Tearsheet

First Solar (FSLR)


Market Price (11/15/2025): $253.68 | Market Cap: $27.2 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductors

First Solar (FSLR)


Market Price (11/15/2025): $253.68
Market Cap: $27.2 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Semiconductors

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 31%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -12%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 91x
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, Sustainable Infrastructure, and Smart Grids & Grid Modernization. Themes include Solar Energy Generation, Show more.
  Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -22%
2   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 69%
0 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 31%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, Sustainable Infrastructure, and Smart Grids & Grid Modernization. Themes include Solar Energy Generation, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -12%
3 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 91x
4 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -22%
5 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 69%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

FSLR Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining First Solar's (FSLR) stock movement of 44.8% between approximately July 31, 2025, and November 15, 2025:

1. Strong Q2 2025 Earnings Beat: First Solar reported better-than-expected financial results for the second quarter of 2025 on July 31, 2025, with an Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $3.18, significantly surpassing consensus estimates by $0.50, and revenue reaching $1.10 billion, an 8.6% increase year-over-year. This positive earnings surprise helped drive a 14.02% stock increase by August 15, 2025.

2. Sustained Positive Analyst Sentiment and Price Target Hikes: Throughout the period, numerous financial analysts reiterated "Buy" or "Strong Buy" ratings and substantially raised their price targets for FSLR. For instance, UBS increased its price target to $330, Goldman Sachs to $316, and Citigroup to $300, contributing to a consensus "Strong Buy" or "Moderate Buy" rating.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
FSLR Return77%-12%72%15%2%46%359%
Peers Return268%-19%3%-30%-49%74%90%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%15%109%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
FSLR Win Rate67%50%50%50%58%60% 
Peers Win Rate67%27%43%28%23%49% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
FSLR Max Drawdown-46%-30%-30%-12%-19%-32% 
Peers Max Drawdown-23%-33%-28%-50%-51%-30% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ENPH, RUN, SEDG, CSIQ, AMBQ. See FSLR Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/14/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventFSLRS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-49.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven97.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven105 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-49.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven96.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven118 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-52.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven111.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven667 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-72.0%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven256.7%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1480 days

Compare to ENPH, RUN, SEDG, CSIQ, AMBQ


In The Past

First Solar's stock fell -49.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/1/2021. A -49.3% loss requires a 97.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About First Solar (FSLR)

Better Bets than First Solar (FSLR)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to FSLR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ZBRA_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025ZBRAZebra TechnologiesDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-10.3%-10.3%-10.3%
ACN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ACNAccentureDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.0%-1.0%-3.5%
ADBE_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ADBEAdobeDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.0%-2.0%-3.9%
TXN_10312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312025TXNTexas InstrumentsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.5%0.5%-1.3%
RUN_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025RUNSunrunSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-9.1%-9.1%-17.5%
FSLR_5312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy05312025FSLRFirst SolarDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
62.3%62.3%-9.1%
FSLR_10312024_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312024FSLRFirst SolarDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-34.9%37.3%-38.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ZBRA_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025ZBRAZebra TechnologiesDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-10.3%-10.3%-10.3%
ACN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ACNAccentureDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.0%-1.0%-3.5%
ADBE_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ADBEAdobeDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.0%-2.0%-3.9%
TXN_10312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312025TXNTexas InstrumentsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.5%0.5%-1.3%
RUN_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025RUNSunrunSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-9.1%-9.1%-17.5%
FSLR_5312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy05312025FSLRFirst SolarDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
62.3%62.3%-9.1%
FSLR_10312024_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312024FSLRFirst SolarDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-34.9%37.3%-38.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for First Solar

Financials

FSLRENPHRUNSEDGCSIQAMBQMedian
NameFirst So.Enphase .Sunrun SolarEdg.Canadian.Ambiq Mi. 
Mkt Price253.0828.6818.6536.1833.5824.6631.13
Mkt Cap27.13.84.32.12.3-3.8
Rev LTM4,3431,5122,3171,0455,919691,915
Op Inc LTM1,362207-358-471-54-38-46
FCF LTM-943217-3,66163-2,047-21-482
FCF 3Y Avg-557454-3,443-229-1,461--557
CFO LTM299256-77789-240-1637
CFO 3Y Avg762518-803-11063-63

Growth & Margins

FSLRENPHRUNSEDGCSIQAMBQMedian
NameFirst So.Enphase .Sunrun SolarEdg.Canadian.Ambiq Mi. 
Rev Chg LTM15.4%21.0%13.8%2.4%-9.1%-13.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg20.6%0.5%3.3%-13.6%-0.4%-0.5%
Rev Chg Q8.6%7.8%34.9%44.5%3.6%-8.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.0%2.0%8.8%11.1%1.0%-2.0%
Op Mgn LTM31.3%13.7%-15.4%-45.1%-0.9%-54.6%-8.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg22.9%12.9%-27.1%-57.7%3.1%-3.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.9%0.9%7.5%95.1%1.4%-1.4%
CFO/Rev LTM6.9%16.9%-33.5%8.6%-4.1%-22.6%1.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg21.7%27.1%-35.7%-12.5%0.1%-0.1%
FCF/Rev LTM-21.7%14.4%-158.0%6.0%-34.6%-29.7%-25.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-14.8%23.7%-154.2%-19.9%-23.2%--19.9%

Valuation

FSLRENPHRUNSEDGCSIQAMBQMedian
NameFirst So.Enphase .Sunrun SolarEdg.Canadian.Ambiq Mi. 
Mkt Cap27.13.84.32.12.3-3.8
P/S6.22.51.92.10.4-2.1
P/EBIT19.615.5-1.2-3.1-82.3--1.2
P/E21.619.2-1.7-3.8-327.0--1.7
P/CFO90.814.6-5.524.0-9.4-14.6
Total Yield4.6%5.2%-57.3%-26.1%-0.3%--0.3%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%-0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-2.6%3.9%-99.4%-15.8%-166.2%--15.8%
D/E0.00.33.40.23.2-0.3
Net D/E-0.0-0.13.3-0.02.3--0.0

Returns

FSLRENPHRUNSEDGCSIQAMBQMedian
NameFirst So.Enphase .Sunrun SolarEdg.Canadian.Ambiq Mi. 
1M Rtn3.6%-23.6%-12.4%-10.7%112.5%-21.9%-11.6%
3M Rtn26.6%-17.7%34.0%20.4%167.6%-35.1%23.5%
6M Rtn41.8%-43.1%52.2%64.3%209.5%-52.2%
12M Rtn29.7%-54.9%70.9%182.0%185.3%-70.9%
3Y Rtn58.5%-90.5%-40.5%-87.4%-8.6%--40.5%
1M Excs Rtn4.8%-25.2%-9.0%-11.4%113.1%-17.8%-10.2%
3M Excs Rtn11.0%-24.2%15.9%11.7%160.2%-40.5%11.3%
6M Excs Rtn28.8%-56.1%39.2%51.3%196.5%-39.2%
12M Excs Rtn26.3%-64.8%78.9%183.1%165.2%-78.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-12.2%-169.6%-102.5%-165.1%-83.7%--102.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Modules3,2972,4282,3311,7361,460
Other22191592  
Systems   9751,603
Total3,3192,6192,9232,7113,063


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10312025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity8,493,898
Short Interest: % Change Since 101520251.0%
Average Daily Volume2,444,929
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.47
Basic Shares Quantity107,245,000
Short % of Basic Shares7.9%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/30/202514.3%16.4% 
7/31/20255.3%6.2%11.7%
2/20/2025-5.3%-14.0%-20.0%
10/29/2024-1.1%8.1%-3.6%
7/30/20242.4%-0.2%8.4%
2/27/20242.9%9.7%15.5%
10/31/20230.3%1.3%10.8%
7/27/20234.8%-1.3%-10.7%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121213
# Negative776
Median Positive5.1%9.6%12.2%
Median Negative-1.1%-7.4%-15.0%
Max Positive15.7%26.7%37.6%
Max Negative-14.7%-25.4%-43.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251030202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025731202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025429202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024225202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241029202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024730202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024501202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023227202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231031202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023727202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023427202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022228202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221028202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022729202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022429202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021301202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Dymbort Jason E.General Counsel and Secretary8202025Sell215.331,824392,7624,403,283Form
1Widmar Mark RChief Executive Officer8182025Sell185.15478,70215,577,595Form
2Widmar Mark RChief Executive Officer8142025Sell181.7820036,35620,303,008Form
3Buehler Patrick JamesChief Product Officer7072025Sell180.001,600288,000791,640Form
4Buehler Patrick JamesChief Product Officer6042025Sell149.081,868278,481894,182Form