Tearsheet

FuelCell Energy (FCEL)


Market Price (10/15/2025): $11.57 | Market Cap: $282.8 Mil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Electrical Components & Equipment

FuelCell Energy (FCEL)


Market Price (10/15/2025): $11.57
Market Cap: $282.8 Mil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Electrical Components & Equipment

Investment Highlights

0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 79%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -124%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -170%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -132 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -87%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -44%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12%
Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 186%
2   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -63%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -84%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -76%
4   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 111%
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 79%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -44%
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -124%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -170%
3 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12%
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -132 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -87%
5 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 186%
6 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -63%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -84%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -76%
8 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 111%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

FCEL Stock


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
FCEL Return345%-53%-47%-42%-81%26%-88%
Peers Return40%-13%-6%82%53%25%301%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%13%103%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
FCEL Win Rate58%42%33%50%8%33% 
Peers Win Rate35%21%32%40%57%53% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%67% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
FCEL Max Drawdown-57%-54%-51%-63%-88%-59% 
Peers Max Drawdown-32%-17%-35%-9%-10%-32% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AMSC, THR, LYTS, ADSE, CCTG. See FCEL Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 10/14/2025 (YTD)

Downturns Compared

Unique KeyEventFCELS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-96.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven2614.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-62.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven164.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven90 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-99.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven17396.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven595 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-84.6%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven550.5%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1480 days


How Low Can It Go?

FuelCell Energy's stock fell -96.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/9/2021. A -96.3% loss requires a 2614.6% gain to breakeven.

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Asset Allocation

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About FuelCell Energy (FCEL)

FuelCell Energy, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, sells, installs, operates, and services stationary fuel cell power plants for distributed baseload power generation. It offers SureSource1500, a 1.4-megawatt (MW) platform; SureSource 3000, a 2.8 MW platform; SureSource 4000, a 3.7 MW platform; SureSource 250, a 250- kilowatt (kW) platform; SureSource 400, a 400-kW platform; and SureSource Hydrogen, a 2.3 MW platform that is designed to produce up to 1,200 kilograms of hydrogen per day for multi-megawatt utility, microgrid, and distributed hydrogen applications, as well as on-site heat and chilling applications. It also provides SureSource Capture system that separates and concentrates carbon dioxide from the flue gases of natural gas, biomass, or coal-fired power plants, as well as industrial facilities; solid oxide fuel cell/solid oxide electrolysis cell stack technology. The company's SureSource power plants generate clean electricity, usable heat, water, and hydrogen. In addition, it provides engineering, procurement, and construction services; project financing services; and real-time monitoring and remote operation, online support system, preventative maintenance, parts and supplies, on-site and classroom training, and power plant refurbishment/recycling services, as well as technical services in the areas of plant operation and performance, and fuel processing. It serves various markets, including utilities and independent power producers, industrial and process applications, education and health care, data centers and communication, wastewater treatment, government, microgrids, food and beverage, and commercial and hospitality. The company primarily operates in the United States, South Korea, England, Germany, and Switzerland. FuelCell Energy, Inc. was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, Connecticut.

Better Bets than FuelCell Energy (FCEL)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past trade ideas related to FCEL and Electrical Components & Equipment.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
FCN_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025FCNFTI ConsultingDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.5%-2.5%-2.5%
ODFL_9122025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09122025ODFLOld Dominion Freight LineMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-6.5%-6.5%-7.3%
EFX_8312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper08312025EFXEquifaxMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-7.3%-7.3%-8.5%
UHAL_8312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper08312025UHALU-HaulMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-2.8%-2.8%-5.6%
BWXT_8312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%08312025BWXTBWX TechnologiesQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
24.9%24.9%-1.2%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
FCN_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025FCNFTI ConsultingDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.5%-2.5%-2.5%
ODFL_9122025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09122025ODFLOld Dominion Freight LineMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-6.5%-6.5%-7.3%
EFX_8312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper08312025EFXEquifaxMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-7.3%-7.3%-8.5%
UHAL_8312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper08312025UHALU-HaulMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-2.8%-2.8%-5.6%
BWXT_8312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%08312025BWXTBWX TechnologiesQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
24.9%24.9%-1.2%

See Trefis Trade Ideas for more.

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

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Peer Comparisons for FuelCell Energy

Financials

FCELAMSCTHRLYTSADSECCTGMedian
NameFuelCell.American.Thermon LSI Indu.ADS-TEC .CCSC Tec. 
Mkt Price11.4365.5426.4822.6610.311.2517.05
Mkt Cap0.32.50.90.7--0.8
Rev LTM152223492573--357
Op Inc LTM-13267536--21
FCF LTM-129265235--30
FCF 3Y Avg-20015140--20
CFO LTM-97286138--33
CFO 3Y Avg-14036244--23

Growth & Margins

FCELAMSCTHRLYTSADSECCTGMedian
NameFuelCell.American.Thermon LSI Indu.ADS-TEC .CCSC Tec. 
Rev Chg LTM78.8%53.0%-2.2%22.1%--37.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg24.3%29.4%9.3%8.6%--16.8%
Rev Chg Q97.3%58.6%-5.4%20.2%--39.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM17.8%12.4%-1.3%4.8%--8.6%
Op Mgn LTM-86.9%2.5%15.3%6.3%--4.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-123.0%-10.7%14.9%7.1%---1.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM20.7%0.7%-0.6%0.2%--0.5%
CFO/Rev LTM-63.3%12.7%12.4%6.6%--9.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-124.7%-2.4%12.7%8.6%--3.1%
FCF/Rev LTM-84.4%11.6%10.7%6.0%--8.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-178.9%-3.3%10.6%7.8%--2.3%

Valuation

FCELAMSCTHRLYTSADSECCTGMedian
NameFuelCell.American.Thermon LSI Indu.ADS-TEC .CCSC Tec. 
Mkt Cap0.32.50.90.7--0.8
P/S1.811.11.81.2--1.8
P/EBIT-1.5440.311.018.9--14.9
P/E-1.4409.116.428.0--22.2
P/CFO-2.987.314.317.9--16.1
Total Yield-71.4%0.2%6.1%4.0%--2.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.4%--0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-65.6%-3.8%5.3%9.6%--0.7%
D/E0.50.00.20.1--0.1
Net D/E-0.1-0.00.10.1--0.0

Returns

FCELAMSCTHRLYTSADSECCTGMedian
NameFuelCell.American.Thermon LSI Indu.ADS-TEC .CCSC Tec. 
1M Rtn66.4%16.4%3.7%0.8%5.5%-16.7%4.6%
3M Rtn122.4%60.0%-4.1%30.7%-6.1%20.2%25.5%
6M Rtn185.8%259.1%5.9%41.5%-15.6%-19.9%23.7%
12M Rtn12.5%175.3%-8.0%38.2%-23.6%-22.8%2.2%
3Y Rtn-86.9%1,593.5%67.1%200.5%75.6%-75.6%
1M Excs Rtn73.0%15.4%2.7%-1.8%13.1%-17.1%7.9%
3M Excs Rtn123.0%53.5%-10.3%23.6%-12.3%8.6%16.1%
6M Excs Rtn164.3%237.6%-16.6%17.8%-40.6%-35.1%0.6%
12M Excs Rtn1.5%180.7%-21.3%24.3%-36.8%-29.3%-9.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-170.3%1,338.1%-12.9%106.6%-24.2%--12.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Service4913202527
Generation3836242014
Product20600 0
Advanced Technologies1722262620
Total123130707161


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date9302025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,964,878
Short Interest: % Change Since 915202529.1%
Average Daily Volume4,911,526
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity24,441,294
Short % of Basic Shares12.1%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
9/9/202522.7%56.2%141.5%
6/6/202524.4%21.5%7.7%
3/11/20253.6%-3.3%-38.2%
11/15/2024-12.1%13.0%54.8%
9/5/20241.9%9.0%-12.0%
6/10/202412.6%-5.7%-31.0%
3/7/2024-9.0%-15.6%-7.4%
12/19/2023-4.6%15.0%-23.9%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive997
# Negative141416
Median Positive9.8%9.0%23.1%
Median Negative-10.1%-11.1%-17.7%
Max Positive24.4%56.2%141.5%
Max Negative-22.9%-37.2%-39.4%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
7312025909202510-Q 7/31/2025
4302025606202510-Q 4/30/2025
1312025311202510-Q 1/31/2025
103120241227202410-K 10/31/2024
7312024905202410-Q 7/31/2024
4302024610202410-Q 4/30/2024
1312024307202410-Q 1/31/2024
103120231219202310-K 10/31/2023
7312023911202310-Q 7/31/2023
4302023608202310-Q 4/30/2023
1312023309202310-Q 1/31/2023
103120221220202210-K 10/31/2022
7312022908202210-Q 7/31/2022
4302022609202210-Q 4/30/2022
1312022310202210-Q 1/31/2022
103120211229202110-K 10/31/2021

Insider Activity

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