Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -218%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -104%
Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -11%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%
  
2 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 13%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Digital Payments, and Online Banking & Lending.
  
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -218%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%
2 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 13%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Digital Payments, and Online Banking & Lending.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -104%
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -11%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

GDOT Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The -6.4% movement in Green Dot (GDOT) stock during the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 8, 2025, can be attributed to several key factors: 1. Analyst Downgrade and Lowered Price Target: Northland downgraded Green Dot's stock rating from "Outperform" to "Market Perform" on November 25, 2025, simultaneously lowering its price target from $18.00 to $14.25. This revision in analyst sentiment followed the company's announcement of strategic transactions.

2. Strategic Transaction Announcement Creating Uncertainty: On November 25, 2025, Green Dot announced its plans to separate its fintech and banking operations through two coordinated strategic transactions, with an expected closing in the second quarter of 2026. This significant structural change likely introduced short-term market uncertainty and a re-evaluation of the company's valuation by investors, with the implied value aligning closely with the new, lower price target set by analysts.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
GDOT Return139%-35%-56%-37%7%24%-43%
Peers Return25%-11%-36%34%28%-12%6%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
GDOT Win Rate83%25%33%58%50%40% 
Peers Win Rate68%43%38%57%53%46% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
GDOT Max Drawdown-27%-39%-58%-51%-19%-40% 
Peers Max Drawdown-29%-23%-44%-12%-16%-43% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PYPL, FISV, GPN, EEFT, SOFI. See GDOT Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/5/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventGDOTS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-87.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven684.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-54.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven118.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven61 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-75.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven313.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days

Compare to RIOT, UPST, WINA, PSEC, WRLD


In The Past

Green Dot's stock fell -87.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/7/2021. A -87.3% loss requires a 684.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Green Dot (GDOT)

Better Bets than Green Dot (GDOT)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to GDOT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.4%7.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
12.2%12.2%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.8%-0.8%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.4%0.4%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.8%-7.8%-11.0%
GDOT_10312020_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10312020GDOTGreen DotQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-14.2%-20.6%-25.7%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.4%7.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
12.2%12.2%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.8%-0.8%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.4%0.4%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.8%-7.8%-11.0%
GDOT_10312020_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10312020GDOTGreen DotQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-14.2%-20.6%-25.7%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Green Dot

Peers to compare with:

Financials

GDOTPYPLFISVGPNEEFTSOFIMedian
NameGreen DotPayPal Fiserv Global P.Euronet .SoFi Tec. 
Mkt Price13.0362.2866.2878.8574.7527.7864.28
Mkt Cap0.759.235.818.93.032.525.7
Rev LTM2,01332,86221,16010,6804,1833,3227,431
Op Inc LTM706,2966,0782,111552-2,111
FCF LTM975,5654,6192,866334-3,1791,600
FCF 3Y Avg585,2654,3122,232576-4,6711,404
CFO LTM1786,4266,3393,500462-2,9511,981
CFO 3Y Avg1355,9725,8482,877686-4,5061,782

Growth & Margins

GDOTPYPLFISVGPNEEFTSOFIMedian
NameGreen DotPayPal Fiserv Global P.Euronet .SoFi Tec. 
Rev Chg LTM23.1%4.5%5.2%21.0%7.2%34.0%14.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg12.2%6.7%6.8%6.8%8.2%33.4%7.5%
Rev Chg Q20.8%7.3%0.9%0.5%4.2%38.6%5.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM4.4%1.8%0.2%0.1%1.1%8.8%1.4%
Op Mgn LTM3.5%19.2%28.7%19.8%13.2%-19.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg1.4%17.9%27.0%19.8%12.3%-17.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.7%0.1%-1.3%-0.1%0.2%--0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM8.8%19.6%30.0%32.8%11.1%-88.8%15.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg7.9%19.0%29.1%29.7%17.9%-204.8%18.5%
FCF/Rev LTM4.8%16.9%21.8%26.8%8.0%-95.7%12.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg3.3%16.8%21.5%23.0%15.1%-211.1%15.9%

Valuation

GDOTPYPLFISVGPNEEFTSOFIMedian
NameGreen DotPayPal Fiserv Global P.Euronet .SoFi Tec. 
Mkt Cap0.759.235.818.93.032.525.7
P/S0.41.91.71.90.89.31.8
P/EBIT10.39.86.06.96.8-6.9
P/E-15.413.09.911.411.748.311.5
P/CFO4.19.95.65.77.7-10.55.7
Total Yield-6.5%7.7%10.1%10.0%8.6%2.1%8.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%1.2%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg7.8%7.5%5.5%9.4%14.5%-50.4%7.7%
D/E0.10.20.80.80.70.10.4
Net D/E-2.20.00.80.70.1-0.10.1

Returns

GDOTPYPLFISVGPNEEFTSOFIMedian
NameGreen DotPayPal Fiserv Global P.Euronet .SoFi Tec. 
1M Rtn12.7%-5.7%4.1%3.7%3.4%-1.5%3.6%
3M Rtn-5.0%-8.5%-50.9%-10.2%-18.0%8.5%-9.4%
6M Rtn36.0%-15.0%-60.2%3.2%-33.2%95.1%-5.9%
12M Rtn23.9%-30.5%-68.0%-32.3%-27.7%73.4%-29.1%
3Y Rtn-28.8%-15.9%-34.7%-17.9%-16.7%531.4%-17.3%
1M Excs Rtn6.7%-9.4%2.5%-1.5%1.0%-8.7%-0.3%
3M Excs Rtn-11.6%-14.5%-56.8%-15.6%-23.2%1.2%-15.0%
6M Excs Rtn21.5%-29.5%-74.7%-11.3%-47.7%80.6%-20.4%
12M Excs Rtn13.2%-40.2%-82.8%-46.1%-42.7%61.4%-41.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-104.5%-88.8%-104.9%-90.2%-88.0%406.8%-89.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Business to Business (B2B) Services773594459305 
Consumer Services499587695620 
Money Movement Services210222240288 
Banking-as-a-Service (BaaS) commissions and processing expenses202945  
Corporate and Other320-5-13-31
Other income-3-3   
Net revenue adjustment   53 
Account Services    843
Processing and Settlement Services    297
Total1,5011,4501,4331,2541,109


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Consumer Services177222224212 
Money Movement Services113118116124 
Business to Business (B2B) Services77867366 
Impairment charges0-4 -22 
Other expense-7-8-13-12 
Legal settlement expenses-24-16-1  
Amortization of acquired intangible assets-24-24-28-28 
Stock based compensation and related employer taxes-34-35-52-56 
Depreciation and amortization of property, equipment and internal-use software-59-57-57-58 
Corporate and Other-197-188-196-196-118
Account Services    147
Processing and Settlement Services    94
Total23946630123


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,567,615
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120256.6%
Average Daily Volume699,742
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.24
Basic Shares Quantity55,400,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.8%

Returns Analyses

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/10/2025-4.0%-10.3% 
8/11/202535.2%42.0%37.7%
5/8/202525.7%11.5%18.0%
2/27/2025-6.4%-9.8%2.3%
11/7/2024-16.8%-16.9%-15.1%
8/8/202413.6%23.6%32.0%
5/9/2024-4.1%0.4%-0.2%
2/27/2024-5.3%-8.6%4.4%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive8911
# Negative161513
Median Positive13.4%7.8%11.2%
Median Negative-4.7%-8.6%-12.7%
Max Positive35.2%42.0%37.7%
Max Negative-34.4%-32.0%-41.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251110202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025811202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025512202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024304202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241108202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024809202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024510202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023229202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022301202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022808202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022509202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021228202210-K 12/31/2021