Tearsheet

GE Aerospace (GE)


Market Price (3/27/2026): $286.47 | Market Cap: $301.4 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Aerospace & Defense

GE Aerospace (GE)


Market Price (3/27/2026): $286.47
Market Cap: $301.4 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Aerospace & Defense

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 35x
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, CFO LTM is 8.5 Bil, FCF LTM is 7.3 Bil
Key risks
GE key risks include [1] consistent operational challenges from global supply chain disruptions that have previously impacted its production and revenue forecasts.
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 32%
 
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space, Advanced Materials, Electrification of Everything, and Hydrogen Economy. Show more.
 
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, CFO LTM is 8.5 Bil, FCF LTM is 7.3 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 32%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space, Advanced Materials, Electrification of Everything, and Hydrogen Economy. Show more.
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 35x
5 Key risks
GE key risks include [1] consistent operational challenges from global supply chain disruptions that have previously impacted its production and revenue forecasts.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

GE Aerospace (GE) stock has lost about 5% since 11/30/2025 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Q4 2025 Financial Performance and Optimistic 2026 Guidance.

GE Aerospace reported robust adjusted EPS of $1.57 for the fourth quarter of 2025, surpassing analyst estimates of $1.43, on adjusted revenue of $11.9 billion, an increase of 20% year-over-year. The company also provided an optimistic outlook for 2026, projecting low double-digit revenue growth and adjusted EPS between $7.10 and $7.40, indicating strong underlying business health and future growth prospects.

2. Robust Commercial Aerospace Demand and Significant Order Backlog.

The company benefited from sustained strong demand in commercial aerospace services, with a 31% increase in services revenue and over 25% growth in spare parts revenue in Q4 2025. This performance was underpinned by a substantial order backlog of approximately $190 billion for equipment and services, providing long-term revenue visibility and acting as a significant support for the stock's valuation.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -4.2% change in GE stock from 11/30/2025 to 3/26/2026 was primarily driven by a -11.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)113020253262026Change
Stock Price ($)297.68285.24-4.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)43,94845,8544.3%
Net Income Margin (%)18.3%19.0%3.5%
P/E Multiple39.134.5-11.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1,0581,0520.6%
Cumulative Contribution-4.2%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

11/30/2025 to 3/26/2026
ReturnCorrelation
GE-4.2% 
Market (SPY)-5.3%50.0%
Sector (XLI)5.3%68.1%

Fundamental Drivers

The 4.0% change in GE stock from 8/31/2025 to 3/26/2026 was primarily driven by a 10.2% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)83120253262026Change
Stock Price ($)274.15285.244.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)41,60945,85410.2%
Net Income Margin (%)18.6%19.0%1.8%
P/E Multiple37.634.5-8.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1,0631,0521.0%
Cumulative Contribution4.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

8/31/2025 to 3/26/2026
ReturnCorrelation
GE4.0% 
Market (SPY)0.6%52.5%
Sector (XLI)6.9%67.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The 38.8% change in GE stock from 2/28/2025 to 3/26/2026 was primarily driven by a 18.5% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)22820253262026Change
Stock Price ($)205.51285.2438.8%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)38,70145,85418.5%
Net Income Margin (%)16.9%19.0%12.1%
P/E Multiple32.734.55.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1,0431,052-0.9%
Cumulative Contribution38.8%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

2/28/2025 to 3/26/2026
ReturnCorrelation
GE38.8% 
Market (SPY)9.8%67.0%
Sector (XLI)19.9%73.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The 329.0% change in GE stock from 2/28/2023 to 3/26/2026 was primarily driven by a 1546.2% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)22820233262026Change
Stock Price ($)66.48285.24329.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)29,13945,85457.4%
Net Income Margin (%)1.2%19.0%1546.2%
P/E Multiple216.334.5-84.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1,0931,0523.9%
Cumulative Contribution329.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

2/28/2023 to 3/26/2026
ReturnCorrelation
GE329.0% 
Market (SPY)69.4%57.8%
Sector (XLI)67.2%65.6%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
GE Return10%-11%94%65%86%-4%459%
Peers Return10%21%1%6%21%13%95%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%-4%75%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
GE Win Rate42%50%83%75%83%33% 
Peers Win Rate53%58%42%50%52%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%33% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
GE Max Drawdown-3%-35%0%-3%0%-7% 
Peers Max Drawdown-9%-14%-18%-14%-13%-2% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-5% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: RTX, HON, BA, LMT, NOC. See GE Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/26/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventGES&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-46.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven87.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven238 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-58.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven139.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven292 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-78.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven372.4%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,959 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-84.2%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven532.4%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven5,864 days1,480 days

Compare to RTX, HON, BA, LMT, NOC

In The Past

GE Aerospace's stock fell -46.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/27/2021. A -46.8% loss requires a 87.9% gain to breakeven.

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About GE Aerospace (GE)

General Electric Company operates as a high-tech industrial company in Europe, China, Asia, the Americas, the Middle East, and Africa. It operates through four segments: Power, Renewable Energy, Aviation, and Healthcare segments. The Power segment offers gas and steam turbines, full balance of plant, upgrade, and service solutions, as well as data-leveraging software for power generation, industrial, government, and other customers. The Renewables segment provides various solutions for its customers through combining onshore and offshore wind, blade manufacturing, grid solutions, hydro, storage, hybrid renewables, and digital services offerings. The Aviation segment designs and produces commercial and military aircraft engines, integrated engine components, electric power, and mechanical aircraft systems; and provides aftermarket services. The Healthcare segment provides healthcare technologies to developed and emerging markets in medical imaging, digital solutions, patient monitoring and diagnostics, and drug discovery and performance improvement solutions that are the building blocks of precision health to hospitals and medical facilities. The company also engages in the provision of various financial solutions; and management of run-off insurance operations, which provides life and health insurance and reinsurance products, as well as grid management software. General Electric Company was incorporated in 1892 and is headquartered in Boston, Massachusetts.

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Here are a few analogies to describe GE Aerospace:

  • Intel for airplane engines
  • NVIDIA for aerospace propulsion
  • Cummins for aircraft

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Power Generation Turbines: Offers gas and steam turbines for various power generation applications.
  • Power Plant Balance of Plant: Provides comprehensive solutions for power plant infrastructure and upgrades.
  • Power Generation Software: Develops software for data-leveraging and optimization in power generation.
  • Wind Energy Systems: Delivers onshore and offshore wind turbines, blades, and associated digital services.
  • Grid Infrastructure Solutions: Supplies solutions for electricity transmission, distribution, and grid management.
  • Hydro and Energy Storage: Offers solutions for hydroelectric power, energy storage, and hybrid renewable systems.
  • Aircraft Engines & Systems: Designs and produces commercial and military aircraft engines, components, and systems.
  • Aviation Aftermarket Services: Provides maintenance, repair, and overhaul services for aircraft engines and systems.
  • Medical Imaging & Diagnostics: Offers technologies for medical imaging, patient monitoring, and diagnostic solutions.
  • Digital Health Solutions: Develops digital tools for healthcare, patient monitoring, and drug discovery.
  • Financial Services: Provides various financial solutions to its customers.
  • Insurance Management: Manages run-off life and health insurance and reinsurance operations.

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Major Customers of GE Aerospace (GE)

GE Aerospace (symbol: GE) primarily sells its products and services to other companies and government entities. Its major customers fall into the following categories:

  • Commercial Aircraft Manufacturers: These companies purchase engines and components for integration into their aircraft, which are then sold to airlines. Key customers include:
    • Boeing (BA)
    • Airbus (EADSY)
    • Embraer (ERJ)
  • Commercial Airlines: While airlines purchase aircraft from manufacturers, they are direct and significant customers of GE Aerospace for aftermarket services, including maintenance, repair, overhaul (MRO), and spare parts for their fleets powered by GE engines. Examples of major airline customers include:
    • Delta Air Lines (DAL)
    • American Airlines Group (AAL)
    • United Airlines Holdings (UAL)
    • Southwest Airlines (LUV)
  • Military Organizations / Governments: GE Aerospace supplies engines and and components for military aircraft directly to governments and defense departments worldwide. While these are not public companies with stock symbols, they represent a significant customer base for GE's defense offerings.

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  • Safran S. A. (SAF.PA)
  • Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM)
  • Parker-Hannifin Corporation (PH)
  • Honeywell International Inc. (HON)
  • Raytheon Technologies (RTX)
  • Rheinmetall AG (RHM.DE)
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H. Lawrence Culp, Jr. Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

H. Lawrence Culp, Jr. is the Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of GE Aerospace. He joined the GE Board of Directors in April 2018 and was appointed CEO of GE in October 2018. He assumed additional duties as CEO of GE Aerospace in June 2022 and became Chairman & CEO when it launched as a public company in April 2024. Culp led GE's multi-year financial and operational transformation, during which the company strengthened its balance sheet and reduced debt by over $100 billion. Prior to joining GE, he spent 25 years at Danaher Corporation, serving as President and CEO from 2001 to 2014, where he oversaw a fivefold increase in both revenues and market capitalization. He also played a role in the transformation of GE's portfolio, including the sale of GE Capital Aviation Services (GECAS) and other business units, and the spin-off and subsequent merger of GE Transportation with Wabtec.

Rahul Ghai Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Rahul Ghai is the Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of GE Aerospace. He joined GE Aerospace in August 2022 and also served as CFO of GE from September 2023 through the spin of GE Vernova in April 2024. Before joining GE Aerospace, Ghai was CFO of Otis Elevators starting in July 2019, where he was instrumental in assisting Otis's spin-off from United Technologies. Earlier, he served as Senior Vice President and CFO of Harris Corporation for four years, during which the company's stock price tripled, and he focused on divesting non-strategic assets and investing in technology. His career also includes executive-level finance roles at Aetna Insurance, Carrier Corporation, and UTC Fire and Security, and he was involved in several M&A transactions.

Mohamed Ali President and CEO, Commercial Engines & Services

Mohamed Ali is the President and CEO of Commercial Engines & Services for GE Aerospace. In this role, he leads the company's approximately $33 billion Commercial Engines & Services business and the teams responsible for its industry-leading portfolio of engines and services.

Amy Gowder President and CEO, Defense and Systems

Amy Gowder is the President and CEO of Defense and Systems for GE Aerospace. She leads an operation focused on developing and manufacturing engines and systems for military air combat, trainer, tanker, helicopter, and marine applications, serving over 300 U.S. and international military customers. She possesses more than 20 years of leadership experience within the aerospace and technology industry.

Christian Meisner Chief Human Resources Officer

Christian Meisner is the Chief Human Resources Officer (CHRO) for GE Aerospace, a position he assumed in October 2023. He is responsible for leading the global HR organization, encompassing Talent Management, Leadership Development and Learning, Total Rewards, and Labor and Employee Relations.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to GE Aerospace's business operations are primarily centered around external market dynamics and operational challenges within the aviation industry.

  1. Supply Chain Disruptions

    GE Aerospace faces ongoing and significant challenges stemming from disruptions in its global supply chain. These issues include persistent bottlenecks in the availability of raw materials (such as high-end castings, forgings, and specific materials like yttrium), as well as problems with supplier delivery performance and labor shortages. These disruptions directly impact the company's ability to meet delivery targets for engines, including the LEAP and GE9X, leading to potential delays in aircraft deliveries for its customers and increased operational costs. The International Air Transport Association (IATA) and consulting firm Oliver Wyman projected that supply chain issues could cost global airlines over $11 billion in 2025 due to delays in aircraft and parts production.

  2. Reliance on Airframer Production and Industry Cyclicality

    GE Aerospace's growth and financial performance are highly dependent on the production rates and overall health of major airframe manufacturers like Boeing and Airbus. Production and quality control issues at these primary customers can directly constrain GE Aerospace's ability to deliver its engines, irrespective of its own production capabilities. Furthermore, the aerospace industry is inherently cyclical, making GE Aerospace vulnerable to broader macroeconomic and geopolitical factors. Economic downturns, recessions, inflation, and global geopolitical uncertainties (such as trade tensions or conflicts) can adversely affect demand for commercial air travel and defense budgets, thereby impacting the demand for GE Aerospace's products and services, as well as its revenue and profitability.

  3. Intense Competition and Margin Pressure

    The aerospace engine market is characterized by intense competition from major players such as Pratt & Whitney (a division of RTX Corporation) and Rolls-Royce Holdings plc. GE Aerospace must continuously innovate and enhance its offerings to maintain its competitive position, as any technological or service setback could lead to significant market share loss. Additionally, the company faces potential margin compression due to an unfavorable sales mix, where high-margin aftermarket services may be offset by the delivery of new, lower-margin engines. Rising costs, including higher costs of sales, operating expenses, and increased research and development investments, also contribute to pressure on profit margins.

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The accelerated global transition towards electrified, hybrid, and hydrogen-powered propulsion systems in aviation represents a clear emerging threat to GE Aerospace's core business of manufacturing traditional fossil fuel-burning jet engines. This shift, driven by increasing environmental regulations and technological advancements, could fundamentally alter the demand landscape for conventional turbofan and turboprop engines, potentially favoring companies or startups leading in these new propulsion technologies. While GE Aerospace is likely investing in future propulsion solutions, a rapid acceleration in this transition could disrupt its established market dominance and require significant strategic and technological adaptation.

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GE Aerospace operates in several significant addressable markets globally. The key markets for their main products and services include commercial aircraft engines, military aircraft engines, aircraft electrical systems, aircraft mechanical power transmission systems, and aftermarket services (Maintenance, Repair, and Overhaul).
  • Commercial Aircraft Engines: The global commercial aircraft engines market was valued at approximately USD 95.56 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 117.13 billion by 2031.
  • Military Aircraft Engines: The global military aircraft engine market size is valued at around USD 34.29 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 67.19 billion by 2032.
  • Aircraft Electrical Systems: The global aircraft electrical systems market size was valued at USD 23.55 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 37.82 billion by 2032.
  • Aircraft Mechanical Power Transmission Systems: The global aircraft mechanical power transmission system market was valued at USD 1.9 billion in 2023 and is anticipated to grow with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4.72% through 2029.
  • Aftermarket Services (Maintenance, Repair, and Overhaul - MRO): The global aircraft MRO market size is estimated at USD 120.3 billion in 2025 and is anticipated to reach around USD 172.73 billion by 2035.

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Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for GE Aerospace (symbol: GE) over the next 2-3 years:

  1. Strong Commercial Services and Aftermarket Growth: GE Aerospace anticipates robust growth from its commercial services segment, which accounts for a significant portion of its revenue. This growth is driven by increasing global air traffic, leading to higher aircraft utilization and, consequently, greater demand for maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) services. The company expects commercial services revenue to grow mid-teens in 2026 and projects commercial engine services revenues to double to $20 billion by 2030 from $10 billion in 2024. This includes increased internal shop visits, higher workscopes, and strong spare parts sales, supported by an expanding installed base of engines like LEAP and GEnx and the aging of existing fleets.
  2. Increased Commercial Engine Deliveries: The company is poised for growth through increased deliveries of new commercial engines, particularly the highly sought-after CFM LEAP engine. GE Aerospace aims to boost LEAP engine production by 15-20% in 2025, with a longer-term goal of 2,500 units annually by 2028. This acceleration in equipment volume is supported by ongoing supply chain improvements and a substantial backlog, meeting pent-up demand from aircraft manufacturers like Boeing and Airbus.
  3. Growth in Defense & Propulsion Technologies: The Defense & Propulsion Technologies (DPT) segment is a steady contributor to revenue growth. This segment saw full-year orders rise 19% and revenue increase 11% in 2025, with defense jet engine deliveries growing 30% year-on-year. GE Aerospace expects mid-to-high single-digit revenue growth for DPT in 2026, bolstered by a stable backlog and new contract wins for military engines and related systems.
  4. Global Air Traffic Expansion: Favorable industry conditions, including the projected global air passenger traffic growth of 4.9% in 2026, will continue to fuel demand across GE Aerospace's businesses. This expansion drives increased flight hours, which in turn boosts the need for engine maintenance and the eventual demand for new aircraft, thereby benefiting both the commercial services and engine delivery segments.
  5. Strategic Investments and Operational Enhancements: GE Aerospace is investing nearly $1 billion in its U.S. manufacturing facilities and supply chain during 2025 to enhance production capacity and efficiency. The company's "FLIGHT DECK" operating model focuses on improving supply chain reliability, accelerating output, and reducing waste in its MRO network, which supports increased delivery volumes and improved turnaround times, ultimately contributing to revenue growth.

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Share Repurchases

  • GE Aerospace authorized a $15 billion share repurchase program in March 2024, which was set to commence after the GE Vernova spin-off.
  • In December 2025, the Board approved a new authorization of up to $20 billion for common share repurchases, effective after the first quarter of 2026.
  • GE (now GE Aerospace) spent $1.233 billion on share buybacks in 2023 and $5.827 billion in 2024, with plans to buy back $7 billion in 2025.

Share Issuance

  • In January 2023, General Electric completed the spin-off of GE HealthCare, distributing one GE HealthCare share for every three GE shares held by investors.
  • On April 2, 2024, General Electric spun off GE Vernova, distributing one share of GE Vernova for every four shares of GE owned, with the remaining company becoming GE Aerospace (trading as GE).

Outbound Investments

  • In September 2021, GE's healthcare division acquired BK Medical for $1.45 billion, a company specializing in advanced surgical visualization using ultrasound technology.
  • GE monetized approximately $9 billion in proceeds in 2023 by exiting its equity stakes in Baker Hughes and AerCap, and a portion of its GE HealthCare shares.

Capital Expenditures

  • GE Aerospace's capital expenditures have increased from $662 million in 2022 to $1.273 billion in 2025.
  • The company announced plans to invest nearly $1 billion in its U.S. manufacturing facilities and supply chain in 2025, with a focus on strengthening manufacturing, increasing the use of innovative parts, military engine production, and LEAP engine capacity.
  • GE Aerospace plans to invest another $1 billion in its U.S. manufacturing sites and supplier network in 2026 to accelerate engine deliveries, expand production of key components, and strengthen defense manufacturing capacity.

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Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

GERTXHONBALMTNOCMedian
NameGE Aeros.RTX Honeywel.Boeing Lockheed.Northrop. 
Mkt Price285.24192.85225.17194.36627.33691.99255.20
Mkt Cap300.1259.4143.0149.4144.998.7147.1
Rev LTM45,85488,60337,44289,46375,04841,95460,451
Op Inc LTM8,6809,3006,567-5,4167,7314,2807,149
FCF LTM7,2647,4485,422-1,8866,9083,3076,165
FCF 3Y Avg5,0905,3635,082-3,9506,1412,6765,086
CFO LTM8,53710,5676,4081,0658,5574,7577,472
CFO 3Y Avg6,1458,5365,948-1,6857,8164,3406,047

Growth & Margins

GERTXHONBALMTNOCMedian
NameGE Aeros.RTX Honeywel.Boeing Lockheed.Northrop. 
Rev Chg LTM18.5%9.7%7.8%34.5%5.6%2.2%8.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg18.3%9.9%2.0%12.3%4.4%4.7%7.3%
Rev Chg Q17.6%12.1%8.8%57.1%9.1%9.6%10.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM4.3%3.0%1.5%10.8%2.3%2.5%2.8%
Op Mgn LTM18.9%10.5%17.5%-6.1%10.3%10.2%10.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg15.5%7.9%18.4%-7.8%10.9%9.1%10.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.6%0.2%-0.6%4.4%2.0%0.2%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM18.6%11.9%17.1%1.2%11.4%11.3%11.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg14.4%10.7%17.0%-3.1%11.0%10.6%10.9%
FCF/Rev LTM15.8%8.4%14.5%-2.1%9.2%7.9%8.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg11.9%6.7%14.5%-6.0%8.6%6.5%7.7%

Valuation

GERTXHONBALMTNOCMedian
NameGE Aeros.RTX Honeywel.Boeing Lockheed.Northrop. 
Mkt Cap300.1259.4143.0149.4144.998.7147.1
P/S6.52.93.81.71.92.42.6
P/EBIT27.724.521.027.620.617.222.8
P/E34.538.530.266.828.923.632.4
P/CFO35.124.522.3140.216.920.723.4
Total Yield2.9%4.0%5.4%1.5%5.1%4.9%4.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.4%2.1%0.0%1.6%0.7%1.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg2.7%3.3%3.8%-3.1%5.5%3.6%3.4%
D/E0.10.20.20.40.10.20.2
Net D/E0.00.10.20.20.10.10.1

Returns

GERTXHONBALMTNOCMedian
NameGE Aeros.RTX Honeywel.Boeing Lockheed.Northrop. 
1M Rtn-17.4%-2.8%-7.1%-16.7%-5.1%-4.9%-6.1%
3M Rtn-9.7%3.8%14.9%-10.9%29.8%19.2%9.4%
6M Rtn-3.7%21.0%16.2%-9.0%31.2%19.0%17.6%
12M Rtn38.3%46.0%14.5%8.9%44.8%38.6%38.5%
3Y Rtn289.1%112.5%35.5%-3.1%43.6%58.7%51.2%
1M Excs Rtn-9.9%5.2%0.2%-8.9%4.1%5.1%2.2%
3M Excs Rtn-3.1%10.4%22.0%-4.1%36.9%25.9%16.2%
6M Excs Rtn-2.2%22.8%18.2%-7.2%33.1%21.3%19.7%
12M Excs Rtn23.0%32.4%2.9%-5.7%33.7%26.7%24.9%
3Y Excs Rtn232.1%48.3%-28.6%-66.9%-18.6%-0.2%-9.4%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Commercial Engines & Services23,855    
Defense & Propulsion Technologies8,961    
Corporate & Other2,532    
Aerospace 26,05020,27420,59732,117
Corporate 2,8124,0814,4681,920
Power 16,26216,55817,23718,267
Renewable Energy 12,97715,55915,52315,198
Healthcare  17,72418,00819,942
Capital    7,770
Total35,34858,10174,19675,83395,214


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$285.24 
Market Cap ($ Bil)300.1 
First Trading Date01/02/1962 
Distance from 52W High-17.5% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$314.68$291.83
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA-9.4%-2.3%
 3M1YR
Volatility35.5%32.0%
Downside Capture154.6694.66
Upside Capture157.08115.37
Correlation (SPY)51.7%65.6%
GE Betas & Captures as of 2/28/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta1.121.231.161.111.091.09
Up Beta1.681.491.721.301.061.02
Down Beta1.151.210.791.051.271.16
Up Capture225%163%169%140%133%245%
Bmk +ve Days9203170142431
Stock +ve Days12243569147428
Down Capture-42%72%76%89%85%97%
Bmk -ve Days12213054109320
Stock -ve Days9172655104320

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with GE
GE35.3%32.3%0.97-
Sector ETF (XLI)21.3%19.2%0.8873.3%
Equity (SPY)13.1%18.9%0.5265.9%
Gold (GLD)45.0%27.5%1.345.4%
Commodities (DBC)17.7%17.5%0.8416.4%
Real Estate (VNQ)1.7%16.4%-0.0742.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-18.7%43.9%-0.3530.4%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with GE
GE34.5%30.3%1.01-
Sector ETF (XLI)12.5%17.2%0.5768.8%
Equity (SPY)12.0%17.0%0.5560.0%
Gold (GLD)19.8%17.6%0.925.3%
Commodities (DBC)11.6%18.9%0.5016.5%
Real Estate (VNQ)3.4%18.8%0.0939.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)4.1%56.7%0.2923.5%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with GE
GE7.9%35.8%0.32-
Sector ETF (XLI)13.3%19.8%0.5966.8%
Equity (SPY)14.0%17.9%0.6756.2%
Gold (GLD)12.9%15.8%0.67-0.8%
Commodities (DBC)8.2%17.6%0.3923.8%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.7%20.7%0.1944.7%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)67.1%66.8%1.0613.8%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date3132026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity11.7 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 22820263.9%
Average Daily Volume5.0 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.3 days
Basic Shares Quantity1,052.0 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares1.1%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
1/22/2026-7.4%-8.2%7.8%
10/21/20251.3%3.4%-2.2%
7/17/2025-2.2%-1.1%1.3%
4/22/20256.1%12.6%31.9%
1/23/20256.6%5.7%6.1%
10/22/2024-9.0%-9.7%-8.6%
7/23/20245.7%4.4%4.4%
4/23/20248.3%9.5%7.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131315
# Negative11119
Median Positive4.6%5.7%11.3%
Median Negative-2.2%-2.7%-4.4%
Max Positive8.3%12.6%47.9%
Max Negative-10.3%-15.9%-17.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
12/31/202501/29/202610-K
09/30/202510/21/202510-Q
06/30/202507/21/202510-Q
03/31/202504/22/202510-Q
12/31/202402/03/202510-K
09/30/202410/22/202410-Q
06/30/202407/23/202410-Q
03/31/202404/23/202410-Q
12/31/202302/02/202410-K
09/30/202310/24/202310-Q
06/30/202307/25/202310-Q
03/31/202304/25/202310-Q
12/31/202202/10/202310-K
09/30/202210/25/202210-Q
06/30/202207/26/202210-Q
03/31/202204/26/202210-Q

Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]

Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 1/22/2026 | Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 10/21/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Operating Income9.85 Bil10.05 Bil10.25 Bil14.9% RaisedActual: 8.75 Bil for 2025
2026 EPS7.17.257.418.8% RaisedActual: 6.1 for 2025
2026 Free Cash Flow8.00 Bil8.20 Bil8.40 Bil13.9% RaisedActual: 7.20 Bil for 2025
2026 Commercial Engines & Services (CES) Operating Profit9.60 Bil9.75 Bil9.90 Bil14.0% RaisedActual: 8.55 Bil for 2025
2026 Defense & Propulsion Technologies (DPT) Operating Profit1.55 Bil1.60 Bil1.65 Bil28.0% RaisedActual: 1.25 Bil for 2025

Insider Activity

Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Stokes, RussellSenior Vice PresidentDirectSell11202025297.718,0002,381,68044,785,706Form
2Ali, MohamedSenior Vice PresidentDirectSell8062025268.791,517407,7552,253,536Form
3Procacci, RiccardoSenior Vice PresidentDirectSell5142025222.386,1111,358,9493,722,377Form
4Ali, MohamedSenior Vice PresidentDirectSell5012025200.671,602321,4731,766,899Form
5Ali, MohamedSenior Vice PresidentDirectSell5012025199.5342184,0021,672,860Form

GE Trade Sentinel


Stock Conviction

AVOID (Score 1-2)

CONVICTION RATIONALE

Despite the underlying business being Tier 1 in quality with a widening moat and strong order book, the stock's current valuation creates a highly unfavorable risk/reward profile. The probability-adjusted skew of 0.36x indicates that the potential downside from a valuation multiple correction significantly outweighs the limited upside from beating already high expectations. The market has priced in perfection, leaving no margin for error.

STOCK ARCHETYPE
Type C: 'Cyclical / Commodity'

The business is classified as 'Industrial / Cyclical' with a revenue archetype of 'The 'Project' Hunter (Cyclical/Capex)'. Its performance is tied to long-cycle demand for aircraft, making cycle timing and supply/demand balance critical analytical factors.

INVESTMENT THESIS
Commercial Aftermarket Services Margin Expansion from LEAP Installed Base Growth

The core long thesis rests on GE's ability to monetize its massive and growing installed base of commercial engines, particularly the CFM LEAP. As these newer engines mature, they will enter highly profitable maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) cycles under long-term service agreements (LTSAs), driving a favorable mix shift towards high-margin, recurring services revenue.

Mechanism: GE captures value through its 'razor/razor blade' model. Lower-margin initial engine sales ('razor') lock in customers for a multi-decade stream of high-margin aftermarket parts and services ('blades'), which are often linked to flight hours and covered by LTSAs with strong pricing power.
Supporting Evidence:
  • Commercial Engines & Services (CES) revenue grew 24% in 2025, with the highly profitable services component growing even faster at 26%.
  • A massive backlog of approximately $190 billion provides exceptional multi-year revenue visibility, de-risking the near-term outlook.
  • The installed base includes over 45,000 commercial engines, providing a large and resilient foundation for recurring service revenue.
  • The book-to-bill ratio was a very strong 2.3x in the latest quarter, indicating that demand and backlog are still accelerating.
PRIMARY RISK
FY2026 Growth Deceleration and Valuation Multiple Compression

The primary friction is management's own guidance for 'low double-digit' revenue growth in FY2026, a material deceleration from the 18% growth achieved in FY2025. This slowdown, combined with a premium forward P/E multiple near historical highs, creates significant risk of multiple compression if execution falters or the market rotates away from premium-valued industrial stocks.

Mechanism: The investment thesis breaks if the company fails to meet its growth and profitability targets, causing investors to re-rate the stock's valuation multiple downwards towards the peer average. A contraction from its current ~43x forward P/E to the industry median of ~33x would result in a significant stock price decline, even if earnings are stable.
Supporting Evidence:
  • Management guided for 'low double-digit' revenue growth for FY2026, a slowdown from 18% in FY2025.
  • The current Forward P/E of ~43x is significantly above the aerospace & defense industry's average of ~33x.
  • The CES segment experienced a 420 basis point operating profit margin contraction in Q4 2025 due to a less profitable sales mix.
Key KPI Watchlist
KPI Threshold Rationale
Total Orders GrowthSustained double-digit YoY growthThis is the primary leading indicator of future revenue and market share momentum. A deceleration below double-digits would challenge the growth narrative.
Commercial Services Revenue GrowthGrowth >20% YoYThis is the core profit engine of the company. Growth below this level would indicate a material slowdown in the high-margin portion of the business, threatening EPS targets.
CES Operating MarginSequential stabilization and improvement from Q4 2025 levelsThis metric is the source of the 'Anti-Alpha' risk. Failure to reverse the recent margin compression would signal that profitability challenges are more structural than temporary.
Core Investment Debate

Backlog Visibility vs. Near-Term Execution Headwinds

BULL VIEW

The record backlog and accelerating high-margin services revenue (+31% YoY) provide exceptional multi-year earnings visibility that outweighs any temporary operational headwinds.

CORE TENSION

Can GE's massive ~$190B backlog and services strength overcome guided growth deceleration, margin pressure, and mounting operational risks (supply chain, engine durability) in the near term?


PREVAILING SENTIMENT
BEARISH

Management's own FY2026 guidance for 'low double-digit' revenue growth is a material deceleration from the 18% GAAP growth in FY2025, giving the bear case the current edge.

BEAR VIEW

FY26 guidance for 'low double-digit' growth is a major deceleration from 18% in FY25. This, plus CES margin contraction and new regulatory scrutiny, signals a negative inflection.

Next 6 months: Risks and Catalysts
Timeline Event & Metric To Watch
Late April 2026
Q1 2026 Earnings & Guidance Update
Watch: Commentary on FY26 guidance. Any change to 'low double-digit' growth, and updates on CES segment operating margin trends.
Next 30 Days (Effective Feb 26, 2026)
LEAP Engine Airworthiness Directive Fallout
Watch: Announcements from major airlines (e.g., Southwest, Ryanair, IndiGo) regarding fleet inspections, groundings, or changes to delivery schedules citing the AD.
Q1/Q2 2026 Earnings Calls
Customer Production Updates (Boeing/Airbus)
Watch: Boeing or Airbus lowering full-year 2026 delivery guidance and explicitly naming GE engine/component shortages as a primary constraint.
Key Events in Last 6 Months
Date Event Stock Impact
Aug 26, 2025
Major Engine Order Announcement
Details: A significant order for engines from a major airline was announced, reinforcing the strength of the commercial aerospace upcycle and boosting investor confidence.
Rose significantly by 2.7%
$265.98 -> $273.29
Oct 22, 2025
Q3 2025 Earnings Report
Details: GE reported strong Q3 results, beating analyst estimates and raising full-year guidance, driven by robust demand in both commercial and defense segments. Stock fell on profit-taking.
Fell notably by -2.8%
$306.27 -> $297.54
Dec 12, 2025
New FAA Scrutiny on LEAP Engines
Details: The FAA issued an Airworthiness Directive for LEAP engines due to reports of cracked HPT blades. Despite the negative news, the stock rose, suggesting market confidence in a limited impact.
Rose significantly by 4.0%
$288.09 -> $299.46
Jan 6, 2026
Stock Reached 52-Week High
Details: Shares hit a 52-week high, capping a strong multi-month rally driven by continued strength in air travel demand and a large order book.
Muted (1.0%)
$324.32 -> $327.54
Jan 15, 2026
Strategic Update: Howmet Acquisition Announced
Details: GE announced the strategic acquisition of Consolidated Aerospace Manufacturing from Stanley Black & Decker for approximately $1.8 billion, aiming to bolster its supply chain for critical components.
Modest 1.6% gain
$319.94 -> $325.12
Jan 22, 2026
Q4 2025 Earnings & FY26 Guidance
Details: GE beat Q4 estimates but guided for 'low double-digit' revenue growth in FY26, a sharp deceleration from 18% in FY25, causing the stock to plummet.
Plummeted -7.4%
$318.50 -> $295.00
Risk Management
Position Sizing

1% - 3%

CONSERVATIVE

The stock is in a Moderate Volatility regime. However, the Bearish sentiment, driven by decelerating growth guidance and an expensive valuation, creates a poor near-term risk/reward, mandating a Conservative sizing.

Diversification Alternatives
HWM
SECTOR

HWM is a pure-play on critical aerospace components with high pricing power. It benefits from the same aerospace upcycle as GE but with a simpler business model, avoiding engine platform risk.

Core Thesis: A dominant supplier of mission-critical aerospace components with a strong moat built on intellectual property and operational excellence, providing a more direct investment in the constrained supply chain.
FTAI
SECTOR

Avoids GE's manufacturing and R&D risk. As an engine leasing and maintenance company, its model offers stable, asset-backed exposure to growth in aviation flight hours.

Core Thesis: Owns and services a large portfolio of the most common commercial jet engines, generating recurring revenue from long-term leases and leveraging a modular approach to MRO services.
How Is The Market Pricing GE?

GE Aerospace is a newly independent industrial leader whose valuation is driven by the durable, high-margin, recurring revenue from servicing its massive installed base of ~50,000 commercial engines, which provides a multi-decade stream of cash flow visibility via its ~$190 billion backlog.

Filter all news through the lens of aftermarket services growth and production execution. The key is the pace of high-margin shop visits and the ability to deliver new engines to expand the future service base.

What will confirm the thesis

Announcements of large, long-term service agreements with major airlines; quarterly services revenue growth >15% YoY; evidence of LEAP engine aftermarket shop visits accelerating; increased guidance for free cash flow.

What will damage the thesis

Sustained supply chain disruptions impacting new engine delivery rates; significant durability issues with the LEAP or GE9X engine fleets requiring costly fixes; a sharp, prolonged downturn in global air travel reducing flight hours and deferring maintenance; loss of market share to Pratt & Whitney on a next-generation airframe.

Noise: Real but irrelevant to thesis

Single-quarter fluctuations in new engine orders (backlog is the key metric); minor changes in quarterly defense revenue (commercial services is the profit engine); competitor announcements of new technology programs (GE's RISE program is its counter, but this is a >2030s story).

Repricing Catalyst

The maturation of the CFM LEAP engine fleet, which powers the Boeing 737 MAX and a majority of Airbus A320neos. As thousands of these engines, delivered over the last 5-7 years, enter their first major shop visits, this is expected to drive a multi-year wave of high-margin (25%+) services revenue, accelerating free cash flow growth through the late 2020s.

What GE Makes & Who Pays
TTM figures based on Q4 2025 Earnings Press Release, Jan 22 2026
Commercial Engines & Services
$33300000.0B TTM (76% of Total) · 26.6% Margin
What It Is

CFM LEAP engines (for Boeing 737 MAX, Airbus A320neo family), GEnx engines (for Boeing 787 & 747-8), GE9X (exclusive on Boeing 777X).

Who Pays & How

Airbus and Boeing pay for initial engines, but the primary long-term customers are airlines (e.g. United, Emirates, Riyadh Air) who pay for multi-decade service agreements. Lock-in is absolute; once an engine is on an airframe, it cannot be switched. Service revenue over an engine's life is ~3.5x the initial sale price.

Per-unit sale for new engines, followed by long-term service agreements (LTSAs) often billed on a 'per flight hour' basis, plus spare parts sales.
Competition
Pratt & Whitney (RTX) - PW1000G 'Geared Turbofan' (GTF)
The GTF offered early fuel efficiency gains but has been plagued by significant durability and maintenance issues, requiring extensive shop visits and grounding aircraft.
CFM LEAP has gained significant market share on the A320neo (63% vs 37% for GTF) due to higher reliability. GE's massive installed base, scale, and service network create a virtuous cycle of investment and technological leadership.
Defense & Propulsion Technologies
$10600000.0B TTM (24% of Total) · 12.3% Margin
What It Is

F110 and F404/F414 fighter jet engines (powering F-15, F-16, F/A-18), T700 helicopter engines (powering Black Hawk, Apache), avionics and power systems.

Who Pays & How

The U.S. Government and allied foreign governments pay for engines and service contracts to ensure military fleet readiness and technological superiority. Contracts are long-term and driven by large defense budget allocations.

Long-term development and production contracts, plus aftermarket service and spare parts sales.
Competition
Pratt & Whitney (RTX) - F135 engine (for F-35 fighter)
P&W is the sole engine provider for the F-35, the largest fighter jet program globally.
GE has a massive installed base across a wide variety of proven airframes (F-15, F-16, etc.), providing a long tail of service revenue. GE is also developing next-generation adaptive cycle engines (XA100) to compete for future programs.
GE Evolution: Price Return by Era
1942–2000 · The Jet Age Pioneer
From Military Supplier to Commercial Powerhouse
Leveraging its development of the first U.S. jet engine in 1942, GE's aviation division became a key military supplier. The pivotal moment was the formation of the CFM joint venture in the 1970s and the subsequent success of the CFM56 engine, which established its dominance in the massive narrow-body aircraft market.
2001–2023 · Conglomerate Struggles & Wide-Body Wins
Aviation as the Crown Jewel within a Struggling GE ~-75% (2000-2018 peak-to-trough for parent GE)
While the parent GE conglomerate faced significant challenges, the Aviation division became the company's most valuable and consistent performer. This era was defined by the success of the GE90, the world's most powerful engine and the exclusive powerplant for the popular Boeing 777, cementing the highly profitable services-led business model.
2024–Present · The Independent Aerospace Leader
Unlocking Value via Spin-Off and Services Ramp ~+70% (in the past year leading up to Feb 2026)
GE completed its transformation by spinning off its healthcare and energy businesses, becoming a standalone GE Aerospace in April 2024. The narrative is now entirely focused on executing on its massive ~$190 billion backlog, ramping up production of the LEAP engine, and capitalizing on the coming wave of high-margin aftermarket services.
Market Appears To Be Skeptical Of Core Thesis
Price structure is damaged. The price has broken key levels and the trend is no longer supportive. Relative to SPY: Mild underperformance and fading; relative trend is a headwind for the thesis. Volume and momentum are deeply bearish. The sustained distribution is evident across multiple volume metrics. Earnings history is mildly supportive. The reaction or drift are positive but not both at full conviction.
① Structure
-2
Structural pillar score (-4 to +4). Driven by trend regime, SMA cross events, proximity to 52W high, and relative strength vs SPY.
② Volume / Momentum
-3
Volume/Momentum pillar score (-4 to +4). Driven by institutional footprint score, OBV divergence, and momentum character.
③ Catalyst
+1
Catalyst pillar score (-4 to +4). Driven by earnings day reaction, 20D post-earnings drift, and post-earnings volume character.
Combined Score
-4 / 12
1 Price Structure & Trend Broken In Short Term · -
2 Momentum Deteriorating
3 Relative Strength vs. SPY Strong Underperformance
4 Institutional Footprint & Volume Mild Distribution
5 Volatility Normal
6 Key Price Levels Range · Vol Rising
7 Earnings Reaction History Inconsistent
8 How the Verdict Is Derived Three Pillars