Hyatt Hotels (H)
Market Price (11/19/2025): $149.32 | Market Cap: $14.3 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines
Hyatt Hotels (H)
Market Price (11/19/2025): $149.32Market Cap: $14.3 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 36% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -11%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -8.6% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 46x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 47x |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, Smart Buildings & Proptech, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech, Show more. | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.3% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 36% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, Smart Buildings & Proptech, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -11%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -8.6% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 46x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 47x |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.3% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
H Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Hyatt Hotels (H) experienced a 6% stock movement between July 31, 2025, and November 19, 2025, influenced by several key factors:
1. Mixed Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results: On November 6, 2025, Hyatt reported a net loss of $49 million and an adjusted net loss of $29 million, with diluted EPS of $(0.51) and adjusted diluted EPS of $(0.30), missing analyst estimates. Revenues of $1.79 billion also fell short of consensus estimates. However, the company reported a 5.6% increase in Adjusted EBITDA to $291 million (or 10.1% when adjusting for assets sold in 2024) and maintained a positive full-year 2025 outlook for comparable system-wide hotels RevPAR growth of 2% to 2.5% and Adjusted EBITDA growth of 7% to 9% after adjusting for asset sales.
2. Strategic Expansion of World of Hyatt Loyalty Program: Hyatt announced on November 5, 2025, an expanded agreement with Chase, which is projected to generate an additional $50 million in adjusted EBITDA in 2025, growing to $105 million by 2027. This partnership also includes an upfront cash payment of $47 million in late 2025, signaling enhanced customer engagement and future revenue growth.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| H Return | -17% | 29% | -6% | 45% | 21% | -5% | 69% |
| Peers Return | 8% | 12% | -17% | 37% | 8% | -15% | 26% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 13% | 105% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| H Win Rate | 42% | 42% | 42% | 58% | 50% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 55% | 55% | 42% | 57% | 62% | 54% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| H Max Drawdown | -59% | -12% | -26% | -2% | -3% | -34% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -45% | -20% | -27% | -5% | -22% | -31% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MAR, HLT, CHH, UOKA, BKNG. See H Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/18/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | H | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -33.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 49.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 211 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -60.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 154.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 645 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -24.6% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 32.7% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 357 days | 120 days |
Compare to MAR, HLT, CHH, UOKA, BKNG
In The Past
Hyatt Hotels's stock fell -33.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/16/2022. A -33.2% loss requires a 49.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Hyatt Hotels Earnings Notes | |||
| Pay Less, Grow More: BKNG, ABNB Beat Hyatt Hotels Stock | Actionable | ||
| How Low Can Hyatt Hotels Stock Really Go? | Return | ||
| Hyatt Hotels vs Microsoft: Which Is A Better Investment? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| Hyatt Hotels vs Booking: Which Is A Better Investment? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| null | |||
| H Dip Buy Analysis | |||
| Hyatt Hotels Total Shareholder Return (TSR): 21.3% in 2024 and 18.4% 3-yr compounded annual returns (above peer average) | |||
| Hyatt Hotels (H) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| Hyatt Hotels (H) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| ABNB, BKNG Look Smarter Buy Than Hyatt Hotels Stock | November 8th, 2025 | ||
| Better Bet Than Hyatt Hotels Stock: Pay Less To Get More From CCL | September 4th, 2025 | ||
| What’s Happening With Hyatt’s Stock? | July 16th, 2025 | ||
| What’s Next For Hyatt Stock? | January 15th, 2025 | ||
| More Room Left For Hyatt Stock Gains After 15% Growth This Year? | October 7th, 2024 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to H. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -7.8% | -7.8% | -7.8% |
| 10312025 | DECK | Deckers Outdoor | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -1.0% | -1.0% | -2.4% |
| 10312025 | ATGE | Adtalem Global Education | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -4.3% | -4.3% | -5.9% |
| 10242025 | GNTX | Gentex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -5.3% | -5.3% | -5.3% |
| 10172025 | LNW | Light & Wonder | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.4% | 12.4% | -6.2% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -7.8% | -7.8% | -7.8% |
| 10312025 | DECK | Deckers Outdoor | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -1.0% | -1.0% | -2.4% |
| 10312025 | ATGE | Adtalem Global Education | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -4.3% | -4.3% | -5.9% |
| 10242025 | GNTX | Gentex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -5.3% | -5.3% | -5.3% |
| 10172025 | LNW | Light & Wonder | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.4% | 12.4% | -6.2% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Hyatt Hotels
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 267.94 |
| Mkt Cap | 62.7 |
| Rev LTM | 11,735 |
| Op Inc LTM | 2,580 |
| FCF LTM | 1,927 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,916 |
| CFO LTM | 2,508 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 2,122 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 4.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 10.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | 8.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.2% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 22.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 22.0% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.6% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 16.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 19.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 7.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 10.8% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 62.7 |
| P/S | 3.0 |
| P/EBIT | 18.4 |
| P/E | 29.4 |
| P/CFO | 25.0 |
| Total Yield | 4.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.4% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.5% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 2.7% |
| 3M Rtn | -1.3% |
| 6M Rtn | 5.9% |
| 12M Rtn | -1.8% |
| 3Y Rtn | 80.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 2.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -4.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -5.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -14.3% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 12.3% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Management and franchising | 4,154 | ||||
| Owned and leased | 1,368 | 1,242 | 855 | 525 | 1,883 |
| Distribution | 1,236 | ||||
| Eliminations | -91 | -76 | -47 | -27 | -110 |
| ASPAC management and franchising | 254 | 164 | 134 | 247 | |
| Americas management and franchising | 2,845 | 1,752 | 1,328 | 2,781 | |
| Apple Leisure Group | 1,403 | 166 | |||
| Corporate and other | 65 | 41 | 38 | 67 | |
| EAME management and franchising | 158 | 97 | 68 | 152 | |
| Total | 6,667 | 5,891 | 3,028 | 2,066 | 5,020 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/6/2025 | 6.1% | 13.7% | |
| 8/7/2025 | 2.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% |
| 5/1/2025 | 5.3% | 9.9% | 17.3% |
| 2/13/2025 | -9.1% | -10.1% | -24.5% |
| 10/31/2024 | -7.4% | -2.5% | 0.6% |
| 8/6/2024 | -1.4% | -0.3% | 10.3% |
| 5/9/2024 | 3.0% | 0.9% | -1.7% |
| 2/15/2024 | 4.1% | 5.0% | 19.1% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 12 | 13 |
| # Negative | 12 | 12 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 3.1% | 7.8% | 13.7% |
| Median Negative | -1.9% | -3.0% | -6.6% |
| Max Positive | 6.3% | 16.2% | 31.9% |
| Max Negative | -9.1% | -11.7% | -55.7% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11062025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8082025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5012025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2132025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10312024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8062024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5092024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2232024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11022023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8032023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5042023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2162023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11032022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8092022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5102022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2172022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | KRONICK SUSAN D | 9032025 | Sell | 141.65 | 1,500 | 212,475 | 5,145,436 | Form | |
| 1 | VONDRASEK MARK R | See Remarks | 8132025 | Sell | 140.30 | 2,337 | 327,881 | 982,100 | Form |
| 2 | HOPLAMAZIAN MARK SAMUEL | See Remarks | 8122025 | Sell | 135.31 | 49,600 | 6,711,376 | 84,924,886 | Form |
| 3 | MCMILLAN CARY D | 8112025 | Sell | 137.03 | 498 | 68,241 | Form | ||
| 4 | Bottarini Joan | See Remarks | 7112025 | Sell | 150.28 | 4,078 | 612,842 | 2,210,008 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
