Tearsheet

Guess? (GES)

Market Price (11/4/2025): $17.01 | Market Cap: $876.0 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Apparel Retail

Guess? (GES)

Market Price (11/4/2025): $17.01
Market Cap: $876.0 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Apparel Retail

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow

Attractive yield
is 11%, Dividend Yield is 7.4%, is 6.7%

Debt is significant
is 162%

0	Attractive yield Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, Dividend Yield is 7.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.7%
1	Debt is significant Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 162%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

	11/4/25	2024	2023	2022
Share Price CYE	$17.01	$13.10	$18.60	$15.81
Market Cap CYE ($ Mil)	876.0	665.6	986.6	852.2
Total Debt ($ Mil)	1,606.5	1,420.9	1,162.6	1,133.7
Total Cash ($ Mil)	189.6	187.7	360.3	275.8
Enterprise Value ($ Mil)	2,292.8	2,086.5	2,149.2	1,985.9
Valuation Ratios
P/S TTM	0.3	0.2	0.4	0.4
P/EBIT TTM	11.6	6.6	4.8	5.5
P/E TTM	27.9	12.1	6.2	7.8
Sector Ratios
P/S TTM (Sector)	0.7	0.8	0.9	0.8
P/EBIT TTM (Sector)	7.0	6.8	7.0	5.5
P/E TTM (Sector)	9.0	7.9	9.0	7.4

	11/4/25	2024
Share Price CYE	$17.01	$13.10
Market Cap CYE ($ Mil)	876.0	665.6
Total Debt ($ Mil)	1,606.5	1,420.9
Total Cash ($ Mil)	189.6	187.7
Enterprise Value ($ Mil)	2,292.8	2,086.5
Valuation Ratios
P/S TTM	0.3	0.2
P/EBIT TTM	11.6	6.6
P/E TTM	27.9	12.1
Sector Ratios
P/S TTM (Sector)	0.7	0.8
P/EBIT TTM (Sector)	7.0	6.8
P/E TTM (Sector)	9.0	7.9

	GES	S&P 500
REVENUE GROWTH	FAIR
Rev LTM ($ Bil)	3.1
Rev Chg Q	5.5%	6.6%
Rev Chg LTM	7.8%	5.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg	4.9%	5.2%
PROFITABILITY	VERY POOR
Op Inc LTM ($ Bil)	0.1
CFO LTM ($ Bil)	0.1
Net Inc LTM ($ Bil)	0.0
Op Mgn LTM	4.5%	18.7%
CFO/Rev LTM	3.3%	20.3%
Net Inc Mgn	1.0%	12.8%
VALUATION	HIGH
P/S	0.3	3.2
P/CFO	8.6	15.1
P/FCF	65.0	20.3
P/E	27.9	23.6
STABILITY	POOR
Debt/Equity	1.84	0.21
Cash/Assets	0.06	0.07

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GES Stock

Return (1M):

Factor Drivers of Stock Movement

The 31.6% change in GES stock from 8/4/2025 to 11/3/2025 was primarily driven by a 113.6% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).

	8042025	11032025	Change
Stock Price ($)	12.93	17.01	31.60%
Change Contribution By	LTM	LTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)	3051.13	3091.51	1.32%
Net Income Margin (%)	0.47%	1.01%	113.56%
P/E Multiple	45.88	27.97	-39.04%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)	51.38	51.50	-0.24%
Cumulative Contribution			31.60%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

The 61.5% change in GES stock from 5/5/2025 to 11/3/2025 was primarily driven by a 215.1% change in the company's P/E Multiple.

	5052025	11032025	Change
Stock Price ($)	10.53	17.01	61.52%
Change Contribution By	LTM	LTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)	2995.27	3091.51	3.21%
Net Income Margin (%)	2.02%	1.01%	-49.78%
P/E Multiple	8.88	27.97	215.07%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)	50.94	51.50	-1.11%
Cumulative Contribution			61.50%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

The 9.7% change in GES stock from 11/3/2024 to 11/3/2025 was primarily driven by a 496.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.

	11032024	11032025	Change
Stock Price ($)	15.51	17.01	9.66%
Change Contribution By	LTM	LTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)	2866.72	3091.51	7.84%
Net Income Margin (%)	6.05%	1.01%	-83.25%
P/E Multiple	4.69	27.97	496.29%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)	52.44	51.50	1.79%
Cumulative Contribution			9.63%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

The 31.0% change in GES stock from 11/4/2022 to 11/3/2025 was primarily driven by a 392.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.

	11042022	11032025	Change
Stock Price ($)	12.98	17.01	31.05%
Change Contribution By	LTM	LTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)	2679.17	3091.51	15.39%
Net Income Margin (%)	4.86%	1.01%	-79.16%
P/E Multiple	5.68	27.97	392.73%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)	56.95	51.50	9.58%
Cumulative Contribution			29.84%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Why The Stock Moved

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Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	Total [1]
Returns
GES Return	3%	7%	-9%	18%	-30%	30%	8%
Peers Return	5%	20%	-21%	18%	23%	5%	50%
S&P 500 Return	16%	27%	-19%	24%	23%	16%	112%
Monthly Win Rates [3]
GES Win Rate	75%	58%	50%	58%	25%	70%
Peers Win Rate	40%	43%	30%	42%	45%	50%
S&P 500 Win Rate	58%	75%	42%	67%	75%	70%
Max Drawdowns [4]
GES Max Drawdown	-82%	-11%	-37%	-15%	-32%	-38%
Peers Max Drawdown	-45%	-1%	-38%	-18%	-11%	-33%
S&P 500 Max Drawdown	-31%	-1%	-25%	-1%	-2%	-15%

[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: TPR, RL, AEO, UA, BRIA. See GES Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique Key	Event	GES	S&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock	2022 Inflation Shock
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss	% Loss	-53.1%	-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven	% Gain to Breakeven	113.4%	34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to Breakeven	Time to Breakeven	542 days	464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic	2020 Covid Pandemic
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss	% Loss	-83.3%	-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven	% Gain to Breakeven	499.5%	51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to Breakeven	Time to Breakeven	296 days	148 days
2018 Correction	2018 Correction
2018 Correction% Loss	% Loss	-47.7%	-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven	% Gain to Breakeven	91.2%	24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to Breakeven	Time to Breakeven	557 days	120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis	2008 Global Financial Crisis
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss	% Loss	-80.7%	-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven	% Gain to Breakeven	417.7%	131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to Breakeven	Time to Breakeven	Not Fully Recovered days	1480 days

Compare to TPR, RL, AEO, UA, BRIA

In The Past

Guess?'s stock fell -53.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/27/2021. A -53.1% loss requires a 113.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Guess? (GES)

Guess?, Inc. designs, markets, distributes, and licenses lifestyle collections of apparel and accessories for men, women, and children. It operates through five segments: Americas Retail, Americas Wholesale, Europe, Asia, and Licensing. The company's clothing collection includes jeans, pants, skirts, dresses, shorts, blouses, shirts, jackets, activewear, knitwear, and intimate apparel. It also grants licenses to design, manufacture, and distribute various products that complement its apparel lines, such as eyewear, watches, handbags, footwear, kids' and infants' apparel, outerwear, fragrance, jewelry, and other fashion accessories, as well as to wholesale partners to operate and sell products through licensed retail stores. The company markets its products under the GUESS, GUESS?, GUESS U.S.A., GUESS Jeans, GUESS? and Triangle Design, MARCIANO, Question Mark and Triangle Design, a stylized G and a stylized M, GUESS Kids, Baby GUESS, YES, G by GUESS, GUESS by MARCIANO, and Gc brand names. It sells its products through direct-to-consumer, wholesale, and licensing distribution channels. As of January 29, 2022, the company directly operated 1,068 retail stores in the Americas, Europe, and Asia. Its partner's distributors operated an additional 563 retail stores worldwide. The company also offers its products through its retail websites. Guess?, Inc. was founded in 1981 and is headquartered in Los Angeles, California.

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Interactive Breakdown

Guess? Interactive Breakdown Analysis

Better Bets than Guess? (GES)

	GES	Better Performance than GES
Metric	Value	Industry (Apparel Retail)
Rev Chg LTM	7.8%	BOOT (16.7%), URBN (9.6%), ANF (9.3%)
Rev Chg 3Y Avg	4.9%	TJX (5.3%), ROST (5.2%), BURL (7.7%), BOOT (8.9%), URBN (7.5%)
Op Mgn LTM	4.5%	TJX (11.2%), ROST (12.0%), BURL (6.9%), GAP (7.7%), BOOT (13.0%)
CFO/Rev LTM	3.3%	TJX (10.2%), ROST (11.5%), BURL (7.3%), GAP (8.0%), BOOT (9.0%)
FCF/Rev LTM	0.4%	TJX (7.0%), ROST (7.8%), GAP (5.1%), BOOT (1.4%), URBN (6.8%)
Total Yield	11.0%	ANF (15.7%), BKE (14.5%), SCVL (12.5%), CAL (18.0%), JILL (18.0%)

	GES	Better Performance than GES
Metric	Value	Sector (Consumer Discretionary)
Rev Chg LTM	7.8%	AMZN (10.9%), HD (8.5%), BKNG (13.0%), MELI (36.9%), DASH (23.8%)
Rev Chg 3Y Avg	4.9%	AMZN (11.3%), TSLA (9.3%), BABA (5.5%), TM (15.2%), BKNG (17.8%)
Op Mgn LTM	4.5%	AMZN (11.4%), TSLA (5.1%), BABA (14.6%), HD (13.1%), TM (9.6%)
CFO/Rev LTM	3.3%	AMZN (18.1%), TSLA (16.5%), BABA (15.0%), HD (10.8%), TM (10.1%)
FCF/Rev LTM	0.4%	AMZN (2.0%), TSLA (7.1%), BABA (15.0%), HD (8.6%), MCD (26.5%)
Total Yield	11.0%	BABA (37.0%), TM (2048.5%), VWAGY (14.0%), F (12.4%), HMC (2212.3%)

	GES	Better Performance than GES
Metric	Value	All Other Sectors
Rev Chg LTM	7.8%	NVDA (71.6%), MSFT (15.6%), GOOGL (13.4%), AVGO (28.0%), META (21.3%)
Rev Chg 3Y Avg	4.9%	NVDA (92.0%), MSFT (13.2%), GOOGL (11.0%), AVGO (24.0%), META (17.3%)
Op Mgn LTM	4.5%	NVDA (58.1%), AAPL (31.9%), MSFT (46.3%), GOOGL (32.2%), AVGO (39.0%)
CFO/Rev LTM	3.3%	NVDA (46.6%), AAPL (26.6%), MSFT (50.0%), GOOGL (39.3%), AVGO (42.4%)
FCF/Rev LTM	0.4%	NVDA (43.6%), AAPL (23.5%), MSFT (26.6%), GOOGL (19.1%), AVGO (41.6%)
Total Yield	11.0%	MRK (11.3%), T (12.6%), VZ (18.6%), TD (14.8%), PFE (12.9%)

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Latest Trefis Analyses

	Title	Topic
0	DASHBOARDS
1	How Low Can Guess? Stock Really Go?	Return
2	Better Bet Than GES Stock: Pay Less Than Guess? To Get More From ANF	Actionable
3	GES Dip Buy Analysis
4	Guess? Market Price	Market Price
5	Guess? (GES) Operating Cash Flow Comparison	Financials
6	Guess? (GES) Net Income Comparison	Financials
7	Guess? (GES) Operating Income Comparison	Financials
8	Guess? (GES) Revenue Comparison	Financials
9	Guess? vs. S&P500 Correlation	Correlation
10	Guess? Price Volatility	Volatility

	Title
0	ARTICLES
1	How Low Can Guess? Stock Really Go?
2	Better Bet Than GES Stock: Pay Less Than Guess? To Get More From ANF
3	GES Dip Buy Analysis
4	Guess? Market Price
5	Guess? (GES) Operating Cash Flow Comparison
6	Guess? (GES) Net Income Comparison
7	Guess? (GES) Operating Income Comparison
8	Guess? (GES) Revenue Comparison
9	Guess? vs. S&P500 Correlation
10	Guess? Price Volatility

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to GES. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique Key	Date	Ticker	Company	Category	Trade Strategy	6M Fwd Rtn	12M Fwd Rtn	12M Max DD
LRN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy	10312025	LRN	Stride	Dip Buy	DB \| P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
DECK_10312025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE	10312025	DECK	Deckers Outdoor	Dip Buy	DB \| CFO/Rev \| Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
ATGE_10312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%	10312025	ATGE	Adtalem Global Education	Quality	Q \| Momentum \| UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
GNTX_10242025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield	10242025	GNTX	Gentex	Dip Buy	DB \| FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin	-0.8%	-0.8%	-0.8%
LNW_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield	10172025	LNW	Light & Wonder	Dip Buy	DB \| FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin	-4.5%	-4.5%	-6.2%

Unique Key	Date	Ticker	Company	Category	Trade Strategy	6M Fwd Rtn	12M Fwd Rtn	12M Max DD
LRN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy	10312025	LRN	Stride	Dip Buy	DB \| P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
DECK_10312025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE	10312025	DECK	Deckers Outdoor	Dip Buy	DB \| CFO/Rev \| Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
ATGE_10312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%	10312025	ATGE	Adtalem Global Education	Quality	Q \| Momentum \| UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
GNTX_10242025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield	10242025	GNTX	Gentex	Dip Buy	DB \| FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin	-0.8%	-0.8%	-0.8%
LNW_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield	10172025	LNW	Light & Wonder	Dip Buy	DB \| FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin	-4.5%	-4.5%	-6.2%

Recent Active Movers

1 Day Top Gainers

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1 Day Top Losers

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1 Month Top Gainers

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1 Month Top Losers

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Recent Active Movers

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Peer Comparisons for Guess?

Financials

	GES	TPR	RL	AEO	UA	BRIA	Median
Name	Guess?	Tapestry	Ralph La.	American.	Under Ar.	BrilliA
Mkt Price	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Mkt Cap	0.9	22.9	19.5	2.9	1.9	-	2.9
Rev LTM	3,092	7,011	7,286	5,267	5,115	-	5,267
Op Inc LTM	140	1,270	1,067	301	164	-	301
FCF LTM	13	1,094	764	152	-322	-	152
FCF 3Y Avg	126	1,011	700	293	-87	-	293
CFO LTM	101	1,217	1,134	410	-163	-	410
CFO 3Y Avg	207	1,149	949	514	72	-	514

Growth & Margins

	GES	TPR	RL	AEO	UA	BRIA	Median
Name	Guess?	Tapestry	Ralph La.	American.	Under Ar.	BrilliA
Rev Chg LTM	7.8%	5.1%	9.6%	-2.7%	-8.2%	-	5.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg	4.9%	1.6%	4.8%	1.6%	-3.6%	-	1.6%
Rev Chg Q	5.5%	8.3%	13.7%	-0.6%	-4.2%	-	5.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM	1.3%	1.9%	2.9%	-0.1%	-1.0%	-	1.3%
Op Mgn LTM	4.5%	18.1%	14.6%	5.7%	3.2%	-	5.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg	6.9%	17.6%	13.1%	6.7%	2.1%	-	6.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM	-0.6%	0.2%	0.7%	0.0%	5.7%	-	0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM	3.3%	17.4%	15.6%	7.8%	-3.2%	-	7.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg	7.3%	16.9%	13.9%	9.9%	1.2%	-	9.9%
FCF/Rev LTM	0.4%	15.6%	10.5%	2.9%	-6.3%	-	2.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg	4.5%	14.9%	10.3%	5.7%	-1.6%	-	5.7%

Valuation

	GES	TPR	RL	AEO	UA	BRIA	Median
Name	Guess?	Tapestry	Ralph La.	American.	Under Ar.	BrilliA
Mkt Cap	0.9	22.9	19.5	2.9	1.9	-	2.9
P/S	0.3	3.3	2.7	0.5	0.4	-	0.5
P/EBIT	11.6	76.0	18.5	9.5	11.6	-	11.6
P/E	27.9	125.1	24.5	14.5	18.7	-	24.5
P/CFO	8.6	18.8	17.2	7.0	-11.6	-	8.6
Total Yield	11.0%	2.1%	5.1%	8.5%	5.4%	-	5.4%
Dividend Yield	7.4%	1.3%	1.0%	1.6%	0.0%	-	1.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg	12.3%	8.6%	6.0%	11.9%	-3.0%	-	8.6%
D/E	1.8	0.2	0.2	0.7	0.9	-	0.7
Net D/E	1.6	0.1	0.0	0.7	0.4	-	0.4

Returns

	GES	TPR	RL	AEO	UA	BRIA	Median
Name	Guess?	Tapestry	Ralph La.	American.	Under Ar.	BrilliA
1M Rtn	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3M Rtn	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6M Rtn	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12M Rtn	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3Y Rtn	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
1M Excs Rtn	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3M Excs Rtn	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6M Excs Rtn	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12M Excs Rtn	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3Y Excs Rtn	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Comparison Analyses

	Title
0	Guess? vs. Ralph Lauren: With Return Forecast Of 25%, Guess? Is A Better Bet
1	GES Could Deliver 22% Returns And Outperform UA
2	GES Looks Stronger Than TPR With 22% Return Potential
3	Guess? vs. American Eagle Outfitters: Neither Seems Like A Good Bet
4	Guess? vs. Gap: With Return Forecast Of 4.7%, Guess? Is A Better Bet
5	Guess? vs. Cadence Design Systems: Neither Seems Like A Good Bet
6	Guess? vs. Albemarle: With Return Forecast Of 7.7%, Guess? Is A Better Bet
7	Guess? vs. ResMed: With Return Forecast Of 31%, ResMed Is A Better Bet
8	Guess? vs. Monolithic Power Systems: With Return Forecast Of 49%, Monolithic Power Systems Is A Better Bet
9	Guess? vs. Paycom Software: With Return Forecast Of 99%, Paycom Software Is A Better Bet

Financials

Annual
Quarterly

$ Mil \| FY: 2/1	LTM	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020
Period End	8/2/2025	2/1/2025	2/3/2024	1/28/2023	1/29/2022	1/30/2021	2/1/2020
Filing Date	9/5/2025	4/11/2025	4/1/2024	3/24/2023	3/24/2022	4/9/2021	4/1/2020
Key Financials
Total Revenue	3,092	2,995	2,777	2,687	2,592	1,877	2,678
EBITDA	146	179	319	273	334	-1	212
Operating Income	140	166	269	255	308	17	151
Net Income	31	60	198	150	171	-81	96
EPS	0.59	1.15	3.67	2.62	2.65	-1.27	1.35
Growth Rates
Total Revenue Growth	7.8%	7.9%	3.3%	3.7%	38.1%	-29.9%	2.6%
EBITDA Growth	-50.8%	-44.0%	17.1%	-18.2%	47144.6%	-100.3%	79.0%
Operating Income Growth	-36.5%	-38.0%	5.1%	-17.0%	1696.1%	-88.6%	44.4%
Net Income Growth	-81.9%	-69.5%	32.5%	-12.7%	311.0%	-184.6%	580.7%
Margins
EBITDA Margin	4.7%	6.0%	11.5%	10.1%	12.9%	-0.0%	7.9%
Operating Income Margin	4.5%	5.6%	9.7%	9.5%	11.9%	0.9%	5.6%
Net Income Margin	1.0%	2.0%	7.1%	5.6%	6.6%	-4.3%	3.6%
Cash & Debt
Total Cash	190	188	360	276	416	469	285
Total Debt	1,606	1,421	1,163	1,134	1,153	1,251	1,196
Net Debt / (Cash)	1,417	1,233	802	858	738	782	911
Cash Flows
Net Cash from Operations	101	122	330	169	132	209	198
Free Cash from Operations	13	36	256	80	68	190	136
Returns to Shareholders
Dividends	65	185	63	52	37	16	42
Share Repurchases	1	61	65	187	51	39	288

$ Mil \| FY: 2/1	2026Q2	2026Q1	2025Q4	2025Q3	2025Q2	2025Q1	2024Q4	2024Q3	2024Q2	2024Q1	2023Q4	2023Q3
Period End	8/2/2025	5/3/2025	2/1/2025	11/2/2024	8/3/2024	5/4/2024	2/3/2024	10/28/2023	7/29/2023	4/29/2023	1/28/2023	10/29/2022
Filing Date	9/5/2025	6/11/2025	4/11/2025	12/6/2024	9/6/2024	6/7/2024	4/1/2024	12/1/2023	8/31/2023	6/2/2023	3/24/2023	12/2/2022
Key Financials Quarterly
Total Revenue	773	648	932	739	733	592	891	651	665	570	818	633
Ebitda	41	-12	100	17	28	34	172	62	78	7	122	55
Operating Income	20	-28	106	42	37	-19	146	57	65	1	107	56
Net Income	6	-33	81	-23	-11	13	115	56	39	-12	96	22
EPS	0.12	-0.65	1.58	-0.46	-0.21	0.24	2.15	1.04	0.73	-0.22	1.75	0.40
Key Financials TTM
Total Revenue TTM	3,092	3,051	2,995	2,954	2,867	2,799	2,777	2,703	2,685	2,664	2,687	2,670
Ebitda TTM	146	133	179	251	296	347	319	269	262	244	273	274
Operating Income TTM	140	157	166	206	221	249	269	230	229	219	255	273
Net Income TTM	31	14	60	94	173	223	198	179	145	130	150	122
Growth Rates Quarterly
Total Revenue Growth	5.5%	9.4%	4.6%	13.4%	10.2%	3.9%	9.0%	2.8%	3.4%	-4.0%	2.2%	-1.5%
EBITDA Growth	46.8%	-135.6%	-41.8%	-73.3%	-64.1%	405.6%	41.5%	12.7%	30.3%	-81.2%	-0.7%	-23.4%
Operating Income Growth	-45.4%	-49.8%	-27.5%	-25.5%	-42.9%	-1952.5%	35.8%	1.1%	19.0%	-97.3%	-14.0%	-19.2%
Net Income Growth	158.9%	-352.9%	-29.4%	-142.0%	-127.2%	210.3%	20.3%	155.1%	62.9%	-248.1%	40.1%	-26.9%
Margins Quarterly
EBITDA Margin	5.3%	-1.9%	10.7%	2.2%	3.8%	5.7%	19.3%	9.5%	11.8%	1.2%	14.9%	8.7%
Operating Income Margin	2.6%	-4.3%	11.3%	5.8%	5.0%	-3.2%	16.3%	8.8%	9.8%	0.2%	13.1%	8.9%
Net Income Margin	0.8%	-5.1%	8.7%	-3.2%	-1.4%	2.2%	12.9%	8.6%	5.9%	-2.1%	11.7%	3.4%
Cash & Debt
Total Cash	190	151	188	141	219	242	360	244	303	299	276	174
Total Debt	1,606	1,594	1,421	1,473	1,406	1,381	1,163	1,259	1,267	1,282	1,134	1,171
Net Debt / (Cash)	1,417	1,443	1,233	1,332	1,187	1,139	802	1,015	964	984	858	997
Cash Flows Quarterly
FCF from Operations	75	-73	183	-83	45	-23	290	-6	60	-13	191	-23
Cash Flows TTM
FCF from Operations TTM	101	71	122	228	305	320	330	231	215	211	169	106
Returns to Shareholders Quarterly
Dividends	16	16	17	15	16	136	17	16	16	14	12	12
Share Repurchases	0	-0	-0	0	50	10	22	-0	-0	43	-0	-0
Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) Quarterly
ROIC	3.1%	-6.4%	34.3%	12.8%	12.5%	-6.6%	57.8%	22.5%	19.7%	0.3%	48.2%	15.5%
Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) TTM
ROIC TTM	9.2%	8.2%	11.9%	10.6%	16.9%	19.9%	29.9%	22.7%	20.1%	18.6%	24.3%	18.7%

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021
Europe	1,476	1,381	1,298	942	1,248
Americas Retail	711	758	759	511	812
Asia	277	239	237	233	346
Americas Wholesale	200	206	201	118	186
Licensing	113	103	97	74	86
Total	2,777	2,687	2,592	1,877	2,678

Operating Income by Segment

$ Mil	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021
Europe	172	160	175	67	134
Licensing	106	92	88	68	74
Americas Retail	57	87	125	-16	22
Americas Wholesale	54	46	54	20	36
Asia	8	-5	-4	-21	-9
Net gains on lease modifications	2	2	0	3
Gain on sale of assets	0	0
Asset impairment charges	-7	-10	-3	-80	-10
Unallocated corporate overhead expense	-128	-125	-130	-101	-107
Total	263	248	305	-60	141

Price Behavior

Price Behavior

Market Price	$17.01
Market Cap ($ Bil)	0.9
First Trading Date	12/29/2006
Distance from 52W High	-0.2%
	50 Days	200 Days
DMA Price	$16.78	$12.79
DMA Trend	up	up
Distance from DMA	1.4%	33.0%
	3M	1YR
Volatility	54.4%	69.9%
Downside Capture	-133.69	183.41
Upside Capture	59.61	159.40
Correlation (SPY)	7.3%	45.6%

GES Betas & Captures as of 10/31/2025

	1M	2M	3M	6M	1Y	3Y
Beta	0.23	0.20	0.55	1.21	1.61	1.35
Up Beta	0.24	0.30	1.43	1.45	2.27	1.88
Down Beta	0.03	0.01	1.23	1.37	0.58	0.64
Up Capture	40%	30%	77%	152%	228%	204%
Bmk +ve Days	14	27	37	74	145	425
Stock +ve Days	11	20	31	63	118	365
Down Capture	31%	26%	-96%	67%	137%	107%
Bmk -ve Days	9	17	28	53	106	327
Stock -ve Days	10	19	29	59	127	379

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively

1Y 5Y 10Y

Based On 1-Year Data

		Comparison of GES With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y)
	GES	Sector ETF	Equity	Gold	Commodities	Real Estate	Bitcoin
Annualized Return	5.9%	21.8%	18.6%	44.0%	4.0%	-3.8%	52.4%
Annualized Volatility	69.4%	24.8%	19.6%	19.8%	16.3%	18.0%	36.8%
Sharpe Ratio	0.34	0.74	0.74	1.72	0.06	-0.36	0.88
Correlation With Other Assets		42.4%	45.5%	0.5%	23.9%	31.5%	24.3%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLY, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
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Based On 5-Year Data

		Comparison of GES With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y)
	GES	Sector ETF	Equity	Gold	Commodities	Real Estate	Bitcoin
Annualized Return	12.6%	10.9%	16.6%	15.6%	13.2%	6.2%	53.3%
Annualized Volatility	54.2%	23.8%	17.2%	15.6%	18.9%	19.2%	49.2%
Sharpe Ratio	0.42	0.42	0.79	0.80	0.58	0.24	0.80
Correlation With Other Assets		46.6%	46.2%	1.8%	17.1%	38.4%	18.9%

Based On 10-Year Data

		Comparison of GES With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y)
	GES	Sector ETF	Equity	Gold	Commodities	Real Estate	Bitcoin
Annualized Return	3.6%	12.9%	14.6%	12.7%	5.3%	5.0%	81.6%
Annualized Volatility	71.3%	21.9%	18.0%	14.7%	17.7%	20.9%	56.2%
Sharpe Ratio	0.32	0.54	0.70	0.71	0.23	0.21	0.98
Correlation With Other Assets		42.4%	38.3%	-3.5%	19.3%	34.9%	16.7%

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date	10152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity	4,587,976
Short Interest: % Change Since 9302025	-0.3%
Average Daily Volume	520,011
Days-to-Cover Short Interest	8.82
Basic Shares Quantity	51,499,000
Short % of Basic Shares	8.9%

Returns Analyses

	Title
0	How Low Can Guess? Stock Really Go?
1	Guess? During 2008 Recession vs. 2022 Inflation Shock: GES Stock Has 30% Upside If It Recovers To Pre-Inflation Shock Levels
2	Guess? Stock Return Comparison
3	[10/12/2021] Guess? (GES) Stock Price Forecast: AI Forecasts GES Stock Price To Be Around $20.90 In A Month (Up 4%)
4	Guess? Total Shareholder Return (TSR): 4.6% in 2023 and 5.4% 3-yr returns (below peer average)
5	Guess? (GES) Stock Return: AI Predicts GES Average and Excess Return After a Fall or Rise

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report Date	Filing Date	Filing
7312025	9052025	10-Q 8/2/2025
4302025	6112025	10-Q 5/3/2025
1312025	4112025	10-K 2/1/2025
10312024	12062024	10-Q 11/2/2024
7312024	9062024	10-Q 8/3/2024
4302024	6072024	10-Q 5/4/2024
1312024	4012024	10-K 2/3/2024
10312023	12012023	10-Q 10/28/2023
7312023	8312023	10-Q 7/29/2023
4302023	6022023	10-Q 4/29/2023
1312023	3242023	10-K 1/28/2023
10312022	12022022	10-Q 10/29/2022
7312022	9022022	10-Q 7/30/2022
4302022	6022022	10-Q 4/30/2022
1312022	3242022	10-K 1/29/2022
10312021	12032021	10-Q 10/30/2021

Insider Activity

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External Quote Links

0	Y Finance	Barrons
1	TradingView	Morningstar
2	SeekingAlpha	ValueLine
3	Motley Fool	Robinhood
4	CNBC	Etrade
5	MarketWatch	Unusual Whales
6	YCharts	Perplexity Finance
7	FinViz

Prefer one of these to Trefis? Tell us why.

Guess? (GES)

Market Price (11/4/2025): $17.01 | Market Cap: $876.0 MilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Apparel Retail

Guess? (GES)

Market Price (11/4/2025): $17.01Market Cap: $876.0 MilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Apparel Retail

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

GES Stock

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

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Market Price (11/4/2025): $17.01 | Market Cap: $876.0 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Apparel Retail

Market Price (11/4/2025): $17.01
Market Cap: $876.0 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Apparel Retail