare to MAR, H, WH, CHH, HST

In The Past

Hilton Worldwide's stock fell -25.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 33.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Hilton Worldwide (HLT)

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc., a hospitality company, owns, leases, manages, develops, and franchises hotels and resorts. It operates through two segments, Management and Franchise, and Ownership. The company engages in the hotel management and licensing of its brands. It operates hotels under the Waldorf Astoria Hotels & Resorts, LXR Hotels & Resorts, Conrad Hotels & Resorts, Canopy by Hilton, Tempo by Hilton, Motto by Hilton, Signia by Hilton, Hilton Hotels & Resorts, Curio Collection by Hilton, DoubleTree by Hilton, Tapestry Collection by Hilton, Embassy Suites by Hilton, Hilton Garden Inn, Hampton by Hilton, Tru by Hilton, Homewood Suites by Hilton, Home2 Suites by Hilton, and Hilton Grand Vacations. The company operates in North America, South America, and Central America, including various Caribbean nations; Europe, the Middle East, and Africa; and the Asia Pacific. As of February 16, 2022, the company had approximately 6,800 properties with 1 million rooms in 122 countries and territories. Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. was founded in 1919 and is headquartered in McLean, Virginia.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Marriott International for hotels.
  • McDonald's, but for hotel brands and properties.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Hotel Management Services: Hilton provides comprehensive management services for hotels and resorts owned by third parties, overseeing daily operations, marketing, and guest services.
  • Hotel Franchising Services: Hilton licenses its diverse portfolio of hotel brands to independent owners and operators, providing them with brand recognition, reservation systems, and operational support.
  • Lodging and Hospitality Services: Hilton directly operates and offers accommodation, dining, and various hospitality amenities to guests at its owned and leased hotels and resorts worldwide.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Hilton Worldwide (HLT) primarily serves individuals and groups who utilize its hotel and resort properties.

The major categories of customers Hilton serves are:

  1. Leisure Travelers: Individuals and families who stay at Hilton properties for vacations, personal travel, recreation, or weekend getaways.
  2. Business Travelers: Individuals who stay at Hilton properties for work-related purposes, including corporate meetings, conferences, training sessions, or individual business trips.
  3. Group Travelers & Event Planners: Organizations, companies, or individuals booking blocks of rooms or event spaces for conferences, conventions, social gatherings, weddings, and other organized events.

AI Analysis | Feedback

null

AI Analysis | Feedback

Christopher J. Nassetta, President & Chief Executive Officer

Christopher J. Nassetta was appointed President and Chief Executive Officer of Hilton in December 2007. Before joining Hilton, he served as President and CEO of Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc. from 2000. He co-founded Bailey Capital Corporation in 1991, a private real estate investment and advisory firm where he oversaw operations. Prior to that, he spent seven years at The Oliver Carr Company, rising to Chief Development Officer. Nassetta played a key role in transforming Hilton after its 2007 acquisition by Blackstone, converting what was initially a challenging private equity investment into a highly profitable one. He is recognized in the finance and real estate business as a restructuring expert who can fix struggling companies.

Kevin Jacobs, Chief Financial Officer and President, Global Development

Kevin Jacobs is the Chief Financial Officer for Hilton, leading the company's finance, real estate, and corporate strategy functions globally. He joined Hilton in 2008 as Senior Vice President, Corporate Strategy, was elected Treasurer in 2009, appointed Executive Vice President & Chief of Staff in 2012, and assumed the role of Chief Financial Officer in 2013. From 2020 to 2025, Jacobs also held the position of President, Global Development. He is also a member of the Board of Directors of Omega Healthcare Investors, Inc., an equity REIT.

Laura Fuentes, Executive Vice President and Chief Human Resources Officer

Laura Fuentes joined Hilton in 2013 and was appointed Executive Vice President and Chief Human Resources Officer in 2020. In this role, she is responsible for human resources and leads Hilton Supply Management. Before her time at Hilton, Fuentes spent six years at Capital One Financial in various corporate strategy and human resources positions. Prior to Capital One, she worked at McKinsey & Company in their Madrid, New York, and Washington D.C. offices, advising clients in the financial services and non-profit sectors.

Danny Hughes, Executive Vice President and President, Americas

Danny Hughes is the Executive Vice President and President of the Americas for Hilton, where he is responsible for the company's operations across North, Central, and South America, encompassing over 6,600 hotels. With 35 years of experience in the hospitality industry, he previously served as SVP and Commercial Director in the Americas and SVP, Caribbean and Latin America at Hilton. His career in hospitality began as a chef in his parents' pub in the UK.

Chris Silcock, President, Global Brands and Commercial Services

Chris Silcock serves as President, Global Brands and Commercial Services for Hilton. He leads efforts to drive market-leading performance and innovation across Hilton's global portfolio. His responsibilities include global brand strategy and management, performance support, owner relations, technology, sales, revenue management, distribution, enterprise data and analytics, customer engagement, marketing, and loyalty.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key risks to Hilton Worldwide (HLT):

  1. Economic Sensitivity and Macroeconomic Factors

    Hilton Worldwide's business is highly susceptible to the broader economic environment, as both leisure and corporate travel tend to decline during periods of economic downturn, recession, or reduced business activity, leading to lower occupancy rates and Revenue Per Available Room (RevPAR). Rising interest rates can also increase borrowing costs for Hilton and its third-party hotel owners, potentially hampering expansion efforts and profitability. Furthermore, inflationary pressures, particularly in labor, utilities, and food costs, can erode profit margins if the company cannot offset these increases with higher room rates. Global geopolitical events, such as wars or political instability, can also negatively impact travel patterns and consumer confidence.
  2. Cybersecurity Threats and Data Security

    The hospitality industry, including Hilton, is a prime target for cyberattacks due to the extensive amount of sensitive customer data, including personally identifiable information and payment details, that it processes and stores. A significant cybersecurity breach could result in substantial legal liabilities, regulatory penalties, severe damage to the company's brand reputation, and operational disruptions. The necessity to continually update information technology systems and keep pace with technological advancements, including artificial intelligence, also presents ongoing risks to operations and competitive positioning.
  3. Dependence on Third-Party Hotel Owners and Franchisees

    Hilton's "asset-light" business model relies heavily on management and franchise contracts with third-party hotel owners. This model introduces several risks, including the necessity of maintaining strong relationships with these owners and ensuring the renewal of contracts. Owners may also terminate contracts if specified financial or performance criteria are not met. Additionally, the growth of Hilton's management and franchise business is influenced by external market factors affecting real estate development, such as site availability and financing costs, and negative pricing trends in the industry for management and franchise fees could adversely affect its ability to negotiate favorable terms.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The continued growth and diversification of short-term rental platforms, most notably Airbnb, poses an emerging threat. These platforms offer alternative lodging options that directly compete with Hilton's various hotel brands for leisure, family, and increasingly, business travelers. They provide different value propositions, such as unique local experiences, more space, or potentially lower costs for extended stays, thereby attracting customers who might otherwise opt for a traditional hotel stay.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) operates within the global hospitality industry, with its primary products and services encompassing hotel ownership, leasing, management, development, and franchising.

The addressable markets for Hilton Worldwide's main products and services are as follows:

  • Global Hotels Market (Hotel Ownership and Operations): The global hotels market size was valued at USD 2,080.57 billion in 2025. This market is projected to grow from USD 2,197.80 billion in 2026 to USD 3,931.42 billion by 2034, exhibiting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7.54% during the forecast period.
  • Global Hotel Franchising Market: The global hotel franchise market size was valued at USD 46.31 billion in 2024. It is projected to reach USD 83.83 billion by 2032, growing at a CAGR of 7.7% from 2025-2032.
  • Global Hotel Management Market: The global hotel management market size was USD 3,625.2 million (USD 3.625 billion) in 2024. This market, valued at USD 3.5 billion in 2021, is projected to reach over USD 7.25 billion by 2033, expanding at a CAGR of 6.275%.

AI Analysis | Feedback

```html

Hilton Worldwide (HLT) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key strategies:

  1. Aggressive Net Unit Growth and Global Expansion: Hilton is focused on expanding its global footprint, targeting a net unit growth of 6% to 7% for both 2025 and 2026. This expansion is supported by a record-breaking development pipeline, with approximately 60% of new rooms located outside the United States, particularly in high-growth markets such as Asia Pacific and Europe, the Middle East, and Africa (EMEA). The company also leverages conversions, which accounted for roughly 40% of room openings in 2025, to accelerate growth and add fee-generating properties efficiently.
  2. Comparable System-Wide RevPAR Growth: Hilton projects continued growth in comparable system-wide Revenue Per Available Room (RevPAR). For the full year 2024, growth was projected between 2% and 4% on a comparable currency basis, with 2025 estimates ranging from 0% to 2% and 2026 forecasts at 1% to 2%. This growth is expected to be fueled by strong international performance, robust group and leisure demand, and an increase in Average Daily Rate (ADR).
  3. Diversification of Brand Portfolio and Market Segments: The company is strategically expanding its brand portfolio to capture a broader market share and cater to evolving traveler needs. This includes a strong emphasis on growing the all-inclusive and extended-stay segments, with the introduction of brands like LivSmart Studios. Hilton is also expanding its luxury and lifestyle brands globally, including recent acquisitions like Graduate Hotels and partnerships such as NoMad and Small Luxury Hotels of the World (SLH), and launching new brands like the Apartment Collection and Outset Collection.
  4. Enhanced Hilton Honors Loyalty Program: Hilton continues to invest in and enhance its Hilton Honors loyalty program to drive repeat business and increase guest satisfaction. Approaching 226 million members, the program has seen updates like a faster path to elite status and a new premium tier, which are designed to improve member engagement and drive demand across its portfolio.
  5. Asset-Light Business Model Driving Fee Revenue: Hilton operates primarily on an asset-light model, where a significant portion of its revenue is derived from high-margin management and franchise fees. As the company aggressively expands its global presence and increases its net unit count, the recurring fee revenue from these new and existing properties is a direct driver of top-line growth. This model provides a strong buffer and consistent profitability, even amidst varying market conditions.
```

AI Analysis | Feedback

Capital Allocation Decisions for Hilton Worldwide (HLT) (Last 3-5 Years)

Share Repurchases

  • Hilton repurchased $2.3 billion of shares in 2023.
  • In 2022, the company repurchased $1.608 billion of common stock.
  • As of January 2026, Hilton's Board of Directors authorized an additional $3.5 billion for share repurchases, bringing the total amount authorized for future repurchases to approximately $4.6 billion.

Share Issuance

  • Hilton Worldwide Holdings did not report any significant share issuances in the last 3-5 years. The number of shares outstanding has generally decreased, reflecting the impact of share repurchase programs.

Outbound Investments

  • In March 2024, Hilton announced an agreement to acquire the Graduate Hotels® brand for $210 million, with existing properties entering into long-term Hilton franchise agreements.
  • In April 2024, Hilton announced the acquisition of a majority controlling interest in Sydell Group, the owner of NoMad Hotels, with plans to expand the luxury lifestyle brand globally.

Capital Expenditures

  • Total capital expenditures were $247 million in 2023.
  • In 2022, capital expenditures amounted to $102 million.
  • For 2024, capital expenditures are projected to be approximately $96 million.
  • The primary focus of capital expenditures includes spending on technology, buildings and leasehold improvements to support sales and marketing, resort operations, and corporate activities, as well as renovations of existing assets to maintain competitiveness.

Better Bets vs. Hilton Worldwide (HLT)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to HLT.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
FUN_4302026_Short_Squeeze04302026FUNSix Flags EntertainmentSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
0.0%0.0%0.0%
MGM_4242026_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE_V204242026MGMMGM Resorts InternationalInsiderInsider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider Buying
Companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
-1.5%-1.5%-1.5%
WEN_4242026_Short_Squeeze04242026WENWendy'sSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-2.5%-2.5%-5.3%
WHR_4102026_Short_Squeeze04102026WHRWhirlpoolSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-0.8%-0.8%-4.8%
SKY_4022026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield04022026SKYChampion HomesDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.1%3.1%-1.2%

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

HLTMARHWHCHHHSTMedian
NameHilton W.Marriott.Hyatt Ho.Wyndham .Choice H.Host Hot. 
Mkt Price321.51359.06169.3783.31105.1721.68137.27
Mkt Cap73.695.516.06.34.814.915.5
Rev LTM12,28126,5777,1311,4401,6056,1146,622
Op Inc LTM2,8354,258483518433831674
FCF LTM2,1192,824113304100866585
FCF 3Y Avg1,9262,420369284146870620
CFO LTM2,2953,4233263502271,510930
CFO 3Y Avg2,1253,0345623272841,4831,023

Growth & Margins

HLTMARHWHCHHHSTMedian
NameHilton W.Marriott.Hyatt Ho.Wyndham .Choice H.Host Hot. 
Rev Chg LTM8.7%4.7%7.2%1.4%1.2%7.6%5.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg9.6%6.2%4.3%0.0%2.8%7.6%5.3%
Rev Chg Q9.0%6.2%1.7%3.5%2.3%12.3%4.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.0%1.5%0.4%0.8%0.5%2.9%1.1%
Op Inc Chg LTM19.4%8.9%-0.4%-8.8%-10.7%7.8%3.7%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg8.7%3.4%6.2%0.6%-3.3%3.2%3.3%
Op Mgn LTM23.1%16.0%6.8%36.0%27.0%13.6%19.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg22.0%15.8%6.3%37.5%28.3%13.7%18.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.7%0.2%0.0%0.2%-1.4%-0.0%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM18.7%12.9%4.6%24.3%14.1%24.7%16.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg18.7%12.0%8.3%23.1%18.0%26.1%18.4%
FCF/Rev LTM17.3%10.6%1.6%21.1%6.2%14.2%12.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg16.9%9.6%5.5%20.1%9.3%15.3%12.4%

Valuation

HLTMARHWHCHHHSTMedian
NameHilton W.Marriott.Hyatt Ho.Wyndham .Choice H.Host Hot. 
Mkt Cap73.695.516.06.34.814.915.5
P/S6.03.62.24.43.02.43.3
P/Op Inc26.022.433.112.111.117.920.2
P/EBIT26.122.139.815.29.214.218.6
P/E47.737.0-470.732.513.919.526.0
P/CFO32.127.949.117.921.29.924.6
Total Yield2.2%3.5%0.1%5.1%7.2%9.3%4.3%
Dividend Yield0.1%0.8%0.4%2.0%0.0%4.2%0.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg3.3%3.2%2.6%4.4%2.5%6.9%3.2%
D/E0.20.20.30.40.40.40.3
Net D/E0.20.20.20.40.40.30.3

Returns

HLTMARHWHCHHHSTMedian
NameHilton W.Marriott.Hyatt Ho.Wyndham .Choice H.Host Hot. 
1M Rtn4.8%6.2%16.0%-0.0%-0.6%12.7%5.5%
3M Rtn4.2%10.8%5.2%11.2%-2.1%13.5%8.0%
6M Rtn21.7%27.4%23.0%15.8%9.1%37.8%22.3%
12M Rtn36.2%43.9%39.9%1.9%-15.3%58.1%38.0%
3Y Rtn124.2%109.5%47.6%29.2%-16.2%43.3%45.4%
1M Excs Rtn-4.9%-2.8%5.6%-8.7%-9.7%2.3%-3.9%
3M Excs Rtn-2.8%3.8%-1.8%4.2%-9.1%6.5%1.0%
6M Excs Rtn16.7%29.2%16.7%5.9%7.0%31.0%16.7%
12M Excs Rtn4.5%16.2%8.8%-29.2%-46.6%24.8%6.7%
3Y Excs Rtn47.8%40.7%-28.1%-49.1%-92.1%-19.4%-23.8%

Comparison Analyses

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Cost reimbursement revenues6,428    
Management and franchise3,3393,0552,6191,8091,138
Ownership1,2551,2441,076598421
Other revenues2321781027973
Intersegment fees elimination-30-26-23-10-3
Amortization of contract acquisition costs-50-43-38-32-29
Other revenues from managed and franchised properties 5,8275,037  
Direct reimbursements from managed and franchised properties   1,5031,375
Indirect reimbursements from managed and franchised properties   1,8411,332
Total11,17410,2358,7735,7884,307


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$321.51 
Market Cap ($ Bil)73.6 
First Trading Date12/12/2013 
Distance from 52W High-6.2% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$312.40$287.24
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA2.9%11.9%
 3M1YR
Volatility27.3%23.2%
Downside Capture0.440.33
Upside Capture79.5781.10
Correlation (SPY)56.5%49.4%
HLT Betas & Captures as of 4/30/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta1.391.171.000.890.950.92
Up Beta1.701.741.691.381.400.89
Down Beta1.991.241.281.100.920.96
Up Capture83%96%82%88%81%93%
Bmk +ve Days15223166141428
Stock +ve Days14233565127414
Down Capture-17%82%44%40%67%95%
Bmk -ve Days4183056108321
Stock -ve Days8202960124338

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with HLT
HLT35.0%23.2%1.22-
Sector ETF (XLY)21.3%18.7%0.9056.6%
Equity (SPY)28.5%12.5%1.7850.7%
Gold (GLD)40.6%27.2%1.23-4.8%
Commodities (DBC)50.9%18.0%2.20-26.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)12.8%13.5%0.6548.5%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-14.2%42.1%-0.2513.4%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with HLT
HLT20.1%27.1%0.68-
Sector ETF (XLY)7.0%23.8%0.2565.8%
Equity (SPY)12.7%17.1%0.5864.8%
Gold (GLD)21.0%17.9%0.962.4%
Commodities (DBC)13.9%19.1%0.6012.1%
Real Estate (VNQ)3.5%18.8%0.0948.3%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)8.7%56.1%0.3724.3%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with HLT
HLT22.1%28.8%0.74-
Sector ETF (XLY)12.8%22.0%0.5364.0%
Equity (SPY)14.9%17.9%0.7162.3%
Gold (GLD)13.7%16.0%0.71-1.6%
Commodities (DBC)9.5%17.7%0.4520.3%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.7%20.7%0.2449.5%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)68.4%66.9%1.0714.0%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date4152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity5.8 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 3312026-2.6%
Average Daily Volume1.5 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.9 days
Basic Shares Quantity229.0 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares2.5%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
4/28/2026-2.7%-6.3% 
2/11/20260.4%-2.4%-9.1%
10/22/20253.4%-1.9%0.4%
7/23/2025-2.6%-0.3%-1.4%
4/29/20252.2%7.8%13.2%
2/6/20254.9%6.1%-4.1%
10/23/2024-1.9%0.4%5.1%
8/7/2024-1.7%-0.9%4.4%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131113
# Negative111310
Median Positive2.4%3.7%6.2%
Median Negative-1.9%-2.4%-4.2%
Max Positive4.9%15.0%23.2%
Max Negative-4.4%-14.2%-10.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202604/28/202610-Q
12/31/202502/11/202610-K
09/30/202510/22/202510-Q
06/30/202507/23/202510-Q
03/31/202504/29/202510-Q
12/31/202402/06/202510-K
09/30/202410/23/202410-Q
06/30/202408/07/202410-Q
03/31/202404/24/202410-Q
12/31/202302/07/202410-K
09/30/202310/25/202310-Q
06/30/202307/26/202310-Q
03/31/202304/26/202310-Q
12/31/202202/09/202310-K
09/30/202210/26/202210-Q
06/30/202207/27/202210-Q

Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]

Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 4/28/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q2 2026 System-wide comparable RevPAR growth2.0%2.5%3.0%66.7%1.0%RaisedGuidance: 1.5% for Q1 2026
Q2 2026 Net Income491.00 Mil498.00 Mil505.00 Mil12.4% RaisedGuidance: 443.00 Mil for Q1 2026
Q2 2026 Adjusted EBITDA1.01 Bil1.02 Bil1.03 Bil15.8% RaisedGuidance: 885.00 Mil for Q1 2026
2026 System-wide comparable RevPAR growth2.0%2.5%3.0%66.7%1.0%RaisedGuidance: 1.5% for 2026
2026 Net Income1.91 Bil1.92 Bil1.94 Bil-3.7% LoweredGuidance: 2.00 Bil for 2026
2026 Adjusted EBITDA4.02 Bil4.04 Bil4.06 Bil0.5% RaisedGuidance: 4.02 Bil for 2026
2026 Capital Expenditures 300.00 Mil   Higher New
2026 Capital Return 3.50 Bil 0 AffirmedGuidance: 3.50 Bil for 2026
2026 Net unit growth6.0%6.5%7.0%00AffirmedGuidance: 6.5% for 2026

Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/11/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q1 2026 System-wide comparable RevPAR growth1.0%1.5%2.0%50.0%0.5%Higher NewGuidance: 1.0% for Q4 2025
Q1 2026 Diluted EPS1.871.91.93-0.8% Lower NewGuidance: 1.92 for Q4 2025
Q1 2026 Net Income436.00 Mil443.00 Mil450.00 Mil-1.9% Lower NewGuidance: 451.50 Mil for Q4 2025
Q1 2026 Adjusted EBITDA875.00 Mil885.00 Mil895.00 Mil-3.9% Lower NewGuidance: 921.00 Mil for Q4 2025
2026 System-wide comparable RevPAR growth1.0%1.5%2.0%200.0%1.0%Higher NewGuidance: 0.5% for 2025
2026 Net Income1.98 Bil2.00 Bil2.01 Bil23.7% Higher NewGuidance: 1.61 Bil for 2025
2026 Adjusted EBITDA4.00 Bil4.02 Bil4.04 Bil8.6% Higher NewGuidance: 3.70 Bil for 2025
2026 Capital Return 3.50 Bil 6.1% Higher NewGuidance: 3.30 Bil for 2025
2026 Net Unit Growth6.0%6.5%7.0%-3.7%-0.2%Lower NewGuidance: 6.75% for 2025

Insider Activity

Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Nassetta, Christopher JSee RemarksDirectSell2182026317.47114,28936,283,55911,570,268Form
2Silcock, Christopher WSee RemarksDirectSell8222025269.4011,9053,207,20721,404,099Form
3Mabus, Raymond E DirectBuy7012025197.395310,4622,852,108Form