Tearsheet

Guess? (GES)


Market Price (9/13/2025): $16.68 | Market Cap: $859.0 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Apparel Retail

Guess? (GES)


Market Price (9/13/2025): $16.68
Market Cap: $859.0 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Apparel Retail

Investment Highlights

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, Dividend Yield is 7.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.8%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -57%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -32%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 165%
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, Dividend Yield is 7.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.8%
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -57%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -32%
2 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 165%

Market Valuation

 9/13/25202420232022
Share Price CYE$16.68$13.10$18.60$15.81
Market Cap CYE ($ Mil)859.0665.6986.6852.2
Total Debt ($ Mil)1,606.51,420.91,162.61,133.7
Total Cash ($ Mil)189.6187.7360.3275.8
Enterprise Value ($ Mil)2,275.82,086.52,149.21,985.9
Valuation Ratios    
P/S TTM0.30.20.40.4
P/EBIT TTM11.46.64.85.5
P/E TTM27.412.16.27.8
Sector Ratios    
P/S TTM (Sector)0.80.80.90.8
P/EBIT TTM (Sector)7.46.97.05.5
P/E TTM (Sector)9.78.18.97.3
 9/13/252024
Share Price CYE$16.68$13.10
Market Cap CYE ($ Mil)859.0665.6
Total Debt ($ Mil)1,606.51,420.9
Total Cash ($ Mil)189.6187.7
Enterprise Value ($ Mil)2,275.82,086.5
Valuation Ratios  
P/S TTM0.30.2
P/EBIT TTM11.46.6
P/E TTM27.412.1
Sector Ratios  
P/S TTM (Sector)0.80.8
P/EBIT TTM (Sector)7.46.9
P/E TTM (Sector)9.78.1

Business Description

Guess?, Inc. designs, markets, distributes, and licenses lifestyle collections of apparel and accessories for men, women, and children. It operates through five segments: Americas Retail, Americas Wholesale, Europe, Asia, and Licensing. Show more

Price Returns Compared

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 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
GES Return3%7%-9%18%-30%28%5%
Peers Return7%22%-20%22%29%22%101%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%12%101%

[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: TPR, RL, AEO, UA, TJX. See GES Returns vs. Peers.
[3] 2025 data is for the year up to 9/12/2025 (YTD)

Latest Trefis Analyses

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Peer Comparisons for Guess?

Financials

GESTPRRLAEOUATJXMedian
NameGuess? Tapestry Ralph La.American.Under Ar.TJX Comp. 
Mkt Price16.68106.47315.1418.344.76139.4862.41
Mkt Cap0.922.219.23.32.0155.511.3
Rev LTM3,0927,0117,2865,2745,11557,9256,143
Op Inc LTM1401,2701,0672991646,476683
FCF LTM131,094764212-3224,041488
FCF 3Y Avg1261,011700286-874,358493
CFO LTM1011,2171,134460-1635,935797
CFO 3Y Avg2071,149949506726,145727

Growth & Margins

GESTPRRLAEOUATJXMedian
NameGuess? Tapestry Ralph La.American.Under Ar.TJX Comp. 
Rev Chg LTM7.8%5.1%9.6%-0.9%-8.2%4.1%4.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg4.9%1.6%4.8%1.6%-3.6%5.3%3.2%
Rev Chg Q5.5%8.3%13.7%-4.7%-4.2%6.9%6.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.3%1.9%2.9%-1.0%-1.0%1.6%1.5%
Op Mgn LTM4.5%18.1%14.6%5.7%3.2%11.2%8.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg6.9%17.6%13.1%6.2%2.1%10.7%8.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.6%0.2%0.7%-2.7%5.7%0.2%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM3.3%17.4%15.6%8.7%-3.2%10.2%9.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg7.3%16.9%13.9%9.7%1.2%11.2%10.5%
FCF/Rev LTM0.4%15.6%10.5%4.0%-6.3%7.0%5.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg4.5%14.9%10.3%5.5%-1.6%8.0%6.7%

Valuation

GESTPRRLAEOUATJXMedian
NameGuess? Tapestry Ralph La.American.Under Ar.TJX Comp. 
Mkt Cap0.922.219.23.32.0155.511.3
P/S0.33.22.60.60.42.71.6
P/EBIT11.473.718.211.012.423.215.3
P/E27.4121.324.216.720.031.325.8
P/CFO8.518.317.07.2-12.426.212.7
Total Yield11.2%2.2%5.2%7.4%5.0%4.3%5.1%
Dividend Yield7.5%1.3%1.1%1.4%0.0%1.1%1.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg12.3%8.6%6.0%11.1%-3.0%3.7%7.3%
D/E1.90.20.20.50.80.10.4
Net D/E1.60.10.10.50.40.10.3

Returns

GESTPRRLAEOUATJXMedian
NameGuess? Tapestry Ralph La.American.Under Ar.TJX Comp. 
1M Rtn24.2%-5.9%4.3%35.7%-2.9%4.0%4.2%
3M Rtn51.3%35.4%21.5%99.5%-23.0%12.9%28.5%
6M Rtn84.5%52.4%44.1%69.9%-23.5%23.9%48.2%
12M Rtn-2.0%157.9%82.4%-1.5%-30.9%19.5%9.0%
3Y Rtn35.3%236.9%256.9%87.6%-37.4%125.5%106.5%
1M Excs Rtn22.4%-7.7%2.5%33.8%-4.7%2.2%2.3%
3M Excs Rtn37.1%21.1%9.4%75.5%-34.9%3.5%15.3%
6M Excs Rtn73.8%34.7%27.2%51.9%-45.0%5.2%31.0%
12M Excs Rtn-23.5%143.5%65.4%-19.8%-46.5%0.1%-9.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-32.2%174.0%197.9%5.4%-104.1%55.7%30.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Europe1,4761,3811,2989421,248
Americas Retail711758759511812
Asia277239237233346
Americas Wholesale200206201118186
Licensing113103977486
Total2,7772,6872,5921,8772,678


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Europe17216017567134
Licensing10692886874
Americas Retail5787125-1622
Americas Wholesale5446542036
Asia8-5-4-21-9
Net gains on lease modifications2203 
Gain on sale of assets00   
Asset impairment charges-7-10-3-80-10
Unallocated corporate overhead expense-128-125-130-101-107
Total263248305-60141


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date8292025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity4,403,063
Short Interest: % Change Since 8152025-16.4%
Average Daily Volume2,580,788
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.71
Basic Shares Quantity51,499,000
Short % of Basic Shares8.5%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/27/20250.3%0.1% 
4/3/20259.8%-1.5%12.6%
11/26/2024-5.4%-1.6%-19.6%
8/28/20241.4%-4.4%0.9%
5/30/2024-0.5%0.1%-14.9%
3/20/202420.7%20.2%9.0%
11/21/2023-12.3%-7.3%1.0%
8/23/202326.0%35.0%19.1%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive151415
# Negative787
Median Positive9.8%10.3%12.6%
Median Negative-5.2%-5.8%-17.3%
Max Positive124.5%108.9%104.8%
Max Negative-20.0%-16.9%-28.4%

Insider Activity

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