Tearsheet

eBay (EBAY)


Market Price (11/14/2025): $84.73 | Market Cap: $39.1 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Broadline Retail

eBay (EBAY)


Market Price (11/14/2025): $84.73
Market Cap: $39.1 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Broadline Retail

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.0%
  Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 3.7x
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 21%
  
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 38%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Fintech & Digital Payments, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.0%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 21%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 38%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Fintech & Digital Payments, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Show more.
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 3.7x

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

EBAY Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for why eBay's (EBAY) stock moved by -7.7% approximately between July 31, 2025, and November 14, 2025: 1. Initial Elevated Starting Point from Strong Q2 Performance.

On July 31, 2025, eBay's stock experienced a significant surge, increasing by 17-18% after reporting strong Q2 2025 results that surpassed market expectations and providing an optimistic forecast for Q3. This pushed the stock to a new 52-week high, establishing an elevated baseline from which the subsequent -7.7% movement occurred. 2. CEO's Clarification of Q4 2025 GMV Guidance.

On November 3, 2025, eBay issued a clarification regarding its Q4 2025 Gross Merchandise Volume (GMV) guidance. The CEO had mistakenly referred to the guidance as being for the "next year" instead of the "next quarter" during an interview, which might have introduced uncertainty among investors and prompted a re-evaluation of future growth expectations.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
EBAY Return41%34%-36%8%45%38%158%
Peers Return96%9%-18%31%30%-2%192%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%15%109%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
EBAY Win Rate50%58%33%50%58%70% 
Peers Win Rate65%55%37%65%63%48% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
EBAY Max Drawdown-27%0%-44%-7%-7%-3% 
Peers Max Drawdown-24%-14%-40%-17%-13%-25% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AMZN, WMT, TGT, FICO, ETSY. See EBAY Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/13/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventEBAYS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-54.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven118.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1026 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-31.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven46.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven32 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-43.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven76.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven527 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-74.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven295.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1137 days1480 days

Compare to AMZN, WMT, TGT, FICO, ETSY


In The Past

eBay's stock fell -54.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 10/22/2021. A -54.3% loss requires a 118.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About eBay (EBAY)

Interactive Breakdown

eBay Interactive Breakdown Analysis

Better Bets than eBay (EBAY)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to EBAY. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
LRN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-3.6%-3.6%-4.2%
DECK_10312025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10312025DECKDeckers OutdoorDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
3.5%3.5%-2.4%
ATGE_10312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10312025ATGEAdtalem Global EducationQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-1.2%-1.2%-5.9%
GNTX_10242025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10242025GNTXGentexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.4%-1.4%-2.5%
LNW_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025LNWLight & WonderDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.2%13.2%-6.2%
EBAY_10102025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10102025EBAYeBayQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-0.9%-0.9%-8.7%
EBAY_6302022_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield06302022EBAYeBayDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.4%9.6%-11.2%
EBAY_10312018_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312018EBAYeBayDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
30.7%22.8%-10.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
LRN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-3.6%-3.6%-4.2%
DECK_10312025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10312025DECKDeckers OutdoorDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
3.5%3.5%-2.4%
ATGE_10312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10312025ATGEAdtalem Global EducationQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-1.2%-1.2%-5.9%
GNTX_10242025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10242025GNTXGentexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.4%-1.4%-2.5%
LNW_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025LNWLight & WonderDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.2%13.2%-6.2%
EBAY_10102025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10102025EBAYeBayQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-0.9%-0.9%-8.7%
EBAY_6302022_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield06302022EBAYeBayDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.4%9.6%-11.2%
EBAY_10312018_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312018EBAYeBayDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
30.7%22.8%-10.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for eBay

Financials

EBAYAMZNWMTTGTFICOETSYMedian
NameeBay Amazon.c.Walmart Target Fair Isa.Etsy  
Mkt Price84.43237.58102.5490.621,737.2758.4896.58
Mkt Cap38.92,527.1818.141.241.55.841.4
Rev LTM10,470670,038693,153105,6401,9912,85458,055
Op Inc LTM2,23876,19028,9885,4249363943,831
FCF LTM1,40913,48113,7532,9447396352,176
FCF 3Y Avg1,76221,67714,9863,2826046642,522
CFO LTM1,912121,13738,4386,3867796914,149
CFO 3Y Avg2,24496,97736,7077,4706277094,857

Growth & Margins

EBAYAMZNWMTTGTFICOETSYMedian
NameeBay Amazon.c.Walmart Target Fair Isa.Etsy  
Rev Chg LTM2.7%10.9%4.2%-1.5%15.9%2.0%3.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg1.5%11.3%5.7%-0.7%13.1%4.9%5.3%
Rev Chg Q6.1%13.3%4.8%-0.9%13.6%2.4%5.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.5%3.0%1.2%-0.2%3.2%0.6%1.4%
Op Mgn LTM21.4%11.4%4.2%5.1%47.0%13.8%12.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg21.2%7.9%4.0%5.1%44.0%13.2%10.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.0%0.3%-0.1%-0.3%1.1%-0.2%-0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM18.3%18.1%5.5%6.0%39.1%24.2%18.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg22.1%15.8%5.5%7.0%35.7%25.4%19.0%
FCF/Rev LTM13.5%2.0%2.0%2.8%37.1%22.3%8.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg17.4%3.5%2.3%3.1%34.4%23.8%10.5%

Valuation

EBAYAMZNWMTTGTFICOETSYMedian
NameeBay Amazon.c.Walmart Target Fair Isa.Etsy  
Mkt Cap38.92,527.1818.141.241.55.841.4
P/S3.73.81.20.420.92.02.9
P/EBIT14.029.726.37.544.414.020.2
P/E17.835.838.310.563.731.933.8
P/CFO20.420.921.36.553.38.420.6
Total Yield7.0%2.8%3.5%14.5%1.6%3.1%3.3%
Dividend Yield1.4%0.0%0.9%5.0%0.0%0.0%0.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg6.0%1.1%2.8%5.6%1.8%9.7%4.2%
D/E0.20.10.10.50.10.50.1
Net D/E0.10.00.10.40.10.30.1

Returns

EBAYAMZNWMTTGTFICOETSYMedian
NameeBay Amazon.c.Walmart Target Fair Isa.Etsy  
1M Rtn-7.3%9.8%-4.4%3.2%5.3%-18.7%-0.6%
3M Rtn-14.0%2.9%1.7%-12.0%31.8%-14.3%-5.2%
6M Rtn20.4%15.8%6.7%-4.4%-20.3%24.4%11.2%
12M Rtn38.6%11.0%21.1%-38.5%-26.0%9.5%10.2%
3Y Rtn95.1%141.2%131.0%-41.6%193.0%-51.2%113.0%
1M Excs Rtn-8.1%9.2%-6.9%-0.1%5.2%-18.3%-3.5%
3M Excs Rtn-20.4%-1.6%-1.9%-15.4%24.9%-16.4%-8.7%
6M Excs Rtn6.6%1.9%-7.2%-18.3%-34.2%10.6%-2.6%
12M Excs Rtn25.1%2.6%10.7%-50.1%-38.3%-4.0%-0.7%
3Y Excs Rtn39.3%88.0%47.8%-113.4%209.6%-118.5%43.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment10,112    
Marketplace 9,79510,4208,8948,636
Total10,1129,79510,4208,8948,636


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10312025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity15,539,159
Short Interest: % Change Since 10152025-5.8%
Average Daily Volume6,832,541
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.27
Basic Shares Quantity461,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.4%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/29/2025-15.9%-18.6% 
7/30/202518.3%19.3%19.6%
2/26/2025-8.2%-3.7%-2.9%
10/30/2024-8.2%-2.5%1.5%
7/31/20241.1%-0.9%5.4%
5/1/2024-3.3%-2.7%6.7%
1/24/20241.3%-1.3%5.8%
11/7/2023-2.0%-1.1%2.4%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive8711
# Negative141511
Median Positive1.8%6.6%5.8%
Median Negative-7.1%-3.7%-6.9%
Max Positive18.3%19.3%19.6%
Max Negative-15.9%-18.6%-13.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251030202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025731202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025501202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241031202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023228202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023727202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023427202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022223202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021224202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0IANNONE JAMIEPresident and CEO9082025Sell91.472,011183,94623,052,452Form
1SPENCER REBECCAVP, Chief Accounting Officer8192025Sell100.752,260227,695711,194Form
2IANNONE JAMIEPresident and CEO8062025Sell91.9619,0881,755,33226,444,293Form
3HAYLES CAROL 8062025Sell91.397,689702,6981,428,426Form
4Loeger Julie ASVP, Chief Growth Officer8052025Sell93.2575,9527,082,5244,952,228Form