FuelCell Energy (FCEL)
Market Price (10/15/2025): $11.57 | Market Cap: $282.8 MilSector: Industrials | Industry: Electrical Components & Equipment
FuelCell Energy (FCEL)
Market Price (10/15/2025): $11.57Market Cap: $282.8 MilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Electrical Components & Equipment
Investment Highlights
Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 79% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -124%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -170% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -132 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -87% |
Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -44% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12% | Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 186% |
Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -63%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -84% | ||
Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -76% | ||
High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 111% |
Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 79% |
Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -44% |
Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -124%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -170% |
Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12% |
Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -132 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -87% |
Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 186% |
Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -63%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -84% |
Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -76% |
High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 111% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
FCEL Stock
Price Returns Compared
2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Returns | |||||||
FCEL Return | 345% | -53% | -47% | -42% | -81% | 26% | -88% |
Peers Return | 40% | -13% | -6% | 82% | 53% | 25% | 301% |
S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 13% | 103% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
FCEL Win Rate | 58% | 42% | 33% | 50% | 8% | 33% | |
Peers Win Rate | 35% | 21% | 32% | 40% | 57% | 53% | |
S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
FCEL Max Drawdown | -57% | -54% | -51% | -63% | -88% | -59% | |
Peers Max Drawdown | -32% | -17% | -35% | -9% | -10% | -32% | |
S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AMSC, THR, LYTS, ADSE, CCTG. See FCEL Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 10/14/2025 (YTD)
Downturns Compared
Event | FCEL | S&P 500 |
---|---|---|
2022 Inflation Shock | ||
% Loss | -96.3% | -25.4% |
% Gain to Breakeven | 2614.6% | 34.1% |
Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
% Loss | -62.2% | -33.9% |
% Gain to Breakeven | 164.2% | 51.3% |
Time to Breakeven | 90 days | 148 days |
2018 Correction | ||
% Loss | -99.4% | -19.8% |
% Gain to Breakeven | 17396.8% | 24.7% |
Time to Breakeven | 595 days | 120 days |
2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
% Loss | -84.6% | -56.8% |
% Gain to Breakeven | 550.5% | 131.3% |
Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 1480 days |
How Low Can It Go?
FuelCell Energy's stock fell -96.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/9/2021. A -96.3% loss requires a 2614.6% gain to breakeven.
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About FuelCell Energy (FCEL)
FuelCell Energy, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, sells, installs, operates, and services stationary fuel cell power plants for distributed baseload power generation. It offers SureSource1500, a 1.4-megawatt (MW) platform; SureSource 3000, a 2.8 MW platform; SureSource 4000, a 3.7 MW platform; SureSource 250, a 250- kilowatt (kW) platform; SureSource 400, a 400-kW platform; and SureSource Hydrogen, a 2.3 MW platform that is designed to produce up to 1,200 kilograms of hydrogen per day for multi-megawatt utility, microgrid, and distributed hydrogen applications, as well as on-site heat and chilling applications. It also provides SureSource Capture system that separates and concentrates carbon dioxide from the flue gases of natural gas, biomass, or coal-fired power plants, as well as industrial facilities; solid oxide fuel cell/solid oxide electrolysis cell stack technology. The company's SureSource power plants generate clean electricity, usable heat, water, and hydrogen. In addition, it provides engineering, procurement, and construction services; project financing services; and real-time monitoring and remote operation, online support system, preventative maintenance, parts and supplies, on-site and classroom training, and power plant refurbishment/recycling services, as well as technical services in the areas of plant operation and performance, and fuel processing. It serves various markets, including utilities and independent power producers, industrial and process applications, education and health care, data centers and communication, wastewater treatment, government, microgrids, food and beverage, and commercial and hospitality. The company primarily operates in the United States, South Korea, England, Germany, and Switzerland. FuelCell Energy, Inc. was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, Connecticut.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past trade ideas related to FCEL and Electrical Components & Equipment.
Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
09302025 | FCN | FTI Consulting | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.5% | -2.5% | -2.5% |
09122025 | ODFL | Old Dominion Freight Line | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -6.5% | -6.5% | -7.3% |
08312025 | EFX | Equifax | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -7.3% | -7.3% | -8.5% |
08312025 | UHAL | U-Haul | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -2.8% | -2.8% | -5.6% |
08312025 | BWXT | BWX Technologies | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 24.9% | 24.9% | -1.2% |
Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
09302025 | FCN | FTI Consulting | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.5% | -2.5% | -2.5% |
09122025 | ODFL | Old Dominion Freight Line | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -6.5% | -6.5% | -7.3% |
08312025 | EFX | Equifax | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -7.3% | -7.3% | -8.5% |
08312025 | UHAL | U-Haul | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -2.8% | -2.8% | -5.6% |
08312025 | BWXT | BWX Technologies | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 24.9% | 24.9% | -1.2% |
See Trefis Trade Ideas for more.
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for FuelCell Energy
Financials
Median | |
---|---|
Name | |
Mkt Price | 17.05 |
Mkt Cap | 0.8 |
Rev LTM | 357 |
Op Inc LTM | 21 |
FCF LTM | 30 |
FCF 3Y Avg | 20 |
CFO LTM | 33 |
CFO 3Y Avg | 23 |
Growth & Margins
Median | |
---|---|
Name | |
Rev Chg LTM | 37.5% |
Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 16.8% |
Rev Chg Q | 39.4% |
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 8.6% |
Op Mgn LTM | 4.4% |
Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -1.8% |
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.5% |
CFO/Rev LTM | 9.5% |
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 3.1% |
FCF/Rev LTM | 8.4% |
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 2.3% |
Valuation
Median | |
---|---|
Name | |
Mkt Cap | 0.8 |
P/S | 1.8 |
P/EBIT | 14.9 |
P/E | 22.2 |
P/CFO | 16.1 |
Total Yield | 2.1% |
Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 0.7% |
D/E | 0.1 |
Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
Median | |
---|---|
Name | |
1M Rtn | 4.6% |
3M Rtn | 25.5% |
6M Rtn | 23.7% |
12M Rtn | 2.2% |
3Y Rtn | 75.6% |
1M Excs Rtn | 7.9% |
3M Excs Rtn | 16.1% |
6M Excs Rtn | 0.6% |
12M Excs Rtn | -9.9% |
3Y Excs Rtn | -12.9% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for MoreForward Returns | |||
---|---|---|---|
Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
9/9/2025 | 22.7% | 56.2% | 141.5% |
6/6/2025 | 24.4% | 21.5% | 7.7% |
3/11/2025 | 3.6% | -3.3% | -38.2% |
11/15/2024 | -12.1% | 13.0% | 54.8% |
9/5/2024 | 1.9% | 9.0% | -12.0% |
6/10/2024 | 12.6% | -5.7% | -31.0% |
3/7/2024 | -9.0% | -15.6% | -7.4% |
12/19/2023 | -4.6% | 15.0% | -23.9% |
... | |||
SUMMARY STATS | |||
# Positive | 9 | 9 | 7 |
# Negative | 14 | 14 | 16 |
Median Positive | 9.8% | 9.0% | 23.1% |
Median Negative | -10.1% | -11.1% | -17.7% |
Max Positive | 24.4% | 56.2% | 141.5% |
Max Negative | -22.9% | -37.2% | -39.4% |
SEC Filings
Expand for MoreReport Date | Filing Date | Filing |
---|---|---|
7312025 | 9092025 | 10-Q 7/31/2025 |
4302025 | 6062025 | 10-Q 4/30/2025 |
1312025 | 3112025 | 10-Q 1/31/2025 |
10312024 | 12272024 | 10-K 10/31/2024 |
7312024 | 9052024 | 10-Q 7/31/2024 |
4302024 | 6102024 | 10-Q 4/30/2024 |
1312024 | 3072024 | 10-Q 1/31/2024 |
10312023 | 12192023 | 10-K 10/31/2023 |
7312023 | 9112023 | 10-Q 7/31/2023 |
4302023 | 6082023 | 10-Q 4/30/2023 |
1312023 | 3092023 | 10-Q 1/31/2023 |
10312022 | 12202022 | 10-K 10/31/2022 |
7312022 | 9082022 | 10-Q 7/31/2022 |
4302022 | 6092022 | 10-Q 4/30/2022 |
1312022 | 3102022 | 10-Q 1/31/2022 |
10312021 | 12292021 | 10-K 10/31/2021 |
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