Tearsheet

Graham (GHC)


Market Price (11/14/2025): $1066.41 | Market Cap: $4.6 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Education Services

Graham (GHC)


Market Price (11/14/2025): $1066.41
Market Cap: $4.6 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Education Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 16%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 12%, FCF Yield is 7.8%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -4.2%
 
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 28%
  
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Hydrogen Economy, Energy Transition & Decarbonization, and US Energy Independence. Themes include Green Hydrogen Production, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 16%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 12%, FCF Yield is 7.8%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 28%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Hydrogen Economy, Energy Transition & Decarbonization, and US Energy Independence. Themes include Green Hydrogen Production, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -4.2%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

GHC Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining the approximate 12% stock movement for Graham (GHC) between July 31, 2025, and November 14, 2025: 1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Beat: Graham Holdings Company reported net income attributable to common shares of $122.9 million, or $27.91 per share, for the third quarter of 2025, which was a substantial increase compared to $72.5 million, or $16.42 per share, in the third quarter of 2024. The adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $14.08 also exceeded analysts' consensus estimates of $12.36 per share.

2. Revenue Exceeds Expectations: For the third quarter of 2025, the company's revenue reached $1,278.9 million, marking a 6% increase from the third quarter of 2024 and surpassing analyst estimates of $1,223.80 million. This revenue growth was primarily fueled by strong performance in the education, manufacturing, and healthcare segments.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
GHC Return-15%19%-3%17%26%23%78%
Peers Return19%-31%-35%-7%-18%-34%-73%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%15%109%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
GHC Win Rate42%50%50%42%67%60% 
Peers Win Rate24%21%23%32%33%26% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
GHC Max Drawdown-56%-1%-16%-7%-4%-2% 
Peers Max Drawdown-7%-31%-57%-45%-48%-40% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: BTCT, EDTK, EEIQ, FCHL, GV. See GHC Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/13/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventGHCS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-22.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven28.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven443 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-56.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven130.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven393 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-16.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven20.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1514 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-64.2%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven179.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2076 days1480 days

Compare to BTCT, EDTK, EEIQ, FCHL, GV


In The Past

Graham's stock fell -22.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/21/2021. A -22.4% loss requires a 28.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Graham (GHC)

Better Bets than Graham (GHC)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to GHC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
LRN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-3.6%-3.6%-4.2%
DECK_10312025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10312025DECKDeckers OutdoorDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
3.5%3.5%-2.4%
ATGE_10312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10312025ATGEAdtalem Global EducationQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-1.2%-1.2%-5.9%
GNTX_10242025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10242025GNTXGentexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.4%-1.4%-2.5%
LNW_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025LNWLight & WonderDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.2%13.2%-6.2%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
LRN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-3.6%-3.6%-4.2%
DECK_10312025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10312025DECKDeckers OutdoorDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
3.5%3.5%-2.4%
ATGE_10312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10312025ATGEAdtalem Global EducationQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-1.2%-1.2%-5.9%
GNTX_10242025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10242025GNTXGentexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.4%-1.4%-2.5%
LNW_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025LNWLight & WonderDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.2%13.2%-6.2%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Graham

Financials

GHCBTCTEDTKEEIQFCHLGVMedian
NameGraham BTC Digi.Skillful.EpicQues.Fitness .Visionary 
Mkt Price1,066.351.841.060.350.351.301.18
Mkt Cap4.60.0----2.3
Rev LTM4,90612----2,459
Op Inc LTM286-3----141
FCF LTM361-2----179
FCF 3Y Avg256-----256
CFO LTM4352----218
CFO 3Y Avg339-----339

Growth & Margins

GHCBTCTEDTKEEIQFCHLGVMedian
NameGraham BTC Digi.Skillful.EpicQues.Fitness .Visionary 
Rev Chg LTM4.1%28.7%----16.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg9.7%-22.6%-----6.4%
Rev Chg Q5.9%338.2%----172.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.5%37.6%----19.6%
Op Mgn LTM5.8%-22.9%-----8.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg5.0%-12.3%-----3.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.3%11.6%----5.6%
CFO/Rev LTM8.9%13.3%----11.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg7.2%-----7.2%
FCF/Rev LTM7.4%-21.2%-----6.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg5.4%-----5.4%

Valuation

GHCBTCTEDTKEEIQFCHLGVMedian
NameGraham BTC Digi.Skillful.EpicQues.Fitness .Visionary 
Mkt Cap4.60.0----2.3
P/S0.90.7----0.8
P/EBIT3.8-3.9-----0.0
P/E6.3-3.8----1.2
P/CFO10.64.9----7.8
Total Yield16.2%-26.2%-----5.0%
Dividend Yield0.3%0.0%----0.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg6.6%-----6.6%
D/E0.30.1----0.2
Net D/E-0.0-1.8-----0.9

Returns

GHCBTCTEDTKEEIQFCHLGVMedian
NameGraham BTC Digi.Skillful.EpicQues.Fitness .Visionary 
1M Rtn9.7%-35.0%6.3%-22.5%-27.5%-18.8%-20.6%
3M Rtn0.4%-30.6%2.9%-38.0%--33.0%-30.6%
6M Rtn11.3%-53.3%7.1%-44.0%--31.6%-31.6%
12M Rtn13.8%-89.6%3.9%-57.7%--15.6%-15.6%
3Y Rtn68.8%-62.8%13.4%-78.4%--89.2%-62.8%
1M Excs Rtn9.4%-32.8%5.9%-24.3%-28.8%-18.2%-21.3%
3M Excs Rtn-4.2%-29.4%-6.3%-43.1%--35.3%-29.4%
6M Excs Rtn-2.5%-67.2%-6.8%-57.9%--45.4%-45.4%
12M Excs Rtn-0.3%-39.3%-3.0%-68.3%--28.4%-28.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-4.2%-137.9%-75.0%-151.7%--164.7%-137.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Prepaid Pension Cost2,1141,6582,3071,7081,292
Kaplan international1,5381,4801,4941,4561,455
Investments in Marketable Equity Securities690610810573585
Automotive597427238  
Manufacturing432486486552564
Television broadcasting420431449454464
Other businesses369476690518567
Healthcare265250195161160
Supplemental education250268287275312
Higher education188174188187197
Investments in Affiliates186186155156162
Corporate Costs947169348104
Kaplan corporate and other4665585868
Total7,1886,5827,4266,4445,931


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10312025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity81,971
Short Interest: % Change Since 101520251.7%
Average Daily Volume43,024
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.91
Basic Shares Quantity4,334,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.9%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/29/2025-1.7%-2.6% 
7/30/20253.1%3.0%18.4%
2/26/20253.5%1.0%3.5%
10/30/20246.5%8.9%18.6%
7/31/2024-4.9%-13.2%-3.1%
2/23/2024-1.8%-0.7%5.7%
11/1/20230.1%7.3%8.4%
8/2/20230.2%3.5%0.6%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive101011
# Negative998
Median Positive2.0%4.3%5.7%
Median Negative-1.8%-2.9%-7.7%
Max Positive6.5%14.7%18.6%
Max Negative-4.9%-13.2%-31.1%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251029202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025730202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025430202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024226202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241030202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024731202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024501202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023223202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231101202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023802202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023503202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022224202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221102202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022803202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021225202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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