EOG Resources (EOG)
Market Price (11/28/2025): $106.28 | Market Cap: $57.5 BilSector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
EOG Resources (EOG)
Market Price (11/28/2025): $106.28Market Cap: $57.5 BilSector: EnergyIndustry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, Dividend Yield is 3.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 8.5%, FCF Yield is 6.4% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -57%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -87% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.0%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -7.6%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -2.3% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 45%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%, CFO LTM is 10 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.9 Bil | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 28% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include US Energy Independence, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include US LNG, US Oilfield Technologies, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, Dividend Yield is 3.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 8.5%, FCF Yield is 6.4% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 45%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%, CFO LTM is 10 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.9 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 28% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include US Energy Independence, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include US LNG, US Oilfield Technologies, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -57%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -87% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.0%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -7.6%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -2.3% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
EOG Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points for why EOG Resources' (EOG) stock moved by -10.7% from July 31, 2025, to November 28, 2025:
1. Declining Crude Oil Prices: Global crude oil prices, including both WTI and Brent benchmarks, experienced a significant downturn during the period, heading for a fourth consecutive monthly loss by November 2025. This decline was primarily driven by persistent oversupply concerns and forecasts of sluggish demand, which negatively impacted the broader energy sector and oil-related stocks like EOG.
2. Multiple Analyst Downgrades and Price Target Reductions: Several financial institutions issued downgrades or lowered their price targets for EOG Resources. Notably, Roth/MKM downgraded the stock from "Buy" to "Neutral" in early July 2025, citing concerns about global oil prices nearing a peak and potential oversupply in the latter half of the year. Later, Argus downgraded EOG from "buy" to "hold" in August 2025, and Scotiabank moved its rating from "Sector Outperform" to "Sector Perform" in September 2025. Various other analysts also reduced their price targets for EOG throughout the period.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| EOG Return | -39% | 89% | 57% | -2% | 4% | -11% | 65% |
| Peers Return | -37% | 78% | 54% | 5% | 7% | -9% | 77% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 15% | 109% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| EOG Win Rate | 33% | 75% | 67% | 50% | 58% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 45% | 63% | 65% | 55% | 48% | 48% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| EOG Max Drawdown | -64% | -0% | 0% | -20% | -9% | -14% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -69% | -3% | -2% | -16% | -10% | -21% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: COP, CNQ, OKE, EPM, BSM. See EOG Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/26/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | EOG | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -34.8% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 53.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 116 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -66.7% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 200.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 569 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -51.3% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 105.4% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 950 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -68.2% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 214.6% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1592 days | 1480 days |
Compare to COP, CNQ, OKE, EPM, BSM
In The Past
EOG Resources's stock fell -34.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/7/2022. A -34.8% loss requires a 53.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to EOG. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10172025 | OVV | Ovintiv | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.5% | 12.5% | 0.0% |
| 10102025 | COP | ConocoPhillips | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.3% | 0.3% | -2.3% |
| 10102025 | HAL | Halliburton | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 17.4% | 17.4% | -0.7% |
| 10102025 | OXY | Occidental Petroleum | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.7% | -1.7% | -5.7% |
| 10102025 | SLB | SLB | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.4% | 12.4% | 0.0% |
| 01312020 | EOG | EOG Resources | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -34.7% | -27.8% | -59.2% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10172025 | OVV | Ovintiv | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.5% | 12.5% | 0.0% |
| 10102025 | COP | ConocoPhillips | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.3% | 0.3% | -2.3% |
| 10102025 | HAL | Halliburton | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 17.4% | 17.4% | -0.7% |
| 10102025 | OXY | Occidental Petroleum | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.7% | -1.7% | -5.7% |
| 10102025 | SLB | SLB | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.4% | 12.4% | 0.0% |
| 01312020 | EOG | EOG Resources | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -34.7% | -27.8% | -59.2% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for EOG Resources
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 71.51 |
| Mkt Cap | 57.5 |
| Rev LTM | 31,564 |
| Op Inc LTM | 7,539 |
| FCF LTM | 3,891 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 5,167 |
| CFO LTM | 10,195 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 11,453 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 8.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -5.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | 6.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 20.3% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 21.9% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -1.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 33.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 35.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 13.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 15.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 57.5 |
| P/S | 1.8 |
| P/EBIT | 8.1 |
| P/E | 13.3 |
| P/CFO | 5.9 |
| Total Yield | 11.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 3.5% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 6.9% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 1.3% |
| 3M Rtn | -10.7% |
| 6M Rtn | -1.6% |
| 12M Rtn | -17.4% |
| 3Y Rtn | -12.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 2.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -15.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -16.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -33.5% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -86.6% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Single Segment | 23,182 | ||||
| Crude Oil and Condensate | 16,367 | 11,125 | 5,786 | 9,613 | |
| Gains (Losses) on Asset Dispositions, Net | 74 | 17 | -47 | 124 | |
| Gains on Mark-to-Market Financial Commodity and Other Derivative Contracts | -3,982 | -1,152 | 1,145 | 180 | |
| Gathering, Processing and Marketing | 6,696 | 4,288 | 2,583 | 5,360 | |
| Natural Gas | 3,781 | 2,444 | 837 | 1,184 | |
| Natural Gas Liquids | 2,648 | 1,812 | 668 | 785 | |
| Other, Net | 118 | 108 | 60 | 134 | |
| Total | 23,182 | 25,702 | 18,642 | 11,032 | 17,380 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/6/2025 | 0.4% | 4.0% | |
| 8/7/2025 | 0.3% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| 2/27/2025 | -2.8% | -6.4% | -3.1% |
| 11/7/2024 | 6.1% | 6.9% | 1.1% |
| 8/1/2024 | -0.2% | 3.0% | 4.6% |
| 5/2/2024 | -1.4% | -0.9% | -9.2% |
| 2/22/2024 | -3.9% | -1.7% | 7.3% |
| 11/2/2023 | -0.4% | -5.7% | -4.4% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 13 | 12 |
| # Negative | 11 | 10 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 5.0% | 3.4% | 10.2% |
| Median Negative | -2.8% | -1.7% | -4.0% |
| Max Positive | 8.0% | 13.7% | 44.9% |
| Max Negative | -8.5% | -6.8% | -40.0% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11062025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5012025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2272025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11072024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8012024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5022024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2222024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11022023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8032023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5042023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2232023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11032022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8042022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5052022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2242022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
