Tearsheet

Ford Motor (F)


Market Price (11/29/2025): $13.26 | Market Cap: $52.8 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Automobile Manufacturers

Ford Motor (F)


Market Price (11/29/2025): $13.26
Market Cap: $52.8 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Automobile Manufacturers

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 14%, Dividend Yield is 3.8%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 9.5%, FCF Yield is 25%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -3.6%, Dist 3Y High is -3.6%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 257%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%, CFO LTM is 20 Bil, FCF LTM is 12 Bil
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -1.8%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -53%
 
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 34%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, Automation & Robotics, and Battery Technology & Metals. Themes include EV Manufacturing, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 14%, Dividend Yield is 3.8%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 9.5%, FCF Yield is 25%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%, CFO LTM is 20 Bil, FCF LTM is 12 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 34%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, Automation & Robotics, and Battery Technology & Metals. Themes include EV Manufacturing, Show more.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -3.6%, Dist 3Y High is -3.6%
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -1.8%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -53%
6 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 257%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

F Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining the 22.1% stock movement for Ford Motor (F) from July 31, 2025, to November 29, 2025: 1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Performance: Ford Motor Company reported robust third-quarter 2025 financial results, with revenue increasing 9% year-over-year to $50.5 billion and net income reaching $2.4 billion. The adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.45 significantly surpassed Wall Street expectations of $0.35, contributing to an initial stock surge of over 11% in after-hours trading following the announcement.

2. Exceeding Revenue Expectations: The company's reported revenue of $50.5 billion for Q3 2025 also notably beat the forecasted $46.91 billion, indicating stronger-than-anticipated sales and market demand. This top-line outperformance played a crucial role in boosting investor confidence during the period.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
F Return-4%137%-42%16%-13%43%90%
Peers Return5%10%-3%11%9%5%42%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%111%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
F Win Rate58%75%33%58%50%80% 
Peers Win Rate30%33%25%30%35%35% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
F Max Drawdown-56%-3%-46%-9%-17%-9% 
Peers Max Drawdown-30%-5%-15%-12%-5%-13% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GM, PCAR, HOG, EMPD, SBLX. See F Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/26/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventFS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-61.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven157.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-57.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven134.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven246 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-42.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven73.4%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven809 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-86.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven665.1%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven394 days1480 days

Compare to GM, PCAR, HOG, EMPD, SBLX


In The Past

Ford Motor's stock fell -61.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/14/2022. A -61.2% loss requires a 157.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Ford Motor (F)

Better Bets than Ford Motor (F)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to F. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
LRN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-6.2%-6.2%-7.8%
DECK_10312025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10312025DECKDeckers OutdoorDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
7.0%7.0%-2.4%
ATGE_10312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10312025ATGEAdtalem Global EducationQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-5.6%-5.6%-8.8%
GNTX_10242025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10242025GNTXGentexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-3.8%-3.8%-7.7%
LNW_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025LNWLight & WonderDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.4%12.4%-6.2%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
LRN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-6.2%-6.2%-7.8%
DECK_10312025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10312025DECKDeckers OutdoorDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
7.0%7.0%-2.4%
ATGE_10312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10312025ATGEAdtalem Global EducationQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-5.6%-5.6%-8.8%
GNTX_10242025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10242025GNTXGentexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-3.8%-3.8%-7.7%
LNW_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025LNWLight & WonderDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.4%12.4%-6.2%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Ford Motor

Peers to compare with:

Financials

FGMPCARHOGEMPDSBLXMedian
NameFord Mot.General .PACCAR Harley-D.Empery D.StableX . 
Mkt Price13.1972.81104.9524.405.183.5318.79
Mkt Cap52.568.755.22.9--53.9
Rev LTM189,588187,43529,5324,6654017,098
Op Inc LTM3,6198,0783,365554-24-181,960
FCF LTM11,897-1,7493,194392-15-13189
FCF 3Y Avg7,967-2,9493,005546-23-21262
CFO LTM20,42624,2124,717550-15-132,634
CFO 3Y Avg16,30622,2524,450736-23-192,593

Growth & Margins

FGMPCARHOGEMPDSBLXMedian
NameFord Mot.General .PACCAR Harley-D.Empery D.StableX . 
Rev Chg LTM3.7%2.6%-15.2%-16.0%-1.2%-87.2%-8.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg7.8%8.6%3.8%-5.7%-0.7%-53.0%1.6%
Rev Chg Q9.4%-0.3%-19.0%16.5%-25.3%-100.0%-9.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.3%-0.1%-5.0%4.2%-6.4%-71.2%-2.6%
Op Mgn LTM1.9%4.3%11.4%11.9%-674.5%-27,779.9%3.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg2.7%5.8%14.4%12.0%-795.9%-11,400.6%4.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.3%-1.4%-1.0%7.7%1.4%-18,327.3%-0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM10.8%12.9%16.0%11.8%-430.4%-20,878.1%11.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg8.9%12.3%13.7%13.6%-722.0%-8,917.3%10.6%
FCF/Rev LTM6.3%-0.9%10.8%8.4%-437.8%-20,935.3%2.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg4.3%-1.6%9.2%10.1%-740.5%-9,100.6%1.4%

Valuation

FGMPCARHOGEMPDSBLXMedian
NameFord Mot.General .PACCAR Harley-D.Empery D.StableX . 
Mkt Cap52.568.755.22.9--53.9
P/S0.30.31.80.7--0.5
P/EBIT7.310.315.45.1--8.8
P/E10.118.919.26.7--14.5
P/CFO2.32.411.06.1--4.2
Total Yield13.6%6.4%9.6%17.5%--11.6%
Dividend Yield3.8%1.1%4.4%2.6%--3.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg17.2%-5.8%6.1%12.4%--9.3%
D/E3.52.30.31.5--1.9
Net D/E2.61.80.11.0--1.4

Returns

FGMPCARHOGEMPDSBLXMedian
NameFord Mot.General .PACCAR Harley-D.Empery D.StableX . 
1M Rtn0.8%5.3%7.2%-9.5%-25.0%-22.9%-4.3%
3M Rtn13.4%24.3%5.3%-15.7%-26.5%-42.2%-5.2%
6M Rtn30.3%47.6%12.6%2.1%--21.4%
12M Rtn27.6%32.6%-5.8%-25.8%--10.9%
3Y Rtn21.7%89.0%71.4%-43.6%--46.5%
1M Excs Rtn2.8%5.3%7.3%-9.7%-24.1%-22.1%-3.5%
3M Excs Rtn9.2%20.0%-0.2%-19.6%-30.7%-48.7%-9.9%
6M Excs Rtn17.1%35.5%-3.2%-13.9%--6.9%
12M Excs Rtn12.6%11.6%-18.8%-39.5%---3.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-52.5%17.7%-1.3%-117.0%---26.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Ford Blue140,627130,782   
Ford Pro58,05848,939   
Ford Credit10,2908,97810,07311,20312,260
Ford Model e6,5265,374   
Ford Next3991184741
Unallocated Amounts and Eliminations-39,313-36,141   
Corporate Other 26000
Interest on Debt 00  
Special Items 00  
Adjustments  000
Automotive  126,150115,894143,599
Total176,191158,057136,341127,144155,900


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Ford Credit148,521137,954134,428157,637160,697
Ford Blue58,99056,023   
Unallocated Amounts and Eliminations49,002-1,527   
Ford Model e13,6485,285   
Ford Pro2,9422,177   
Ford Next2073923,3253,4591,034
Corporate Other 55,58051,73045,4100
Interest on Debt 0   
Special Items 0   
Adjustments  -1,417-1,986-4,542
Automotive  68,96962,741101,348
Total273,310255,884257,035267,261258,537


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity179,178,846
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120251.2%
Average Daily Volume73,526,475
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.44
Basic Shares Quantity3,983,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares4.5%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/23/202512.2%5.8%5.2%
7/30/20251.8%3.1%9.2%
5/5/20252.7%5.3%2.2%
2/5/2025-7.5%-7.8%2.1%
10/28/2024-8.4%-8.9%-1.0%
7/24/2024-18.4%-20.8%-18.9%
4/24/20240.7%-5.8%-5.4%
2/6/20246.0%5.1%5.6%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121114
# Negative121310
Median Positive2.6%3.8%9.0%
Median Negative-8.0%-7.6%-9.6%
Max Positive12.2%20.1%28.0%
Max Negative-18.4%-20.8%-26.6%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251024202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025731202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025506202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024206202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241029202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024725202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024425202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023207202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231027202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023728202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023503202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022203202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221027202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022728202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022428202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021204202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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