Ford Motor (F)
Market Price (12/24/2025): $13.29 | Market Cap: $52.9 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Automobile Manufacturers
Ford Motor (F)
Market Price (12/24/2025): $13.29Market Cap: $52.9 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Automobile Manufacturers
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, Dividend Yield is 3.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 8.1%, FCF Yield is 22% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -3.4%, Dist 3Y High is -3.4% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 231% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%, CFO LTM is 20 Bil, FCF LTM is 12 Bil | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -18%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -40% | Key risksF key risks include [1] substantial financial losses within its Model e electric vehicle division and [2] persistent product quality issues driving numerous and costly vehicle recalls. |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 33% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, Automation & Robotics, and Battery Technology & Metals. Themes include EV Manufacturing, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, Dividend Yield is 3.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 8.1%, FCF Yield is 22% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%, CFO LTM is 20 Bil, FCF LTM is 12 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 33% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, Automation & Robotics, and Battery Technology & Metals. Themes include EV Manufacturing, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -3.4%, Dist 3Y High is -3.4% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -18%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -40% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 231% |
| Key risksF key risks include [1] substantial financial losses within its Model e electric vehicle division and [2] persistent product quality issues driving numerous and costly vehicle recalls. |
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
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Here are the key points explaining the 14.2% stock movement for Ford Motor (F) from August 31, 2025, to December 24, 2025: 1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results. Ford reported better-than-expected third-quarter 2025 financial results on October 23, 2025, with revenue increasing by 9% year-over-year to $50.5 billion and earnings per share (EPS) of $0.45, surpassing analyst forecasts.2. Strategic Pivot Towards Hybrids and Smaller Electric Vehicles. In mid-December 2025, Ford announced a significant strategic shift, moving away from larger electric vehicles and re-focusing on hybrids, smaller, more affordable EVs, and leveraging its manufacturing footprint to add trucks and vans. This move was viewed positively by investors as a more realistic and potentially profitable path for the company.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 14.6% change in F stock from 9/23/2025 to 12/23/2025 was primarily driven by a 45.9% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| 9232025 | 12232025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 11.60 | 13.29 | 14.61% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 185250.00 | 189588.00 | 2.34% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 1.70% | 2.48% | 45.93% |
| P/E Multiple | 14.65 | 11.25 | -23.20% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 3980.00 | 3983.00 | -0.08% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 14.61% |
Market Drivers
9/23/2025 to 12/23/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| F | 14.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 3.7% | 33.1% |
| Sector (XLY) | 2.7% | 32.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 27.0% change in F stock from 6/24/2025 to 12/23/2025 was primarily driven by a 35.9% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| 6242025 | 12232025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 10.47 | 13.29 | 26.97% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 182874.00 | 189588.00 | 3.67% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 2.74% | 2.48% | -9.54% |
| P/E Multiple | 8.28 | 11.25 | 35.90% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 3968.00 | 3983.00 | -0.38% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 26.97% |
Market Drivers
6/24/2025 to 12/23/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| F | 27.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 13.7% | 35.4% |
| Sector (XLY) | 13.5% | 39.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 44.2% change in F stock from 12/23/2024 to 12/23/2025 was primarily driven by a 28.5% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| 12232024 | 12232025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 9.22 | 13.29 | 44.15% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 182743.00 | 189588.00 | 3.75% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 1.93% | 2.48% | 28.54% |
| P/E Multiple | 10.39 | 11.25 | 8.29% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 3976.00 | 3983.00 | -0.18% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 44.15% |
Market Drivers
12/23/2024 to 12/23/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| F | 44.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.7% | 49.5% |
| Sector (XLY) | 7.3% | 54.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 48.4% change in F stock from 12/24/2022 to 12/23/2025 was primarily driven by a 181.5% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| 12242022 | 12232025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 8.95 | 13.29 | 48.42% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 151736.00 | 189588.00 | 24.95% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 5.94% | 2.48% | -58.21% |
| P/E Multiple | 4.00 | 11.25 | 181.54% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 4021.00 | 3983.00 | 0.95% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 48.41% |
Market Drivers
12/24/2023 to 12/23/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| F | 23.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 48.4% | 44.0% |
| Sector (XLY) | 38.2% | 47.1% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| F Return | -4% | 137% | -42% | 16% | -13% | 46% | 94% |
| Peers Return | 153% | 48% | -24% | 34% | 19% | 21% | 449% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 17% | 114% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| F Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 33% | 58% | 50% | 83% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 57% | 62% | 35% | 55% | 57% | 58% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| F Max Drawdown | -56% | -3% | -46% | -9% | -17% | -9% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -44% | -9% | -38% | -16% | -17% | -24% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GM, PCAR, HOG, TSLA, F. See F Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/23/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | F | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -61.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 157.8% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -57.4% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 134.9% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 246 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -42.3% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 73.4% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 809 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -86.9% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 665.1% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 394 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to GM, PCAR, HOG, TSLA, F
In The Past
Ford Motor's stock fell -61.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/14/2022. A -61.2% loss requires a 157.8% gain to breakeven.
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Ford Motor Company designs, manufactures, markets, and services a range of Ford trucks, cars, sport utility vehicles, electrified vehicles, and Lincoln luxury vehicles worldwide. It operates through three segments: Automotive, Mobility, and Ford Credit. The Automotive segment sells Ford and Lincoln vehicles, service parts, and accessories through distributors and dealers, as well as through dealerships to commercial fleet customers, daily rental car companies, and governments. The Mobility segment designs and builds mobility services; and provides self-driving systems development services. The Ford Credit segment primarily engages in vehicle-related financing and leasing activities to and through automotive dealers. It provides retail installment sale contracts for new and used vehicles; and direct financing leases for new vehicles to retail and commercial customers, such as leasing companies, government entities, daily rental companies, and fleet customers. This segment also offers wholesale loans to dealers to finance the purchase of vehicle inventory; and loans to dealers to finance working capital and enhance dealership facilities, purchase dealership real estate, and other dealer vehicle programs. The company has a strategic collaboration with ARB Corporation Limited to develop a suite of aftermarket products for the new Ford Bronco. Ford Motor Company was incorporated in 1903 and is based in Dearborn, Michigan.
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Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Ford Motor Company:
- The American Toyota, but renowned for its best-selling F-150 trucks and iconic Mustang sports car.
- General Motors' primary American competitor, legendary for its F-Series trucks, the Mustang, and as a pioneer of the automotive assembly line.
- Like Volkswagen, but an iconic American automaker famous for its F-Series trucks, Mustang, and its ambitious electric vehicle push.
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- Trucks: A leading line of pickup trucks, including the best-selling F-Series, designed for work and personal use.
- SUVs and Crossovers: A diverse range of sport utility vehicles, from compact to full-size, such as the Escape, Explorer, and Bronco.
- Commercial Vans: A full line of cargo and passenger vans, like the Transit series, serving various business and utility needs.
- Performance Vehicles: Iconic sports cars and high-performance models, most notably the Mustang, known for their powerful engines and driving dynamics.
- Electric Vehicles: A growing portfolio of battery-electric versions of popular models, including the F-150 Lightning pickup and Mustang Mach-E SUV.
- Luxury Vehicles (Lincoln Brand): A premium line of SUVs and sedans offered under the Lincoln brand, such as the Navigator and Aviator.
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Ford Motor Company (symbol: F) primarily sells its vehicles through a global network of independent dealerships to various end-user customers. While these dealerships are direct purchasers from Ford, the ultimate major customers of Ford's products can be categorized as follows:
- Individual Consumers: Private citizens who purchase Ford vehicles for personal and family transportation. This includes buyers of popular models such as SUVs (e.g., Explorer, Escape, Bronco), trucks (e.g., F-150, Ranger), and sedans. This segment represents a substantial portion of Ford's sales volume.
- Commercial Businesses and Fleets: Companies of all sizes that acquire Ford vehicles for operational purposes. This segment includes small businesses (e.g., contractors purchasing Transit vans or F-Series trucks), large corporations (e.g., utility companies, delivery services requiring fleet vehicles), and rental car companies.
- Government Agencies and Public Sector: Federal, state, and local government entities, as well as emergency services (e.g., police departments, fire departments, ambulance services) that purchase Ford vehicles for official and public service use, often including specialized models like the Ford Police Interceptor Utility.
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Jim Farley, President & CEO
Jim Farley became President and CEO of Ford Motor Company in October 2020. Prior to this, he served as Ford's COO and CEO of Ford Europe. He joined Ford in 2007 as vice president of marketing and communication. Before joining Ford, Farley spent 17 years at Toyota, where he helped launch the Lexus luxury brand and later led the launch of the Toyota Scion, also serving as group vice president and general manager of the Lexus division. His career in automobiles was influenced by his grandfather, an early employee at Henry Ford's River Rouge Plant. He has been a board member of Harley-Davidson since July 2021.
Sherry House, Chief Financial Officer
Sherry House was appointed Ford's Chief Financial Officer, effective February 6, 2025. She previously served as Ford's Vice President of Finance since June 2024. Before her tenure at Ford, House was the CFO at Lucid Motors from 2020 to 2023 and held various positions at Waymo, Alphabet's autonomous driving subsidiary. She brings a strong background in mobility, investment banking, and growth-stage finance.
William Clay Ford Jr., Executive Chairman
William Clay Ford Jr., great-grandson of company founder Henry Ford, has served as the Executive Chairman of Ford Motor Company since 1999. He also held the position of CEO of the company from 2001 to 2006. He joined Ford in 1979, holding various positions across manufacturing, sales, marketing, product development, and finance. He is also the vice chairman of the Detroit Lions NFL franchise.
Kumar Galhotra, Chief Operating Officer
Kumar Galhotra was named Chief Operating Officer in October 2023. In this role, he leads Ford's global industrial system, which includes product development, supply chain management, quality, manufacturing, and Ford Performance. Prior to becoming COO, he served as president of Ford Blue, president of Ford Americas, and the company's International Markets Group. He also held roles as group vice president of Lincoln and chief marketing officer for Ford Motor Company. Galhotra joined Ford in 1988, serving in various leadership positions in product development and product strategy.
Doug Field, Chief EV, Digital, and Design Officer
Doug Field is Ford's Chief EV, Digital, and Design Officer. In this role, he drives innovation in electric vehicles, digital platforms, and software, and leads the company's vehicle and digital design studios. Before rejoining Ford, Field served as Vice President of Special Projects at Apple and Senior Vice President of Engineering at Tesla, where he led the development of the Model 3. He began his career as a development engineer at Ford from 1987 to 1993.
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Here are the key risks to Ford Motor Company (F):
- Profitability Challenges in the Electric Vehicle (EV) Segment: Ford's Model e division, dedicated to electric vehicles, is facing substantial financial losses. The company anticipates losses for Model e to be between $5.0 billion and $5.5 billion for the full 2025 fiscal year. This is driven by slower-than-expected demand for EVs, significant pricing pressure, and high investment costs in next-generation products, leading Ford to recalibrate its EV production targets and strategy towards hybrid models.
- Product Quality Issues and Costly Recalls: Ford continues to grapple with persistent product quality issues, resulting in numerous and expensive vehicle recalls. In 2025, Ford issued a record 109 recalls in the U.S., affecting millions of vehicles globally. These recalls strain short-term earnings, entail direct repair costs, logistical challenges, potential litigation risks, and significantly impact brand credibility and investor confidence.
- Intense Competition and Shifting Market Dynamics: Ford operates in a highly competitive global automotive market, facing significant challenges from both established rivals like General Motors and emerging players, particularly in the electric vehicle space, such as Tesla. The company must contend with shifting consumer preferences, pricing pressures across vehicle segments, and broader industry headwinds, including potential trade tariffs and supply chain vulnerabilities, which require continuous innovation and strategic adaptation.
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- Rapid Global Expansion of Chinese EV Manufacturers: Companies like BYD, Nio, and XPeng are rapidly expanding their footprint globally beyond China, particularly in Europe and Southeast Asia. They bring significant advantages in cost, battery technology, vertical integration, and speed of innovation. While direct entry into the US market is currently challenging due to tariffs and political factors, their success in other major markets directly impacts Ford's global market share, economies of scale, and ability to compete on price and features in the burgeoning EV segment. BYD surpassing Tesla in Q4 2023 global EV sales is strong evidence of their emerging dominance and threat to established OEMs.
- The Rise of Software-Defined Vehicles (SDVs) and Associated Monetization Models: The automotive industry is shifting towards vehicles where software dictates much of the user experience, performance, and features, with continuous improvement through over-the-air (OTA) updates and new revenue streams from subscription services. Companies like Tesla have demonstrated the power of this model. If Ford struggles to fully transform its development processes to become primarily software-centric, and to successfully integrate and monetize advanced software features and connectivity services, it risks falling behind competitors who excel in this area, leading to eroded customer loyalty and missed revenue opportunities. This is a clear paradigm shift that is actively underway.
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Ford Motor Company's main products address several significant automotive markets. The size of these addressable markets, by region, is detailed below:
- Global Automotive Market: The global automotive market was valued at USD 3.19 trillion in 2022 and is projected to reach USD 5.37 trillion by 2032, growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.40%.
- U.S. Automotive Market: In the U.S., the automotive market was valued at USD 411.3 billion in 2022 and is projected to grow to USD 550.5 billion by 2028, with a CAGR of 5.0%.
- Global Electric Vehicle (EV) Market: The global EV market was valued at USD 507.7 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach USD 2,058.4 billion by 2032, exhibiting a CAGR of 16.9%.
- U.S. Electric Vehicle (EV) Market: The U.S. EV market was valued at USD 105.8 billion in 2022 and is projected to reach USD 457.1 billion by 2032, demonstrating a CAGR of 15.9%.
- Global SUV Market: The global SUV market size was valued at USD 928.85 billion in 2022 and is projected to reach USD 2,056.24 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 10.4%.
- U.S. Pickup Truck Market: The U.S. pickup truck market generated a revenue of USD 141.975 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 166.019 billion by 2030.
- Global Commercial Vehicle Market: The global commercial vehicle market was valued at USD 1,079.1 billion in 2022 and is projected to reach USD 1,842.6 billion by 2030, with a CAGR of 6.9%.
- U.S. Commercial Vehicle Market: The U.S. commercial vehicle market size was valued at USD 581.31 billion in 2022 and is projected to grow to USD 1,276.0 billion by 2030, at a CAGR of 10.4%.
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Ford Motor Company (F) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key initiatives:
- Continued Growth of Ford Pro: The commercial vehicle and services business, Ford Pro, is consistently highlighted as a significant revenue and profitability driver for the company. Ford Pro focuses on providing work-ready vehicles and a suite of software, charging, and service solutions, which is expected to continue expanding its customer base and service offerings.
- Expansion of Hybrid and Next-Generation Electrified Vehicle Offerings: Ford anticipates strong demand for hybrid vehicles, planning to significantly expand its hybrid lineup across its most popular models. Concurrently, while navigating the initial challenges of EV profitability, the company is strategically investing in and developing next-generation electric vehicles designed for greater efficiency and software integration, aiming for sustained long-term growth in the electrified segment.
- Launch of New and Refreshed Profitable Trucks and SUVs: Ford continues to leverage its strength in high-margin trucks and SUVs. The introduction of new and updated models, such as the next-generation Ranger and refreshed Explorer and Expedition, is expected to maintain strong sales volumes and contribute significantly to top-line growth.
- Growth in Software and Connected Services: Ford is focused on increasing recurring revenue streams by expanding its software and connected services. This initiative, particularly within the Ford Pro segment, aims to provide valuable digital services to customers, enhancing vehicle utility and creating new avenues for revenue generation beyond vehicle sales.
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Share Repurchases
- Ford Motor Company has not engaged in significant share repurchases since 2019, prioritizing investments in growth initiatives.
Share Issuance
- In March 2021, Ford issued $2.3 billion in 0% convertible notes due 2026.
- Ford raised $1.7 billion through an equity offering in August 2020.
- In December 2021, Ford issued $2.5 billion in green bonds, with proceeds allocated for environmental projects, including electric vehicle development.
Outbound Investments
- Ford made substantial investments in its autonomous vehicle technology unit, Argo AI, before its wind-down in October 2022, resulting in a pre-tax non-cash impairment of $2.7 billion.
- Ford, through its joint venture BlueOval SK with SK On, is investing billions in the construction of battery manufacturing plants in Kentucky and Tennessee to support its electric vehicle production.
Capital Expenditures
- Ford's capital expenditures were $6.2 billion in 2021, $8.1 billion in 2022, and $8.8 billion in 2023.
- Expected capital expenditures for 2024 are projected to be between $8.0 billion and $9.0 billion.
- The primary focus of these capital expenditures is accelerating the development and manufacturing of electric vehicles, scaling battery production capabilities, and modernizing facilities, particularly for the Ford Model e and Ford Pro segments.
Latest Trefis Analyses
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|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to F. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.6% | 10.6% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | -0.1% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.6% | 2.6% | -4.4% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 19.5% | 19.5% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.9% | 3.9% | -1.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
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Peer Comparisons for Ford Motor
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 82.75 |
| Mkt Cap | 58.8 |
| Rev LTM | 95,633 |
| Op Inc LTM | 3,619 |
| FCF LTM | 3,194 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 3,005 |
| CFO LTM | 15,748 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 14,130 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -1.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 7.8% |
| Rev Chg Q | 9.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 5.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 8.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -1.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 12.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 13.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 7.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 4.9% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 58.8 |
| P/S | 0.5 |
| P/EBIT | 14.0 |
| P/E | 21.8 |
| P/CFO | 4.5 |
| Total Yield | 8.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 3.4% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 6.1% |
| D/E | 1.7 |
| Net D/E | 1.3 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 9.9% |
| 3M Rtn | 14.6% |
| 6M Rtn | 27.0% |
| 12M Rtn | 12.8% |
| 3Y Rtn | 86.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 5.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 11.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 16.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -6.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 11.4% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ford Blue | 140,627 | 130,782 | |||
| Ford Pro | 58,058 | 48,939 | |||
| Ford Credit | 10,290 | 8,978 | 10,073 | 11,203 | 12,260 |
| Ford Model e | 6,526 | 5,374 | |||
| Ford Next | 3 | 99 | 118 | 47 | 41 |
| Unallocated Amounts and Eliminations | -39,313 | -36,141 | |||
| Corporate Other | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Interest on Debt | 0 | 0 | |||
| Special Items | 0 | 0 | |||
| Adjustments | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| Automotive | 126,150 | 115,894 | 143,599 | ||
| Total | 176,191 | 158,057 | 136,341 | 127,144 | 155,900 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ford Credit | 148,521 | 137,954 | 134,428 | 157,637 | 160,697 |
| Ford Blue | 58,990 | 56,023 | |||
| Unallocated Amounts and Eliminations | 49,002 | -1,527 | |||
| Ford Model e | 13,648 | 5,285 | |||
| Ford Pro | 2,942 | 2,177 | |||
| Ford Next | 207 | 392 | 3,325 | 3,459 | 1,034 |
| Corporate Other | 55,580 | 51,730 | 45,410 | 0 | |
| Interest on Debt | 0 | ||||
| Special Items | 0 | ||||
| Adjustments | -1,417 | -1,986 | -4,542 | ||
| Automotive | 68,969 | 62,741 | 101,348 | ||
| Total | 273,310 | 255,884 | 257,035 | 267,261 | 258,537 |
Price Behavior
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $13.29 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 52.9 | |
| First Trading Date | 06/01/1972 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -3.4% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $12.98 | $11.18 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 2.4% | 18.9% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 37.7% | 33.3% |
| Downside Capture | 87.37 | 76.19 |
| Upside Capture | 137.13 | 100.49 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 33.5% | 49.7% |
F Betas & Captures as of 11/30/2025
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.10 | 0.99 | 0.97 | 1.05 | 0.83 | 1.09 |
| Up Beta | 0.16 | 0.20 | 0.74 | 1.19 | 0.97 | 1.14 |
| Down Beta | 1.26 | 1.15 | 1.08 | 1.23 | 0.64 | 0.90 |
| Up Capture | 153% | 153% | 121% | 113% | 87% | 119% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 12 | 25 | 38 | 73 | 141 | 426 |
| Stock +ve Days | 11 | 22 | 31 | 70 | 132 | 393 |
| Down Capture | 119% | 87% | 80% | 73% | 84% | 105% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 16 | 24 | 52 | 107 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 8 | 19 | 30 | 52 | 110 | 341 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Comparison of F With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 47.3% | 7.8% | 18.8% | 72.9% | 9.0% | 3.7% | -11.4% |
| Annualized Volatility | 33.1% | 24.3% | 19.5% | 19.2% | 15.3% | 17.2% | 35.0% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.20 | 0.25 | 0.76 | 2.72 | 0.36 | 0.05 | -0.14 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 54.3% | 49.5% | -4.0% | 14.5% | 49.1% | 26.2% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLY, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Comparison of F With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 13.8% | 9.9% | 14.8% | 18.9% | 11.8% | 4.7% | 35.5% |
| Annualized Volatility | 39.5% | 23.8% | 17.1% | 15.5% | 18.7% | 18.9% | 48.9% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.44 | 0.38 | 0.70 | 0.98 | 0.51 | 0.16 | 0.62 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 54.5% | 53.0% | 3.6% | 17.9% | 47.9% | 20.3% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLY, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Comparison of F With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 5.2% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 15.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 69.1% |
| Annualized Volatility | 36.7% | 22.0% | 18.0% | 14.8% | 17.6% | 20.8% | 55.8% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.25 | 0.55 | 0.71 | 0.85 | 0.31 | 0.23 | 0.90 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 58.1% | 56.8% | 0.1% | 24.4% | 50.4% | 14.4% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLY, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/23/2025 | 12.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% |
| 7/30/2025 | 1.8% | 3.1% | 9.2% |
| 5/5/2025 | 2.7% | 5.3% | 2.2% |
| 2/5/2025 | -7.5% | -7.8% | 2.1% |
| 10/28/2024 | -8.4% | -8.9% | -1.0% |
| 7/24/2024 | -18.4% | -20.8% | -18.9% |
| 4/24/2024 | 0.7% | -5.8% | -5.4% |
| 2/6/2024 | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 11 | 14 |
| # Negative | 12 | 13 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 2.6% | 3.8% | 9.0% |
| Median Negative | -8.0% | -7.6% | -9.6% |
| Max Positive | 12.2% | 20.1% | 28.0% |
| Max Negative | -18.4% | -20.8% | -26.6% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10242025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7312025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5062025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2062025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10292024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7252024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4252024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2072024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10272023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7282023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5032023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2032023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10272022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7282022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4282022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2042022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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