Tearsheet

Etsy (ETSY)


Market Price (12/14/2025): $53.73 | Market Cap: $5.3 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Broadline Retail

Etsy (ETSY)


Market Price (12/14/2025): $53.73
Market Cap: $5.3 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Broadline Retail

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -81%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -132%
 
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 9.6%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 18%
 
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Social Media & Creator Economy, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Show more.
  
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 9.6%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Social Media & Creator Economy, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -81%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -132%
4 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 18%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ETSY Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points highlighting why Etsy's stock (ETSY) moved by 1.6% for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 14, 2025: **1. End of "De Minimis" Exemption Affected Cross-Border Sales.** A presidential executive order eliminated the "de minimis" exemption for imported goods under $800, effective August 29, 2025, impacting cross-border sales for e-commerce platforms like Etsy. This change caused Etsy's stock to decline by over 8% on August 25, 2025. **2. Transfer of Stock Listing to NYSE Generated a Significant Pop.** Etsy announced on September 29, 2025, its intention to transfer its common stock listing from the Nasdaq Stock Market to the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), with trading commencing on the NYSE on October 13, 2025. This news led to a substantial 15.8% surge in Etsy's shares on the day of the announcement. **3. Mixed Q3 2025 Earnings and CEO Transition Led to Volatility.** On October 29, 2025, Etsy reported better-than-expected Q3 2025 revenue of $678 million and GAAP earnings per share of $0.63, surpassing analyst estimates. However, the report also revealed a decline in active buyers and sellers, alongside an announcement that CEO Josh Silverman would step down at year-end, to be succeeded by Chief Growth Officer Kruti Patel Goyal. These combined factors resulted in an immediate 12% drop in the stock. **4. Positive Momentum from the Holiday Shopping Season Started Strong.** November 2025 marked a strong start to the holiday shopping season for Etsy, with average daily sales climbing 45.7% from October. This surge pushed total monthly orders to approximately 50.2 million. Categories like Bags & Purses and Home & Living experienced significant month-over-month growth, contributing to positive market sentiment towards the end of the period. **5. Continued Investment in AI-powered Tools and Seller Support.** Throughout the period, Etsy continued to roll out various updates and AI-powered tools aimed at streamlining seller workflows, enhancing buyer communication, and improving overall platform efficiency. These initiatives, including updated listing title guidance and a writing assistant for buyer messages, are part of Etsy's strategic focus on personalization and seller empowerment for sustained growth.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ETSY Return302%23%-45%-32%-35%1%21%
Peers Return99%22%-55%76%37%45%284%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%111%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ETSY Win Rate83%50%25%42%33%33% 
Peers Win Rate60%55%27%65%58%62% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ETSY Max Drawdown-28%-12%-68%-49%-41%-23% 
Peers Max Drawdown-37%-7%-60%-3%-17%-25% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AMZN, EBAY, SHOP, W, WSM. See ETSY Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/12/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventETSYS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-79.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven389.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-49.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven97.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven31 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-44.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven79.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven147 days120 days

Compare to AMZN, WMT, COST, EBAY, LULU


In The Past

Etsy's stock fell -79.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/24/2021. A -79.6% loss requires a 389.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

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About Etsy (ETSY)

Better Bets than Etsy (ETSY)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ETSY. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
15.2%15.2%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.1%1.1%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.4%12.4%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
17.9%17.9%-1.6%
ETSY_9122025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09122025ETSYEtsyDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-8.6%-8.6%-12.5%
ETSY_12312024_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield12312024ETSYEtsyDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.9%1.8%-22.9%
ETSY_1312024_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield01312024ETSYEtsyDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.1%-15.8%-28.7%
ETSY_5312023_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield05312023ETSYEtsyDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.8%-24.2%-26.9%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
15.2%15.2%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.1%1.1%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.4%12.4%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
17.9%17.9%-1.6%
ETSY_9122025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09122025ETSYEtsyDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-8.6%-8.6%-12.5%
ETSY_12312024_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield12312024ETSYEtsyDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.9%1.8%-22.9%
ETSY_1312024_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield01312024ETSYEtsyDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.1%-15.8%-28.7%
ETSY_5312023_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield05312023ETSYEtsyDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.8%-24.2%-26.9%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Etsy

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ETSYAMZNEBAYSHOPWWSMMedian
NameEtsy Amazon.c.eBay Shopify Wayfair Williams. 
Mkt Price53.86226.1985.36164.1997.31187.59130.75
Mkt Cap5.42,406.039.4213.512.723.731.5
Rev LTM2,854670,03810,47010,69612,2417,91210,583
Op Inc LTM39476,1902,2381,681-581,4681,575
FCF LTM63513,4811,4091,9032861,1061,257
FCF 3Y Avg66421,6771,7621,295821,1711,233
CFO LTM691121,1371,9121,9234941,3511,632
CFO 3Y Avg70996,9772,2441,3223651,4081,365

Growth & Margins

ETSYAMZNEBAYSHOPWWSMMedian
NameEtsy Amazon.c.eBay Shopify Wayfair Williams. 
Rev Chg LTM2.0%10.9%2.7%30.2%3.4%5.1%4.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg4.9%11.3%1.5%26.8%-0.3%-3.0%3.2%
Rev Chg Q2.4%13.3%6.1%31.5%8.1%4.6%7.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.6%3.0%1.5%6.8%1.9%1.0%1.7%
Op Mgn LTM13.8%11.4%21.4%15.7%-0.5%18.6%14.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg13.2%7.9%21.2%7.6%-3.9%17.5%10.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.2%0.3%-1.0%0.4%1.0%-0.0%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM24.2%18.1%18.3%18.0%4.0%17.1%18.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg25.4%15.8%22.1%14.9%3.0%18.1%16.9%
FCF/Rev LTM22.3%2.0%13.5%17.8%2.3%14.0%13.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg23.8%3.5%17.4%14.5%0.7%15.1%14.8%

Valuation

ETSYAMZNEBAYSHOPWWSMMedian
NameEtsy Amazon.c.eBay Shopify Wayfair Williams. 
Mkt Cap5.42,406.039.4213.512.723.731.5
P/S2.33.54.018.10.93.03.2
P/EBIT15.927.415.1114.9-53.0-15.9
P/E36.233.119.2108.5-35.721.027.0
P/CFO9.519.321.9100.523.517.620.6
Total Yield2.8%3.0%6.5%0.9%-2.8%6.1%2.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%1.3%0.0%0.0%1.3%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg9.7%1.1%6.0%1.1%0.6%-1.1%
D/E0.50.10.20.00.3-0.2
Net D/E0.20.00.1-0.00.2-0.1

Returns

ETSYAMZNEBAYSHOPWWSMMedian
NameEtsy Amazon.c.eBay Shopify Wayfair Williams. 
1M Rtn-7.9%-4.8%1.5%12.2%-8.6%0.6%-2.1%
3M Rtn-8.6%-0.9%-5.7%14.5%11.1%-4.4%-2.6%
6M Rtn-3.8%6.6%11.1%55.9%111.1%22.7%16.9%
12M Rtn-8.7%-0.6%35.8%43.2%86.1%-2.7%17.6%
3Y Rtn-59.2%147.0%106.7%329.4%134.5%241.8%140.8%
1M Excs Rtn-15.4%-7.0%-2.1%5.2%-12.6%-1.9%-4.6%
3M Excs Rtn-10.0%-5.5%-8.4%7.8%7.7%-9.6%-6.9%
6M Excs Rtn-18.0%-7.6%-3.2%41.6%96.9%8.5%2.7%
12M Excs Rtn-21.5%-12.6%23.9%31.6%64.8%-11.2%6.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-132.2%82.1%35.9%253.0%99.7%181.9%90.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment2,748    
Marketplace revenue 1,9111,7461,303594
Services revenue 655583422225
Total2,7482,5662,3291,726818


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity17,755,643
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520251.3%
Average Daily Volume3,637,839
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.88
Basic Shares Quantity99,334,000
Short % of Basic Shares17.9%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/29/2025-12.8%-22.1%-27.6%
7/30/20252.8%-7.2%-9.7%
4/30/2025-5.7%-2.2%14.9%
2/19/2025-10.1%-7.3%-21.9%
10/30/20247.2%10.6%14.3%
7/31/2024-7.6%-18.1%-14.8%
5/1/2024-15.1%-10.3%-9.0%
2/21/2024-8.4%-7.9%-11.7%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive10910
# Negative121312
Median Positive10.7%8.5%13.9%
Median Negative-8.0%-7.9%-14.3%
Max Positive16.2%24.7%60.5%
Max Negative-15.1%-22.1%-27.6%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251029202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025730202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025430202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024219202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241031202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023222202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022223202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022728202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021225202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Minor BradleyChief Marketing Officer11062025Sell57.813,095178,922426,233Form
1Colburn Richard Edward IIIChief Product & Tech Officer11062025Sell57.803,200184,960253,569Form