Gogo (GOGO)
Market Price (11/11/2025): $7.61 | Market Cap: $1.0 BilSector: Communication Services | Industry: Wireless Telecommunication Services
Gogo (GOGO)
Market Price (11/11/2025): $7.61Market Cap: $1.0 BilSector: Communication ServicesIndustry: Wireless Telecommunication Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 102% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -85%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -133% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 76% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -29% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 13.16, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 15% | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.7% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity, Advanced Aviation & Space, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Wireless Services, Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 102% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -29% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity, Advanced Aviation & Space, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Wireless Services, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -85%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -133% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 13.16, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 15% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 76% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.7% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
GOGO Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points for why Gogo (GOGO) stock moved by -52.1% from approximately July 31, 2025, to November 11, 2025:
1. Gogo Inc. reported a significant miss in earnings per share (EPS) for the third quarter of 2025, posting -$0.01 against a forecast of $0.08, a surprise of -112.5%. This disappointment led to a sharp decline of 18.04% in the stock price during pre-market trading on November 6, 2025.
2. The company recorded a net loss of $1.9 million in Q3 2025, a significant contrast to the $10.6 million profit reported in Q3 2024. This net loss included a $15 million pre-tax accrual for an earn-out adjustment related to the acquisition of Satcom Direct, impacting overall profitability despite revenue growth.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| GOGO Return | 50% | 40% | 9% | -31% | -20% | -6% | 19% |
| Peers Return | 1% | -4% | -28% | -15% | -17% | 30% | -36% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 111% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| GOGO Win Rate | 42% | 50% | 50% | 42% | 42% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 43% | 45% | 40% | 42% | 43% | 50% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| GOGO Max Drawdown | -78% | -4% | -14% | -34% | -38% | -20% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -46% | -22% | -40% | -37% | -41% | -32% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: SYTA, TMUS, SATS, GOGO, SHEN. See GOGO Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/10/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | GOGO | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -58.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 139.8% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -78.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 357.1% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 116 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -79.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 394.2% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 760 days | 120 days |
Compare to SYTA, TMUS, SATS, GOGO, SHEN
In The Past
Gogo's stock fell -58.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/14/2022. A -58.3% loss requires a 139.8% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Gogo Stock Fell 16% in a Week, What Now? | Return | |
| Gogo Earnings Notes | ||
| null | ||
| Better Bet Than GOGO Stock: Pay Less Than Gogo To Get More From FANG, SMCI | ||
| Gogo (GOGO) Net Income Comparison | Financials | |
| Gogo (GOGO) Debt Comparison | Financials | |
| Gogo (GOGO) EBITDA Comparison | Financials | |
| Gogo (GOGO) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | |
| Gogo (GOGO) Revenue Comparison | Financials | |
| Gogo (GOGO) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to GOGO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -16.1% | -16.1% | -16.6% |
| 10032025 | CABO | Cable One | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -28.0% | -28.0% | -28.0% |
| 09122025 | DV | DoubleVerify | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -20.3% | -20.3% | -27.9% |
| 07312025 | CMCSA | Comcast | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -17.5% | -17.5% | -17.9% |
| 05312025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -13.2% | -13.2% | -17.2% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -16.1% | -16.1% | -16.6% |
| 10032025 | CABO | Cable One | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -28.0% | -28.0% | -28.0% |
| 09122025 | DV | DoubleVerify | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -20.3% | -20.3% | -27.9% |
| 07312025 | CMCSA | Comcast | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -17.5% | -17.5% | -17.9% |
| 05312025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -13.2% | -13.2% | -17.2% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Gogo
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 42.38 |
| Mkt Cap | 11.1 |
| Rev LTM | 7,997 |
| Op Inc LTM | 25 |
| FCF LTM | -108 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -74 |
| CFO LTM | 232 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,260 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 10.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 6.8% |
| Rev Chg Q | 5.7% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 2.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 10.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 17.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 22.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -3.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -2.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 11.1 |
| P/S | 1.6 |
| P/EBIT | 5.4 |
| P/E | -10.8 |
| P/CFO | 10.9 |
| Total Yield | -2.8% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -10.6% |
| D/E | 0.9 |
| Net D/E | 0.8 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -12.3% |
| 3M Rtn | -11.7% |
| 6M Rtn | -10.6% |
| 12M Rtn | -8.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | 2.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -16.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -21.4% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -27.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -22.9% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -81.3% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gogo BA | 398 | ||||
| Equipment revenue | 108 | 76 | 58 | 87 | |
| Service revenue | 296 | 260 | 212 | 222 | |
| Total | 398 | 404 | 336 | 270 | 309 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gogo BA | 124 | ||||
| Total | 124 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gogo BA | 146 | ||||
| Total | 146 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gogo BA | 782 | ||||
| Total | 782 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/6/2025 | 0.4% | ||
| 8/7/2025 | 1.2% | 0.3% | -10.7% |
| 3/14/2025 | -5.7% | 8.2% | 3.6% |
| 11/5/2024 | -6.0% | -5.4% | -13.5% |
| 8/7/2024 | -0.4% | -11.2% | 2.6% |
| 2/28/2024 | -1.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% |
| 11/7/2023 | -5.5% | -4.0% | -1.8% |
| 8/7/2023 | 1.5% | 2.4% | -2.5% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 7 | 8 | 9 |
| # Negative | 11 | 10 | 9 |
| Median Positive | 1.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% |
| Median Negative | -5.5% | -5.4% | -14.2% |
| Max Positive | 15.5% | 26.1% | 161.2% |
| Max Negative | -11.2% | -14.0% | -26.0% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11062025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5092025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3142025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11052024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8072024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5072024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2282024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11072023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8072023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5032023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2282023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11032022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8052022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5052022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3032022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Moore Christopher John | Chief Executive Officer | 8112025 | Buy | 12.11 | 10,000 | 121,100 | 121,100 | Form |
| 1 | Begler Michael | EVP, COO | 6202025 | Sell | 15.00 | 107,136 | 1,607,040 | 216,810 | Form |
| 2 | Silver (Equity) Holdings, LP | 5272025 | Sell | 11.00 | 8,500,000 | 93,500,000 | 45,919,302 | Form | |
| 3 | CRANDALL ROBERT L | 5152025 | Buy | 11.84 | 25,000 | 296,000 | 1,230,579 | Form | |
| 4 | TOWNSEND CHARLES C | 3192025 | Buy | 6.57 | 98,044 | 644,149 | 12,080,469 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |