Tearsheet

Groupon (GRPN)


Market Price (10/25/2025): $20.98 | Market Cap: $839.9 Mil
Sector: Communication Services | Industry: Interactive Media & Services

Groupon (GRPN)


Market Price (10/25/2025): $20.98
Market Cap: $839.9 Mil
Sector: Communication Services
Industry: Interactive Media & Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
  Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 107%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 7.7%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.7%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -12%
2   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 180%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5.7%
4   Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 23%
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 7.7%
2 Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 107%
3 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.7%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -12%
4 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 180%
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5.7%
6 Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 23%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

GRPN Stock


Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
GRPN Return-21%-39%-63%50%-5%75%-58%
Peers Return17%555%6%-19%9%-11%536%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%15%106%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
GRPN Win Rate50%33%33%50%50%44% 
Peers Win Rate22%28%32%32%37%34% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%67% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
GRPN Max Drawdown-80%-49%-73%-65%-37%-20% 
Peers Max Drawdown-25%-4%-36%-40%-24%-27% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: EBF, QUAD, PMTS, ATXG, GIBO. See GRPN Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 10/24/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventGRPNS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-95.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven2015.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-84.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven544.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven352 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-61.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven162.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days

Compare to EBF, QUAD, PMTS, ATXG, GIBO


In The Past

Groupon's stock fell -95.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/5/2021. A -95.3% loss requires a 2015.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Groupon (GRPN)

Better Bets than Groupon (GRPN)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to GRPN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
TTD_9302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE09302025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
10.4%10.4%0.0%
CMCSA_7312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper07312025CMCSAComcastMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-10.9%-10.9%-11.0%
PINS_5312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper05312025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
7.5%7.5%-2.3%
IRDM_4302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield04302025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-23.6%-23.6%-27.4%
IAS_4302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE04302025IASIntegral Ad ScienceDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
44.3%44.3%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
TTD_9302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE09302025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
10.4%10.4%0.0%
CMCSA_7312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper07312025CMCSAComcastMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-10.9%-10.9%-11.0%
PINS_5312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper05312025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
7.5%7.5%-2.3%
IRDM_4302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield04302025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-23.6%-23.6%-27.4%
IAS_4302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE04302025IASIntegral Ad ScienceDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
44.3%44.3%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Groupon

Financials

GRPNEBFQUADPMTSATXGGIBOMedian
NameGroupon Ennis Quad/Gra.CPI Card Addentax GIBO  
Mkt Price20.9916.956.0317.340.682.3411.49
Mkt Cap0.80.40.30.20.0-0.3
Rev LTM4883882,5845024-488
Op Inc LTM35112357-2-51
FCF LTM654472340-44
FCF 3Y Avg-27547331-1-31
CFO LTM7949120491-49
CFO 3Y Avg-75913242-1-42

Growth & Margins

GRPNEBFQUADPMTSATXGGIBOMedian
NameGroupon Ennis Quad/Gra.CPI Card Addentax GIBO  
Rev Chg LTM-4.7%-3.9%-6.9%14.3%-13.0%--4.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-12.5%-2.6%-5.2%7.1%-25.6%--5.2%
Rev Chg Q0.9%-0.4%-9.8%9.2%15.3%-0.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.2%-0.1%-2.4%2.2%3.1%-0.2%
Op Mgn LTM0.6%13.0%4.8%11.4%-44.9%-4.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-3.4%13.1%4.1%13.5%-27.7%-4.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.7%-0.2%0.0%-1.4%-1.5%--0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM16.2%12.7%4.6%9.8%16.3%-12.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-0.6%14.6%4.6%8.8%-6.1%-4.6%
FCF/Rev LTM13.3%11.4%2.8%6.7%10.6%-10.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-4.4%13.1%2.5%6.4%-9.1%-2.5%

Valuation

GRPNEBFQUADPMTSATXGGIBOMedian
NameGroupon Ennis Quad/Gra.CPI Card Addentax GIBO  
Mkt Cap0.80.40.30.20.0-0.3
P/S1.71.10.10.41.0-1.0
P/EBIT29.58.66.03.4-1.3-6.0
P/E-91.210.3-20.114.7-1.0--1.0
P/CFO10.68.82.44.06.3-6.3
Total Yield-1.1%30.8%-1.6%6.8%-97.0%--1.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%21.1%3.4%0.0%0.0%-0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-28.5%9.7%33.1%11.1%2.0%-9.7%
D/E0.30.01.91.64.6-1.6
Net D/E-0.0-0.01.81.60.5-0.5

Returns

GRPNEBFQUADPMTSATXGGIBOMedian
NameGroupon Ennis Quad/Gra.CPI Card Addentax GIBO  
1M Rtn-7.4%-6.1%-7.8%10.3%-33.0%-9.3%-7.6%
3M Rtn-36.3%-4.2%4.3%-17.4%14.9%3,252.4%0.1%
6M Rtn5.5%-2.7%19.0%-33.7%-2.3%--2.3%
12M Rtn107.2%-13.9%15.6%-25.0%1.9%-1.9%
3Y Rtn219.0%0.3%161.7%-10.2%-96.9%-0.3%
1M Excs Rtn-9.8%-8.0%-10.8%13.2%-34.5%-10.0%-9.9%
3M Excs Rtn-42.6%-11.3%-2.5%-23.6%14.5%3,375.9%-6.9%
6M Excs Rtn-17.4%-25.7%-4.0%-56.6%-25.3%--25.3%
12M Excs Rtn95.3%-29.4%2.7%-42.8%-10.9%--10.9%
3Y Excs Rtn118.6%-79.8%93.3%-92.2%-181.0%--79.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment515599   
Goods  714726
Local  6865701,009
Product revenue - Goods  1727731,093
Travel  372692
Total5155999671,4172,219


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity9,110,037
Short Interest: % Change Since 93020252.8%
Average Daily Volume1,248,609
Days-to-Cover Short Interest7.30
Basic Shares Quantity40,034,041
Short % of Basic Shares22.8%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/6/202520.3%-1.1%-21.7%
3/11/202543.1%63.1%80.1%
11/12/2024-27.0%-21.6%4.7%
7/30/2024-15.2%-27.1%-15.2%
3/15/2024-30.7%-17.3%-45.0%
11/9/2023-34.8%-30.9%-14.7%
8/9/2023-4.3%38.5%51.6%
3/16/2023-16.5%-24.1%-15.1%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive889
# Negative121211
Median Positive18.8%33.5%28.7%
Median Negative-13.3%-19.4%-15.1%
Max Positive56.7%64.2%100.9%
Max Negative-34.8%-30.9%-45.0%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024311202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024730202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023315202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023510202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022316202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221107202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022808202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022509202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021228202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211104202110-Q 9/30/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Bass Robert J 8132025Sell31.643,05596,6603,217,029Form