Tearsheet

FedEx (FDX)


Market Price (11/1/2025): $253.9 | Market Cap: $59.9 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Air Freight & Logistics

FedEx (FDX)


Market Price (11/1/2025): $253.9
Market Cap: $59.9 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Air Freight & Logistics

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.1%, Dividend Yield is 2.2%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.9%, FCF Yield is 6.1%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -50%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -6.9%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 53%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO LTM is 7.6 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.7 Bil
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -2.2%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 32%
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.1%, Dividend Yield is 2.2%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.9%, FCF Yield is 6.1%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO LTM is 7.6 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.7 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 32%
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -50%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -6.9%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 53%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -2.2%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

FDX Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

null

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
FDX Return74%1%-32%49%13%-10%77%
Peers Return36%11%-25%60%22%12%145%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%110%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
FDX Win Rate67%50%50%58%50%44% 
Peers Win Rate58%57%45%68%52%56% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%67% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
FDX Max Drawdown-40%-15%-44%0%-7%-29% 
Peers Max Drawdown-34%-10%-33%-9%-12%-22% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AMZN, UPS, XPO, CHRW, BCO. See FDX Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 10/31/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventFDXS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-54.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven120.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-45.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven82.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven122 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-49.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven98.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven372 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-71.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven252.9%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1682 days1480 days

Compare to AMZN, UPS, XPO, CHRW, BCO


In The Past

FedEx's stock fell -54.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/27/2021. A -54.7% loss requires a 120.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About FedEx (FDX)

Interactive Breakdown

FedEx Interactive Breakdown Analysis

Better Bets than FedEx (FDX)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to FDX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
GEO_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025GEOGEODip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.0%0.0%0.0%
RUN_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025RUNSunrunSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
0.0%0.0%0.0%
PLPC_10312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10312025PLPCPreformed Line ProductsQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
0.0%0.0%0.0%
VRSK_10172025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10172025VRSKVerisk AnalyticsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-5.8%-5.8%-10.5%
CARR_10102025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10102025CARRCarrier GlobalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.4%5.4%-0.8%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
GEO_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025GEOGEODip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.0%0.0%0.0%
RUN_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025RUNSunrunSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
0.0%0.0%0.0%
PLPC_10312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10312025PLPCPreformed Line ProductsQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
0.0%0.0%0.0%
VRSK_10172025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10172025VRSKVerisk AnalyticsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-5.8%-5.8%-10.5%
CARR_10102025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10102025CARRCarrier GlobalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.4%5.4%-0.8%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for FedEx

Financials

FDXAMZNUPSXPOCHRWBCOMedian
NameFedEx Amazon.c.United P.XPO C.H. Rob.Brink's  
Mkt Price253.82244.2296.42143.87153.99111.16148.93
Mkt Cap59.92,597.881.717.018.54.739.2
Rev LTM88,591670,03890,3138,06717,0135,07052,802
Op Inc LTM6,08476,1908,3997067574743,420
FCF LTM3,65413,4813,5392326413482,090
FCF 3Y Avg3,18721,6774,797-2069073592,047
CFO LTM7,565121,1377,4799497105724,214
CFO 3Y Avg8,10296,9779,6128089915704,546

Growth & Margins

FDXAMZNUPSXPOCHRWBCOMedian
NameFedEx Amazon.c.United P.XPO C.H. Rob.Brink's  
Rev Chg LTM1.1%10.9%0.9%-0.3%-2.6%2.2%1.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-2.2%11.3%-3.3%38.4%-13.2%5.0%1.4%
Rev Chg Q3.1%13.3%-2.7%2.8%-7.7%3.8%3.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.8%3.0%-0.7%0.7%-2.0%0.9%0.7%
Op Mgn LTM6.9%11.4%9.3%8.8%4.4%9.4%9.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg6.7%7.9%9.9%8.0%3.7%9.6%7.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.1%0.3%-0.1%0.1%0.3%0.3%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM8.5%18.1%8.3%11.8%4.2%11.3%9.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg9.2%15.8%10.4%10.1%5.2%11.6%10.3%
FCF/Rev LTM4.1%2.0%3.9%2.9%3.8%6.9%3.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg3.6%3.5%5.2%-2.6%4.8%7.3%4.2%

Valuation

FDXAMZNUPSXPOCHRWBCOMedian
NameFedEx Amazon.c.United P.XPO C.H. Rob.Brink's  
Mkt Cap59.92,597.881.717.018.54.739.2
P/S0.73.90.92.11.10.91.0
P/EBIT9.530.510.025.524.59.417.3
P/E14.536.814.351.134.728.931.8
P/CFO7.921.410.917.926.18.214.4
Total Yield9.1%2.7%13.6%2.0%4.5%3.5%4.0%
Dividend Yield2.2%0.0%6.6%0.0%1.6%0.0%0.8%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg5.2%1.1%4.0%-1.8%8.1%9.5%4.6%
D/E0.60.10.40.20.10.90.3
Net D/E0.50.00.30.20.10.70.2

Returns

FDXAMZNUPSXPOCHRWBCOMedian
NameFedEx Amazon.c.United P.XPO C.H. Rob.Brink's  
1M Rtn6.0%10.7%14.3%13.3%16.1%-6.1%12.0%
3M Rtn17.7%13.7%16.3%21.1%35.9%30.5%19.4%
6M Rtn17.0%28.6%3.6%31.1%71.5%22.3%25.4%
12M Rtn-5.1%31.0%-23.5%10.2%53.0%9.3%9.8%
3Y Rtn71.4%152.3%-32.8%342.7%70.1%91.2%81.3%
1M Excs Rtn2.9%7.9%10.8%11.6%12.4%-6.3%9.4%
3M Excs Rtn9.4%7.3%7.5%12.3%26.5%19.0%10.9%
6M Excs Rtn-3.3%8.3%-16.7%10.8%51.2%2.0%5.1%
12M Excs Rtn-22.8%10.7%-40.9%2.4%28.7%-9.5%-3.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-6.9%32.6%-112.0%290.9%-6.1%26.2%10.0%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Federal Express segment74,66375,88445,81442,07835,513
FedEx Freight segment9,42910,0849,5327,8337,102
Corporate, other and elimination3,6014,1874,6813,5203,847
FedEx Ground Segment  33,23230,49622,733
FedEx Services Segment  2533222
Total87,69390,15593,51283,95969,217


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Federal Express segment4,8194,1932,9222,810996
FedEx Freight segment1,8211,9361,6631,005580
Corporate, other and elimination-1,081-1,217-982-1,151-1,173
FedEx Ground Segment  2,6423,1932,014
FedEx Services Segment  00 
Total5,5594,9126,2455,8572,417


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Federal Express segment73,25985,12847,60446,35641,252
FedEx Freight segment11,61510,4168,9047,3716,434
Corporate, other and elimination2,133-8,401-11,548-8,723-6,134
FedEx Ground Segment  32,64529,13424,700
FedEx Services Segment  8,3898,6397,285
Total87,00787,14385,99482,77773,537


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity4,367,601
Short Interest: % Change Since 9302025-11.6%
Average Daily Volume1,609,659
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.71
Basic Shares Quantity236,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.9%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
9/18/20252.3%4.4%5.0%
6/24/2025-3.3%2.1%6.0%
3/20/2025-6.4%-0.9%-16.7%
12/19/2024-0.1%1.6%-2.1%
9/3/2024-0.2%-2.8%-8.6%
6/25/202415.5%16.3%16.5%
3/21/20247.4%9.4%2.0%
12/19/2023-12.1%-10.4%-10.5%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121413
# Negative121011
Median Positive5.9%5.8%12.4%
Median Negative-4.8%-5.2%-8.6%
Max Positive15.5%26.4%25.4%
Max Negative-21.4%-24.6%-23.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
8312025918202510-Q 8/31/2025
5312025721202510-K 5/31/2025
2282025320202510-Q 2/28/2025
113020241219202410-Q 11/30/2024
8312024919202410-Q 8/31/2024
5312024715202410-K 5/31/2024
2292024321202410-Q 2/29/2024
113020231219202310-Q 11/30/2023
8312023920202310-Q 8/31/2023
5312023717202310-K 5/31/2023
2282023316202310-Q 2/28/2023
113020221220202210-Q 11/30/2022
8312022922202210-Q 8/31/2022
5312022718202210-K 5/31/2022
2282022317202210-Q 2/28/2022
113020211216202110-Q 11/30/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0DIETRICH JOHN WEVP CHIEF FINANCIAL OFF1072025Buy273.981,000273,9802,484,177Form
1LANE AMY B 12262024Buy276.0633391,92991,929Form